People walk by the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 02, 2023 in New York City.
Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images
This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.
What you need to know today
A fierce winning streak U.S. stocks rose Tuesday to hit fresh winning streaks, their longest in three years. But Asia-Pacific markets were mixed Wednesday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 ticked down 0.1% despite rising confidence among large Japanese manufacturers, according to a Reuters Tankan survey. Meanwhile, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 climbed 0.2% a day after the country’s central bank raised rates by 25 basis points.
Microsoft closes at a high Microsoft shares climbed 1.12% to hit $360.53, a record high. It’s the eighth consecutive day in which the technology giant’s shares rose, a streak unseen since January 2021. Investors cheered Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella’s surprise appearance at OpenAI’s event, where he encouraged developers to build with Microsoft’s Azure cloud infrastructure.
‘Absolutely booming’ Chinese sector China’s economy hasn’t recovered from its pandemic blues. But in the sectors of “electric vehicles and everything around sustainability and renewable power technology,” China is “absolutely booming,” Standard Chartered CEO Bill Winters told CNBC. Relatedly, China’s truck industry is increasingly using vehicles with assisted-driving technology, a critical step toward monetizing the nascent business.
Peak, not pause? The U.S. Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Bank of England all paused interest rate hikes in recent weeks. This breather comes after dramatic hikes over the last 18 months as central banks grappled with unruly inflation. Some market watchers, in fact, think this lull in hikes isn’t so much a pause but the peak in rates — and are turning their attention to when central banks will start cutting.
[PRO] Buy BYD Over the past 18 months, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway has sold more than half its stake in Chinese electric vehicle maker BYD, according to stock filings. Despite that, analysts still think BYD’s a stock worth buying — and some even raised their price targets for the firm.
The bottom line
Last month’s sudden surge in Treasury yields and oil prices — both of which tend to suppress investors’ appetite for stocks — looks to be ending. No, scratch that — the increases aren’t just ending, they’re ebbing.
Look at oil: Contracts for both West Texas Intermediate and Brent futures fell around $3. WTI’s now at $77.01 a barrel while Brent’s $81.44, their lowest since July. That’s almost $10 per barrel less compared with a month ago, when prices jumped on fears triggered by the Israel-Hamas conflict.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield fell around 10 basis points to 4.569% and the 2-year yield slipped 3 basis points to 4.915%. As Treasury yields serve as the benchmark for interest rates on loans and cash investments, sinking yields generally benefit rate-sensitive companies more. In other words: the Magnificent Seven Big Tech. Amazon led the pack, shooting up 2.13% yesterday.
That explains why the Nasdaq Composite jumped 0.9%, more than the S&P 500’s 0.28% gain and the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s 0.17% increase. Still, that’s not downplaying the movements. The S&P and Dow are enjoying their seventh consecutive session of gains, while the Nasdaq’s basking in its eighth.
If the U.S. Federal Reserve does indeed steer the economy to a soft landing, in which inflation is contained below 2% without the economy contracting, then there could be a further rally in stocks, said HSBC. Within periods of soft landings, the S&P has jumped, on average, 22% in the space between a pause and six months after rate cuts begin, noted HSBC’s global equity strategist Alastair Pinder.
And that immaculate disinflation isn’t just a dream. Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee told CNBC, “Because of some of the strangeness of this moment, there is the possibility of the golden path … that we got inflation down without a recession.”
Both the economy and markets have truly acted in strange, unprecedented ways ever since the pandemic. From one of the worst years for stocks and bonds in 2022, to a widely heralded bull rally in the S&P — and then a correction — in 2023. And I haven’t even started on the U.S. labor market and inflation numbers. Strange may be new and unsettling, but it isn’t necessarily bad.
That $20,000 luxury Lucid EV you’ve been waiting for will likely never hit the market. CEO Peter Rawlinson said Lucid (LCID) has no plans to launch a $20K vehicle. However, it could play a role in bringing cheaper EVs to market.
After its third straight quarter of record deliveries in Q3, Lucid is gaining traction. The EV maker is now outselling its German luxury rivals in the US, including the Porsche Taycan and Mercedes EQS.
Lucid’s Air even outsold the Tesla Model S in the third quarter. According to Kelley Blue Book, Lucid sold 1,944 Air models in Q3, up 33% from last year, while Tesla Model S sales slipped 47% to 1,669.
The company’s growing sales come despite many media headlines claiming that EV sales are slowing or cooling.
On The Wall Street Journal’s recent Bold Names podcast, Rawlinson said there is a “false narrative” that EVs are in decline. Sales are still up, Rawlinson explained, but they may not be climbing as fast as some had predicted.
Lucid’s CEO is not surprised by some legacy automakers’ “lame efforts.” According to Rawlinson, the company was established for a different reason. Lucid exists “to advance the state of the art of EVs,” the company’s CEO said on the podcast.
Is Lucid launching a $20K EV?
In 2021, Lucid launched the first EV with over 500 miles range. To this day, “There’s no competitor within 100 miles of that car,” according to Rawlinson.
Lucid is focused on efficiency or enabling more range with fewer batteries. To promote widespread adoption, Rawlinson said we must hit the core issue: the cost of batteries as a function of their size.
To get there, Lucid had to start with a high-end premium product, its luxury Air sedan. The company’s leader said Lucid exists to advance “the state of the electric car” with its advanced tech. In other words, it is about driving down costs while unlocking more driving range with smaller, more efficient technology.
So does this mean we will eventually see a $20,000 Lucid EV hit the market? It’s still not likely. According to Rawlinson, Lucid has no plans to build a $20K EV because “that market sucks.”
Lucid’s CEO pointed to Porsche, one of the most profitable legacy automakers, saying, “It doesn’t operate in that sphere.”
Meanwhile, Rawlinson explained that Lucid is “commercially viable in the future.” He believes that is where Lucid could have an opportunity to license its tech.
Enabling cheaper EVs
Regarding a $20K or $25K EV, the company’s advanced tech will “enable that tomorrow,” Rawlinson said, but it will not be a Lucid vehicle. When asked, “Are you going to build that $20,000 vehicle?” Lucid’s CEO responded, “No, because that market sucks.”
The mass market segment has “terrible low margins,” and that’s not where the company is trying to compete.
Rawlinson said other OEMs already have the manufacturing network and could put such a vehicle in place.
The premium EV maker plans to launch several lower-cost vehicles on its upcoming midsize platform, but they will still be around $50,000. Lucid’s midsize SUV, which is due out in 2026, will be “priced around 48 to $50,000,” Rawlinson confirmed.
That’s the price range Lucid wants to do business in, but licensing its tech will enable others to make more affordable products.
Rawlinson said when the new midsize model model launches, “we become a Tesla competitor, head-to-head.” Lucid’s CEO said he believes the upcoming EV will be “massively better than a Tesla Model Y.” He added:
Because of our technological advantage, we should be able to make that car with its competitive range, but with less batteries than anyone else.
According to Rawlinson, doing so will not only save resources but also “allow a better gross margin per vehicle than anyone else.”
That is the game plan, the “chess game” Lucid is playing. Although the media portrays Lucid as a Tesla competitor now, the company is actually targeting Mercedes and Porsche. In a few years, it will challenge Tesla head-to-head with its midsize SUV.
Before that, Lucid is launching its first electric SUV, the Gravity. It has already begun taking orders for the higher-end $94,000 model, which is scheduled to enter production later this year. A more affordable $80,000 version is planned for late 2025.
After securing another $1.75 billion through a recent capital raise, Lucid said it has enough funding for “well into 2026,” right in time for the midsize model.
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Eco Wave Power (Nasdaq: WAVE) has secured the final permit from the US Army Corps of Engineers to install its first onshore wave energy system in the US at AltaSea’s site in the Port of Los Angeles. This pilot project will be the first of its kind in the US.
The permit, issued under Nationwide Permit 52 for water-based renewable energy generation pilot projects, allows Eco Wave Power to install eight wave energy floaters on the existing concrete wharf at Municipal Pier One. The setup will include an energy conversion unit housed in two 20-foot shipping containers, which are already on-site and ready to go. Eco Wave Power plans to complete the US’s first onshore wave energy installation by the end of Q1 2025.
Eco Wave Power’s floaters – the blue dinghy-like things in the water in the photo above, which are in Gibraltar – convert the rising and falling motion of the waves into energy generation.
The movement of the floaters compresses and decompresses the connected hydraulic pistons that transmit biodegradable hydraulic fluid into accumulators on land, where pressure builds. The pressure rotates a hydraulic motor, which rotates the generator, and then electricity is transferred into the grid via an inverter. After decompression, the fluid flows back into the hydraulic fluid tank, where it’s then reused by the pistons, creating a closed circular system.
The whole wave-energy power station is controlled and monitored by a smart automation system.
Eco Wave Power partnered with Shell in April 2024 on the Port of Los Angeles wave energy pilot in April 2024, and the two companies will work together on the execution phase of the project now that the permit is in place.
Inna Braverman, CEO of Eco Wave Power, said, “We are thrilled to receive this final permit and move one step closer to bringing wave energy to the US. This project represents not only a technological breakthrough but also a crucial step in advancing the global transition to renewable energy.”
Eco Wave Power operates the first grid-connected wave energy system in Israel and is also preparing to install projects in Taiwan and Portugal.
Wave energy holds massive potential. The US Department of Energy’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory estimates that wave energy could potentially generate enough energy to power hundreds of millions of homes. Eco Wave Power’s aim is for its Port of Los Angeles pilot project to advance wave energy as a potential reliable and mainstream renewable power source.
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Damon Motorcycles, the startup that in 2019 unveiled a flashy electric motorcycle intended to best its combustion engine-powered competition, has announced that it has gone public and will assemble its first production-intent motorcycles next year.
The company’s announcement today claims that it has gone public on the Nasdaq and touts its US $100M in “deposit backed reservations”. The deposit amounts vary, but for the brand’s flagship US $40,000 Damon HyperFighter Colossus, the US $250 fully-refundable deposit would imply somewhere around 2,500 to 3,000 reservations.
However, those reservations have been rolling in for quite some time and many were likely based on the brand’s earlier announcements and unveilings – several of which trickled out between 2019 and 2022.
But the company’s founder and CEO Jay Giraud says riders should still expect Damon to make good on its promises of a 200 mile, 200 mph, and 200 hp (320 km, 320 km/h, 150 kW) electric motorcycle coming next year.
“Our vision is resonating with a global community that’s ready for a more modern riding experience – what the old guard keeps selling year after year has gotten stale,” explained Giraud. “And reaching $100M in reservations is a pretty good indication that it’s time to think different.”
For years now we’ve heard that Damon’s upcoming electric motorcycles won’t only be powerful sport bikes, but will also be brimming with new technology and advanced features never before seen in motorcycling.
That technology suite includes a feature that Damon first touted in January of 2020 known as CoPilo, an AI-enhanced 360º collision warning system, as well as Shift™, electronically adaptive ergonomics that transform the riding position from sport to commuter on the fly.
While a shapeshifting motorcycle with 360 degree AI-enhanced vision sounded like science fiction when the company was launched in 2019, we’ve since seen affordable commuter e-motos like Ryvid rollout frame-shifting tech that lets owners adjust the bike’s geometry while actively riding, and startups like RiderDome are already providing 360-degree AI-enhance motorcycle sensor systems.
Damon Motorcycles could still reach uncharted territory if the company can produce a 200 mph and 200 hp electric motorcycle with its claimed 200 miles of highway range, but that still sounds like a big “if.”
For now, the most up-to-date goalpost location appears to now be 2025, though the company is only claiming to be preparing “for assembly of a fleet of production intent vehicles in 2025.” It remains to be seen when true production will begin and that supposed US $100M sitting out there can be converted into bikes
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