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There has been a sharp decline in the rate of inflation to 4.6%, driven by a big easing in energy costs.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the annual rate slowed last month, from the 6.7% figure reported in September, mainly due to the lower energy price cap imposed on households at the start of October.

The same month a year ago saw an unprecedented leap in pre-winter energy bills due to the fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, sparking the worst of the cost of living crisis.

The war was also responsible for rising food bills, which the official figures showed to be slowing further in October – easing to their lowest level since June last year at 10.1%.

“The easing in the annual inflation rates principally reflected negative contributions from three divisions, with large downward effects from housing and household services, food and non-alcoholic beverages, and restaurants and hotels,” the ONS said.

“Recreation and culture provided the only large positive contribution.”

The lower consumer prices index (CPI) inflation figure – which came in below economists’ expectations of 4.8% – is still high but a welcome development for household spending power.

That is because earnings growth has been outstripping inflation since the end of the summer.

The ONS reported earlier this week that the pace of wage growth was running at 7.7%.

It may also produce a sigh of relief in Downing Street as the weaker pace of price increases also means the prime minister’s pledge to halve the rate of inflation this year is currently being met.

Rishi Sunak said in response that work must continue to get inflation down to 2% – the Bank of England’s target rate.

“Inflation works like a tax. It eats into the pound in your pocket, affecting the price of your food shop, your mortgage, the size of your pension pot.

“This is why halving inflation has been my number one priority. Getting it down has involved hard decisions and fiscal discipline.”

At the Bank, which paused its cycle of interest rate hikes to tackle inflation in September, there will also be some satisfaction that the ONS data showed no cause for additional alarm.

So-called core inflation, which strips out volatile elements such as food and energy costs, eased back to 5.7% from 6.1%.

However, policymakers will now want to see wage increases slow towards the inflation number over fears a spike in demand in the economy could stoke price growth.

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Employment figures ‘still pretty healthy’

Financial markets show traders believe there is a good chance the Bank could reveal an interest rate cut by May next year, barring any further price shocks.

Rising borrowing costs added a new element to the cost of living challenge as new mortgage and rent bills are up substantially over the past year.

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Charities have warned that millions of households face another tough winter ahead.

Paul Carberry, chief executive at Action for Children, said: “It may be mission accomplished for government but the cost of living crisis is getting worse for many of the families we see every day.

“For them prices continue to rise, the choice of what to go without becomes more brutal and the emotional toll mounts up.

“With winter approaching, the continued financial pressures on low-income parents will only get worse, meaning yet more children going cold and hungry.

“The chancellor must use [next week’s} Autumn Statement to protect families with children from these intense and ongoing pressures on household finances.

“At the very least, he must raise benefits by inflation in the usual way and reform Cost of Living Payments to account for family size.”

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British taxpayers’ £10.2bn loss on bailout of RBS

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British taxpayers' £10.2bn loss on bailout of RBS

British taxpayers are set to swallow a loss of just over £10bn on the 2008 rescue of Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) as the government prepares to confirm that it has offloaded its last-remaining shares in the lender as soon as next week.

Sky News can reveal the ultimate cost to the UK of saving RBS – now NatWest Group – from insolvency is expected to come in at about £10.2bn once the proceeds of share sales, dividends and fees associated with the stake are aggregated.

The final bill will draw a line under one of the most notorious bank bailouts ever orchestrated, and comes nearly 17 years after the then chancellor, Lord Darling, conducted what RBS’s boss at the time, Fred Goodwin, labelled “a drive-by shooting”.

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Insiders believe a statement confirming the final shares have been sold could come in the latter part of next week, although there is a chance that timetable could be extended by a number of days.

The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is likely to make a statement about the milestone, although insiders say the Treasury and the bank are keen to simply mark the occasion by thanking British taxpayers for their protracted support.

A stock exchange filing disclosing that taxpayers’ stake had fallen below 1% was made last week, down from over 80% in the years after the £45.5bn bailout.

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The stake now stands at 0.26%, meaning the final shares could be offloaded as early as the middle of next week, depending upon demand.

Total proceeds from a government trading plan launched in 2021 to drip-feed NatWest stock into the market have so far reached £12.8bn.

Based on the bank’s current share price, the remaining shares should fetch in the region of £400m, taking the figure to £13.2bn.

In addition, institutional share sales and direct buybacks by NatWest of government-held stock have yielded a further £11.5bn.

Dividend payments to the Treasury during its ownership have totalled £4.9bn, while fees and other payments have generated another £5.6bn.

In aggregate, that means total proceeds from NatWest since 2008 are expected to hit £35.3bn.

Under Rick Haythornthwaite and Paul Thwaite, now the bank’s chairman and chief executive respectively, NatWest is now focused on driving growth across its business.

It recently tabled an £11bn bid to buy Santander UK, according to the Financial Times, although no talks are ongoing.

Mr Thwaite replaced Dame Alison Rose, who left amid the crisis sparked by the debanking scandal involving Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader.

Sky News recently revealed that the bank and Mr Farage had reached an undisclosed settlement.

During the first five years of NatWest’s period in majority state ownership, the bank was run by Sir Stephen Hester, now the chairman of easyJet.

Sir Stephen stepped down amid tensions with the then chancellor, George Osborne, about how RBS – as it then was – should be run.

Read more from Sky News:
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Lloyds Banking Group was also in partial state ownership for years, although taxpayers reaped a net gain of about £900m from that period.

Other lenders nationalised during the crisis included Bradford & Bingley, the bulk of which was sold to Santander UK, and Northern Rock, part of which was sold to Virgin Money – which in turn has been acquired by Nationwide.

NatWest declined to comment on Friday, while the Treasury has been contacted for comment.

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Energy price cap: Typical yearly energy bill to fall by £129 from July, Ofgem announces

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Inflation tumbles to two-year low of 4.6% as energy costs ease

Households on the energy price cap will see a 7% reduction in their average annual payments from 1 July, the industry regulator has announced while urging households to seek out the “better deals out there”.

The default cap – which is reviewed every three months – will see a typical household using gas and electricity and paying by Direct Debit stump up an average annual £1,720, Ofgem said.

That is down from the current April-June figure of £1,849 and reflects a reduction in wholesale gas prices.

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The lower cap, however, will be £152 higher than the same three-month period last year.

It does not affect the millions of households to have taken a time-limited fixed deal.

Nevertheless, it represents some relief for families grappling with the cost of living aftershock that saw many essential bills rise by well above the rate of inflation last month.

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Cost of living impacts families

Ofgem also confirmed further bill savings through a £19 average cut, from July, in standing charges for households paying by both direct debit and prepayment, following an operating cost and debt allowances review.

The price cap does not limit total bills because householders still pay for the amount of energy they consume.

The watchdog’s announcements were made just days after fresh forecasts suggested that bills linked to the cap could come down further from both October and January, given recent wholesale market price trends.

Industry data specialist Cornwall Insight estimated on Friday that the price cap was currently on course to rise only slightly in October – by less than £1 a month.

Wholesale gas costs last winter had been relatively stable until a cold snap hit much of Europe in January and early February, driving up demand at a time of weaker stocks.

Other risk factors ahead include extended EU gas storage rules and global conflicts, not least the continuing Russia-Ukraine war that sparked the 2022 energy price spike and cost of living crisis in the first place.

Tim Jarvis, director general of markets at Ofgem, said: “A fall in the price cap will be welcome news for consumers, and reflects a reduction in the international price of wholesale gas. However, we’re acutely aware that prices remain high, and some continue to struggle with the cost of energy.

“The first thing I want to remind people is that you don’t have to pay the price cap – there are better deals out there, so it’s important to shop around, and talk to your existing supplier about the best deal they can offer you. And changing your payment method to direct debit or smart pay as you go can save you up to £136.”

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Ofgem said that a minority of homes, 35%, were on a fixed rate deal.

Price comparison sites lined up after the price cap announcement to urge households still on the default tariff to investigate a switch.

Tom Lyon, director at Compare the Market said: “If anyone is worried about potentially higher energy bills later this year, they could consider locking in a fixed rate deal now.

“Fixed rate deals also protect you from price hikes if the oil and gas markets are volatile. Beyond your energy bills, it’s important to search and compare other household bills, such as your car insurance, credit cards, or broadband, to see if you can make savings.”

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Telegraph sale ‘agreed in principle’ after two-year ownership impasse

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Telegraph sale 'agreed in principle' after two-year ownership impasse

A £500m deal to end the two-year ownership impasse at the Daily Telegraph has been agreed “in principle”, it has been announced.

A consortium led by US firm Redbird Capital was set to take control of Telegraph Media Group (TMG), with state-backed Abu Dhabi investment vehicle IMI among the investors.

The pair’s original joint venture, known as RedBird IMI, had originally agreed to buy the Telegraph titles in 2023.

But prospects for a deal were held up by the previous Conservative government’s subsequent ban on foreign state ownership of UK newspapers.

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The row centred on the involvement of IMI’s owner Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan, who is the owner of Manchester City FC but also the vice president of the United Arab Emirates.

The ban was based on fears around editorial independence.

However, the rules were relaxed earlier this month by the current government, which said a foreign state-controlled holding of up to 15% was acceptable.

It is understood that UK-based media investors are among the proposed owners within the consortium.

Sky News reported on Monday that the Daily Mail’s owner had been in talks over involvement.

Undated handout photo issued by the Daily Mail and General Trust of their Chairman Lord Rothermere issued by PA 11/2/2016
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Daily Mail owner Lord Rothermere

The Telegraph newspaper itself reported that regulatory hurdles remained – a factor that could yet scupper completion of the deal.

Anna Jones, TMG chief executive, said: “Telegraph Media Group is an award-winning news media organisation, with exceptional journalism at its heart, supported by leading commercial expertise, a commitment to innovation and a laser focus on data to drive strategy.

“RedBird Capital Partners have exciting growth plans that build on our success – and will unlock our full potential across the breadth of our business.”

RedBird, whose other UK interests include a 10% stake in the US group behind Liverpool FC, said its growth strategy would include “capital investment in digital operations, subscriptions and journalism”.

Its statement continued: “RedBird will build on the strong financial foundations established by the current management team and will work with them to grow the brand internationally, with a focus on the United States where RedBird has a strong strategic presence across news, media and sports.

“Together, RedBird and TMG senior leadership will work to develop new content verticals in areas such as travel and events to maximise the commercial opportunities from a growing international and mass affluent subscriber base.”

Redbird founder Gerry Cardinale added: “This transaction marks the start of a new era for The Telegraph as we look to grow the brand in the UK and internationally, invest in its technology and expand its subscriber base.

“We believe that the UK is a great place to invest, and this acquisition is an important part of RedBird’s growing portfolio of media and entertainment companies in the UK.”

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