Sean Allen is a fantasy analyst for ESPN.com. He was the 2008 and 2009 Fantasy Sports Writers Association Hockey Writer of the Year. You can tweet him @seanard.
With another week in the books of the 2023-24 NHL season, it’s time for an updated set of Power Rankings. As another treat this week, we’ve brought back ESPN fantasy hockey analysts Sean Allen and Victoria Matiash, who have identified the current projected fantasy MVP of each team, and offered insights into whether that projection will hold.
The projections are determined by each player’s fantasy points per game and how many remaining games they are expected to play. For goaltenders, this includes an estimate based on their crease share to date. The projection has modifiers applied that account for recent performance as well as for strength of schedule of upcoming matchups. Note that Sean handled the Eastern teams, while Victoria tackled the West.
How we rank: A panel of ESPN hockey commentators, analysts, reporters and editors each send in a 1-32 poll based on the games through Wednesday, which generates our master list here.
Note: Previous ranking for each team refers to the previous edition, published Dec. 1. Points percentages are through the games of Dec. 7. It’s not too late to sign up for ESPN Fantasy Hockey, create your team and play for free today.
Previous ranking: 1 Points percentage: 77.08% Next seven days: @ WSH (Dec. 9), vs. LA (Dec. 10), vs. TOR (Dec. 12)
Jacob Trouba, D | Projected fantasy points: 227.19 | Projected overall rank: 13
While Trouba does admirable work with counting stats, we shouldn’t count out Artemi Panarin from taking the top Rangers spot for fantasy thanks to his shoot-first-ask-questions-later attitude this season. An Igor Shesterkin hot streak could also put him in the mix.
Previous ranking: 3 Points percentage: 72.22% Next seven days: @ DAL (Dec. 9), vs. SJ (Dec. 10), vs. CGY (Dec. 12)
Adin Hill, G | Projected fantasy points: 225.09 | Projected overall rank: 14
Hill’s current injury — while reportedly not that serious — is a bother, as is the loss of defensemen Shea Theodore and Alec Martinez. Don’t be surprised if Jack Eichel, who has found his productive stride of late, takes over as the Knights’ leading fantasy star by season’s end.
Cam Talbot, G | Projected fantasy points: 278.62 | Projected overall rank: 1
The 36-year-old hasn’t played more than 49 games since 2017-18. Wear and tear could come into play, and backup Pheonix Copley is settling in after a mediocre start. However, considering the Kings’ balanced scoring depth — a good thing altogether — Talbot is still likely to emerge as the club’s fantasy frontrunner.
Previous ranking: 2 Points percentage: 74.00% Next seven days: vs. ARI (Dec. 9), @ NJ (Dec. 13)
David Pastrnak, RW | Projected fantasy points: 257.36 | Projected overall rank: 4
This one was sealed before the season began, as Pastrnak is in a league alone on the Bruins. The race for second is intriguing though, with Charlie McAvoy and Jeremy Swayman currently projected to finish 43rd and 44th overall.
Previous ranking: 5 Points percentage: 65.38% Next seven days: vs. PHI (Dec. 9), vs. CGY (Dec. 11), vs. BUF (Dec. 13)
Cale Makar, D | Projected fantasy points: 278.08 | Projected overall rank: 2
Unless his existing lower-body injury is a bigger deal than believed — he returned Thursday night — Makar could conceivably finish top 3 in fantasy production by season’s end — even ahead of teammate Nathan MacKinnon. The Avs’ star defender is putting up Bobby Orr/Paul Coffey-like numbers.
Previous ranking: 7 Points percentage: 66.00% Next seven days: vs. VGK (Dec. 9), vs. DET (Dec. 11)
Joe Pavelski, RW | Projected fantasy points: 211.24 | Projected overall rank: 29
Until Pavelski gives us real cause to believe he’s running out of gas, there’s no reason to believe he doesn’t have plenty left. The 39-year-old reigns as Dallas’ top fantasy royalty — with Jason Robertson serving as eventual heir — particularly with goaltender Jake Oettinger stumbling of late.
Previous ranking: 6 Points percentage: 64.81% Next seven days: vs. CAR (Dec. 9), vs. TB (Dec. 12), vs. FLA (Dec. 14)
J.T. Miller, C | Projected fantasy points: 248.76 | Projected overall rank: 6
Miller’s goal pace has dropped recently, as has his power-play production. That suggests the door is open for Norris Trophy contender Quinn Hughes to overtake the red-hot forward in fantasy supremacy — if only by a smidge, and in leagues that don’t reward faceoff wins.
Previous ranking: 12 Points percentage: 64.00% Next seven days: vs. OTT (Dec. 9), @ DAL (Dec. 11), @ STL (Dec. 12), vs. CAR (Dec. 14)
Moritz Seider, D | Projected fantasy points: 213.66 | Projected overall rank: 25
Seider is a safe bet to stay as the best of the Red Wings, but Alex DeBrincat is in position to challenge — especially if the Patrick Kane bump is still as valuable as it was when the pair played together in Chicago just two seasons ago.
Previous ranking: 8 Points percentage: 64.00% Next seven days: vs. PIT (Dec. 8), @ CBJ (Dec. 10), @ SEA (Dec. 12), @ VAN (Dec. 14)
Sam Reinhart, RW | Projected fantasy points: 231.99 | Projected overall rank: 12
A surprising frontrunner for Florida, and his hot start may even be enough to insulate Reinhart’s lead when Matthew Tkachuk remembers he’s a superstar. Bonus: As linemates, Tkachuk emerging from hibernation will also help Reinhart’s totals.
Previous ranking: 11 Points percentage: 65.22% Next seven days: vs. NSH (Dec. 9), @ NYI (Dec. 11), @ NYR (Dec. 12), vs. CBJ (Dec. 14)
Auston Matthews, C | Projected fantasy points: 248.13 | Projected overall rank: 7
William Nylander is hot on his heels, projected for 235.52 fantasy points. The Leafs better hope there is no correlation between fantasy stats and average annual value on contracts if Nylander surpasses Matthews.
Previous ranking: 10 Points percentage: 64.00% Next seven days: @ ANA (Dec. 10), @ SJ (Dec. 12), @ LA (Dec. 13)
Connor Hellebuyck, G | Projected fantasy points: 215.07 | Projected overall rank: 22
Despite the recent lull, Kyle Connor is a prolific goal scorer. He’ll surpass 45 by season’s conclusion, amassing an impressive shot total in the process. Still, it’s tough for the winger to surpass Hellebuyck, even with competent backup Laurent Brossoit available to serve as an occasional substitute.
Previous ranking: 9 Points percentage: 55.77% Next seven days: @ VAN (Dec. 9), @ OTT (Dec. 12), @ DET (Dec. 14)
Sebastian Aho, C | Projected fantasy points: 173.51 | Projected overall rank: 82
With Aho as top Cane projected to be only 82nd overall, the door is still open for anyone on the roster to challenge this fantasy crown. I’m probably not alone in wishing Andrei Svechnikov would rediscover his mojo soon enough to do so.
It hasn’t been the fearsome threesome on offense for the Bolts this season, as Brayden Point and Steven Stamkos both lag well behind Kucherov’s production. If anyone can catch him, it would be Andrei Vasilevskiy finding his vintage form in goal.
Previous ranking: 15 Points percentage: 53.85% Next seven days: @ TOR (Dec. 9), @ MTL (Dec. 10), vs. PHI (Dec. 12)
Filip Forsberg, LW | Projected fantasy points: 224.96 | Projected overall rank: 15
While no other Predator will catch Forsberg in the fantasy race when he’s healthy, defenseman Roman Josi can be counted on to give it a good go. Enhanced contributions from both have played a large part in Nashville’s recent climb up the standings.
Previous ranking: 17 Points percentage: 57.69% Next seven days: @ COL (Dec. 9), @ NSH (Dec. 12), vs. WSH (Dec. 14)
Travis Sanheim, D | Projected fantasy points: 163.8 | Projected overall rank: 105
Interestingly, Nick Seeler is projected to finish less than a fantasy point behind Sanheim, so it’s arguably a toss-up at this stage. That said, one Travis Konecny hot streak could quickly re-write this pecking order.
Connor Ingram, G | Projected fantasy points: 223.63 | Projected overall rank: 16
Count us as believers in Ingram. He’s been too solid all season, for a visibly improved team, to discount as the real deal. Unless the Coyotes’ No. 1 stumbles, or gets hurt, there’s no other member of André Tourigny’s balanced squad to catch him. Not even the impressive Clayton Keller.
Jack Hughes, C | Projected fantasy points: 242.9 | Projected overall rank: 9
Hughes’ full arrival as a superstar is on display this campaign and there isn’t any suspense over him leading the Devils for fantasy. What will be interesting to watch is just how high into the top 10 overall he can push by the end of the season.
Previous ranking: 14 Points percentage: 58.70% Next seven days: vs. NYR (Dec. 9), @ CHI (Dec. 10), @ PHI (Dec. 14)
John Carlson, D | Projected fantasy points: 182.21 | Projected overall rank: 65
It’s telling of how “meh” the Capitals are that Carlson is easily leading the pace at a rate that would finish 65th overall. It’s unlikely anything will change to make Alex Ovechkin challenge him, but Max Pacioretty returning to the ice could be an X factor.
Previous ranking: 22 Points percentage: 58.00% Next seven days: vs. LA (Dec. 9), vs. TOR (Dec. 11), vs. ANA (Dec. 13)
Noah Dobson, D | Projected fantasy points: 244.73 | Projected overall rank: 8
Dobson adding physicality to his game in the form of blocks and hits makes him deserving of the fantasy crown for the Isles. It doesn’t look like Ilya Sorokin, his only real competition, will be making a push.
Previous ranking: 20 Points percentage: 50.00% Next seven days: @ FLA (Dec. 8), vs. ARI (Dec. 12), @ MTL (Dec. 13)
Tristan Jarry, G | Projected fantasy points: 202.78 | Projected overall rank: 37
Jarry is great, but this season won’t be a success for the Penguins if he leads the team in fantasy scoring. Sidney Crosby is right behind him (198.79), but Erik Karlsson is way back at 157.67 projected points. The Pens need Karlsson in the mix.
Previous ranking: 16 Points percentage: 54.00% Next seven days: @ CBJ (Dec. 8), @ CHI (Dec. 9), vs. DET (Dec. 12), vs. OTT (Dec. 14)
Justin Faulk, D | Projected fantasy points: 161.32 | Projected overall rank: 111
Previous ranking: 24 Points percentage: 45.65% Next seven days: vs. MIN (Dec. 8), vs. NJ (Dec. 10), vs. CHI (Dec. 12), vs. TB (Dec. 14)
Connor McDavid, C | Projected fantasy points: 249.36 | Projected overall rank: 5
Without much question, a healthy McDavid will next-level himself into fantasy supremacy on his own team. But let’s spare an appreciative moment for the club’s other members of the league’s projected top 25 fantasy players: Zach Hyman, Evander Kane and Leon Draisaitl, while providing a stick tap to defenseman Evan Bouchard who is close.
Previous ranking: 23 Points percentage: 48.08% Next seven days: vs. NJ (Dec. 9), @ COL (Dec. 11), @ VGK (Dec. 12), @ MIN (Dec. 14)
MacKenzie Weegar, D | Projected fantasy points: 204.19 | Projected overall rank: 35
The Flames aren’t scoring much. Which essentially cements Weegar — who contributes nicely across the fantasy board — as the team’s leader by a prairie mile. And probably drives coach Ryan Huska bananas.
Joel Eriksson Ek, C | Projected fantasy points: 204.38 | Projected overall rank: 34
A sustained upswing in scoring by Kirill Kaprizov — on a team that finally appears headed in the right direction — could topple Eriksson Ek from Minny’s fantasy throne. But take nothing away from everything the big center does, including the fantasy-friendly physical stuff, that makes his club better all around.
Previous ranking: 27 Points percentage: 47.62% Next seven days: @ DET (Dec. 9), vs. CAR (Dec. 12), @ STL (Dec. 14)
It’s going to come down to Tkachuk or Tim Stutzle leading the Sens in fantasy points. They have been playing on separate lines lately and finished last season only eight points apart, so this is an intriguing race.
Previous ranking: 25 Points percentage: 48.08% Next seven days: @ BUF (Dec. 9), vs. NSH (Dec. 10), vs. PIT (Dec. 13)
Mike Matheson, D | Projected fantasy points: 201.27 | Projected overall rank: 39
The Canadiens probably wish it was Cole Caufield claiming the top spot for fantasy, but Matheson’s strong even-strength and power-play work have him well out in front. In fact, his closest competition on the club is sophomore blueliner Kaiden Guhle.
Previous ranking: 21 Points percentage: 44.44% Next seven days: vs. MTL (Dec. 9), vs. ARI (Dec. 11), @ COL (Dec. 13)
Rasmus Dahlin, D | Projected fantasy points: 212.66 | Projected overall rank: 27
The Sabres are hoping that with Tage Thompson returning from injury this week he can have some of his signature big games to close the gap with Dahlin. If anyone can, it’s the forward that had four hat tricks last season.
Previous ranking: 26 Points percentage: 40.74% Next seven days: vs. TB (Dec. 9), vs. MIN (Dec. 10), vs. FLA (Dec. 12), vs. CHI (Dec. 14)
Good for Eeli Tolvanen, who’s off to his best season yet. But surely the Kraken would rather another skater lead the fantasy charge, and with greater gusto. Maybe last season’s star, Jared McCann, who seems back in a scoring groove?
Previous ranking: 29 Points percentage: 37.50% Next seven days: vs. STL (Dec. 8), vs. FLA (Dec. 10), @ TOR (Dec. 14)
Boone Jenner, C | Projected fantasy points: 191.75 | Projected overall rank: 48
When the team that has Johnny Gaudreau, Patrik Laine and Adam Fantilli has Jenner easily leading the way for fantasy scoring, you know something isn’t going as hoped. Surprisingly, Ivan Provorov is the next best Blue Jacket for fantasy this season.
Previous ranking: 28 Points percentage: 38.46% Next seven days: vs. WPG (Dec. 10), @ NYI (Dec. 13)
Frank Vatrano, RW | Projected fantasy points: 216.2 | Projected overall rank: 20
While his scoring is drying up some, Vatrano’s proclivity for shooting on net and blocking shots should still carry him through as the Ducks’ No. 1 fantasy star. How close rookie Leo Carlsson would’ve come, if he played a full first season, is the more pressing question.
Previous ranking: 32 Points percentage: 33.33% Next seven days: @ VGK (Dec. 10), vs. WPG (Dec. 12)
Mario Ferraro, D | Projected fantasy points: 165.08 | Projected overall rank: 100
Following a lackluster first stretch, Tomas Hertl is ramping up his fantasy swagger. That trend should suffice in surpassing Ferraro, and all others, on a team lacking prominent assets. Getting a healthy Logan Couture back — eventually — will also help Hertl in that regard.
Previous ranking: 31 Points percentage: 34.00% Next seven days: vs. STL (Dec. 9), vs. WSH (Dec. 10), @ EDM (Dec. 12), @ SEA (Dec. 14)
Connor Bedard, C | Projected fantasy points: 150.64 | Projected overall rank: 139
Defender Seth Jones has the long-game fantasy edge on a team where the star forward isn’t yet surrounded by a strong enough supporting cast. No doubt, injuries and other organizational moves haven’t helped.
MEXICO CITY — Shane Van Gisbergen was buckled into his seat ready to head to Mexico City for NASCAR’s first international Cup Series race of the modern era when a loud “BOOM!” suddenly forced the pilot to abort takeoff.
There was an engine issue with the chartered flight in North Carolina, and Van Gisbergen and most of Trackhouse Racing suddenly found themselves stranded. In fact, two NASCAR charters had issues Thursday that delayed the arrivals of crew members and drivers for at least five teams.
They all arrived safely Friday morning — some teams drove to Atlanta to catch commercial flights — while others awaited a new morning charter.
“Yeah, it wasn’t real fun. Yesterday was a long day,” Van Gisbergen said once in Mexico City. “Pretty scary when the plane launched itself on take-off. They stopped and were trying to just get another plane. And then it was first thing this morning, so early start this morning. I think we got up at 3:30 a.m. at home and got on an early flight down here.”
It was a bumpy start to the first points-paying Cup Series race outside the United States as the entire Friday schedule had to be revamped to accommodate the stranded teams. And with team personnel missing for some organizations, reinforcements were called in to help: The communications director for Trackhouse had to help unload the team cars off the haulers.
The trucks came directly from last Sunday’s race in Michigan and arrived at the Mexico City track on Thursday.
“Due to two aircraft issues that grounded multiple race teams in Charlotte, N.C., on Thursday, NASCAR has adjusted the on-track schedule for this weekend’s activities at Mexico City’s Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez,” NASCAR said in a statement.
NASCAR delayed Friday’s originally planned Cup Series practice to later in the afternoon. NASCAR also pushed all Xfinity Series practice sessions from Friday to Saturday. And the first of two NASCAR Mexico Series races were moved to early Friday instead of their late Friday schedule.
The Xfinity Series will lose some practice time, with just one 50-minute session on Saturday morning, right before qualifying. There are other slight adjustments as well, but Cup teams will not lose any practice.
Van Gisbergen was rolling with the delay.
“You can’t predict that kind of stuff happening. There’s so many moving parts,” he said. “Everyone’s down here now. I think it’s all the important people, I guess, needed for [Friday] , so I think they’ve done a good job salvaging it.
“I guess it’s a big deal when you think about it, but I’m not really too fussed about it,” he continued. “I’m already focused on [racing]. Obviously not ideal, but it happened and we fixed it.”
Truex gets a shot
It’s been 11 years since Ryan Truex raced in the Cup Series but he gets another start Sunday as the replacement for Denny Hamlin in Mexico City.
Truex is a reserve driver for Joe Gibbs Racing and has been in a holding pattern the past three weeks as Hamlin awaited the birth of his son. Hamlin didn’t have to get out of the car at Nashville or Michigan, but the baby finally arrived Wednesday and Hamlin opted to skip this weekend to care for his family of five.
Truex got the call the same evening to wheel the high-profile No. 11 Toyota. The younger brother of former Cup Series champion Martin Truex Jr. has 26 career Cup starts but none since 2014.
Martin Truex won an Xfinity Series race in 2005 in Mexico City, something he reminded his younger brother of when he told him he got the call.
“I texted him this week when I found out, and he said, ‘You know, the Truexes are 1-for-1 in Mexico,’ so no pressure,” Ryan Truex said Friday. “I’m glad he could throw that at me.”
Hamlin, a three-time winner this year, requested and was granted a waiver by NASCAR officials to retain his eligibility for the Cup Series Playoffs.
Truex does have recent seat time as the 33-year-old was a fill-in option in practice for Tyler Reddick of fellow Toyota team 23XI Racing during Coca-Cola 600 practice. Still, the waiting game to see if he was needed and getting ready for an international trip has been a whirlwind.
“It’s been a crazy few weeks — especially since Charlotte, I’ve been on standby,” he said. “I’m glad it is at a track where I can practice and have time and know what to do to. It has been kind of chaotic getting here and putting all of that together, but I’m just grateful for the experience and grateful to be here.
“I don’t really have any set goals or expectations — I just want to enjoy the weekend. I’m driving a Cup car for Joe Gibbs at an international race – this is not something I ever dreamed of doing, so I just want to take it all in and have a good time.”
Truex said that every time he received a text from Hamlin crew chief Chris Gayle the last month, his heart began to race as he wondered if this was the call.
He’s thankful for his time in a reserve role with Gibbs after a miserable time in Cup a decade ago. Truex is hoping to use Sunday as a springboard to regular racing.
“My last time in Cup was not a fun experience. It didn’t go well for me. I didn’t enjoy it,” Truex said. “That was probably not the right move for me, career-wise, and I’ve kind of been fighting back since then. I enjoy everything I do at JGR. I’ve been able to race part-time the last couple of years, and do all of this stuff away from the track.”
Elevation training
NASCAR drivers will face one of the biggest challenges of their career racing at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez, which sits at an elevation of nearly 7,500 feet. The next highest track on the Cup circuit in terms of elevation is Las Vegas Motor Speedway at about 2,000 feet above sea level.
To prepare its drivers for the altitude, Toyota launched a comprehensive training program months ago that had its drivers wearing a mask that simulates less oxygen while training and even sleeping in a hypoxic tent.
Reddick was among those who slept in a tent to adjust to the higher altitude and mitigate potential symptoms of altitude sickness.
“One side effect of it is my wife hasn’t been super happy about me sleeping in a hypoxic environment, especially at the later stages of her pregnancy,” said Reddick, whose wife delivered the couple’s second child May 25.
The tent idea was devised after JGR driver Christopher Bell asked Toyota what would be done to help maintain maximum performance in the high altitude.
“We started that early in the season, just talking and getting a plan together, making sure we’re prepared for it,” Bell said. “I’m proud of everyone at Toyota, the Toyota Performance Center. Caitlin Quinn has really headed up the department of physical fitness and made sure we’re ready for this challenge. Hopefully, the Toyota drivers are the ones that are succeeding.”
The program was devised by Caitlin Quinn, director of performance for the Toyota Performance Center in Mooresville, North Carolina. She was a strength coach at Florida State University before joining Toyota Performance Center.
Quinn helped drivers learn to perform in a lower oxygen environment when they’re resting, as well as exercise in an environment with less oxygen. Toyota enclosed a space in its center with a bicycle inside it for drivers to ride in a lower oxygen setting.
Quinn said Toyota starting implementing those programs about eight weeks ago for drivers.
“It is different sleeping in a hypoxic environment,” Reddick said. “I’ve noted the changes so far, and I’m excited to see what it’s going to be like.”
MEXICO CITY — Denny Hamlin will miss NASCAR’s first international race of the modern era to remain in North Carolina following the birth of his child.
Ryan Truex will replace him Sunday in Mexico City.
“See you guys in Pocono,” Hamlin posted on social media. “We are happy to announce the birth of our son. Everyone is doing well. My main priority is to be here at home for Jordan and our family over the next few days when she is able to go home and we transition to life as a family of five.”
Hamlin and fiancee Jordan Fish now have three children, two daughters and a son born Wednesday. Hamlin had been on baby watch the last 12 days as Fish went nearly two weeks past her predicted due date.
He had planned to get out of the car at Michigan last Sunday if she went into labor early in the race, but when the first stage passed with no word, he went on to score his third win of the season. The victory was the 57th of his career and made him the all-time winningest driver at Joe Gibbs Racing.
Through 15 races this season, Hamlin ranks third in the overall Cup Series standings.
Truex, younger brother of former JGR full-time driver Martin Truex Jr., is Gibbs’ reserve driver. His last Cup Series start was in 2014 and he has 26 starts at NASCAR’s top level.
Hamlin will need NASCAR to grant him a waiver to be eligible to compete in the playoffs for the Cup Series championship. NASCAR during the offseason tightened the rules for granting waivers, but said it would permit a driver skipping an event for the birth of a child.
The 44-year-old Hamlin will snap his streak of 406 consecutive starts. Hamlin last missed a race in 2014 at California Speedway because of an eye irritation.
LOS ANGELES — Shohei Ohtani hit two homers in an 11-5 win over the San Francisco Giants on Saturday night, emphatically ending the three-time MVP’s longest homer drought since joining the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Ohtani led off the bottom of the first with his 24th homer, hammering Landen Roupp‘s fourth pitch 419 feet deep into the right-field bleachers with an exit velocity of 110.3 mph.
The slugger had been in a 10-game homer drought since June 2, going 10-for-40 in that stretch with no RBIs, although he still had an eight-game hitting streak during his power outage.
Ohtani led off the sixth with his 25th homer, sending Tristan Beck‘s breaking ball outside the strike zone into the bleachers in right. He also moved one homer behind the Yankees’ Aaron Judge and Seattle’s Cal Raleigh for the overall major league lead.
Dodgers fans brought him home with a standing ovation as Ohtani produced his third multihomer game of the season and the 22nd of his career.
Ohtani reached base four times and scored three runs in his first four at-bats, drawing two walks to go with his two homers.
Ohtani hadn’t played in 10 straight games without hitting a homer since 2023 in the final 10 games of his six-year tenure with the Los Angeles Angels.
Ohtani had slowed down a bit over the past two weeks after he was named the NL Player of the Month for May with a formidable performance, racking up 15 homers and 28 RBIs.