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Behind the scenes of every chipmaker, there’s a set of instructions that dictates how their products will function. Over the last three decades, Arm has become the dominant company making this chip architecture, and it powers nearly every smartphone today. Apple bases its custom silicon for iPhones and MacBooks on Arm, and now Nvidia and AMD are reportedly making Arm-based PC chips, too.

Arm’s blockbuster IPO in September valued it above $54 billion, thanks in part to the growing list of companies choosing Arm over Intel‘s rival x86 architecture.

On Wednesday, it beat Wall Street expectations in its first post-IPO earnings report, with revenue up 28% on an annual basis during the quarter. Still, revenue guidance fell short of expectations, sending Arm shares down more than 7% in extended trading.

The UK-based company sells licenses for its chip architecture to companies that make central processing units, or CPUs. It also collects royalties on every chip shipped with its technology. Haas says that number topped 30 billion last year. Its customers are the biggest names in tech and chips, including Apple, Nvidia, Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Samsung, Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.

“Most people think about a device. Then maybe if they’re really sophisticated, they think about the chip, but they don’t think about the company that came up with the original ideas behind how that chip operates,” said Bob O’Donnell, president and chief analyst at TECHnalysis Research. “But once you do understand what they do, it’s absolutely amazing the influence they have.”

Arm enables chips to use less power than those made with x86. Lately, it’s seen a big surge in adoption. 

Arm is the basis for Apple’s custom processors, which have replaced Intel chips in Macs. Amazon Web Services bases its custom server chips on Arm. Qualcomm’s flagship Snapdragon chips are also Arm-based, and getting ready to make a meaningful move into the PC market.

But Arm has also faced plenty of risks in recent years. About 20% of its revenue comes from China, according to the company. Smartphones, which almost all contain Arm processors, are seeing a major sales slump. And when Nvidia tried to buy Arm for $40 billion, the deal was blocked by regulators last year.

“That didn’t go the way that everyone anticipated or hoped that it would. But the sun comes up the next day, right? And you have to be able to build from that,” CEO Rene Haas told CNBC in an interview in October.

CNBC went to Arm’s headquarters in Cambridge, England, to find out how it became the year’s biggest IPO despite struggling smartphone sales and geopolitical uncertainty.

From smartphones to AI

Arm was founded in 1990 by 12 chip designers working out of a turkey barn in Cambridge. It was originally a joint venture between Apple, Acorn Computers, and VLSI, which is now part of NXP.

Arm’s big break came in 1993, when Apple launched its early handheld Newton device on the Arm610 processor. Haas said this gets at the “hallmarks” of the company. “We were born running a device off a battery that was going to be low cost,” he said. 

Arm’s big break came in 1993 when Apple released its handheld Newton device on the Arm610 processor.

Arm Holdings

That same year, Arm struck a deal with Texas Instruments, putting its processors in early Nokia mobile phones and beginning Arm’s climb to become the dominant smartphone architecture it is today. Arm went public for the first time in 1998. Chief architect Richard Grisenthwaite was there.

“We were about 100 people, and I’ve been very much involved in this tremendous transition that the company has gone through, expanding out from being targeting one particular market area into a wide range of different computing environments,” Grisenthwaite said.

Indeed, Arm grew rapidly in the 2000s, with the first touchscreen phones introduced in 2007 and the growth of connected home devices in the 2010s.

Arm now has some 6,500 employees globally. Grisenthwaite said the majority of those employees are in the UK, and about a sixth are in the U.S., where Arm has offices in Arizona, California, North Carolina and Texas. It also has locations in Norway, Sweden, France and India.

In 2016, Arm once again became a private company when Japan’s SoftBank acquired it for $32 billion. Haas was president of the IP products group at the time, spearheading diversification into emerging markets, including AI.

“PC and phone, automotive, data center and IoT. Those are the primary markets that we address. Every single one of those markets has AI embedded in some way, shape or form,” he said.

Arm has some 6,800 patents worldwide, with another 2,700 applications pending. Some of those are for Arm’s Neoverse line for high-performance and cloud computing, which has helped it break into AI since its launch in 2018.

In August, Nvidia announced its latest Grace Hopper Superchip, which couples its own GPUs with Arm’s Neoverse cores. 

“By bringing those together and tightly coupling the way that Nvidia has with the Grace Hopper, they’re able to come up with something that’s something like 2 to 4 times the performance of what you’d get on an x86 system for a similar amount of power,” Grisenthwaite explained.

Cash and competition

If you rewind just a couple years, Nvidia’s interest in Arm went far beyond technology integration. Arm owner Softbank needed cash after losing money on high-profile investments in companies like WeWork and Uber. In 2020, SoftBank struck a deal with Nvidia to sell Arm for $40 billion. Eighteen months later, the deal fell apart, blocked by regulators and some of Arm’s biggest customers, which also compete with Nvidia.

Haas said he was, “Disappointed it didn’t happen just because we spent so much time on it.”

Instead, Softbank announced plans to take Arm public again and Haas took over as CEO.

Arm CEO Rene Haas talks with CNBC’s Katie Tarasov in San Jose, California, on October 12, 2023.

Katie Brigham

Arm made its second public debut this September, climbing nearly 25% that day.

The stock has fallen significantly since then.

One risk comes from a free, open-source rival architecture called RISC-V. It’s seen a recent surge in backing from some of Arm’s big customers like Google, Samsung and Qualcomm, which may have been seeking alternatives when it looked like Nvidia was going to buy Arm.

For now, RISC-V remains a low risk competitor according to Futurum Group CEO Daniel Newman.

“RISC-V sits a few years behind where Arm is at, and I don’t think we’re going to hear a lot about it right away. I do think in low power, in IoT, in simpler designs, that RISC-V does have some traction,” Newman said.

Arm’s bigger competition comes from x86. Developed by Intel in the 70s, x86 is the dominant architecture used for PC processors, with a massive amount of software developed for it.

“The amount of software support is the thing that actually tends to determine the success or failure of that in the long run. Intel was very good early on with getting a ton of software support for x86,” O’Donnell explained. 

Most servers have also traditionally been based on x86, but O’Donnell said that could shift.

“What’s happened in the server market is that the software has been componentized. It’s broken up into containers and things like that, and that makes it easier to run on other architectures like Arm,” he said.

Amazon Web Services is a big player making Arm-based server chips. AWS launched its Graviton chips to rival x86 CPUs from AMD and Intel in 2018.

“And really from there, Arm went from this mobile, low power IoT, automotive specialty embedded to holy cow, we can build next generation servers, PCs, and of course continue on this massive run of silicon for smartphones, all based on Arm,” Newman said.

‘If Apple can do it, can others?’

Apple is the big partner helping Arm break into the laptop market.

Apple moved to its own Arm-based processors in Mac computers in 2020, breaking away from the Intel x86 processors that had powered them for 15 years.

In October, Apple announced its latest line of M3 processors and the MacBooks and iMacs running on them. Apple said Arm-based M3 gives the newest MacBook up to 22 hours of battery life

“Nobody really believed, until Apple went all in and basically cut ties with x86 instruction sets and said, ‘We are going to bet the future of the Mac on Arm.’ And that was a huge inflection for the company. It was a change of the guard. And this isn’t to say that Intel’s future is in big trouble, but it certainly started to raise some question marks as to, well, if Apple can do it, can others?” Newman said.

In September, Apple extended its deal with Arm through at least 2040. 

Qualcomm is another major customer making its latest PC processors using Arm, although that relationship is strained. Arm is suing Qualcomm over the right to make certain chips with its technology. The issues started after Qualcomm acquired CPU company Nuvia in 2021, and with it, Nuvia’s Arm license.

“Nuvia was actually supposed to be designing a server chip initially, so they had different terms with them. And so Qualcomm thought they could have the same terms. Arm felt no, different companies have different terms. And it’s boiled down to essentially that: legal discussions around what those terms ought to be,” O’Donnell explained.

The case is set to go to trial in 2024.

Arm is also growing in the automotive space. Although its chips have long been in cars, it’s now a rapid growth area with the rise of self-driving capabilities and partnerships with companies like Cruise.

Arm’s Grisenthwaite calls self-driving “one of the most computationally intensive tasks we’ve ever seen on this planet.”

“What we need to provide is a standard platform to allow the world’s software developers to really concentrate on this incredibly hard task going forward,” he said, while demonstrating the AVA developer platform, which brings multiple self-driving components together to function on a single processor.

This simplification is also making Arm the choice for non-chip companies like Apple, Amazon, Google and Microsoft designing their own custom silicon.

“They’ve got a smaller team than entire companies built on that. And so you have to make that process easier and simpler. And that, for example, is where Arm is starting to move in terms of enabling the design of multiple components that connect together,” O’Donnell said.

Arm Holdings headquarters in Cambridge, England, on October 3, 2023.

Max Thurlow

‘China is a good market for us’

Although more companies are making inroads into semiconductor design, the recent chip shortage exposed major concern over the fact that more than 90% of the world’s chips are manufactured in Asia. 

Now China and the U.S. are going back and forth imposing export controls on chip technologies. For now, Arm says it’s seen minimal impact from the export controls.

“What we do is obviously comply with all kinds of export regulations whenever they come out. Of course we comply. China is a good market for us: about 20% of our business. It’s shifted over the years. It used to be largely mobile phone based. Now it’s mostly around the data center and automotive,” Haas said.

In 2018, SoftBank broke off Arm’s China business into an independent entity, Arm China, that’s majority owned by a group of Chinese investors.

Haas explained further, “It’s essentially to allow us to not only grow our business in China, which is our essentially base core business. We set up a distributor arm, but at the same time, we also created an R&D arm that allows an independent entity to develop products specifically for the China market, some that are Arm based but some that are not Arm based.”

Arm China has also been embroiled in controversy, with SoftBank and Arm trying to oust the CEO of the China business, Allen Wu. Despite being fired, Wu refused to leave for years.

“It’s been very ugly and kind of messy and confusing,” O’Donnell said.

Now, several former Arm China employees are starting a new internal chip design company in China with backing from Shenzhen’s government. Arm’s stock slid more than 5% on the news, but O’Donnell said it’s not an immediate risk.

“A lot of Chinese companies have long standing relationships with Arm, so the expectation is they’re going to want to work there because they have that huge base of software. If somebody creates a new architecture, they have to build the software, and that takes years and years and years,” he said.

Arm also faces some risk from the major slump in smartphone sales.

“We’re not as impacted as folks might think because one of the trends we’ve seen, particularly in smartphones, is more and more Arm processors that go into those phones,” Haas said. “So for us, we’ve actually seen an increase in royalty per phone.

Labor is another challenge across the industry. The world’s chip leader, TSMC, is blaming a shortage of skilled workers for delays at its $40 billion fab under construction in Arizona.

“It’s hard for our whole industry because there’s no way that demand for semiconductors in the next 10 to 15 years will abate. It’s only going to increase. So it’s a pretty fierce talent war,” Haas said.

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Apple reports third-quarter earnings after the bell

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Apple reports third-quarter earnings after the bell

Apple CEO Tim Cook attends the world premiere of “F1” at Times Square in New York on June 16, 2025.

Angela Weiss | AFP | Getty Images

Apple reports fiscal third-quarter earnings on Thursday after the bell.

The June quarter is typically Apple’s slowest of the year by sales, ahead of new device launches in September that typically spur the company’s biggest sales surge of the year driven in the December quarter.

Still, Apple is expected to report nearly $90 billion in overall sales during the period, which would be a 4% increase from last year. Analysts expect it to guide for 3% growth in the September quarter.

But there are lots of questions swirling around Apple, whose stock is down 16% so far in 2025.

The biggest question facing Apple is what it will say about tariffs. In May, Apple said it would have about $900 million in additional tariff costs in the June quarter, but that it couldn’t predict beyond that. Apple will likely update investors on how it sees tariffs affecting the September quarter, a key indicator for how President Donald Trump’s trade war is affecting American technology companies.

Apple also said in May that it would manufacture U.S.-bound iPhones in India to avoid tariffs on Chinese imports. But the company’s move upset Trump, who said after Apple’s last earnings call that he didn’t want the iPhone maker building in India. India is in line to receive a 25% tariff as soon as Friday. Apple CEO Tim Cook may update investors on its India pivot on Thursday.

The company held its annual Worldwide Developers Conference in June, in which it announced major updates to its software for iPhones and other devices. Apple did not, however, announce major new artificial intelligence products or initiatives, disappointing some analysts. However, some investors believe Apple’s AI stumbles aren’t expected to show up in its results for years.

On the brighter side, Cook will likely shout out the movie “F1,” which is Apple Original Films’ first summer blockbuster and passed $500 million at the global box office last weekend.

Here’s how Apple is expected to do in the June quarter, per LSEG consensus estimates:

  • Earnings per share: $1.43
  • Revenue: $89.54 billion

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Amazon earnings primer: Why AI and tariffs are key to the second quarter

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Amazon earnings primer: Why AI and tariffs are key to the second quarter

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy attends the Allen & Company Sun Valley Conference in Sun Valley, Idaho, on July 9, 2025.

Kevin Dietsch | Getty Images

Amazon will report second-quarter results after the market close Thursday.

Here’s what analysts surveyed by LSEG are expecting:

  • Earnings per share: $1.33
  • Revenue: $162.1 billion

Wall Street is also looking at other key revenue metrics:

  • Amazon Web Services: $30.8 billion, according to StreetAccount
  • Advertising: $14.99 billion, according to StreetAccount

The company spooked investors in May when it warned in its earnings report that “tariff and trade policies,” as well as “recessionary fears,” could weigh on second-quarter results.

Amazon CEO Andy Jassy said at the time that “none of us knows exactly where tariffs will settle or when.” Jassy later said the company hasn’t seen “any attenuation of demand at this point” due to tariffs and that Amazon has taken steps to keep prices steady on its site.

President Donald Trump‘s unpredictable tariff agenda primarily poses a threat to Amazon’s sprawling e-commerce business, which accounts for the bulk of its sales. The core online stores unit is expected to post $58.98 billion in sales, according to StreetAccount. Wall Street is projecting seller services revenue to reach $38.7 billion during the quarter.

Several analysts said the tariff and geopolitical backdrop for Amazon has become more manageable in recent months, which is one of several reasons they’re optimistic about the company’s second-quarter report.

“Through the quarter, the US consumer backdrop has remained supportive as tariff concerns wane and consumers continue to spend,” analysts at Deutsche Bank wrote in a July 22 research note. The firm has a buy rating on Amazon’s stock.

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Trump’s tariffs may be giving Amazon a boost, to some extent.

The Deutsche analysts said it’s “become abundantly clear” that Amazon has gained a greater share of the U.S. e-commerce market in the face of diminished competition from ultra-cheap Chinese online retailers Shein and Temu, which is owned by PDD Holdings.

Both companies have struggled to preserve their grip on American shoppers after the Trump administration ended de minimis, a trade exemption that allowed low-value shipments to enter the country duty-free, and instituted higher tariffs on Chinese imports.

Amazon’s third-quarter guidance will give a view into whether the company expects tariff risks to continue. Analysts are projecting revenue to reach $173.3 billion in the current quarter.

Outside of retail, investors will be keeping a close eye on Amazon’s cloud business. Revenue at AWS in the first quarter grew 17%, which fell short of analysts’ estimates and was the slowest growth in a year. Analysts are projecting about the same year-over-year growth for the second period.

Jassy said in May that the cloud business would have grown faster if it weren’t for capacity constraints caused by shortages of AI chips and other components.

Amazon has pledged to spend up to $100 billion this year, largely on AI-related investments for AWS. Wall Street will be paying attention to whether Amazon reaffirms or boosts that number. AI and cloud competitor Google last week upped its capital spend to $85 billion this year as part of its second-quarter earnings.

Like other major tech companies, Amazon has been laser-focused on AI. During the quarter, Amazon began releasing an AI-upgraded version of its Alexa voice assistant and it launched a new agentic AI group in its skunkworks research and development unit.

The technology is also transforming Amazon’s workforce. In a June note to staff, Jassy said the company’s corporate employee base will shrink in the coming years as it adopts more generative AI tools and agents.

“It’s hard to know exactly where this nets out over time, but in the next few years, we expect that this will reduce our total corporate workforce,” Jassy wrote.

Amazon shares have lagged those of its tech peers this year despite its heavy investments in AI. Amazon’s stock is up 5.4% year to date, while shares of Meta and Microsoft have climbed roughly 20% over the same stretch. Apple, which has struggled with its AI development, is down about 15.5% so far this year.

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Arm stock tumbles on chip designer’s muted profit forecast

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Arm stock tumbles on chip designer's muted profit forecast

The logo of semiconductor design firm Arm on a chip.

Jakub Porzycki | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Shares of Arm Holdings plunged more than 13% on Thursday after the chip designer offered muted guidance for earnings.

Second-quarter adjusted earnings will be between 29 cents and 37 cents per share, Arm said late Wednesday. Wall Street had projected 35 cents per share.

The company forecast second-quarter revenue of $1.01 billion to $1.11 billion, which was in line with consensus estimates of $1.05 billion.

The concerning outlook was amplified by commentary from Arm CEO Rene Haas, who indicated the company is considering designing its own processors. Arm has made its name selling the architecture behind the chips powering devices made by the likes of Microsoft and Amazon.

“We’re looking now at the viability of moving beyond the current platform to additional subsystems, chiplets or possibly full solutions,” Haas said.

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The disclosure left investors “with more questions than answers,” Wells Fargo analysts wrote in a Thursday research note.

By developing its own chips, the company’s cost structure will likely undergo a “major change,” Needham analysts wrote.

“While we view ARM’s transition from selling process core IP to selling CSS was largely successful, as evidenced in above-market royalty revenue growth, the next transition appears to be a much bigger leap, which will likely come with a bigger price,” the analysts added.

For the fiscal first-quarter, the company posted adjusted earnings per share of 35 cents on revenue of $1.05 billion. Analysts were expecting earnings of 35 cents and revenue $1.06 billion.

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