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Sleuthing — Rocket Report: A mysterious explosion in China; Firefly tests new engine Firefly Aerospace has announced a major milestone for its new medium-lift rocket.

Stephen Clark – Dec 1, 2023 12:00 pm UTC Enlarge / Imagery from Europe’s Sentinel-2 satellite shows the aftermath of an explosion on a test stand at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center in China.Sentinel Hub EO Browser/CC BY 4.0 reader comments 51

Welcome to Edition 6.21 of the Rocket Report!

Someone is always watching, and it’s more difficult than ever to hide bad news. This is one of my mantras as a reporter who will always come down on the side of transparency. We’ve seen space companies and government agencies in the United States try to downplay setbacks, which, let’s face it, are inevitable in the space business. In China, it looks like a recent test-firing of a rocket motor didn’t go well. Unsurprisingly, Chinese officials haven’t said a thing.

As always, we welcome reader submissions, and if you don’t want to miss an issue, please subscribe using the box below (the form will not appear on AMP-enabled versions of the site). Each report will include information on small-, medium-, and heavy-lift rockets, as well as a quick look ahead at the next three launches on the calendar.

Something exploded at aChinesespaceport.A Chinese launch vehicle maker appears to have suffered an explosion at a test site at Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, Space News reports. Satellite images show what are likely test stand facilities and the apparent aftermath of an exhaust plume from a hot fire test on the desert surface. Charred debris can be seen scattered across the surrounding area. The images were published on the social media platform X by Harry Stranger, who uses satellite imagery to track space industry developments. The facility is likely operated by the China Aerospace Science and Industry Corp. (CASIC), a state-owned enterprise that builds the solid-fueled Kuaizhou rocket.

Sleuthing for evidence … Stranger posted about the explosion on X and used satellite images from several sources to pinpoint the time of the explosion to sometime on November 21 or 22. A similar explosion on the same test stand at Jiuquan occurred in October 2021. We can presume the explosion was likely related to a ground test of solid-fueled motors for the Kuaizhou 1A or Kuaizhou 11 rocket, which can haul payloads of several hundred kilograms to a metric ton into low-Earth orbit. The Kuaizhou rocket family is one of several small Chinese rockets in this lift class. Chinese officials haven’t acknowledged the explosion. It goes to show that you can’t hide an incident of this size.(submitted by Ken the Bin andmartialartstechie)

The world’s spaceports are busier than ever.Led by SpaceX and China, the world’s launch providers have put more rockets and payloads into orbit so far in 2023 than in any prior year, continuing an upward trend in launch activity over the last five years, Ars reports. The flight of a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket from Cape Canaveral, Florida, on November 22 was the 180th launch of 2023 to put its payload into orbit, eclipsing the mark of 179 successful orbital launches from last year.Global launch activity stagnated after the end of the Cold War, when Russia, and to a lesser extent the United States, cut back on their military space programs. For nearly 30 years, the record number of orbital launches in a calendar year stood at 129, a tally from 1984. In 2005, only 52 rockets made their way into orbit.

No turning back? … SpaceX has launched 89 times so far this year, with 87 successful flights to reach orbit. Chinese rockets are 53-for-54. At this rate, SpaceX is on track for around 100 launches this year, with about 200 orbital missions worldwide. You can bet on more than 200 launches in 2024 if SpaceX achieves its goal of flying 12 times per month, which would give the company 144 launches during the course of the year. China’s launch tally next year will likely be similar to this year’s number.

New money for rocket propulsionstartup Ursa Major.At a time when economic conditions are making it harder for startups to raise money, Ursa Major’s announcement this week of $138 million in fundraising got our attention. Ars discussed the plans for this Colorado-based company in last week’s Rocket Report, when Ursa Major’s CEO said the startup sees an opportunity to use 3D printing to disrupt the industry that produces solid rocket motors for military and spaceflight applications. Since then, Ursa Major revealed Series D and D-1 fundraising rounds that brought in $138 million from venture capital firms and institutional investors. Advertisement

Funding Lynx … Ursa Major says this new funding will go toward the company’s Lynx solid rocket motor program, which will use advanced manufacturing techniques to produce rocket motors ranging in size from 2 inches to 22.5 inches in diameter. Rocket motors of this size can be used in a variety of military missiles, such as air defense units and Stingers, that currently face bottlenecks in production and struggle to meet demand from the US military and allies. Ursa Major is also working on the 50,000-pound-thrust Ripley engine for sale to developers of small commercial launch vehicles, and Draper, a storable liquid engine designed to defend against hypersonic weapons. (submitted by Ken the Bin) The Rocket Report: An Ars newsletter The easiest way to keep up with Eric Berger’s space reporting is to sign up for his newsletter, we’ll collect his stories in your inbox. Sign Me Up!

Firefly’s fourth launch scheduled for December.Firefly Aerospace is preparing to launch its fourth Alpha rocket in December from Vandenberg Space Force Base in California. This mission, which Firefly calls FLTA004, or “Ride the Lightning,” will carry into orbit a small technology demonstration satellite for Lockheed Martin. The payload, named Tantrum and funded by Lockheed Martin, will test a new wideband Electronically Steerable Antenna design to demonstrate “faster on-orbit sensor calibration to deliver rapid capabilities” for the US military.

Another responsive launch … Firefly and Lockheed Martin announced the launch contract for the Tantrum mission in June, about six months before the scheduled launch. Firefly’s previous Alpha launch in September was part of a US Space Force responsive launch demonstration, in which the company proved it could integrate a small satellite payload with its Alpha rocket and launch it within 27 hours of receiving launch orders. Firefly says a secondary objective for the next Alpha launch will be to reduce the “total working hours” required from payload arrival at the launch site until launch readiness. “During the final launch operations, the mission team will encapsulate and mate the payload to Fireflys Alpha rocket using a similar responsive timeline,” Firefly said. This matches what Firefly’s CEO, Bill Weber, said following the launch in September. At that time, Weber said Firefly would make its responsive launch capability a standard offering for future missions. (submitted by Ken the Bin)

Astra stays alive with $2.7 million in fundraising. Amid its struggle to stay afloat facing dwindling cash reserves and an unfriendly public market, Astra secured an additional $2.7 million from investors, Payload reports. The company will still need to secure long-term financing. This is the latest saga for Astra, which has seen its fundraising spigot dry up after its first orbital-class launcher, Rocket 3, failed to become a viable vehicle. Astra has pivoted to focus on producing small electric engines for satellites and announced mass layoffs earlier this year in a bid to right the ship. Most recently, the company’s cofounders, Chris Kemp and Adam London, offered to take the company private. Asra went public
during the SPAC boom of 2021, when the company boasted a valuation of more than $2 billion.

Separating the wheat from the chaff… Astra is fighting to avoid going the way of Virgin Orbit, which went bankrupt in May. Work on Astra’s new launch vehicle, Rocket 4, has slowed to a crawl. Astra’s spacecraft engines business, which it acquired when it bought Apollo Fusion in 2021, appears to be on more solid footing with demand from satellite constellation manufacturers. More news on Astra is sure to come soon because the company just doesn’t have much financial runway in front of it. (submitted by Ken the Bin)

Ariane 6 finally has a launch schedule. One of the most common questions for European Space Agency officials this year has been “when will Europe’s new Ariane 6 rocket launch for the first time?” It’s running four years late, and its long-term future is up in the air after ESA recently announced the agency will open some of its launches to other rockets developed by European startups. Josef Aschbacher, ESA’s director general, was unwavering in his refusal to be more specific than “2024” each time a reporter asked about the Ariane 6 launch schedule. Now, with a recent Ariane 6 hot fire test successfully complete, ESA announced Thursday that the first Ariane 6 rocket is on track for launch between June 15 and July 31 of next year.

A seven-minute engine test cleared the way … The seven-minute test-firing on November 23 of an Ariane 6 rocket on its launch pad in French Guiana was the most significant test remaining on the rocket’s road to liftoff, Ars reports. The test lasted 426 seconds while a full-size test model of the Ariane 6 rocket remained on its launch pad. For the rocket to actually take off, it would need to light its four strap-on solid-fueled boosters. That was not part of the plan for last week’s test. The hot fire test lasted about a minute less than its planned duration, which officials from ESA and ArianeGroup blamed on a bad sensor and not a problem with the rocket or its main engine. Advertisement

Firefly’s Miranda engine ignites for the first time.For the first time, Firefly Aerospace has hot-fired the new Miranda engine it is developing to power two new medium-lift rockets being co-developed with Northrop Grumman. The Miranda engine burns kerosene and liquid oxygen but is significantly more powerful than the Reaver engine that Firefly uses on its smaller Alpha rocket. “The turbopump-fed engine test further validates the design of Mirandas startup sequence, transient conditions, and tap-off engine architecture at a larger scale,” Firefly said in a statement. Working at Firefly’s test site in Central Texas, engineers will build up to a full-duration, 206-second Miranda hot fire test to fully qualify the Miranda engine for flight.

The power source for two new rockets… Seven of these 230,000-pound-thrust engines will power the first stage of the Antares 330 rocket Firefly and Northrop Grumman are developing to replace the Antares 230, which launched for the final time in August. The Antares rocket family has exclusively been used to launch Northrop Grumman’s Cygnus cargo ships on resupply flights to the International Space Station. The Antares 230 used Russian engines on its first stage, and Northrop Grumman no longer has access to these engines after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The next three Cygnus cargo ships will launch on SpaceX Falcon 9 rockets, and the Antares 330 is due to resume launching Cygnus missions in 2025. After the Antares 330, Northrop Grumman and Firefly are partnering on a Medium Launch Vehicle (MLV) to compete for a broader range of launch contracts with NASA, the US military, and commercial customers. Seven Miranda engines will also power the first stage of the MLV, along with a vacuum variant of Miranda on the second stage. (submitted by Ken the Bin)

A Chinesecompany isdeveloping a stainless steel rocket. Chinese launch startup LandSpace has unveiled plans to develop a reusable stainless steel rocket, Space News reports.The Zhuque-3 (Vermillion Bird 3) rocket will use stainless propellant tanks and clusters of Tianque methane-liquid oxygen propellant rocket engines, according to a presentation by LandSpace’s CEO last week.The two-stage launcher will have a payload capacity of 20 metric tons to low-Earth orbit (LEO) when expendable. Recovery of the first stage downrange will allow 16.5 tons to LEO, while a landing back at the launch site will offer a capacity of 11 tons to LEO. A render of the rocket shows grid fins and deployable landing legs on the first stage.

Following the lead … Talk of a reusable stainless steel rocket with methane-fueled engines immediately makes one think of SpaceX’s Starship. LandSpace seems to be a leader among the crop of Chinese commercial startups that are developing rockets outside the bounds of the country’s traditional roster of state-owned enterprises. In July, LandSpace launched its expendable Zhuque 2 rocket, which became the first methane-fueled launcher to successfully achieve orbit, beating a bevy of US rockets to the milestone. Methane is favored for reusable rockets because it leaves less residue inside engines than kerosene fuel. Another Chinese launch company, Space Pioneer, is developing a Falcon 9-class medium to heavy lift kerosene-fueled rocket that could fly next year. LandSpace has not discloseda tentative test launch date and the dimensions of its planned Zhuque 3 rocket, suggesting the plan is at a very early stage, according to Space News.(submitted by Ken the Bin and EllPeaTea)

China is making progress on a Raptor-like engine. China is progressing with a program to develop full-flow staged-combustion-cycle methane engines to power its reusable Long March 9 super heavy-lift launcher, Space News reports. These engines are similar in design to SpaceX’s Raptor, which powers the Super Heavy booster and Starship rocket. The Long March 9 itself appears similar in design and capability to Starship, and China says it will eventually have reusable boosters and upper stages. There are 33 Raptors on SpaceX’s Super Heavy, and the Long March 9, planned for a debut in 2033, will have 26 of China’s new methalox engines.

Design and test… The most recent update on the development of China’s new methalox engine comes from a paper published by authors from the Xian Aerospace Propulsion Institute, a liquid propulsion design unit of the China Aerospace Science and Technology Corp., China’s largest government-owned aerospace contractor. The authors said China’s foundations for developing a full-flow staged-combustion-cycle methalox engine are relatively weak, but this is a focus area for China’s space program. Chinese rocket designers unveiled the new architecture for the Long March 9 in 2022 and 2023, after previously planning an expendable super heavy lift rocket based on kerosene/liquid oxygen engines.(submitted by Ken the Bin and Tfargo04)

Starship V2 in the works. With just two Starship integrated test flights under its belt, SpaceX announced last week that it is already working on a major overhaul of its second-stage Starship vehicle, Payload reports. The design changes will be significant enough to speciate the ship, giving it the title of Version 2.SpaceX plans to finish and launch four or five additional Starship V1 prototypes before transitioning to its V2 product line, Elon Musk said on X. Insights gained from the upcoming flights will be integrated into the next-gen rocket.

What will be on V2?Musk didn’t detail whatwould be incorporated on Starship V2, but we can expect it will fly with upgraded versions of SpaceX’s Raptor engines, called Raptor 3. It may also include nine Raptor engines rather than the six flying on the current iteration of Starship. Musk has previously discussed the possibility of enlarging the propellant tanks on future Starships, increasing the rocket’s payload lift capability. These stretched tanks would allow more methane and liquid oxygen to fit onto the rocket. (submitted by Ken the Bin) Next three lanches

December 1: Soyuz 2.1a | Progress MS-25 | Baikonur Cosmodrome, Kazakhstan | 09:25 UTC

December 1: Falcon 9 | 425 Project & Rideshares | Vandenberg Space Force Base, California | 18:18 UTC

December 2:Falcon 9 | Starlink 6-31 | Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, Florida | 04:01 UTC reader comments 51 Stephen Clark Stephen Clark is a space reporter at Ars Technica, covering private space companies and the worlds space agencies. Stephen writes about the nexus of technology, science, policy, and business on and off the planet. Advertisement Channel Ars Technica ← Previous story Next story → Related Stories Today on Ars

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Farage and Tice right to scrutinise one of Bank of England’s most radical monetary experiments in history

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Farage and Tice right to scrutinise one of Bank of England's most radical monetary experiments in history

There was some speculation, when it emerged that Nigel Farage was heading to Threadneedle Street to see the Bank of England governor, that he was about to “do a Trump”.

You might recall, if you follow American politics, how the US president has been, for want of a better word, trolling the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, threatening to fire him if he didn’t cut interest rates. Might Mr Farage and Reform be about to do the same thing in the UK, raising deep (and, for economists, scary) questions about the independence of the central bank?

The short answer, as far as anyone can tell following today’s meeting, is: no. Instead, Mr Farage and his fellow Reform MP Richard Tice enjoyed a relatively cordial meeting with the governor, where they discussed the intricacies of quantitative easing, the Bank’s reserves policies and even cryptocurrency – a slightly unexpected addition to the agenda which might reflect the fact that Reform is hoping to raise lots of campaign funds from crypto dudes.

Money latest: HMRC can now take money direct from your account if you don’t pay

The main Bank-related issue Reform has been campaigning on – Mr Tice in particular – comes back to something seemingly arcane but certainly important. As you may be aware, in recent years, the Bank of England has, alongside its interest rate policy, been engaged in something called quantitative easing (QE). QE is complex, but it boils down to this: in an effort to boost the economy, the Bank bought up a lot of government bonds and they now sit awkwardly in its balance sheet. In recent months, the Bank has begun to reverse QE (quantitative tightening) – selling off billions of pounds of bonds.

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Bank of England’s £134bn gamble

Anyway, reach deeper into the arcane mechanism of how QE works and something interesting leaps out. Two things, actually. First, as part of QE, in order to get hold of those government bonds, the Bank created “reserves” – sort of bank-account-at-the-Bank-of-England – for the high street banks from whom it bought them.

Tens of billions to high street banks

More on Andrew Bailey

Those reserves earn interest at the Bank’s official interest rate. At the time of QE, the rate was near zero, so no one spent much time thinking about reserves. But since then, rates went up to 5.25%, and are now at 4%, and hence the Bank has recently been paying out a hefty amount – tens of billions of pounds – in interest to high street banks.

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage (left) and deputy leader Richard Tice speaking to the media outside the Bank Of England in central London. Pic: PA
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Reform UK leader Nigel Farage (left) and deputy leader Richard Tice speaking to the media outside the Bank Of England in central London. Pic: PA

This, says Richard Tice, is an abomination. In the last Reform manifesto, he said the Bank should stop paying out those reserves. Which, on the face of it, sounds perfectly sensible. However, there are a few catches.

A big bank tax

The first is that while in theory it might help recoup billions of pounds of public money, that money has to come from somewhere, and in this case, it would come from high street banks. In other words, this is, in all but name, a very big bank tax. The Bank of England’s point, when asked about all this, is that if anyone is going to do something like that, it should really be the government, since it’s rightly in charge of taxing and spending.

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The other catch is that Bank of England reserves systems are desperately complex. Changing the way they’re structured is a delicate operation. Running a coach and horses through it, as Mr Tice is suggesting, could have all sorts of unintended consequences, including undermining confidence in UK economic policy.

This, by the way, is not the only thing Reform is unhappy about: they also think the Bank should slow down its quantitative tightening programme.

But the point of all the above is that while there are some big question marks about the particular idea Reform is proposing, the worst thing of all would be not to discuss this as publicly as possible.

The worst outcome of all would be for the government and Bank to take certain decisions which affect billions of pounds of public money with only the merest of scrutiny, save at the Treasury Select Committee, whose sessions rarely get much attention beyond the financial pages. And that is more or less the situation we’ve had for the past decade and a half.

The Bank of England has introduced one of the most radical monetary experiments in history, which may or may not have been a success or a failure, but few outside of the City are even aware of it. Mr Tice’s policy platform may be flawed, but his overarching point – that this stuff desperately needs more scrutiny – is quite right.

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Trump administration will push back if FIFA ban Israel from international football as UEFA close to suspension decision

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Trump administration will push back if FIFA ban Israel from international football as UEFA close to suspension decision

The Trump administration will work to prevent FIFA banning Israel from international football ahead of the 2026 World Cup, Sky News can reveal.

It comes as we have also learnt that European governing body UEFA is heading towards its own decision to suspend Israeli teams over the war in Gaza – with many FAs and members of the executive committee understood to favour that.

Israel’s next match is against Norway on 11 October in a men’s World Cup qualifier.

Football’s world and European governing bodies were urged this week by United Nations (UN) advisory experts to impose sporting sanctions.

FIFA has not responded to the UN special rapporteurs as Israel’s men continue trying to qualify for next year’s World Cup, which is largely being played in the United States.

And the US government, through Marco Rubio’s state department, has made a direct intervention to stop sporting sanctions being imposed.

A state department spokesperson told Sky News: “We will absolutely work to fully stop any effort to attempt to ban Israel’s national soccer team from the World Cup.”

More on Donald Trump

FIFA launched an investigation last year into allegations of discrimination raised by the Palestine Football Association against the Israeli FA.

There is also an investigation into whether teams from Israeli settlements in the West Bank playing in Israeli competitions breaches FIFA regulations.

Pro-Palestinian protesters in Greece ahead of the PAOK and Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League match on Wednesday. Pic: AP
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Pro-Palestinian protesters in Greece ahead of the PAOK and Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League match on Wednesday. Pic: AP

FIFA President Gianni Infantino has a close relationship with US President Donald Trump and is a regular visitor to the White House. He has been in New York this week, meeting world leaders around the UN General Assembly – while also at FIFA’s office in Trump Tower.

During a speech after collecting an Atlantic Council Global Citizen Award last night, Mr Infantino referenced the war while speaking on bringing people together in “a divided world, in an aggressive world”.

In an indirect reference to the challenge of sanctioning countries over wars, Mr Infantino said there are 80 countries where there are conflicts.

He added: “I suffer when I see children suffer. I cry when I see mothers crying, whether it’s in Gaza… anywhere in the world.”

Sky News revealed yesterday that discussions are taking place at high levels in European football about whether Israel should be banned but no decision has been taken.

Officials have been deliberating over why Russia remains banned over the war in Ukraine but Israel is clear to continue playing in European club competitions and on the international stage as the death toll mounts.

UEFA has previously publicly said there is a difference in how the wars started – with Russia launching an unprovoked invasion of Ukraine and Israel responding to the 7 October 2023 Hamas attacks.

But a UN commission of inquiry has now said Israel is committing genocide in Gaza – accusations rejected by Israel.

That led to UN advisers calling for Israeli teams to be expelled from world football.

Read more from Sky News:
Israel ‘kills 22 people including nine children’ in Gaza
What recognising a Palestinian state actually means

“Sports cannot be business as usual and something has to change and Israel has to be excluded,” Alexandra Xanthaki, the UN special rapporteur for cultural rights, told Sky News.

“I think that when we talk about teams, national teams, not individual athletes, of states that are subject to valid claims of genocide… this is where this is for sure a red line.”

Among the athletes killed during the war is the footballer known as the Palestinian Pele – Suleiman al Obeid – who the Palestine FA announced in August died in an Israeli airstrike.

The Palestine Olympic Committee this week said the Israeli sports system has been an “active participant” in war.

“Over 1,000 athletes have had their lives extinguished. Thousands more are wounded, maimed or disabled,” said POC President Jibril Rajoub, who also heads the FA.

“Our stadiums, our facilities, our dreams, all have been ground into dust.”

A suspension of Israeli teams would prevent Aston Villa having to go ahead with their match in the Europa League against Maccabi Tel Aviv in November.

FIFA did not respond to a request for comment.

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Jessica Chastain criticises decision to delay release of The Savant after Charlie Kirk killing

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Jessica Chastain criticises decision to delay release of The Savant after Charlie Kirk killing

Jessica Chastain has criticised Apple’s decision to delay the release of political thriller series The Savant after the killing of Charlie Kirk.

The actress, who is also executive producer of the show for the tech giant’s TV+ streaming service, said she was “not aligned on the decision to pause the release”.

In a post on Instagram, she said the programme, in which she plays a woman who tries to draw out potential terrorists online, is “so relevant” and she has never “shied away from difficult subjects”.

Chastain portrays a military veteran who works at the Anti-Hate Alliance, where she secretly visits 4Chan-like message boards and poses as a white nationalist to identify possible terrorists.

“‘The Savant’ is about the heroes who work every day to stop violence before it happens, and honouring their courage feels more urgent than ever,” Chastain said.

“I remain hopeful the show will reach audiences soon. Until then, I’m wishing safety and strength for everyone.”

She listed several acts of political violence in the US in recent years, including a plot to kidnap Michigan’s governor Gretchen Whitmer, the attempted assassinations of Donald Trump last year and also the killing of controversial influencer Kirk.

Read more:
The string of bloody political violence in the MAGA era

Apple said it chose to postpone the show after “careful consideration” but did not give a reason why.

Kimmel’s comeback show brings in record ratings

Meanwhile, millions of people tuned in to watch Jimmy Kimmel on Tuesday after he returned to TV after Disney suspended him for nearly a week after he made comments about Kirk.

Jimmy Kimmel hosting his late night show. Pic: AP
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Jimmy Kimmel hosting his late night show. Pic: AP

ABC said 6.26 million people watched Kimmel as he said it was “never my intention to make light of” Kirk’s death. It was the late-night show’s highest-rated regularly scheduled episode.

Read more:
Explained: Why Jimmy Kimmel was taken off air

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Kimmel returns – and not everyone’s on same page

“I don’t think there’s anything funny about it,” he said as he choked up.

“Nor was it my intention to blame any specific group for the actions of what was obviously a deeply disturbed individual. That was really the opposite of the point I was trying to make”.

Kimmel had been accused of being “offensive and insensitive” after using his programme, Jimmy Kimmel Live, to accuse Donald Trump and his allies of capitalising on the killing.

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