Electric car battery prices are starting to go back down after a temporary rise along with inflation. And it looks like they are going back down faster than expected, according to new data from Goldman Sachs.
The EV revolution was enabled by lithium battery prices dropping significantly over two decades, but the trend was broken over the last few years, with prices actually going up amid a spike in the cost of some metals and general inflation.
Now, we are going back to a price drop, and potentially a faster one.
Goldman Sachs updated its battery price forecast and noted that prices are starting to come down again:
Goldman Sachs Research now expects battery prices to fall to $99 per kilowatt hour (kWh) of storage capacity by 2025 — a 40% decrease from 2022 (the previous forecast was for a 33% decline). Our analysts estimate that almost half of the decline will come from declining prices of EV raw materials such as lithium, nickel, and cobalt. Battery pack prices are now expected to fall by an average of 11% per year from 2023 to 2030, writes Nikhil Bhandari, co-head of Goldman Sachs Research’s Asia-Pacific Natural Resources and Clean Energy Research, in the team’s report.
The firm believes that a particularly large price drop is coming in 2024:
It’s important to note that Goldman Sachs is looking at the cost at the pack level and not the cell level.
At the pack level, the prices vary greatly in the EV industry as automakers have a lot of different ways to produce battery packs.
Therefore, some automakers might already way below the current reported level of $140 per kWh and others way above.
Regardelss, a drop of the average to $100 per kWh within the next 2 years should have a massive impact on the industry has a whole.
Bhandari commented:
“The reduction in battery costs could lead to more competitive EV pricing, more extensive consumer adoption, and further growth in the total addressable markets for EVs and batteries.”
It should make the next few years very interesting in the auto industry.
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Cargo scooters are a rare breed, filling a niche that exists between typical e-bikes/e-scooters with minimal storage and larger cargo-specific models designed for utility. But that dearth of cargo scooters may be changing, based on several interesting new models we’ve seen lately, including the recently unveiled Lightfoot cargo electric scooter.
Yet unlike the few other cargo scooters rolling around out there, the Lightfoot has one major advantage: its built-in solar panels keep it charged up directly from the sun.
It’s not the first solar-powered scooter we’ve seen, but it’s definitely the most eye-catching model yet.
Developed by Otherlab, the Lightfoot electric cargo scooter features a pair of 120W solar panels on either side, hiding a large 45.2 L (12-gallon) storage compartment. One panel is hinged, opening the entire side of the vehicle for easy cargo access, then locking back in place for secure storage.
Also hidden away by those panels are the equally large UL-certified 1.1 kWh battery and the 600W on-board charger (just in case you do need to plug it into the grid for a quicker charge than you’d get from the solar panels). In fact, the company claims an 80% charge is possible in just 90 minutes from a 110V wall outlet. Based on the company’s figures, it looks like solar charging is likely to fill the battery at a rate of roughly 7-8% per hour (around 3 miles or 5 km of additional range per hour of sun exposure). That means heavy utility users will likely still rely on the wall plug from time to time, but there’s nothing wrong with outdoor parking helping to extend the range.
The company rates the scooter’s range as up to 37 miles (60 km) per charge and claims an extra 18 miles (30 km) of range can be added per day from the solar panels.
That means the scooter could actually be purely solar-charged when used for modest duty cycles, i.e. less than 18 miles (30 km) per day. As the company explained, “If you only need it for a few short errands a day, park it in your driveway and it will always be ready for you. For many riders, we’re hoping this means saying goodbye to plug-in charging altogether.”
With a 20 mph (32 km/h) top speed, the scooter is said to be “bike lane legal” without requiring any additional license or registration.
The Lightfoot is also designed to be easy to work on with minimal mechanical components. The dual motor system relies on hub motors instead of centrally mounted motors, meaning there are no chains or belts to deal with. Between those two 750W rated (1 kW peak) motors, the scooter should get up to speed pretty quickly while laying down nearly 2,000 watts of power.
The company is offering a 1-year warranty on the entire scooter, with an even longer 2-year warranty for the major components consisting of the frame, motors, controllers, brakes, lighting, and front suspension. The scooter is also covered by an “ironclad buy-back guarantee” with the company promising to buy the scooter back from any riders who are “unsatisfied with their purchase for any reason.”
Set to begin deliveries in January 2025, the Lightfoot is now available for purchase with an MSRP of US $4,995.
Electrek’s Take
Look, I’m split here. My inner mechanical engineer is drooling over this thing, while my inner MBA is wondering how you sell it to a broader market than… people like me. My two professional backgrounds have often been in conflict before, but this is peak engineer’s delight meets ultra-niche aesthetic.
Sure, I would 100% ride the hell out of this thing. I’d ride it everywhere with zero qualms about the appearance. But I’m probably not the best representative of the average scooter customer since I tend towards the tech nerd side of the spectrum. And so I hope that the Lightfoot can find wider appeal than I fear it may be limited to.
Oh, and for all of those ready to hammer out the “AcTuAlLy ThAt’S NoT tHe MoSt EfFiCiEnT WaY tO dO iT…” comments, I think that’s missing the point. The whole idea here isn’t to maximize every photon, but rather to not waste the ample sunlight that otherwise simply bakes the paint on every other scooter and moped out there (and don’t get me started on the “moped” linguistic purists). Sure, you’re probably only ever getting appreciable solar charging from one panel at a time, but why not maximize your chances of catching those rays whenever you can?
So all told, I love this thing. I just wonder how many people will love it as much as I do.
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Hyundai will finally unveil its first three-row electric SUV, the IONIQ 9, at the LA Auto Show next week. With its debut around the corner, we are getting a sneak peek at the SUV’s “lounge-like” interior.
Hyundai IONIQ 9 will debut on November 21, 2024
The 2025 Hyundai IONIQ 9 will make its first appearance at AutoMobility LA (LA Auto Show) on Thursday, November 21, 2024.
Hyundai will hold a news conference inside the LA Convention Center to unveil its new flagship three-row electric SUV. The event will be live-streamed starting at 9:10 am PT (12:10 pm ET).
Although rumors claimed that Hyundai would reveal its new SUV at the LA Auto Show, this is the first time it has officially confirmed the debut date. Previously, the company left it open, saying it would make its first appearance in November.
Ahead of its official debut, Hyundai previewed the IONIQ 9’s “lounge-like” interior. Simon Loasby, head of Hyundai’s Design Center, boasted that “IONIQ 9 offers the ultimate lounge-like environment.”
The spacious and “nature-inspired” interior features Hyundai’s latest software and connectivity tech. Based on its advanced E-GMP platform, following the IONIQ 5 and 6, the larger SUV includes a flat floor for an open space cabin.
What to expect
Hyundai has been dropping new teasers leading up to its debut. Earlier this week, we got a look at the IONIQ 9’s new LED light bar, similar to the Tesla Cybertruck.
The IONIQ 9 features Hyundai’s new “Aerosthetic” design, which blends aerodynamics with a sleek aesthetic look.
Although prices and specs have yet to be revealed, the IONIQ 9 is expected to be similar in size to the Kia EV9. Also based on the E-GMP platform, the EV9 is 197.2″ long, 77.9″ wide, 70.1″ tall, with a wheelbase of 122″. That’s about the size of its Telluride.
However, with its flat-floor design, the EV9 provides more rear legroom (42″) than a Cadillac Escalade.
Kia’s three-row EV9 starts at about $55,000, so IONIQ 9 prices are expected to start at about the same or slightly higher. More premium trims could cost upwards of $80,000.
The IONIQ 9 will be built at Hyundai’s massive new Metaplant America (HMGMA) alongside the updated 2025 IONIQ 5 model. The new 2025MY has more range, features, and an sleek new design. It even includes a Tesla NACS charging port, which the IONIQ 9 is also expected to feature.
Hyundai said all US-made EVs qualify for a $3,750 federal tax credit. However, once the battery portion of the plant opens, they are expected to be eligible for the full $7,500. Until then, Hyundai is passing the $7,500 on through leasing.
Last week, Hyundai announced that 2025 IONIQ 5 prices will start at $43,975 (including a $1,475 destination fee). The extended-range SE RWD trim, with a range of up to 318 miles, starts at $46,550.
Check back next week for all the details on the new IONIQ 9 SUV. And keep an eye out for more teasers leading up to its debut on Thursday, November 21, 2024.
Buy now, pay later firms like Klarna and Block’s Afterpay could be about to face tougher rules in the U.K.
Nikolas Kokovlis | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Klarna, which is known for its popular buy now, pay later business, announced Wednesday that it’s confidentially filed IPO documents with the SEC.
The Swedish payments company has yet to publicly file its IPO prospectus. The company said the offering would follow the SEC’s review process and is subject to market conditions.
Analysts recently valued Klarna, which was founded in 2005, in the $15 billion range. At its peak during the pandemic-led surge in fintech stocks and e-commerce, the company had a valuation of $46 billion in a funding round led by SoftBank’s Vision Fund 2.
But Klarna took an 85% haircut in its most recent primary fundraising round, in 2022, when the company raised money on a valuation of $6.7 billion.
In addition to SoftBank, Klarna’s roster of shareholders includes Sequoia Capital and London-based firm Atomico.
Klarna CEO Sebastian Siemiatkowski previously told CNBC in an interview that unfavorable rules in Europe on employee stock options could risk the company losing talent to U.S. tech giants such as Google, Apple and Meta.
Plans for an IPO have been in the works for some time. In a February interview with CNBC’s “Closing Bell,” Siemiatkowski said an IPO in 2024 was “not impossible.” Affirm, one of the company’s key competitors, went public in 2021 and is now valued at about $18 billion.
In August, Klarna said it swung to a profit in the first half of the year.
Klarna’s decision to go pursue a listing in the U.S. represents a major blow to European stock exchanges, which have been trying to encourage local tech companies to list at home.
The London Stock Exchange, for example, has made reforms to make the U.K. a more attractive market for tech companies to list, including the ability for founders to issue dual-class shares that enable entrepreneurs to maintain control over a company’s strategy and direction.
Siemiatkowski hadn’t previously committed to listing in one market over another, and London was among the markets he was considering for Klarna’s IPO.
However, in 2021 he said that the firm was more likely to list in the U.S. than the U.K., due in part to higher visibility.