Behind the scenes of every chipmaker, there’s a set of instructions that dictates how their products will function. Over the last three decades, Arm has become the dominant company making this chip architecture, and it powers nearly every smartphone today. Apple bases its custom silicon for iPhones and MacBooks on Arm, and now Nvidia and AMD are reportedly making Arm-based PC chips, too.
Arm’s blockbuster IPO in September valued it above $54 billion, thanks in part to the growing list of companies choosing Arm over Intel‘s rival x86 architecture.
On Wednesday, it beat Wall Street expectations in its first post-IPO earnings report, with revenue up 28% on an annual basis during the quarter. Still, revenue guidance fell short of expectations, sending Arm shares down more than 7% in extended trading.
The UK-based company sells licenses for its chip architecture to companies that make central processing units, or CPUs. It also collects royalties on every chip shipped with its technology. Haas says that number topped 30 billion last year.Its customers are the biggest names in tech and chips, including Apple, Nvidia, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Samsung, Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.
“Most people think about a device. Then maybe if they’re really sophisticated, they think about the chip, but they don’t think about the company that came up with the original ideas behind how that chip operates,” said Bob O’Donnell, president and chief analyst at TECHnalysis Research. “But once you do understand what they do, it’s absolutely amazing the influence they have.”
Arm enables chips to use less power than those made with x86. Lately, it’s seen a big surge in adoption.
Arm is the basis for Apple’s custom processors, which have replaced Intel chips in Macs. Amazon Web Services bases its custom server chips on Arm. Qualcomm’s flagship Snapdragon chips are also Arm-based, and getting ready to make a meaningful move into the PC market.
But Arm has also faced plenty of risks in recent years. About 20% of its revenue comes from China, according to the company. Smartphones, which almost all contain Arm processors, are seeing a major sales slump. And when Nvidia tried to buy Arm for $40 billion, the deal was blocked by regulators last year.
“That didn’t go the way that everyone anticipated or hoped that it would. But the sun comes up the next day, right? And you have to be able to build from that,” CEO Rene Haas told CNBC in an interview in October.
CNBC went to Arm’s headquarters in Cambridge, England, to find out how it became the year’s biggest IPO despite struggling smartphone sales and geopolitical uncertainty.
From smartphones to AI
Arm was founded in 1990 by 12 chip designers working out of a turkey barn in Cambridge. It was originally a joint venture between Apple, Acorn Computers, and VLSI, which is now part of NXP.
Arm’s big break came in 1993, when Apple launched its early handheld Newton device on the Arm610 processor. Haas said this gets at the “hallmarks” of the company. “We were born running a device off a battery that was going to be low cost,” he said.
Arm’s big break came in 1993 when Apple released its handheld Newton device on the Arm610 processor.
Arm Holdings
That same year, Arm struck a deal with Texas Instruments, putting its processors in early Nokia mobile phones and beginning Arm’s climb to become the dominant smartphone architecture it is today. Arm went public for the first time in 1998. Chief architect Richard Grisenthwaite was there.
“We were about 100 people, and I’ve been very much involved in this tremendous transition that the company has gone through, expanding out from being targeting one particular market area into a wide range of different computing environments,” Grisenthwaite said.
Indeed, Arm grew rapidly in the 2000s, with the first touchscreen phones introduced in 2007 and the growth of connected home devices in the 2010s.
Arm now has some 6,500 employees globally. Grisenthwaite said the majority of those employees are in the UK, and about a sixth are in the U.S., where Arm has offices in Arizona, California, North Carolina and Texas. It also has locations in Norway, Sweden, France and India.
In 2016, Arm once again became a private company when Japan’s SoftBank acquired it for $32 billion. Haas was president of the IP products group at the time, spearheading diversification into emerging markets, including AI.
“PC and phone, automotive, data center and IoT. Those are the primary markets that we address. Every single one of those markets has AI embedded in some way, shape or form,” he said.
Arm has some 6,800 patents worldwide, with another 2,700 applications pending. Some of those are for Arm’s Neoverse line for high-performance and cloud computing, which has helped it break into AI since its launch in 2018.
In August, Nvidia announced its latest Grace Hopper Superchip, which couples its own GPUs with Arm’s Neoverse cores.
“By bringing those together and tightly coupling the way that Nvidia has with the Grace Hopper, they’re able to come up with something that’s something like 2 to 4 times the performance of what you’d get on an x86 system for a similar amount of power,” Grisenthwaite explained.
Cash and competition
If you rewind just a couple years, Nvidia’s interest in Arm went far beyond technology integration. Arm owner Softbank needed cash after losing money on high-profile investments in companies like WeWork and Uber. In 2020, SoftBank struck a deal with Nvidia to sell Arm for $40 billion. Eighteen months later, the deal fell apart, blocked by regulators and some of Arm’s biggest customers, which also compete with Nvidia.
Haas said he was, “Disappointed it didn’t happen just because we spent so much time on it.”
Instead, Softbank announced plans to take Arm public again and Haas took over as CEO.
Arm CEO Rene Haas talks with CNBC’s Katie Tarasov in San Jose, California, on October 12, 2023.
Katie Brigham
Arm made its second public debut this September, climbing nearly 25% that day.
The stock has fallen significantly since then.
One risk comes from a free, open-source rival architecture called RISC-V. It’s seen a recent surge in backing from some of Arm’s big customers like Google, Samsung and Qualcomm, which may have been seeking alternatives when it looked like Nvidia was going to buy Arm.
For now, RISC-V remains a low risk competitor according to Futurum Group CEO Daniel Newman.
“RISC-V sits a few years behind where Arm is at, and I don’t think we’re going to hear a lot about it right away. I do think in low power, in IoT, in simpler designs, that RISC-V does have some traction,” Newman said.
Arm’s bigger competition comes from x86. Developed by Intel in the 70s, x86 is the dominant architecture used for PC processors, with a massive amount of software developed for it.
“The amount of software support is the thing that actually tends to determine the success or failure of that in the long run. Intel was very good early on with getting a ton of software support for x86,” O’Donnell explained.
Most servers have also traditionally been based on x86, but O’Donnell said that could shift.
“What’s happened in the server market is that the software has been componentized. It’s broken up into containers and things like that, and that makes it easier to run on other architectures like Arm,” he said.
Amazon Web Services is a big player making Arm-based server chips. AWS launched its Graviton chips to rival x86 CPUs from AMD and Intel in 2018.
“And really from there, Arm went from this mobile, low power IoT, automotive specialty embedded to holy cow, we can build next generation servers, PCs, and of course continue on this massive run of silicon for smartphones, all based on Arm,” Newman said.
‘If Apple can do it, can others?’
Apple is the big partner helping Arm break into the laptop market.
Apple moved to its own Arm-based processors in Mac computers in 2020, breaking away from the Intel x86 processors that had powered them for 15 years.
In October, Apple announced its latest line of M3 processors and the MacBooks and iMacs running on them. Apple said Arm-based M3 gives the newest MacBook up to 22 hours of battery life.
“Nobody really believed, until Apple went all in and basically cut ties with x86 instruction sets and said, ‘We are going to bet the future of the Mac on Arm.’ And that was a huge inflection for the company. It was a change of the guard. And this isn’t to say that Intel’s future is in big trouble, but it certainly started to raise some question marks as to, well, if Apple can do it, can others?” Newman said.
In September, Apple extended its deal with Arm through at least 2040.
Qualcomm is another major customer making its latest PC processors using Arm, although that relationship is strained. Arm is suing Qualcomm over the right to make certain chips with its technology. The issues started after Qualcomm acquired CPU company Nuvia in 2021, and with it, Nuvia’s Arm license.
“Nuvia was actually supposed to be designing a server chip initially, so they had different terms with them. And so Qualcomm thought they could have the same terms. Arm felt no, different companies have different terms. And it’s boiled down to essentially that: legal discussions around what those terms ought to be,” O’Donnell explained.
The case is set to go to trial in 2024.
Arm is also growing in the automotive space. Although its chips have long been in cars, it’s now a rapid growth area with the rise of self-driving capabilities and partnerships with companies like Cruise.
Arm’s Grisenthwaite calls self-driving “one of the most computationally intensive tasks we’ve ever seen on this planet.”
“What we need to provide is a standard platform to allow the world’s software developers to really concentrate on this incredibly hard task going forward,” he said, while demonstrating the AVA developer platform, which brings multiple self-driving components together to function on a single processor.
This simplification is also making Arm the choice for non-chip companies like Apple, Amazon, Google and Microsoft designing their own custom silicon.
“They’ve got a smaller team than entire companies built on that. And so you have to make that process easier and simpler. And that, for example, is where Arm is starting to move in terms of enabling the design of multiple components that connect together,” O’Donnell said.
Arm Holdings headquarters in Cambridge, England, on October 3, 2023.
Max Thurlow
‘China is a good market for us’
Although more companies are making inroads into semiconductor design, the recent chip shortage exposed major concern over the fact that more than 90% of the world’s chips are manufactured in Asia.
Now China and the U.S. are going back and forth imposing export controls on chip technologies. For now, Arm says it’s seen minimal impact from the export controls.
“What we do is obviously comply with all kinds of export regulations whenever they come out. Of course we comply. China is a good market for us: about 20% of our business. It’s shifted over the years. It used to be largely mobile phone based. Now it’s mostly around the data center and automotive,” Haas said.
In 2018, SoftBank broke off Arm’s China business into an independent entity, Arm China, that’s majority owned by a group of Chinese investors.
Haas explained further, “It’s essentially to allow us to not only grow our business in China, which is our essentially base core business. We set up a distributor arm, but at the same time, we also created an R&D arm that allows an independent entity to develop products specifically for the China market, some that are Arm based but some that are not Arm based.”
Arm China has also been embroiled in controversy, with SoftBank and Arm trying to oust the CEO of the China business, Allen Wu. Despite being fired, Wu refused to leave for years.
“It’s been very ugly and kind of messy and confusing,” O’Donnell said.
“A lot of Chinese companies have long standing relationships with Arm, so the expectation is they’re going to want to work there because they have that huge base of software. If somebody creates a new architecture, they have to build the software, and that takes years and years and years,” he said.
“We’re not as impacted as folks might think because one of the trends we’ve seen, particularly in smartphones, is more and more Arm processors that go into those phones,” Haas said. “So for us, we’ve actually seen an increase in royalty per phone.
“It’s hard for our whole industry because there’s no way that demand for semiconductors in the next 10 to 15 years will abate. It’s only going to increase. So it’s a pretty fierce talent war,” Haas said.
Apple’s latest iPhone models are shown on display at its Regent Street, London store on the launch day of the iPhone 17.
Arjun Kharpal | CNBC
Apple will hit a record level of iPhone shipments this year driven by its latest models and a resurgence in its key market of China, research firm IDC has forecast.
The company will ship 247.4 million iPhones in 2025, up just over 6% year-on-year, IDC forecast in a report on Tuesday. That’s more than the 236 million it sold in 2021, when the iPhone 13 was released.
Apple’s predicted surge is “thanks to the phenomenal success of its latest iPhone 17 series,” Nabila Popal, senior research director at IDC, said in a statement, adding that in China, “massive demand for iPhone 17 has significantly accelerated Apple’s performance.”
Shipments are a term used by analysts to refer to the number of devices sent by a vendor to its sales channels like e-commerce partners or stores. They do not directly equate to sales but indicate the demand expected by a company for their products.
When it launched in September, investors saw the iPhone 17 series as a key set of devices for Apple, which was facing increased competition in China and questions about its artificial intelligence strategy, as Android rivals were powering on.
Apple’s shipments are expected to jump 17% year-on-year in China in the fourth quarter, IDC said, leading the research firm to forecast 3% growth in the market this year versus a previous projection of a 1% decline.
IDC’s report follows on from Counterpoint Research last week which forecast Apple to ship more smartphones than Samsung in 2025 for the first time in 14 years.
Bloomberg reported last month that Apple could delay the release of the base model of its next device, the iPhone 18, until 2027, which would break its regular cycle of releasing all of its phones in fall each year. IDC said this could mean Apple’s shipments may drop by 4.2% next year.
Anthropic, the AI startup behind the popular Claude chatbot, is in early talks to launch one of the largest initial public offerings as early as next year, the Financial Times reported Wednesday.
For the potential IPO, Anthropic has engaged law firm Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati, which has previously worked on high-profile tech IPOs such as Google, LinkedIn and Lyft, the FT said, citing two sources familiar with the matter.
The start-up, led by chief executive Dario Amodei, was also pursuing a private funding round that could value it above $300 billion, including a $15 billion combined commitment from Microsoft and Nvidia, per the report.
It added that Anthropic has also discussed a potential IPO with major investment banks, but that sources characterized the discussions as preliminary and informal.
If true, the news could position Anthropic in a race to market with rival ChatGPT-maker OpenAI, which is also reportedly laying the groundwork for a public offering. The potential listings would also test investors’ appetite for loss-making AI startups amid growing fears of a so-called AI bubble.
However, an Anthropic spokesperson told the FT: “It’s fairly standard practice for companies operating at our scale and revenue level to effectively operate as if they are publicly traded companies,” adding that no decisions have been made on timing or whether to go public.
CNBC was unable to reach Anthropic and Wilson Sonsini, which has advised Anthropic for a few years, for comment.
According to one of the FT’s sources, Anthropic has been working through internal preparations for a potential listing, though details were not provided.
CNBC also reported last month that Anthropic was recently valued to the range of $350 billion after receiving investments of up to $5 billion from Microsoft and $10 billion from Nvidia.
According to the FT report, investors in the company are enthusiastic about Anthropic’s potential IPO, which could see it “seize the initiative” from OpenAI.
While OpenAI has been rumoured to be considering an IPO, its chief financial officer recently said the company is not pursuing a near-term listing, even as it closed a $6.6 billion share sale at a $500 billion valuation in October.
CrowdStrike on Tuesday evening reported better-than-expected fiscal 2026 third-quarter results and forward guidance. The numbers, however, were not enough to power shares higher, given their roughly 24% advance since the cybersecurity company’s fiscal second-quarter print back in late August. That said, the latest beat and raise should help solidify recent stock gains and set the stage for further upside next year. Revenue in fiscal Q3 increased 22% year over year to $1.23 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $1.22 billion, compiled by market data provider LSEG. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased to 96 cents in the three months ending Oct. 31, beating the 94-cent estimate, according to LSEG. Why we own it Cybersecurity is a must-have for companies in the digital age. Led by co-founder and CEO George Kurtz, CrowdStrike is one of the best there is, along with fellow Club name Palo Alto Networks . The company specializes in endpoint protection through its AI-native platform called Falcon. Competitors: Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet , SentinelOne , Microsoft Portfolio weighting: 3.33% Most recent buy: March 10, 2025 Initiation date: Oct. 16, 2024 Bottom Line The October quarter was an encore performance from CrowdStrike — delivering better-than-expected results across the board, with record-high operating cash flow, adjusted operating income, EPS, free cash flow, and net new annual recurring revenue. The Falcon Flex subscription model is clearly helping to drive more business, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) tied to these accounts surging more than 200% versus the year-ago period. Falcon Flex allows customers to quickly deploy additional protection as needed, without all the red tape of going through the often-lengthy procurement process. Artificial intelligence benefits CrowdStrike in two ways: by increasing attack vectors in its customers’ digital infrastructure, resulting in more demand, and by strengthening CrowdStrike’s ability to protect customers against these attacks, resulting in more pricing power and cross-selling. As CEO George Kurtz said on the post-earnings conference call, “Businesses every day are having jarring lightbulb moments, witnessing AI-powered adversarial tradecraft firsthand. … Now, just as anyone can use AI to vibe code and become a software engineer, anyone can also now vibe hack, becoming a sophisticated adversary with AI.” He added that CrowdStrike is mission-critical. “No matter how the market swings, geopolitical tensions evolve, or what technologies are in vogue, our digital society mandates cybersecurity as a necessity, and now, more than ever, synonymous with that, CrowdStrike is a necessity.” CRWD YTD mountain CrowdStrike YTD This speaks to the nature of demand for CrowdStrike and other cybersecurity companies, such as fellow Club name Palo Alto Networks , and what these companies can provide in an all-encompassing, platform approach to digital protection. With attacks becoming more sophisticated and more frequent, companies can no longer afford to have a fragmented solution to cybersecurity. Kurtz said, “Cybersecurity in the agentic era demands a single platform. The criticality in being able to operate with agility, efficacy, and speed to stop breaches is having the data that controls and the actions in a single platform, not multiple platforms. Because when you have multiple platforms, by definition, you don’t have a platform. Tap switching and contact switching cost time. Data stitching doesn’t scale. These are the seams and cracks where adversaries thrive.” Kurtz’s comment about the “agentic era” refers to digital AI agents that can perform complex tasks and problem-solve with little to no human oversight. The proliferation of AI agents exponentially increases the ways hackers can breach systems. In mid-September, at CrowdStrike’s Fal.Con industry conference , the CEO described the rise of agentic AI as a “greater than 100x opportunity for CrowdStrike.” Given the fiscal third-quarter results, strong outlook, and our longer-term view that cybersecurity is a secular growth industry, now benefiting from the need to defend against AI-equipped hackers, using AI protection tools, we’re reiterating our 1 rating and increasing our CrowdStrike price target to $550 per share from $520. While falling 3% in after-hours trading, CrowdStrike shares were up 51% as of Tuesday’s market close. The stock is the Club’s fourth-best performer of 2025. Quarterly commentary Perhaps the most exciting metric, as it indicates the sustainability of the strength we saw in Tuesday night’s results, is net new annual recurring revenue, which came in at $265 million. That resulted in ARR at the end of the period of $4.92 billion, up 23% year over year and up 5.7% sequentially. Helping to drive that growth was Falcon Flex, with management noting that nearly 30% of ending ARR, or $1.35 billion, came from accounts that have adopted the new pricing model. On the call, Kurtz said the number of customers “reflexing,” or re-signing once their credits are used up, more than doubled sequentially, to more than 200 — with 10 customers “reflexing more than 2x their initial flex subscription.” Given the strong response, management expects the Falcon Flex model to become the company’s licensing standard. Guidance For full-year fiscal 2026, CrowdStrike management raised its outlook at the midpoint. The team now expects to realize revenue of between $4.7966 billion and $4.0866 billion, up from the prior range of between $4.7495 billion and $4.8055 billion. That compares to the LSEG consensus estimate of $4.784 billion. The adjusted earnings outlook was also raised, with the team now targeting an EPS range of $3.70 and $3.72, up from the prior $3.60 to $3.72, and comfortably ahead of the $3.67 estimate from LSEG. For its 2026 fiscal fourth quarter, the current quarter going on right now, management guided for revenue to be between $1.29 billion and $1.3 billion, which is better than the $1.293 billion the Street was looking for at the midpoint, according to LSEG. Adjusted EPS are expected to be between $1.09 and $1.11, better than the $1.08 the Street was looking for. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long CRWD, PANW. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. 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