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Britain’s critical infrastructure will be more at risk from extreme weather if the world wavers on its commitment to net zero targets, according to exclusive analysis for Sky News.

Power stations, transport networks and airports are all more likely to be damaged or disrupted as global average temperatures climb higher, data from risk assessors Climate X shows.

The UK government recently watered down green commitments to save money on household bills.

But analysis suggests that, if other countries do the same, there will be higher long-term costs from shoring up or repairing infrastructure to keep the lights on and supermarket shelves stocked.

Navjit Sagoo, science engagement officer at Climate X, said: “Net zero is not as expensive as doing nothing. Doing nothing is always more expensive.”

Climate X advises insurance companies and businesses on climate risks and resilience.

It looked at about 22,000 buildings and other infrastructure assets for Sky News using a “digital twin” of the UK to model how they fared at two different climates in the year 2100.

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In the first, the global average temperature rose by 1.6C from pre-industrial levels and would only be achieved through rapid cuts to greenhouse gases.

In the second, the global temperature rose by 4.3C, consistent with much weaker climate action.

The results show that power stations, rail and Tube stations, motorway junctions and airports were all more at risk from at least one climate hazard at the higher temperature.

“Our infrastructure wasn’t built to withstand these kind of climate extremes,” said Dr Sagoo.

“We will have hotter weather, so things will be stressed more from the heat, and we’ll have wetter weather as well.”

Of the 4,000 energy facilities analysed, 100% were at risk from storm damage at 4.3C, compared with just 60% at 1.6C.

Climate X took a closer look at Pembroke and Staythorpe power stations, which provide electricity to nearly seven million homes.

With rapid cuts in carbon emissions, the Pembroke site is likely to flood every 60 years and Staythorpe every 40 by the end of the century.

But with weaker climate action, then Pembroke could flood every 42 years, and Staythorpe every 17.

Climate X also assessed the risk to more than 14,000 rail and Tube stations.

In the cooler of the two scenarios studied, 61% would be at risk from storms and 18% from subsidence by the end of the century.

But in a far hotter future, that increases to 100% and 28%.

Road transport could also become more difficult in the hotter of the two possible future climates, with 18% of motorway junctions at risk of river flooding.

Keeping the rise in temperature to just 1.6C would put 11% at risk of flooding.

“It definitely becomes more real when you think about climate change in terms of infrastructure rather than just warming,” said Dr Sagoo.

“The train station you rely on to go to work, that’s going to be flooded. Or the airport you use to go on holiday will be impacted.

“The more severe the warming is, the more frequently those events are going to happen.”

Read more
Images of COP28 venue highlight global temperature challenges
UK left ‘underprepared’ by government for extreme weather, watchdog says

The UK is already seeing more extreme weather as global temperatures rise, so far up 1.1C since pre-industrial levels.

Hastings on the East Sussex coast has flooded twice this year after torrential rain.

Hastings Furniture Service, a charity that provides affordable furniture to low-income families, lost £20,000 of stock after being flooded to a depth of 3ft.

Kate Davidson, who leads the charity, said volunteers had been “heartbroken” by the damage. She’s now thinking about how to make the service more resilient.

“Maybe we have to have a bit of a ramp up to the next building, just to lift it a little bit, which sounds bizarre in Hastings or in England.

“I think we need to be a little bit higher.”

The government’s climate advisers, the Climate Change Committee, has also warned that the UK is unprepared for the impact of more extreme weather.

It highlighted the risks to the economy from power system failures and the supply of food and vital services if distribution networks are blocked.

The government’s Department for Energy Security and Net Zero told Sky News that it has a plan to increase the country’s resilience to climate risks, with “billions” being spent on adaptation measures such as flood schemes.

Power companies have also been told to risk assess their assets to gauge their resilience.

In a statement, a government spokesperson said: “We are on track to deliver our net-zero commitments, and are taking a fairer and more pragmatic approach to meeting them, easing the burden on hard-working families.

“Our third National Adaptation Programme sets out a robust five-year plan to strengthen infrastructure, and promote a greener economy in the face of the climate challenges we face.”

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Hashem Abedi: Manchester Arena bomb plotter charged with three counts of attempted murder

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Hashem Abedi: Manchester Arena bomb plotter charged with three counts of attempted murder

Manchester Arena bomb plotter Hashem Abedi has been charged with three counts of attempted murder.

It comes after four prison officers were injured in an attack at the maximum security prison HMP Frankland in Co Durham on 12 April.

Abedi has also been charged with one count of assault occasioning actual bodily harm and one count of unauthorised possession of a knife or offensive weapon.

Counter Terrorism Policing North East has said it carried out a “thorough investigation” of the incident with Durham Constabulary and HMP Frankland.

He remains in prison and is due to appear at Westminster Magistrates’ Court on 18 September.

Three prison officers were taken to hospital with serious injuries following the incident.

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Three teenagers charged with murder after death of man, 49, in Kent

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Three teenagers charged with murder after death of man, 49, in Kent

Three teenagers have been charged with the murder of a man in Kent.

Kent Police were called to an incident in Leysdown-on-Sea, on the Isle of Sheppey, shortly after 7pm on Sunday.

Alexander Cashford, 49, from Kent, was found dead at the scene, having suffered multiple injuries.

He was allegedly assaulted following a “disturbance involving a small group of people”, according to police.

Police at the scene in the Leysdown-on-Sea resort on the Isle of Sheppey. Pic: PA
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Police at the scene in the Leysdown-on-Sea resort on the Isle of Sheppey. Pic: PA

A 16-year-old girl and two boys, aged 14 and 15, were arrested and taken into custody shortly after.

The three suspects, who were all from London, were charged with murder by joint venture on Tuesday.

They are due to appear before Medway Magistrates’ Court on Wednesday. The teenagers cannot be named for legal reasons.

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Police officers carry out searches near the scene where Mr Cashford was found dead. Pic: PA
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Police officers carry out searches near the scene where Mr Cashford was found dead. Pic: PA

A 12-year-old girl was arrested on Tuesday in Basildon, Essex, in connection with the incident.

She remains in custody while enquiries continue.

Read more from Sky News:
Jay Blades appears in court charged with rape
Backlash over police vans with facial recognition

Kent Police are appealing for witnesses who have not yet spoken to detectives to contact the force.

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‘Disturbing’ rise in abusive teen relationships – as experts warn of signs to look out for

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'Disturbing' rise in abusive teen relationships - as experts warn of signs to look out for

Marnie’s first serious relationship came when she was 16-years-old.

Warning: This article contains references to strangulation, coercive control and domestic abuse.

She was naturally excited when a former friend became her first boyfriend.

But after a whirlwind few months, everything changed with a slow, determined peeling away of her personality.

“There was isolation, then it was the phone checking,” says Marnie.

As a survivor of abuse, we are not using her real name.

“When I would go out with my friends or do something, I’d get constant phone calls and messages,” she says.

“I wouldn’t be left alone to sort of enjoy my time with my friends. Sometimes he might turn up there, because I just wasn’t trusted to just go and even do something minor like get my nails done.”

The internet is said to be helping to fuel a rise in domestic abuse among teens. Pic: iStock
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The internet is said to be helping to fuel a rise in domestic abuse among teens. Pic: iStock

He eventually stopped her from seeing friends, shouted at her unnecessarily, and accused her of looking at other men when they would go out.

If she ever had any alone time, he would bombard her with calls and texts; she wasn’t allowed to do anything without him knowing where she was.

He monitored her phone constantly.

“Sometimes I didn’t even know someone had messaged me.

“My mum maybe messaged to ask me where I was. He would delete the message and put my phone away, so then I wouldn’t even have a clue my mum had tried to reach me.”

The toll of what Marnie experienced was only realised 10 years later when she sought help for frequent panic attacks.

She struggled to comprehend the damage her abuser had inflicted when she was diagnosed with PTSD.

This is what psychological abuse and coercive control looks like.

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‘His hands were on my throat – he didn’t stop’

Young women and girls in the UK are increasingly falling victim, with incidents of domestic abuse spiralling among under-25s.

Exclusive data shared with Sky News, gathered by domestic abuse charity Refuge, reveals a disturbing rise in incidents between April 2024 and March 2025.

Psychological abuse was the most commonly reported form of harm, affecting 73% of young women and girls.

Of those experiencing this form of manipulation, 49% said their perpetrator had threatened to harm them and a further 35% said their abuser had threatened to kill them.

Among the 62% of 16-25 year olds surveyed who had reported suffering from physical violence, half of them said they had been strangled or suffocated.

Earlier this year, Sky News reported that school children were asking for advice on strangulation, but Kate Lexen, director of services at charity Tender, says children as young as nine are asking about violent pornography and displaying misogynistic behaviour.

Kate Lexen, director of services at charity Tender
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Kate Lexen, director of services at charity Tender

“What we’re doing is preventing what those misogynistic behaviours can then escalate onto,” Ms Lexen says.

Tender has been running workshops and lessons on healthy relationships in primary and secondary schools and colleges for over 20 years.

Children as young as nine ‘talking about strangulation’

Speaking to Sky News, Ms Lexen says new topics are being brought up in sessions, which practitioners and teachers are adapting to.

“We’re finding those Year 5 and Year 6 students, so ages 9, 10 and 11, are talking about strangulation, they’re talking about attitudes that they’ve read online and starting to bring in some of those attitudes from some of those misogynistic influencers.

“There are ways that they’re talking about and to their female teachers.

“We’re finding that from talking to teachers as well that they are really struggling to work out how to broach these topics with the students that they are working with and how to make that a really safe space and open space to have those conversations in an age-appropriate way, which can be very challenging.”

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Hidden domestic abuse deaths

Charities like Tender exist to prevent domestic abuse and sexual violence.

Ms Lexen says without tackling misogynistic behaviours “early on with effective prevention education” then the repercussions, as the data for under 25s proves, will be “astronomical”.

At Refuge, it is already evident. Elaha Walizadeh, senior programme manager for children and young people, says the charity has seen a rise in referrals since last year.

Elaha Walizadeh, senior programme manager for children and young people at Refuge
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Elaha Walizadeh, senior programme manager for children and young people at Refuge

“We have also seen the dynamics of abuse changing,” she adds. “So with psychological abuse being reported, we’ve seen a rise in that and non-fatal strangulation cases, we’ve seen a rise in as well.

“Our frontline workers are telling us that the young people are telling them usually abuse starts from smaller signs. So things like coercive control, where the perpetrators are stopping them from seeing friends and family. It then builds.”

Misogyny to violent behaviour might seem like a leap.

But experts and survivors are testament to the fact that it is happening.

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