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As teams go through their cycles of contention, the importance of having a high-scoring young core can wax and wane. Then again, in a league which has had a relatively flat salary cap in recent seasons, getting production from your players on entry-level contracts (or second deals) is critical.

So in addition to an updated ranking of all 32 teams, this week we’ll take a look at how much point production is coming from each team’s 23-and-under group.

How we rank: A panel of ESPN hockey commentators, analysts, reporters and editors each send in a 1-32 poll based on the games through Wednesday, which generates our master list here.

Note: Previous ranking for each team refers to the previous edition, published Dec. 8. Points percentages are through the games of Dec. 14; young core production through the games of Dec. 13.

Previous ranking: 3
Points percentage: 75.00%
Next seven days: vs. BUF (Dec. 15), vs. OTT (Dec. 17), @ CAR (Dec. 19), @ TB (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 4.68%
Rank: 28

Kaedan Korczak and Pavel Dorofeyev have chipped in as needed for this team — but as you can tell from those overall numbers, they haven’t been needed as much as young players might be if they were on another club.


Previous ranking: 1
Points percentage: 72.22%
Next seven days: vs. ANA (Dec. 15), @ BOS (Dec. 16), @ TOR (Dec. 19)

23-and-under points pct.: 19.34%
Rank: 15

Like the team just below them in the rankings this week, the Rangers have a roster with a nice balance between veterans and rising young stars, led by a resurgent Alexis Lafreniere and ever-improving K’Andre Miller.


Previous ranking: 4
Points percentage: 69.23%
Next seven days: @ SEA (Dec. 16), @ SJ (Dec. 19), vs. SEA (Dec. 20)

23-and-under points pct.: 19.28%
Rank: 16

The Kings’ rise up the NHL standings in recent seasons has been driven by a balance between the veteran leadership group that links back to the Cup-winning years and a vaunted prospect pipeline that is now bearing proverbial fruit. So the percentage (and ranking against other teams) makes sense.


Previous ranking: 2
Points percentage: 74.07%
Next seven days: @ NYI (Dec. 15), vs. NYR (Dec. 16), vs. MIN (Dec. 19)

23-and-under points pct.: 10.26%
Rank: 21

Although he’s been a bit up-and-down this season, rookie Matthew Poitras has been critical to solidifying the Bruins’ lineup down the middle, and he and his young teammates have produced more than some probably expected heading into the season.


Previous ranking: 6
Points percentage: 68.33%
Next seven days: @ MIN (Dec. 16), @ CHI (Dec. 17), @ NSH (Dec. 19), @ DAL (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 5.16%
Rank: 27

Nils Hoglander has a respectable 14 points in 27 games, but when the team as a whole has 310 points, he and his young cohorts aren’t going to make much of a dent.


Previous ranking: 5
Points percentage: 65.52%
Next seven days: @ WPG (Dec. 16), vs. SJ (Dec. 17), @ CHI (Dec. 19), vs. OTT (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 3.56%
Rank: 29

If we raised the bar to “25 and under” scorers, that would add Cale Makar and his 37 points to the mix. As is, it’s unsurprising that this team on the cusp of another playoff run is driven more by veterans than youngsters.


Previous ranking: 11
Points percentage: 66.67%
Next seven days: vs. PIT (Dec. 16), vs. NYR (Dec. 19), @ BUF (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 7.38%
Rank: 7.38

Matthew Knies and Nicholas Robertson have both shown scoring flashes here and there, but the heavy lifting for this team is clearly done by the veteran core.


Previous ranking: 7
Points percentage: 64.82%
Next seven days: vs. OTT (Dec. 15), @ STL (Dec. 16), vs. SEA (Dec. 18), vs. VAN (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 14.12%
Rank: 18

Another team driven mostly by veterans, it remains surprising to see Ty Dellandrea with only one point through 15 games.


Previous ranking: 8
Points percentage: 62.07%
Next seven days: @ EDM (Dec. 16), @ CGY (Dec. 18), vs. STL (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 5.26%
Rank: 26

Anton Lundell is carrying the load for the youth movement for the Panthers right now — though the leading scorers on the team (Sam Reinhart and Aleksander Barkov) aren’t exactly ancient; both are 28 years old.


Previous ranking: 10
Points percentage: 64.29%
Next seven days: vs. COL (Dec. 16), vs. MTL (Dec. 18), vs. DET (Dec. 20)

23-and-under points pct.: 9.64%
Rank: 22

Cole Perfetti is doing much of the work to generate those numbers, and his continued production will be especially critical for the Jets’ top six while Kyle Connor is out.


Previous ranking: 12
Points percentage: 58.62%
Next seven days: @ PHI (Dec. 16), vs. ANA (Dec. 18), @ WPG (Dec. 20)

23-and-under points pct.: 20.80%
Rank: 13

The Wings are not quite as youngster-laden as one might think. But the 23-and-under crew (Moritz Seider, Lucas Raymond, Joe Veleno, Jonatan Berggren) has delivered this season.


Previous ranking: 22
Points percentage: 62.50%
Next seven days: vs. BOS (Dec. 15), @ MTL (Dec. 16), vs. EDM (Dec. 19), @ WSH (Dec. 20)

23-and-under points pct.: 21.70%
Rank: 11

The Isles don’t immediately jump off the page as a young team, but thanks to players like Noah Dobson and Simon Holmstrom, maybe we should start putting more stock in them in that way.


Previous ranking: 24
Points percentage: 50.00%
Next seven days: vs. FLA (Dec. 16), @ NYI (Dec. 19), @ NJ (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 0.40%
Rank: 31

The Oilers have made an astonishing turnaround since the firing of Jay Woodcroft earlier this season — but it hasn’t been due to the 23-and-under group on the club.


Previous ranking: 18
Points percentage: 57.41%
Next seven days: @ CBJ (Dec. 16), vs. ANA (Dec. 17), vs. PHI (Dec. 19), vs. EDM (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 33.06%
Rank: 3

The wins haven’t piled up for the Devils as they did last season, but the young group — led by Jack Hughes and Luke Hughes, as well as Alexander Holtz and Dawson Mercer — is holding up its end of the bargain.


Previous ranking: 9
Points percentage: 56.90%
Next seven days: vs. NSH (Dec. 15), vs. WSH (Dec. 17), vs. VGK (Dec. 19), @ PIT (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 21.65%
Rank: 12

This hasn’t been the greatest season of Andrei Svechnikov‘s career (and he’s currently out injured), but Canes fans are certainly enthused by the continued development of Jesperi Kotkaniemi and Seth Jarvis.


Previous ranking: 17
Points percentage: 60.34%
Next seven days: vs. DET (Dec. 16), @ NJ (Dec. 19), vs. NSH (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 26.51%
Rank: 7

While the Flyers are probably another year away from making a real push for the playoffs, John Tortorella has shepherded this club to a fine spot thus far. That has included key contributions from young players like Joel Farabee, Bobby Brink and Cam York (in less ice time for the two forwards than some fans would like).


Previous ranking: 15
Points percentage: 55.17%
Next seven days: @ CAR (Dec. 15), vs. WSH (Dec. 16), vs. VAN (Dec. 19), @ PHI (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 13.75%
Rank: 19

Luke Evangelista showed flashes of brilliance in a short stint during the 2022-23 season and at the start of this campaign but has cooled off a bit in December, leading to a lower-than-expected ratio for the Preds here.


Previous ranking: 14
Points percentage: 61.54%
Next seven days: @ NSH (Dec. 16), @ CAR (Dec. 17), vs. NYI (Dec. 20), @ CBJ (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 17.68%
Rank: 17

The Caps have not been scoring to their usual high rate (a surprisingly low output from Alex Ovechkin is part of that), but the leveling up of Connor McMichael and Aliaksei Protas from the 23-and-under group is encouraging.


Previous ranking: 13
Points percentage: 53.23%
Next seven days: @ CGY (Dec. 16), vs. STL (Dec. 19), vs. VGK (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 0.00%
Rank: 32

Lightning players have scored 265 points through the games of Dec. 13; not one of them has been registered by a player 23 years old or younger.


Previous ranking: 19
Points percentage: 50.00%
Next seven days: vs. SJ (Dec. 15), vs. BUF (Dec. 16), vs. OTT (Dec. 19), @ SJ (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 27.62%
Rank: 6

Although a serious push for the playoffs this season is perhaps too optimistic, one can see how the next playoff version of the Yotes will look based on the play of youngsters like Matias Maccelli, Logan Cooley and Barrett Hayton.


Previous ranking: 20
Points percentage: 51.79%
Next seven days: @ TOR (Dec. 16), vs. MIN (Dec. 18), vs. CAR (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 0.47%
Rank: 30

One of the NHL’s ahem, more experienced rosters has had a grand total of one point registered by a 23-and-under player — defenseman John Ludvig is the answer to that particular piece of trivia.


Previous ranking: 30
Points percentage: 48.15%
Next seven days: vs. VAN (Dec. 16), @ PIT (Dec. 18), @ BOS (Dec. 19), vs. MTL (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 20.00%
Rank: 14

The Wild don’t have a ton of players in the 23-and-under demographic this season, but three of their top seven scorers (Matt Boldy, Marco Rossi and Brock Faber) can be described as such.


Previous ranking: 25
Points percentage: 48.28%
Next seven days: vs. NYI (Dec. 16), @ WPG (Dec. 18), @ MIN (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 32.99%
Rank: 4

Were it not for the injury to Kirby Dach, these numbers would surely be even higher. This will be a fun team to watch in the coming seasons.


Previous ranking: 16
Points percentage: 50.00%
Next seven days: vs. DAL (Dec. 16), @ TB (Dec. 19), @ FLA (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 6.22%
Rank: 25

Another team where the percentage would be quite a bit different if we bumped the threshold up to 25, as that would’ve added Robert Thomas and Jordan Kyrou to the mix.


Previous ranking: 21
Points percentage: 45.00%
Next seven days: @ VGK (Dec. 15), @ ARI (Dec. 16), vs. CBJ (Dec. 19), vs. TOR (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 39.82%
Rank: 1

A popular pick as a team to level up this season, the team results aren’t quite there yet for the Sabres. But they have to be over the moon at how much the young core has been contributing, led by leading scorer Rasmus Dahlin.


Previous ranking: 23
Points percentage: 45.00%
Next seven days: vs. TB (Dec. 16), vs. FLA (Dec. 18), @ ANA (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 7.44%
Rank: 23

These numbers would have (presumably) been a bit higher if not for the preseason injury to Jakob Pelletier. But, along with Matt Coronato and Connor Zary, Pelletier represents a captivating young wave that will be important as the team transitions back to contender status.


Previous ranking: 27
Points percentage: 45.83%
Next seven days: @ DAL (Dec. 15), @ VGK (Dec. 17), @ ARI (Dec. 19), @ COL (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 24.88%
Rank: 9

This season has been a disappointing one for the Senators (on and off the ice), but they have to feel good about their young group, led by Tim Stutzle and Jake Sanderson. And if we bumped the cutoff age to 24, that would’ve led to the inclusion of Brady Tkachuk, Josh Norris and Erik Branstrom. The future is bright.


Previous ranking: 26
Points percentage: 43.55%
Next seven days: vs. LA (Dec. 16), @ DAL (Dec. 18), @ LA (Dec. 20)

23-and-under points pct.: 11.16%
Rank: 20

In a season where the club as a whole has taken a couple of steps backward, the regression (to this point of the season) for Calder Trophy winner Matty Beniers has been especially surprising: after 57 points last season, he’s on pace for 36 this season.


Previous ranking: 29
Points percentage: 40.32%
Next seven days: vs. NJ (Dec. 16), @ BUF (Dec. 19), vs. WSH (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 34.93%
Rank: 2

This hasn’t been the greatest season of Johnny Gaudreau‘s or Patrik Laine‘s careers, so the tilted scoring percentage here (driven by Kirill Marchenko, Adam Fantilli and Dmitri Voronkov) might be lower if the star players were delivering.


Previous ranking: 32
Points percentage: 36.21%
Next seven days: @ ARI (Dec. 15), @ COL (Dec. 17), vs. LA (Dec. 19), vs. ARI (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 22.73%
Rank: 10

In a transitional era for the Sharks franchise, the team can hang its hat on the emergence of 21-year-old William Eklund, who is on pace to hit the 20-goal and 40-point marks in his first full season.


Previous ranking: 28
Points percentage: 35.71%
Next seven days: @ NYR (Dec. 15), @ NJ (Dec. 17), @ DET (Dec. 18), vs. CGY (Dec. 21)

23-and-under points pct.: 29.95%
Rank: 5

Unsurprisingly, the Ducks have seen considerable contributions from their 23-and-under crew, led by Mason McTavish and rookie Leo Carlsson. And to think — this is without much production to this point from Trevor Zegras and Jamie Drysdale.


Previous ranking: 31
Points percentage: 32.76%
Next seven days: vs. VAN (Dec. 17), vs. COL (Dec. 19)

23-and-under points pct.: 26.44%
Rank: 8

While it might seem like Connor Bedard is the one doing all the heavy lifting for the Blackhawks, he has some company among young scorers in Kevin Korchinski, Lukas Reichel and Alex Vlasic.

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NBC’s Tirico left Derby broadcast with nut allergy

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NBC's Tirico left Derby broadcast with nut allergy

NBC Sports host Mike Tirico said Monday he is feeling fine after having to leave the Kentucky Derby broadcast early over the weekend because of a strong reaction to a nut allergy.

“I’ve had a nut allergy my whole life and am usually very, very careful,” Tirico said on the “Today” show. “I ate something that had a nut in it and had a nut allergy, causing your throat and your nose and all that stuff to kind of clog up and swell. It affects your breathing a little bit.”

Tirico said he took an epinephrine shot and was treated by EMTs at Churchill Downs. He began feeling better later Saturday night.

“I’m embarrassed about the attention,” he said.

Ahmed Fareed took over for the 58-year-old broadcaster, who was hosting Derby coverage for the ninth year.

Tirico is set to host the Preakness Stakes on NBC on May 17.

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From health to depth to the entire offense: One thing that must change for all 30 MLB teams

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From health to depth to the entire offense: One thing that must change for all 30 MLB teams

Something has to change.

Of course, much has already changed since we last convened with our final preseason projections. But for each MLB team, playing five weeks of a new season will inevitably expose additional shifts that are needed. Every team, no matter how splendid or how dreadful the start, has something.

One thing the forecasts suggested that has borne out so far is the relative levels of stratification between the leagues. The National League, led by the champion Dodgers, looked top-heavy, and while not all of the teams we thought would make up that elite tier are a perfect match with the forecasts, the overall dynamic is very much one of dominance. Meanwhile, the American League figured to be a whole bunch of teams in spitting distance of break even, with little separation among the top 12-13 teams in the circuit.

How will these dynamics hold up until we Stock Watch again in June?

Each team’s ability, or lack thereof, to make the following changes might determine that.


Win average: 104.5 (Last: 102.4, 1st)
In the playoffs: 98.8% (Last: 97.7%)
Champions: 28.5% (Last: 28.4%)

What must change: Rotation health

There were actually some bumpy moments in the early weeks of the season for the Dodgers but nothing has happened to really knock them out of the favorite’s perch as we think ahead to late October. One thing that could change that is L.A.’s ever-growing injured list, especially its collection of 60-day IL assignments. For all the depth the Dodgers seemed to build up in their rotation over the winter, they’ve still gone with two bullpen games already. And this doesn’t even include Shohei Ohtani, who’s still building up so he can take his turns in the rotation. Given their recent history of starter injuries … maybe he shouldn’t? Including the two openers, the Dodgers have already had 10 different pitchers start games.


Win average: 96.0 (Last: 90.2, 3rd)
In the playoffs: 88.6% (Last: 73.5%)
Champions: 10.5% (Last: 6.0%)

What must change: Middle relief instability

There hasn’t been much to complain about with the Mets. Though New York hasn’t overtaken the Dodgers in the simulations from a going-forward perspective, the Mets have probably been the better team to this point. The Dodgers have the better winning percentage, but the Mets’ Pythagorean pace (109.7) is the National League’s best. With not much to nitpick about, the relief contingent in front of Edwin Diaz needs to coalesce a little more. Ryne Stanek has the pen’s second-highest average leverage index but has struggled, and the two top lefties (A.J. Minter and Danny Young) have already been lost to injury. Still, if this is a team’s biggest worry at the beginning of May, it’s in a good place.


Win average: 95.8 (Last: 84.3, 13th)
In the playoffs: 92.7% (Last: 51.2%)
Champions: 7.8% (Last: 1.5%)

What must change: Ninth-inning drama

The Cubs have mostly bludgeoned their opposition so far with a breakout offense that ranks among baseball’s best in pretty much every major category. Assuming Chicago won’t average over six runs per game all season, eventually its thin bullpen is going to move into the spotlight. The Cubs have blown seven of their first 15 save opportunities. Closer Ryan Pressly has managed to white-knuckle his way through most of his outings but has struck out fewer than four batters per nine innings, with more walks than K’s. Overall, Chicago’s relievers rank 28th in swing-and-miss percentage, underscoring the general lack of dominance in that unit. The Cubs have been strong in every other facet but for them to establish themselves as a true front-runner, the relief leaks will need to be shored up.


Win average: 93.7 (Last: 83.0, 16th)
In the playoffs: 91.7% (Last: 41.2%)
Champions: 10.1% (Last: 1.8%)

What must change: Shortstop play

You hate to pick on Trey Sweeney, who accounts for most of Detroit’s starts at shortstop, but there just aren’t many shortcomings for the Tigers so far. No team has improved its forecast more since the start of the season. Detroit is now landing a No. 1 playoff seed more often than any other AL team in the simulations, though the Yankees’ pennant odds are still a tick better because of a higher baseline. (New York has a lower regular-season win forecast because of schedule differences.) Sweeney hasn’t hit (.234/.317/.355)* and the Tigers’ shortstop defensive rating, per FanGraphs, ranks 20th. It’s the most obvious blemish on what is shaping up as a pristine season in Detroit.

* These numbers were .202/.282/.303 entering Sunday, but Sweeney must have had spies watching over my shoulder. Against the Angels, he went 4-for-5 with a homer and six RBIs. That’s more like it.


Win average: 92.9 (Last: 84.5, 12th)
In the playoffs: 76.9% (Last: 44.4%)
Champions: 4.0% (Last: 1.8%)

What must change: Lineup depth

The Padres are off to a great start, largely on the strength of a bullpen that has been off the charts. The relievers have racked up 14 saves (they’ve blown only one) and 27 holds while compiling a collective 1.73 ERA. Those numbers are both unbelievable and unsustainable. When some regression sets in, a top-heavy lineup will need to get production from spots like catcher (21st in OPS) and left field (27th) to offset the difference. We kind of knew this was how the Padres were constructed, but still — San Diego has given too many plate appearances to too many players in what we’ll call the post-productive phases of their careers.


Win average: 91.4 (Last: 84.3, 13th)
In the playoffs: 85.4% (Last: 46.8%)
Champions: 8.1% (Last: 2.5%)

What must change: First base production

Generally speaking, the more specific the issue we choose to worry about, the better off the team. For Seattle, the primary concern the past couple of years has been more wide-lens than specific: offense. For now, that problem has apparently been largely solved. The Mariners’ offense has been one of the hottest in baseball and over the past couple of weeks, with its hitters even managing to mash at T-Mobile Park. So rather than worrying about the offense, writ large, we can point out that at first base, the Rowdy TellezDonovan Solano combo is mostly responsible for Seattle’s .518 OPS (tied for 29th in MLB) at the position. This projected to be a major hole before the season, so the chances of self-correction are limited. Now, the stakes are higher to shore up the weak spots, since the Mariners have emerged as the early front-runner to win the AL West.


Win average: 90.8 (Last: 88.7, 5th)
In the playoffs: 84.5% (Last: 68.3%)
Champions: 9.3% (Last: 6.5%)

What must change: Rotation depth chart

For a first-place team, there is plenty to worry about when it comes to the Yankees. They’ve had the best position player (Aaron Judge, by far) and arguably the best pitcher (Max Fried) in baseball. The relief staff has dealt with the struggles of demoted closer Devin Williams, but the bullpen still ranks sixth in relief ERA and with only 14% of inherited runners scoring. But the rotation has been below average (4.07 ERA and only eight quality starts) despite Fried’s great beginning. Even worse, with Gerrit Cole out for the season and Luis Gil and Marcus Stroman currently on the shelf, it’s not immediately clear how this is going to get better. This issue might really start to mushroom if and when Fried regresses from his hot start.


Win average: 90.3 (Last: 89.2, 4th)
In the playoffs: 66.2% (Last: 68.9%)
Champions: 4.1% (Last: 4.8%)

What must change: Slumping stalwarts

The Phillies’ roster was constructed on star power, not depth, and while that has worked well enough the past few years, they need the stars to produce. The “it’s still early” caveat applies, but so far, Bryce Harper hasn’t hit like Bryce Harper, Alec Bohm‘s production has gone missing, Aaron Nola just earned his first win but remains under league average (91 ERA+) and key bullpen acquisition Jordan Romano has gotten shelled. If the Phillies don’t want to lose sight of the front-running Mets in the NL East race, they’ll need their main cogs to start firing.


Win average: 89.7 (Last: 79.9, 20th)
In the playoffs: 59.7% (Last: 24.6%)
Champions: 2.5% (Last: 0.6%)

What must change: Team batting average

The Giants have inserted themselves into a top-heavy NL postseason chase that they didn’t figure to be a part of when the season began. The pitching and defense has been stellar, but the offense hasn’t kept up. San Francisco ranks eighth in walks percentage but 24th in batting average. That can work in a take-and-rake general approach to offense, but the Giants are only middle of the pack in homers. Since they aren’t very athletic and rarely steal bases, this leads to uneven production. The Giants can hang in contention with a league-level batting average, but they simply don’t hit enough homers to do so if they continue to hover around .230. That puts the onus on low-average hitters such as Matt Chapman (.198), LaMonte Wade Jr. (.141, ouch) and Willy Adames (.230 and now four homers after hitting two on Sunday) to up the ante.


Win average: 87.1 (Last: 87.1, 8th)
In the playoffs: 44.2% (Last: 58.4%)
Champions: 1.7% (Last: 3.0%)

What must change: Bullpen health

In what’s shaping up as a historically good NL West (save for the Rockies), little problems can quickly become big ones. For the Diamondbacks, a shiny start has lost its luster a bit as they have battled bullpen problems in both the performance and health categories. The unit scuffled badly during a 5-9 stretch, posting a 5.61 collective ERA while blowing six of 10 save opportunities. Closer A.J. Puk (elbow) is on the 60-day IL and Justin Martinez (shoulder) hit the 15-day IL after two concerning outings with diminished velocity. Both are expected to help later this season but for that to matter, the likes of Kevin Ginkel, Shelby Miller and Ryan Thompson need to step up in high-leverage spots.


Win average: 86.8(Last: 88.7, 5th)
In the playoffs: 66.6% (Last: 68.7%)
Champions: 3.7% (Last: 5.4%)

What must change: Homer count

It has been a mixed bag for the Astros. Hunter Brown has been one of the game’s best pitchers and Josh Hader is having a vintage season at the back of the bullpen. The relief staff, in general, has been strong. But the lineup has been below average with a lack of power at the root of the issue. No Astro has homered more than four times and Houston ranks 21st in home run and overall slugging percentage. It’s an issue up and down the lineup but things would look a lot more promising if Christian Walker and Yordan Alvarez were going deep at their usual rates.


Win average: 86.7 (Last: 96.5, 2nd)
In the playoffs: 43.5% (Last: 91.1%)
Champions: 2.2% (Last: 14.4%)

What must change: IL roster

An 0-7 start threatened to sink the Braves’ season before it began. They recovered — nearly climbing to .500 at one point — but they have a lot of work to do. Hopes that the Braves can still reach their ceiling hinge on the longed-for returns of Spencer Strider and Ronald Acuña Jr. In the meantime, they need underperforming stalwarts such as Matt Olson, Michael Harris II, Chris Sale and Raisel Iglesias to hit their stride. Atlanta can’t keep plodding along under .500 in this year’s NL while waiting for its stars to get healthy, but if the Braves can stay above water until then, they might be able to really take off. Considering what we’ve seen so far, the fact that they won’t see the Dodgers again during the regular season certainly helps.


Win average: 83.6 (Last: 84.6, 11th)
In the playoffs: 47.4% (Last: 48.8%)
Champions: 1.3% (Last: 2.3%)

What must change: Outfield production

The Royals’ offense, in general, has been missing, with only Bobby Witt Jr. producing all season. But the outfield ranks 29th in bWAR as a group — the continuation of a problem that hovered over the roster last season. MJ Melendez was sent to the minors to find himself. His initial results in Omaha suggest he’ll be searching for some time. Hunter Renfroe has produced less than a good-hitting pitcher. Mark Canha has helped in a big role and Drew Waters has had some nice moments. But the Royals need some stable offense from the corner outfielders, making this a must-get as the trade deadline starts to loom.


Win average: 82.9 (Last: 77.7, 22nd)
In the playoffs: 40.9% (Last: 19.0%)
Champions: 0.9% (Last: 0.5%)

What must change: Emmanuel Clase

You figured the Guardians’ bullpen would fall off a bit after last season’s off-the-charts showing. That has happened even though set-up relievers Cade Smith and Hunter Gaddis have been every bit as good as they were in 2024. No, the problem has been a mystifying start by Clase, who has already given up more runs (11) than he did all of last season (10). He already has won four games, matching a career high, but of course that’s not necessarily a good sign for a closer. Clase’s dominance was the biggest differentiator on last year’s team. The 2025 squad, which has been outscored by 23 runs despite a 20-14 record, needs him to approximate that performance.


Win average: 82.8 (Last: 84.1, 15th)
In the playoffs: 43.6% (Last: 45.6%)
Champions: 1.8% (Last: 2.5%)

What must change: Bullpen depth

Despite an elite offense, the Red Sox have hovered around .500 because of a thin bullpen. The relievers have blown as many saves (eight) as they’ve converted and only one team has seen a higher rate of inherited runners score. Closer Aroldis Chapman has been fine, but he hasn’t had enough situational help. Boston ranks in the middle of the pack with a 4.11 relief ERA and its 10 holds are tied for the fewest of any bullpen. The rotation has been solid, but it’ll need more support to remain that way.


Win average: 81.9 (Last: 87.1, 8th)
In the playoffs: 38.1% (Last: 61.0%)
Champions: 1.1% (Last: 5.2%)

What must change: The offense

Even after an eight-run outburst against the division-leading Mariners on Sunday, Texas ranks 29th in run scoring. Only the Rockies have scored fewer. It’s a stunning turnaround for an offense that kept scoreboards spinning in 2023 on the way to a World Series title. Last year’s falloff was steep, and based on what we’ve seen so far, hopes for positive regression are fading. Adolis Garcia is having another down season. Marcus Semien is below replacement. And the key additions from the winter — Joc Pederson and Jake Burger — have hurt more than they’ve helped. Pederson is hitting a remarkable .094 with a .334 OPS, and Burger (.561) was sent to the minors. Not good. The Rangers’ brass has taken note: Offensive coordinator Donnie Ecker, who was with the club during its 2023 run, was fired after Sunday’s game.


Win average: 79.5 (Last: 85.1, 10th)
In the playoffs: 25.7% (Last: 52.4%)
Champions: 0.7% (Last: 2.7%)

What must change: Carlos Correa

For once, we don’t have to cite the availability of the Twins’ stars as their primary problem. That’s still an issue, too, as Royce Lewis has yet to make his season debut — but the larger problem has been the star who has stayed on the field, Correa, is off to a miserable start. He’s hitting .216 with a lone homer and a .560 OPS to begin the season, hamstringing a Twins lineup that has struggled. Everything is off, even Correa’s plate discipline, as he has walked at a rate less than half his career norm. The Twins need more to turn around than just Correa, but no one else on the roster has fallen as far below expectation as he has.


Win average: 79.4 (Last: 82.9, 17th)
In the playoffs: 25.0% (Last: 39.2%)
Champions: 0.6% (Last: 1.6%)

What must change: Powerless stars

After the formerly punchless Royals hammered seven homers in Baltimore on Sunday, the Blue Jays sank to last in the majors with 23 homers. The power trio of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Anthony Santander and Bo Bichette have hit nine of those dingers between them — and that’s just not enough. Guerrero will be fine. Bichette has recovered most of the batting average he lost during last year’s .225 season, but he has homered only once. This is a player in his age-27 season who topped 20 homers in each season from 2021 to 2023. Finally, Santander has flailed during his first Toronto season, hitting four homers with a 67 OPS+. This can’t continue if the Jays are to contend.


Win average: 79.1 (Last: 79.9, 20th)
In the playoffs: 11.4% (Last: 28.9%)
Champions: 0.1% (Last: 0.5%)

What must change: The pitching

The Brewers are built to win on pitching and defense. Every year, they overperform their projections because of an organizational ability to find, or produce, quality pitchers. But so far, they just haven’t found enough of them in 2025. The overall run prevention has been off. In the first season after Willy Adames’ departure, the team defense has been more decent than elite. The rotation has received good work from Freddy Peralta, Jose Quintana and upstart Chad Patrick, but the falloff after that has been steep. Brandon Woodruff might return to the mix soon and that will certainly help. More troubling is Milwaukee’s normally airtight relief staff, which has struggled to finish games and strand inherited runners.

This all needs to turn around — and fast. With the Cubs emerging as a potential powerhouse in the NL Central, being an above-average team is no longer the bar to clear in the division. And it’s unlikely the Central’s second-place club is going to have a chance at a wild-card slot — not in this league.


Win average: 78.8 (Last: 80.3, 19th)
In the playoffs: 22.3% (Last: 27.1%)
Champions: 0.5% (Last: 0.8%)

What must change: Home-field disadvantage

No matter what happened, this was going to be a strange season for the Rays. Playing in a minor league facility owned by a division rival was going to take some getting used to. The problem for the Rays is that they need to get used to it quickly, because of a schedule heavy on early home games. When the Rays depart for a six-game trip on June 8, they will have played nearly twice as many games in Tampa (43) as on the road (22). That means, of course, that the Rays will have a road-heavy schedule after that, which would be fine if the Rays were playing well at George M. Steinbrenner Field — but they aren’t. When the Rays return to Florida on Tuesday, they’ll be 9-13 at their temporary venue. With a lot more games in Tampa coming up, it’s an issue they need to fix fast. If they don’t, they’ll be looking at an uphill battle for playoff contention, and most of those hills will be confronted away from home.


Win average: 78.8 (Last: 75.9, 23rd)
In the playoffs: 10.6% (Last: 14.6%)
Champions: 0.2% (Last: 0.2%)

What must change: Lead protection

The Reds might be good. The pitching staff (122 ERA+) ranks third in the NL. The rotation and the bullpen have contributed even though presumed closer Alexis Diaz floundered so badly that he was sent to the minors. Emilio Pagan has been OK in Diaz’s place, but he’s better suited for set-up work. Diaz’s trouble started last season, so it’s hard to say where his trajectory is headed. Recently recalled Luis Mey has electric stuff, but he’s unproven and prone to lapses of command. However it happens, manager Terry Francona needs someone to step up to lock down the ninth because the overall pitching is contention-worthy. The lineup … well, it’s another reason why the Reds can’t afford back-of-the-bullpen inconsistency.


Win average: 77.5 (Last: 73.5, 26th)
In the playoffs: 16.1% (Last: 8.4%)
Champions: 0.2% (Last: 0.1%)

What must change: The defense

This is shaping up as an exciting first season in Sacramento for the Athletics. The offense has been productive and looks legit, especially if rookie Nick Kurtz hits the ground running. The pitching is going to be more of a scramble, but what would help if the Athletics could field. They rank last or second to last in the leading defensive metrics. Only the Red Sox have committed more errors. Some teams can overwhelm opponents by favoring offense over defense at most positions, but the Athletics aren’t likely to be one of them. Key spots to shore up are second base and third base, positions that aren’t producing at the plate, either, so at the very least the Athletics could favor a glove.


Win average: 76.8 (Last: 81.0, 18th)
In the playoffs: 6.4% (Last: 33.9%)
Champions: 0.1% (Last: 0.7%)

What must change: Ryan Helsley

The Cardinals are perfectly mediocre, owning a run differential that has hovered around break even. Their record is a little worse than the expectation the so-so differential portends, largely because of a 4-5 record in one-run games — two of those coming in Sunday’s doubleheader against the Mets. This is not exclusively because of Helsley, but he has not been on his game so far with two blown saves in seven chances and walking nearly as many batters as he has struck out. The strikeout and walk rates are alarming, as they reflect what Helsley was early in his career before he ascended to All-Star status. If the mediocre Cardinals are going to do better than middling, they need their star closer to help them close out more than their share of close games. The kicker, though, is that if the Cardinals go into offload mode, this version of Helsley isn’t going to look nearly as alluring in the trade marketplace.


Win average: 75.7 (Last: 88.0, 7th)
In the playoffs: 11.7% (Last: 64.7%)
Champions: 0.2% (Last: 5.9%)

What must change: Right-handed hitting

No team has lost more from its preseason projection than Baltimore, so it’s very difficult to boil it down to one big thing. The problem with right-handed hitting could also be framed as a problem with hitting left-handed pitchers. The Orioles rank fifth with a .774 OPS against righties but are dead last against lefties (an anemic .502). Their righty hitters (Tyler O’Neill, Jordan Westburg, Gary Sanchez, et al.) are hitting a collective .200/.261/.319. This of course comes after the Orioles moved in the left-field fence at Camden Yards over the winter. How’s that going? Opposing righty hitters have a .972 OPS there, while their Baltimore counterparts are at .586. The visitors have outhomered Baltimore’s righty swingers 20-8 at Oriole Park.


Win average: 70.5 (Last: 67.7, 27th)
In the playoffs: 0.9% (Last: 1.9%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

What must change: Dylan Crews

The Nationals are competitive already and often fun to watch. Actual contention seems like a longshot, though, especially given the current state of their bullpen. Still, the more long-term questions the Nationals can answer in the affirmative, the better they will be able to set themselves up for a real push in 2026. At some point, infield prospect Brady House should join the big league fray. Until that happens, eyeballs remain on Crews, the touted second-year player whose MLB career has sputtered at the beginning. Crews looked lost early, going 5-for-47 with zero extra-base hits to start. Then came a two-week splurge with four homers and a 1.026 OPS over 13 outings. He’s 1-for-21 since. More than anything, Crews needs to get off the roller coaster and enjoy a nice, prolonged run of good, solid consistency.


Win average: 66.8 (Last: 73.8, 25th)
In the playoffs: 0.9% (Last: 8.9%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.1%)

What must change: Roster make-up

What do I mean by “roster make-up”? Remember the glory days of April 12, when L.A. was 9-5 and it seemed its floor-raising project from the winter was going to work? Since then, the Angels have a minus-65 run differential, 14 runs worse than any other team and, yes, that includes the Rockies. And also, Mike Trout is back on the injured list. The Angels are in the bottom five in OPS, ERA and defensive runs saved. This incidentally isn’t a tanking team. So how to change the roster makeup? Maybe just go young and lose big? The losing might happen anyway and, besides, what the Angels are doing now is not working.


Win average: 66.0 (Last: 74.2, 24th)
In the playoffs: 0.2% (Last: 10.4%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.1%)

What must change: Oneil Cruz‘s defense

According to baseball-reference.com, Cruz’s offense has been nine runs better than average, once you combine his hitting (.243/.377/.505 with eight homers) and baserunning (14 steals). His defensive performance in center field is minus-9 runs, erasing all of that offensive value. His bWAR (0.5) is a product of accounting — positional value and replacement value. Cruz is now minus-12 in fielding runs over the past two seasons in center. His career figure at shortstop was minus-9. Given his speed and arm strength, wherever Cruz plays, this cannot continue to happen. For all that athletic ability and offensive output, to this point he’d have produced almost as much value as a DH.


Win average: 63.6 (Last: 62.9, 28th)
In the playoffs: 0.1% (Last: 0.4%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

What must change: Sandy Alcantara‘s command

It’s great to have Alcantara back after Tommy John surgery. But so far, he has been a little tough to watch. It’s often said that command lags behind stuff for many surgery returnees, and that certainly seems to be the case for the 2022 NL Cy Young winner. His walk ratio (5.9 per nine innings) is more than double his career norm and his strikeout rate (15.8%) is the lowest of his career. Alcantara threw strikes nearly 69% of the time during the three years before he was injured; this season he’s at 62%. His velocity isn’t quite all the way back either, but he’s still averaging 97.4 mph with his fastball. He’s just not putting it where it needs to be.


Win average: 54.9 (Last: 54.1, 30th)
In the playoffs: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

What must change: Fan patience

To paraphrase Timothée Chalamet, now ain’t the time for your tears, Sox fans. That was last year. The White Sox are the team nearest to me — less than two miles from my keyboard — so I get a good sampling of fan feedback as I get out and about, plus plenty from the local media. This isn’t a scientifically-informed observation, but it feels as if many are missing the point. The White Sox tore the team down to the studs — last year — and this is the aftermath. The bounce-back was never going to be immediate. This year’s team stinks, sure, but it’s playing a much better brand of baseball than it did last year. There are players on the roster now who might be around for awhile and more are on the way. The rebuild isn’t even 20% complete and another 100-plus losses is a near certainty, but things are better. They had to be. Watching a team come together required patience, but it’s better than what White Sox fans dealt with a year ago.


Win average: 44.6 (Last: 57.1, 29th)
In the playoffs: 0.0% (Last: 0.1%)
Champions: 0.0% (Last: 0.0%)

What must change: Everything

The Rockies’ saves leader (Zach Agnos with two) has struck out one of the 26 batters he has faced. Their wins leader (Chase Dollander, a legitimately exciting prospect) has a 6.48 ERA. The team OPS+ is 62. Their leader in plate appearances (Ryan McMahon with 136) has an OPS of .574. Did the Rockies tear down? If so, how long have they been rebuilding? It’s really hard to make sense of the last half-decade or so of this franchise, and at this point, there seems to be no relief on the horizon. They did change hitting coaches.

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Stanley Cup playoffs daily: Round 2 begins with Maple Leafs-Panthers Game 1

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Stanley Cup playoffs daily: Round 2 begins with Maple Leafs-Panthers Game 1

With the final game of the first round of 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs completed Sunday night, there’s no rest for hockey fans. The second round begins Monday.

The first series to get rolling features the two remaining teams from the Atlantic Division, as the Florida Panthers visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (8 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Read on for a game preview with statistical insights from ESPN Research, a recap of what went down in Sunday’s game and the three stars of the first round from Arda Öcal.

Matchup notes

Florida Panthers at Toronto Maple Leafs
Game 1 | 8 p.m. ET | ESPN

ESPN BET has installed the Panthers as the favorites in the series at -175, while the Maple Leafs are +150 to win the series against the defending Stanley Cup champions.

The Panthers won the regular-season series 3-1 by an aggregate score of 13-7. A major factor in those four games was the Panthers’ power play, which converted five of 11 chances (45.5%). For comparison, the Leafs’ power play converted only one of nine opportunities (11.1%).

This is the second time these clubs have met in the postseason; the other time was also the second round in 2023. Florida eliminated Toronto in five games, punctuated by an overtime win in Game 5. (Nick Cousins scored the goal.)

Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Steven Lorentz and Anthony Stolarz won the Stanley Cup with the 2024 Panthers. The only previous playoff series in NHL history in which three players dressed against a team with which they won a Cup during the previous season was when Los Angeles Kings teammates Wayne Gretzky, Mike Krushelnyski and Marty McSorley skated against the Edmonton Oilers in 1989.

The Panthers have won more playoff games (39) since 2021 than they did in their first 26 seasons (19). Their 39 wins and 66 games played in the postseason since 2021 lead the NHL.

Florida’s postseason goal-scoring leaderboard features current players through the top four spots: Carter Verhaeghe (28), Sam Reinhart (23), Aleksander Barkov (20), Matthew Tkachuk (20).

This is the Leafs’ ninth straight postseason appearance, which is the longest active streak in the NHL and tied for the second longest in franchise history. That other nine-year streak ended in 1967 with a Stanley Cup win.

Toronto captain Auston Matthews is tied with Darryl Sittler for seventh in franchise history in playoff goals, with 25. His next goal will push him into a tie for fifth, with Steve Thomas and George Armstrong. Wendel Clark is atop the leaderboard, with 34.


Arda’s three stars from Round 1

Rantanen had 12 points in the first round to help the Stars eliminate his former team the Avalanche. He had multiple Stanley Cup playoff firsts along the way, including the first Game 7 with a third-period hat trick (“The Rantanen Game”).

McDavid put the team on his back many times during the series against the Kings, especially early. He finished with 11 points in the series, as the Oilers sent the Kings home in the first round for the fourth straight season.

The netminder allowed two goals or fewer in four of the Caps’ five games against the Canadiens, earning a .922 save percentage.


Sunday’s score

Winnipeg Jets 4, St. Louis Blues 3 (2OT)
WPG wins 4-3, plays DAL in Round 2

The Blues raced out to a quick 2-0 lead in the first period — on goals by Jordan Kyrou and Mathieu Joseph — and many thought this could be another bad playoff memory for Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck. Though the Jets got one back in the second off the stick of Cole Perfetti, Blues center Radek Faksa scored with under a minute left in the period, giving them a 3-1 lead heading into the third.

St. Louis carried that lead into the final two minutes, when the Jets furiously rallied; Vladislav Namestnikov scored at 18:04, and Perfetti deflected in the game-tying goal with three seconds remaining. The teams fought hard through the first 36 minutes of OT, before Adam Lowry tipped Neal Pionk‘s shot from the point past Jordan Binnington for the series-clinching tally. Full recap.

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Jets score tying goal in final seconds of regulation

Cole Perfetti knocks in the tying goal for the Jets with one second remaining in regulation.

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