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Monday brought us the marmalade dropper reshuffle with the return of former prime minister David Cameron.

But when it comes to the fate of Rishi Sunak’s government with voters, Wednesday could well prove a much more consequential moment.

Politics Hub: Braverman launches scathing attack on PM

Because today the Supreme Court will rule on whether the government’s plan to send asylum seekers to Rwanda is lawful. Mr Sunak hung his premiership on stopping small boats and made deportation to Rwanda the centrepiece of this immigration plan.

And one person who knows the enormity of this moment is former home secretary Suella Braverman, who for the past year has been trying to work out the policy.

Her incendiary post-sacking letter to Mr Sunak on Tuesday was a pre-emptive strike against the prime minister.

For all the astonishing turns of phrase in the letter, the aim of it was simple: What she was trying to do was pin any failure of the Rwandan policy on the PM, accusing him of failing to come up with a Plan B in the event the court rules against them.

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Prime Minister Rishi Sunak speaking at a cabinet meeting today

“In the event of defeat, there’s no hope of flights this side of an election,” she said. “You have no appetite for doing what is necessary, and therefore no real intention of fulfilling your pledge to the British people.”

So even before the verdict is in the political challenge for the prime minister tonight is even more intense, and while the debate will rage about whether the Rwanda deal can really fix the small boats issues anyway, what has been put into play is the reputation of a prime minister on a flagship policy that he championed.

He needs to show lapsed or wavering 2019 Conservative voters that he is fighting tooth and nail for them on immigration, and the visual of asylum seekers being boarded on to flights and sent out of the country to Kigali is his antidote to the image of those people arriving on the south coast in small boats.

Perhaps pessimistic that the ruling will not go in the government’s favour today (the verdict is back from the court far sooner than originally suggested), Home Office minister Robert Jenrick took a pre-emptive strike on Tuesday, telling the Daily Telegraph the policy will go ahead “no ifs, not buts”, arguing that the plan to send illegal migrants to Rwanda was at the heart of the government’s promise to “stop the boats in their entirety”.

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One Whitehall figure told me that Mr Jenrick, who distanced himself from Suella Braverman on style, was aligned with her on the substance of the Rwanda policy and is prepared – as she was – to do whatever it takes to make Rwanda work.

“If the court goes against the government…, the question is: what now? How firm is the government willing to be? Will the PM be willing to do whatever it takes? That is the big unknown.”

Read more on this story:
Sunak welcomes ‘united cabinet’ after Braverman sacking
Reshuffle shows PM is done with playing it safe
Leaked WhatsApps reveal fury of Johnson-backing Tory activists

The new Home Secretary James Cleverly has publicly made it clear he doesn’t want to pull out of the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR), in contrast to his predecessor Ms Braverman.

Mr Jenrick is also thought to be supportive of leaving or derogating from the ECHR in order to get flights off the ground. The scheme was put on hold in June last year after the ECHR granted a last minute injunction, blocking the first planned flight.

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However, with the ECHR unpinning the Good Friday Agreement and devolution, this is something the prime minister has been perhaps more reluctant to pursue, instead pushing world leaders at a summit with the president of the ECHR earlier this year to win backing for UK attempts to overcome rules that blocked flights.

Government figures argued on Tuesday that if they lose the court judgment, withdrawing from the ECHR at this stage is not on the cards.

But what is on the cards is a re-opening of Tory battle lines. A ruling against the government was always going to open up these divides within the Conservative Party on quitting the ECHR, and Ms Braverman is not just making it clear she wants to lead the charge from the backbenchers but is also accusing the prime minister of letting Conservative voters down.

Already a pivotal moment for him, now the stakes are even higher.

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Home Office loses appeal to challenge block on asylum seeker’s deportation to France

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Home Office loses appeal to challenge block on asylum seeker's deportation to France

The Home Office has lost a Court of Appeal bid to challenge a High Court ruling granting an Eritrean man a temporary block on being deported to France.

The ruling will be a blow to ministers, who had been hoping to make headway with their “one in, one out” migrant returns deal with France.

Politics latest: Don’t let Trump’s America become Farage’s Britain, Ed Davey says

Under the deal, the UK can send back any migrant who crosses the Channel illegally in return for accepting the same number of migrants in France who have a valid asylum claim here.

However, only four people have been deported under the scheme so far, including one Afghan individual who was deported to France this afternoon.

The Eritrean man was granted a temporary block on his removal after he claimed he had been a victim of modern slavery.

The government has said up to 50 people a week could be deported under the scheme initially, but it believes numbers would grow and eventually act as a deterrent to those considering making the dangerous journey across the Channel.

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Last Friday saw more than 1,000 people cross the Channel to the UK in small boats the day after the first migrant was deported under the “one in, one out” deal.

The latest Home Office figures show 1,072 people made the journey in 13 boats – averaging more than 82 people per boat. It means the number of migrants arriving in the UK after crossing the English Channel has topped 30,000 for the year so far.

Migrants arrive at Dover. Pic: PA
Image:
Migrants arrive at Dover. Pic: PA

Shabana Mahmood, who was promoted to home secretary in the prime minister’s reshuffle earlier this month, has accused migrants who try to block their deportation of making a “mockery” of the UK’s modern slavery laws.

She has vowed to do “whatever it takes” to end crossings – but the Conservatives have branded the “one in, one out” deal with France “meagre” and have called for their Rwanda policy to be reinstated.

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Chris Philp, the shadow home secretary, said: “Yet again the courts have stepped in to block a deportation, proving what we warned from the start, unless you tackle the lawfare strangling Britain’s borders, nothing will change.

“This is nothing but a gimmick. Even if by some miracle it worked, it would still be no deterrent, as 94 per cent of arrivals would still stay.”

Meanwhile, Reform UK has promised to crack down on both legal and illegal migration.

Last month, party leader Nigel Farage outlined plans to deport hundreds of thousands of illegal migrants in the first parliament of a potential Reform UK government.

On Monday, he announced fresh policies to reduce legal migration, saying his party would ban access to benefits to migrants and get rid of indefinite leave to remain – the term used to describe the right to settle in the UK, with access to benefits, after five years.

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Ed Davey warns that Nigel Farage wants to turn Britain into ‘Trump’s America’

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Ed Davey warns that Nigel Farage wants to turn Britain into 'Trump's America'

Sir Ed Davey has used his keynote speech to warn that the UK has a choice between “the real change people crave”, and a Reform government turning Britain into “Trump’s America”.

The leader of the Liberal Democrats has sought to paint a picture of the country at a crossroads, and has heaped accusations on Nigel Farage – suggesting he would reverse gun laws and scrap the NHS.

Sir Ed has spent the past few days of the party’s conference in Bournemouth attacking tech titan Elon Musk and the Reform UK leader.

But now he has used his speech to try and tie the ideas of Mr Farage and President Trump together in voters’ minds.

Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davey delivering his speech during the autumn conference.
Pic: PA
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Liberal Democrat leader Sir Ed Davey delivering his speech during the autumn conference.
Pic: PA

He said: “Imagine living in the Trump-inspired country Farage wants us to become.

“Where there’s no NHS, so patients are hit with crippling insurance bills. Or denied healthcare altogether.

“Where we pay Putin for expensive fossil fuels and destroy our beautiful countryside with fracking – while climate change rages on.

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“Where gun laws are rolled back, so schools have to teach our children what to do in case of a mass shooting. Where social media barons are free to poison young minds with impunity.”

Sir Ed called Nigel Farage a "hypocrite" who should "apologise" for his record on tackling immigration.
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Sir Ed called Nigel Farage a “hypocrite” who should “apologise” for his record on tackling immigration.


Sir Ed also accused Mr Farage’s party of allowing “the government [to] trample on our basic rights and freedoms” by saying it will pull the UK out of the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR) – and of giving “tacit support” to racism and misogyny.

The Lib Dem claimed a Reform government would be “where everything is in a constant state of chaos”.

Under Mr Farage, those with mental health problems would be told they are “making it up”, and children with special educational needs that they have “been wrongly diagnosed”, Sir Ed said.

“That is Trump’s America. Don’t let it become Farage’s Britain,” he warned.

But Sir Ed has not only attacked Reform UK for what could happen if they came to power, but also for the “crisis”, which he accused Mr Farage of having already caused.

He pointed to the Reform leader’s support for leaving the EU, which led to 27 existing migrant return agreements being abolished.

Sir Ed said: “He caused this [small boats] crisis, and he should apologise.

“And look at this hypocrite’s big announcement on deportation last month.

“Look at what his plan really means. Sending men, women and children who have fled the Taliban back to Afghanistan to be murdered by them. And even paying the Taliban to do it.

“That isn’t patriotic. That isn’t British. That isn’t who we are.

“So much that is broken in our country today is broken thanks to Nigel Farage. And now he wants to break it even more. Unless we stop him.”

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Sky News political editor Beth Rigby analyses her interview with the Lib Dem leader.

In fact, Sir Ed directly mentioned Mr Farage by name in his speech 30 times, a point made by our political editor Beth Rigby, who has argued that the Reform UK leader is living ‘rent-free’ in the Lib Dem’s head.

Farage is allied with Musk, Putin and Trump, Davey claims

But Sir Ed also had tech billionaire, Elon Musk, in his sights once again.

The Lib Dem leader repeated his allegation that the X owner was “inciting far-right violence” with his speech at the “Unite the Kingdom” rally last weekend.

He called for the UK to stand up to Mr Musk, and for the government to “properly enforce our laws so he can’t get away with inflicting harm on our kids”.

'Trump's America' was a key line of attack for Sir Ed, who said a new coalition should be established to fight the president's tariffs.
Pic: Reuters
Image:
‘Trump’s America’ was a key line of attack for Sir Ed, who said a new coalition should be established to fight the president’s tariffs.
Pic: Reuters

“Nigel Farage is on the side of Elon Musk, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump,” he alleged. “Liberal Democrats are on the side of the British people.”

Sky News has approached X and Elon Musk for comment about these comments that he has made previously, but as of publication has received no response.

X maintains it has “zero tolerance for child sexual abuse material” and claims tackling those who exploit children is a “top priority”.

Read more:
UK faces ‘crisis’ of child-on-child sexual abuse

Trump is ‘the biggest threat to the fight against cancer’

Another person to face Sir Ed’s ire was President Trump, who the leader accused of becoming “the biggest threat to the fight against cancer”.

“The US is by far the world’s biggest funder of cancer research – mostly through its National Cancer Institute,” the leader said.

“But since Donald Trump returned to the White House, he has cancelled hundreds of grants for cancer research projects.

“He’s slashing billions of dollars from the National Cancer Institute’s budget.”

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Sir Ed Davey said he believed Nigel Farage was seeking to mimic the politics of US President Donald Trump.

Sir Ed appealed for scientists who have had projects cancelled or funding cut to “come here and finish it in the UK”.

He said a dedicated scheme should be established to allow them to move to work at British research institutions, without having to pay large visa fees.

He also used his speech to pledge to boost healthcare and cancer research more widely.

He told party members: “The UK should step up and say: if Trump won’t back this research, we will.

“We’ll boost funding for cancer research in the UK. We’ll rebuild a National Cancer Research Institute, after it was closed under the Conservatives, to coordinate research and drive it forward.

“We’ll pass a Cancer Survival Research Act to ensure funding for research into the deadliest cancers.”

He also announced a “cast-iron guarantee” that each patient in the UK diagnosed with cancer will start treatment within two months under the Liberal Democrats.

Sir Ed also:

  • Urged the government to create a new “coalition of the willing” to take on Trump’s tariffs
  • Said he would like to win more seats than the Conservatives at the next general election, for the first time since 1910
  • Appealed to traditional Tory voters and urged them to vote for him “to oppose this failing Labour government”

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US SEC eyes ‘innovation exemption’ to fast-track digital asset products: Atkins

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US SEC eyes ‘innovation exemption’ to fast-track digital asset products: Atkins

US SEC eyes ‘innovation exemption’ to fast-track digital asset products: Atkins

SEC Chair Paul Atkins said he will push an “innovation exemption” by year’s end to let crypto companies roll out products without outdated regulatory hurdles.

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