There have been several theories floated about why former President Donald Trump refused to hand records back to the National Archives, choosing instead to keep sensitive government documents at his Mar-a-Lago estate in what has become Palm Beach’s most famous bathroom. But the simplest and most durable explanation is the viral “my boxes” theory, which I initially hatched on Twitter: Trump likes boxes of stuff, and he wants to keep them. According to the federal indictment filed against Trump, he told one of his attorneys: “I don’t want anybody looking, I don’t want anybody looking through my boxes, I really don’t, I don’t want you looking through my boxes.”
In this year’s flurry of massive artificial intelligence deals – for which a couple of billion dollars is pocket change – Nvidia ‘s announcement on Monday of a $2 billion investment to expand its long-time partnership with Synopsys might seem just incremental. Not so, asserted Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, in an interview with Jim Cramer shortly after the news broke. Jensen said, “This is a huge deal.” Here’s why: Synopsys provides software and tools that allow companies like Nvidia to design, test, and verify semiconductors. Jensen said, “Nvidia was built on a foundation of design tools from Synopsys,” among others. This deal allows Synopsys, which earlier this year completed its purchase of engineering simulation software maker Ansys, to leverage Nvidia’s AI platform to deliver computer-modeled design and engineering solutions across many industries. Nvidia’s powerful chips, called graphics processing units (GPUs), are the gold standard in AI. With Monday’s deal , Nvidia will be positioned to bring GPU-powered accelerated computing to the world’s industrial sector, which represents an addressable market measured in the tens of trillions of dollars. What makes that possible is that the AI we are talking about here obeys the laws of physics, meaning that it can be relied upon to show how things will really run in the real world. Synopsys CEO Sassine Ghazi, standing alongside Jensen, said that what we’re talking about here, in a practical sense, is taking a workload that may have taken two to three weeks and compressing that to a matter of hours. Even with the work of Synopsys and other electronic design automation (EDA) providers, Jensen said Nvidia still spends “billions of dollars in prototyping” products in the physical world. “In the future, we’re going to prototype all of these products digitally so that we don’t waste any money when we build it physically,” he explained. “We could do basically the entire engineering work inside a computer in a digital twin before we have to build it at all. So, the type of products we can invent and the quality that we could do, and the speed that we could do it at is going to be extraordinary.” Jensen said that industrial companies that make things, be it Nvidia, or GM , or Boeing , spend hundreds of millions, even low billions of dollars on engineering software tools. He noted, however, that the money spent on prototyping can be 10 times to 20 times that figure. The ability to prototype digitally, therefore, represents a massive opportunity for industrial companies to reduce costs. Jensen told Jim, “This is really the culmination of everything I showed you when you visited Nvidia years ago. It’s taken this long for us to create the software stack necessary for Synopsys and the rest of the EDA [electronic design automation] industry, in order for them to accelerate the software that they’ve historically only run on CPUs [central processing units].” He added, “All of a sudden, the market opportunity increases by a factor of 10 to 100.” Jim Cramer, who started recommending Nvidia stock in 2009, first interviewed Jensen a year later. The “Mad Money” host even renamed his dog “Nvidia” in 2017 to demonstrate his belief in the company. While first bought in Jim’s Charitable Trust in August 2017 and exited in October 2018, Nvidia stock has been a constant since we re-initiated it in March 2019. More recently, Jim hosted Jensen at the Investing Club’s October Monthly Meeting, where the CEO got to meet many early Nvidia investors who made lots of money on the stock. The Trust is the portfolio the Club uses. In Monday’s interview, Jim also pressed Jensen on recent concerns about whether the launch of Gemini 3, powered by Google’s custom chips, would encroach on Nvidia’s GPU business. Google’s own semiconductors, called tensor processing units, were co-designed by Broadcom . Jensen, who complimented Google on their chips, said, “What Nvidia does is much more versatile,” dismissing the concerns and bringing the conversation back to the potential of the Synopsys investment. “You’re now seeing a real, tangible example of an opportunity that we could do with our platform that nobody else can.” AI goes far beyond the chatbots and consumer-facing solutions that have garnered most of our attention – and contributed to the pressure on shares of Nvidia since the Gemini 3 launch. Jensen said that Monday’s announcement is about revolutionizing the industrial software industry, where the stakes are much higher. On the consumer side, an answer to a query that is 90% correct, or recommends an item, movie, or new music with 90% accuracy, is a pretty good start – but on the industrial side, “that 10% you don’t get right, becomes mission critical,” the CEO added. That’s also why the pace of advancement has been so much faster in consumer AI. However, as exciting as the consumer-oriented developments have been, it’s the industrial side that likely proves to be the real opportunity. While capital expenditures by the biggest tech companies in the world to support consumer AI has, thus far, been the real driver of AI investment and infrastructure spending, the industry is now getting to the point where we should see spending ramp up elsewhere, be it from automakers like Ford and GM, or even ship builders in Korea. Not only does that speak to more spending in the years to come, but also a diversification of the spending base, which should materially help to de-risk the customer base for companies like Nvidia that have in recent years seen so much of their demand come from a select few customers. Ultimately, the move marks a significant milestone for Nvidia and the AI trade more broadly as it lays the groundwork for a material expansion in industrial AI. As we see it, the deal is a strong move for both companies. Synopsys gets to better serve its customers, while Nvidia expands its own ecosystem and helps to lay the groundwork for even more GPU-based accelerated computing infrastructure. On a conference call hosted by both companies to discuss the deal, Jensen said, “Of all the AI opportunities – industrial AI, physical AI – is the largest of all. And the reason for that is very clear. The world’s industries represent the vast majority of $100 trillion industry today. That industry, whether you’re designing cars or trains or planes or designing computers, all of that largely is based on general purpose computing. … But in order for us to go even further, in order for us to do even more, expanding the reach of design and engineering so that we could do almost everything in the world inside a digital environment, long before we create the physical manifestation, that journey, we’ve been preparing for several years now, and today our announcement really kicks it into turbocharge.” Jensen wrapped up by noting that Synopsys is the company that has allowed Nvidia to design its own chips, since its founding, and that the deal announced Monday is going to “enable everyone to design everything that’s physically manifested in the future.” (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long NVDA, AVGO, BA. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Sir Keir Starmer has warned China poses “real national security threats to the United Kingdom”.
But the prime minister also described China as a “nation of immense scale, ambition and ingenuity” and a “defining force in technology, trade and global governance”.
“The UK needs a China policy that recognises this reality,” he added in a speech at the Guildhall in London.
“Instead, for years we have blown hot and cold.
“So our response will not be driven by fear, nor softened by illusion. It will be grounded in strength, clarity and sober realism.”
Image: Prime Minister Keir Starmer giving his speech. Pic: Reuters
Describing the absence of engagement with China – the world’s second-biggest economy – as “staggering” and “a dereliction of duty”, Sir Keir said: “This is not a question of balancing economic and security considerations. We don’t trade off security in one area, for a bit more economic access somewhere else.
“Protecting our security is non-negotiable – our first duty. But by taking tough steps to keep us secure, we enable ourselves to cooperate in other areas.”
Sir Keir’s remarks come after MPs and parliamentarians were warned last month of new attempts to spy on them by China.
That case led to controversy over how the government under Labour responded to the Crown Prosecution Service’s requests for evidence.
Image: Speech at the annual Lady Mayor’s Banquet. Pic: Reuters
At the time, Sir Keir sought to blame the previous Conservative government for the issues, which centred on whether China could be designated an “enemy” under First World War-era legislation.
Meanwhile, Sky News understands the prime minister is set to approve plans for a controversial Chinese “super embassy” in central London.
A final decision on the planning application for the former Royal Mint site near the Tower of London is due on 10 December, after numerous previous delays.
Sir Keir is also understood to be preparing for a likely visit to China in the new year.
Since he was elected last year, Sir Keir has been active on the world stage, trumpeting deals with the US, India and the EU and leading the “coalition of the willing” in support of Ukraine.
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PM preparing for likely China visit
But he has also faced criticism from his opponents, who accuse him of spending too much time out of the UK attending international summits rather than focusing on domestic issues.
Sir Keir offered a defence of his approach, describing it as “the biggest shift in British foreign policy since Brexit” and “a decisive move to face outward again”.
While saying he would “always respect” the Brexit vote as a “fair, democratic expression”, he said the way the UK’s departure from the EU had been “sold and delivered” was “simply wrong”.
He said: “Wild promises were made to the British people and not fulfilled. We are still dealing with the consequences today.”
In his speech on Monday, the prime minister accused opposition politicians of offering a “corrosive, inward-looking attitude” on international affairs.
Image: Sir Keir Starmer. Pic: Reuters
Taking aim at those who advocate leaving the European Convention on Human Rights or NATO, he said they offered “grievance rather than hope” and “a declinist vision of a lesser Britain”.
Sir Keir said: “Moreover, it is a fatal misreading of the moment, ducking the fundamental challenge posed by a chaotic world – a world which is more dangerous and unstable than at any point for a generation, where international events reach directly into our lives, whether we like it or not.”
He added: “In these times, we deliver for Britain by looking outward with renewed purpose and pride, not by shrinking back. In these times, internationalism is patriotism.”
Responding to the prime minister’s speech, shadow foreign secretary Dame Priti Patel said: “From China’s continued flouting of economic rules to transnational repression of Hong Kongers in Britain, Starmer’s ‘reset’ with Beijing is a naive one-way street, which puts Britain at risk while Beijing gets everything it wants.
“Starmer continues to kowtow to China and is captivated by half-baked promises of trade.
“Coming just days after the latest Chinese plot to interfere in our democracy was exposed, his love letter to the Chinese Communist Party is a desperate ploy to generate economic growth following his budget of lies and is completely ill-judged.
“While China poses a clear threat to Britain, China continues to back Iran and Russia, and plots to undermine our institutions. Keir Starmer has become Beijing’s useful idiot in Britain.”
The chairman of the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has resigned after an investigation into the leak of last week’s budget criticised the watchdog’s leadership.
The OBR’s official forecast, which revealed the contents of the record-breaking tax rise budget, was accessed at 11.35am last Wednesday, about an hour before the chancellor stood up to deliver it.
Image: Rachel Reeves said she only found out about the leak when she was in the House of Commons
In a letter to Ms Reeves and the chairwoman of the Commons Treasury Committee Dame Meg Hillier, Mr Hughes said he was quitting to allow the OBR to “quickly move on from this regrettable incident”.
He said he took “full responsibility” for “the shortcomings identified in the report”.
Mr Hughes said: “By implementing the recommendations in this report, I am certain the OBR can quickly regain and restore the confidence and esteem that it has earned through 15 years of rigorous, independent economic analysis.”
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An investigation ordered by the independent fiscal forecaster soon after the budget called the leak “the worst failure in the 15-year history of the OBR” and strongly criticised the watchdog’s processes for protecting sensitive information.
The probe found there was “nothing to suggest” the premature access was the result of “hostile cyber activity by foreign actors or cyber criminals, or of connivance by anyone working for the OBR”.
“Nor was it simply a matter of pressing the publication button on a locally managed website too early,” the report stated.
It concluded that “configuration errors” led to “a failure to ensure the protections which hide documents from public view immediately before publication were in place”.
“The ultimate responsibility for the circumstances in which this vulnerability occurred and was then exposed rests, over the years, with the leadership of the OBR,” the investigation said.
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Did Rachel Reeves mislead the nation with her budget?
Kemi Badenoch claimed that Ms Reeves was trying to use Mr Hughes as a “human shield”.
The Conservative leader said on social media: “More serious questions for the chancellor as she tries to make Richard Hughes her human shield.
“Her actions have turned this into a full blown political crisis for the government. If [Prime Minister] Keir Starmer had a backbone, he would have sacked Reeves long ago.”
Mr Hughes had been under pressure to explain the leak, which he immediately apologised for, and ordered the investigation.
It is also led by Professor David Miles and Tom Josephs, with Baroness Sarah Hogg and Dame Susan Rice as non-executive members.
There are 52 permanent staff, who are civil servants, with six of those working on the strategy, operations and communications team.
The report acknowledged the leak “changed the pattern of budget day to the chancellor’s disadvantage”.
5.10am: OBR website host emailed staff to confirm server modification to accommodate higher website traffic when the forecast is released
5.16am: A request was made to access the forecast document’s web address, but the PDF had not been uploaded yet. Between this time and 11.30am there were 44 unsuccessful requests to the URL from seven unique IP addresses
9am onwards: The web developer set up webpages in draft form in the content management system, creating IDS for all the downloads to be used across the website
11.02am: PDF documents were emailed to the web developer, including the forecast
11.03am-11.35am: The web developer began uploading documents to the draft area of the OBR website – which was understood by all involved not to be publicly accessible
11.35am: The first successful request to the document’s URL was made. This IP address had made 32 unsuccessful attempts at that URL that morning. There were 43 successful requests between this time and 12.07pm, from 32 unique IP addresses
11.41am: A Reuters news alert is the first evidence of the forecast being available publicly
11.43am: The OBR was first made aware by a non-Reuters journalist that Reuters was flashing forecast details. OBR staff, not knowing the URL was accessible even if known or guessed, found no evidence via webpages going live accidentally
11.50am onwards: Images and facts from the forecast began appearing widely online from many people
11.52am: Senior OBR and Treasury officials had a phone call to discuss the breach. Treasury staff made OBR staff aware of the URL
11.53am: OBR staff and the web developer tried to pull the PDF from the website, and to pull the entire website, but struggled to initially due to the website being overloaded with traffic
11.58am: A Reuters journalist emailed the OBR confirming they had published details and asked for a comment
12.07pm: The forecast PDF was renamed by the web developer, but it still appeared on the internet archive via search engines
12.08pm: The PDF was removed from the website’s content management system, taking it offline. The OBR chair and staff drafted a statement setting out what had happened and confirming its website was the source of the error
12.15pm: the statement was posted on the OBR’s website and on X
12.34pm: Chancellor’s budget statement began
1.38pm: The chancellor’s statement ended and the forecast and supporting documents were pushed live
It revealed the OBR’s spring statement 2025 was also accessed ahead of time, but said the likely explanation “is benign”.
And it said last week’s budget forecast document had multiple attempts to access it before it was inadvertently made accessible online.
The investigation partly blamed the Treasury and the Cabinet Office, as the OBR’s IT services were moved on to the Treasury’s shared systems in 2023 to “align more closely with Treasury security arrangements”, particularly around the sharing of sensitive budget information between the OBR and Treasury.
It said the Treasury should pay “greater attention” when setting the OBR’s budget, currently £6.4m, to the need for adequate support.
The investigation said there was pressure on the small team involved to ensure the full economic and fiscal outlook was published when the chancellor sat down after giving her budget, so a pre-publication “facility” was used.
But this commonly used device created a “potential vulnerability if not configured properly” and had not received the same amount of attention by the OBR as it had placed on security of communications with the Treasury “during the long period of run-up to the budget”.
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Starmer says he did not mislead the public
An outside web developer, who has helped the OBR team since it came into existence 15 years ago, assists the internal team and manages content and uploads at times of pressure, including the release of the budget forecast.
The report said the risks of this approach have increased over the years as technologies have developed and online threats have risen.
“With hindsight, it is clear that over the years this arrangement should have been regularly reexamined and assessed by the management of the OBR,” the report said.
It recommended the process for publishing forecasts should “immediately” be removed from the OBR’s locally managed website, which is a WordPress website, and published as part of a government website.