Nigel Farage is still “assessing” what role he will play in the upcoming general election, the leader of Reform UK has said.
Holding a news conference to kick off the long campaign for the general election expected this year, Reform UK leader Richard Tice revealed he had been talking to Mr Farage over the festive break about what role he would play.
“We’ve been talking over the Christmas period and he’s obviously giving a lot of thought as to the extent of the role he wants to play in helping Reform UK frankly save Britain,” Mr Tice said.
“Nigel is the master of political timing but I’m very clear the job at hand is so big to save Britain, the more help that Nigel is able to give in the election campaign, frankly, the better.”
Mr Farage, who is currently Reform UK’s honorary president, stood down as party leader in 2021, when he was replaced by Mr Tice.
There has been speculation Mr Farage, who founded Reform, could make a political comeback to challenge the Tories over issues including legal and illegal migration.
Mr Tice claimed the Conservatives were “terrified” of the threat his party poses at the ballot box and that they needed a wake-up call because a Labour win – which he branded “Starmergeddon” – would be a “disaster” for Britain economically.
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He insisted his party would not do any “deals” with the Tories and would instead stand in every seat, with the party claiming to have already approved 500 candidates who will be unveiled at a rally next month.
Asked by Sky News how he would feel if Labour won a majority because Reform had split the Conservative vote, Mr Tice said: “I would feel pleased that I’ve helped punish the utter failure of the Conservative Party who have broken Britain.
“They must be punished. They must be ousted. You cannot reward failure with more incumbency.”
Pressed on whether he would contemplate doing a deal with the Conservatives after the election if not before, the Reform leader replied: “Let’s see what happens. I’m focusing on before the election, not after.”
What will a good result look like for Reform UK at the general election?
“Winning it”, said the party’s leader Richard Tice. Of course, it’s not going to happen but others in the room said they would be happy with a handful of seats.
However, if current polling is anything to go by, its main contribution will be to split the Conservative vote. That could pave the way for a Labour majority.
For Reform UK, Labour and the Conservatives are “two sides of the same coin”.
It accuses Mr Sunak of “breaking Britain”, while Sir Keir Starmer will “bankrupt Britain”.
It’s presenting itself as the only meaningful alternative to the status quo and has been buoyed by a bounce in the polls.
Mr Tice said the party’s current polling of about 1 % means the Tories “aren’t laughing anymore” but Labour may well be.
It will not be lost on them that the Labour majorities in the Tamworth and mid-Bedfordshire by-elections were smaller than the number of votes cast for Reform UK. In neither seat was Reform able to sufficiently capitalise on Conservative disenchantment. The winner was Labour.
Mr Tice rubbished the suggestion that his party may be an enabler for Labour.
He said he was “optimistic politically”, but the party has struggled to forge an identity for itself beyond being a meeting ground for disaffected Conservative voters.
For all his bluster about winning the election, the party is thin on policy.
Mr Tice said he wanted to boost economic growth and he presented some vague ideas. Chief among them was a plan to raise the personal allowance to £20,000.
It was an entirely unfunded pledge that may remind some of the Liz Truss era.
If today was about presenting Reform UK as more than just an agitator, it didn’t quite do the job.
Mr Tice accused the Conservatives of failing to bring down immigration in what he called a “betrayal” of Brexit voters.
He said there should be a policy of “one in, one out” and that businesses should “stop relying on the sort of cocaine-like addictive drug of cheap, low skilled immigration”.
Mr Tice said in the news conference that the income tax threshold should to be raised to £20,000, allowing potentially millions to avoid paying tax at all.
The Reform leader told Sky News that he believed his income tax policy would cost around £40bn, depending on how many people were in work.
Image: Mr Tice says he discussed a potential comeback with Mr Farage
The poll average for Reform currently stands at 9%, behind Labour which is sitting on an average of 42.5%, with the Tories on 25.5%.
The Lib Dems, meanwhile, are polling on average 11% of the vote, according to the Sky News live poll tracker, followed by Reform and the Greens on 5.9% and the SNP on 3.1%.
Conservative Party chair Richard Holden said: “A vote for Reform will only strengthen Labour’s hand – that means a vote for Labour’s £28bn a year spending splurge, driving up taxes for hardworking families.
“The Conservative government is focused on long-term decisions for the country – stopping the boats, driving down inflation and cutting taxes. If voters want real action to deliver a brighter future, the Conservatives are the only choice.”
The Conservatives have urged Sir Keir Starmer to publish all concerns raised by the security services about the appointment of sacked US ambassador Peter Mandelson.
Shadow cabinet office minister Alex Burghart said his party would push for a vote in parliament demanding the government reveal what issues the security services had in relation to Lord Mandelson’s relationship with the disgraced sex offender and financier Jeffrey Epstein.
Mr Burghart said material from the security services is not usually made public, but that a substantial amount of information was already in the public domain.
He told Sky News Breakfast: “What we’re going to do is we’re going to try and bring a vote in parliament to say that the government has to publish this information.
“It will then be up to Labour MPs to decide whether they want to vote to protect Peter Mandelson and the prime minister or make the information available.”
Mr Burghart said he had spoken to Labour MPs who were “incredibly unhappy about the prime minister’s handling of this”, and that it would be “very interesting to see whether they want to be on the side of transparency”.
Tory leader Kemi Badenoch said she believed Lord Mandelson’s appointment revealed that the prime minister “has very bad judgment”.
“It looks like he went against advice, security advice and made this appointment…and what we’re asking for is transparency.”
The Liberal Democrats have also called for parliament to be given a role in vetting the next US ambassador.
“I think it will be right for experts in foreign affairs on the relevant select committee to quiz any proposal that comes from 10 Downing Street, and so we can have that extra bit of scrutiny,” the party’s leader Ed Davey told broadcasters.
The former UK ambassador to France, Lord Ricketts, said the government should not be “rushing into an appointment” to replace Lord Mandelson.
“I would urge the government to take their time, and I would also make a strong case to the government to go for a career diplomat to steady the ship after this very disruptive process,” he said.
Labour MP Chris Hinchcliff posted on X that the former US ambassador should also be removed from the House of Lords.
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Nigel Farage said Sir Keir’s decision to appoint Lord Mandelson as UK ambassador to the US was a “serious misjudgement” by the PM.
“We don’t yet know what the intelligence briefings would have said, but it looks as though Morgan McSweeney, the prime minister’s right-hand man, and the prime minister, ignored the warnings, carried on,” he said.
“He was then reluctant to get rid of Mandelson, and he’s now left himself in a very vulnerable position with the rest of the parliamentary Labour Party.
“It is about the prime minister’s judgement, but it is also about the role that Morgan McSweeney plays in this government.”
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2:21
Reform UK leader Nigel Farage says Keir Starmer ignored the warnings about Lord Mandelson.
The timing of the sacking comes ahead of Donald Trump’s state visit next week, with the US president facing questions over his own ties with Epstein.
The prime minister sacked Lord Mandelson on Thursday after new emails revealed the Labour grandee sent messages of support to Epstein even as he faced jail for sex offences in 2008.
In one particular message, Lord Mandelson had suggested that Epstein’s first conviction was wrongful and should be challenged, Foreign Office minister Stephen Doughty told MPs.
The Foreign Office said the emails showed “the depth and extent of Peter Mandelson’s relationship with Jeffrey Epstein is materially different from that known at the time of his appointment”.
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1:37
Mandelson exit ‘awkward’ before Trump state visit
Downing Street has defended the extensive vetting process which senior civil servants go through in order to get jobs, which has raised questions about whether or not they missed something or Number 10 ignored their advice.
The prime minister’s official spokesman also said yesterday that Number 10 “was not involved in the security vetting process”.
“This is managed at departmental level by the agency responsible, and any suggestion that Number 10 was involved is untrue,” he told reporters.
Asked repeatedly if any concerns were flagged to Downing Street by the agencies that conducted the vetting of Lord Mandelson, he did not dismiss the assertion, repeating that Number 10 did not conduct the vetting.
Speaking to Sky News this morning, Scotland Secretary Douglas Alexander said his reaction to the publication of the emails was one of “incredulity and revulsion”.
He said he was “not here to defend” Lord Mandelson but said the prime minister “dismissed” the ambassador when he became aware of them.
The cabinet minister said Lord Mandelson was appointed on “judgement – a judgement that, given the depth of his experience as a former trade commissioner for the European Union, his long experience in politics and his policy and doing politics at the highest international levels, he could do a job for the United Kingdom”.
“We knew this was an unconventional presidential administration and that was the basis on which there was a judgement that we needed an unconventional ambassador,” he said.
Mr Alexander added: “If what has emerged now had been known at the time, there is no doubt he would not have been appointed.”
The question being asked everywhere today is “how did it happen”? Because the vibe out of Downing Street this morning seems to be that nobody anywhere did anything wrong, processes were followed, and everything went by the book.
But can they really, honestly, believe that?
To recap, the reason that everyone is asking is to try and discern whether the failings are a consequence of a fundamental, unfixable flaw at the heart of Keir Starmer’s operation.
Yesterday, we told you that the security services had raised red flags about the appointment of Peter Mandelson, yet Number 10 went ahead.
The story was nuanced. We did not say that Peter Mandelson had failed a deep vetting, just that concerns were relayed and the appointment went ahead.
We put the story to Downing Street, and – being candid – I did not understand what their official response meant, beyond it quite obviously not being a denial.
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As a response, Number 10 said to us that the security vetting process is all done at a department level – with no Number 10 involvement.
To a wider group of political journalists, an hour and a half after we aired the story, Number 10 said they were “not involved in the security vetting process. This is managed at the departmental level”.
Today, the line from Downing Street seems to be that there was no official level block on the appointment, so it went ahead.
Although The Times has reports from allies of Lord Mandelson claiming he disclosed everything, the exact chain of events remains opaque.
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1:54
The messages inside Epstein ‘birthday book’
But for those who want to understand the inner workings of government, here is more detail about the two types of check that would have gone on, and what this tells us.
Firstly, by the security services.
The Cabinet Office led both on vetting and separately on propriety and ethics (a form of government HR) but in effect, it’s multi-agency and multi-department.
In this instance, potentially multiple agencies would likely feed into the Foreign Office, or FCDO.
FCDO then act as a liaison for vetting – what I’m told is known as a “front face” – and an FCDO official takes a note to tie everything together.
We are being told that this amounts to a binary decision.
So, potentially, an FCDO official ties up the findings from both agencies and departments in one place and that’s given to the Permanent Under Secretary at the department (Philip Barton, later Olly Robbins) and Number 10.
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5:54
‘Was PM aware of Mandelson’s intimate relationship with Epstein?’
So the recommendations can both be “by a Foreign Office official” and from security services at the same time. That potentially explains some reporting this morning.
I believe, ultimately, I was told about the security service red flags because they do not want to share the blame for a catastrophic intelligence miss that has harmed this government severely.
And is a situation like this ever binary? If there are matters of judgement for the PM to weigh up, are we honestly saying they are kept from him?
Sources tell me there are always conversations around the side of these processes: it would be recklessly incurious of Number 10 if this had not been the case for someone who already resigned twice and whose association with Jeffrey Epstein was in the public domain.
But then there is a second, Cabinet Office-led process which is arguably more important.
There will have been checks on Lord Mandelson by examining what’s in the public domain.
It is, quite simply as one person said to me, a “Google check”.
This, too, must have flagged stories about Lord Mandelson’s relationship with Epstein post-conviction, and gone to Number 10.
At this point, the question is why No 10 did not see the sheer enormity of the risk this posed and pressed ahead anyway.
Who thought this was okay, and why?
There is a witch-hunt vibe to the Parliamentary Labour Party right now.
Now – and forever – there will be footage of Sir Keir Starmer in the Commons chamber defending keeping an ally in place who admitted a close relationship with a known paedophile after conviction and a jail sentence, before sacking him the next day.
The previous week, he was defending another ally who had avoided tax, before sacking her two days later.
When emails emerged of exchanges between the two men showing Lord Mandelson remaining supportive of Epstein even afterhe was convicted for the sex trafficking of underage girls, it was clear he had to go.
Lord Mandelson tried to cling on. The PM summarily relieved him of his duties.
There had initially been an appetite to keep him, in order to avoid embarrassing Donald Trump, who himself is being asked questions about his association with Epstein – and hates it.
But when these emails emerged, it was clear to No 10 that the scandal would blow up the state visit and Mandelson had to go.
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But what was also true was that even attempting to keep him in these circumstances could blow up Sir Keir Starmer.
The parliamentary party – and particularly many of the women MPs – were absolutely furious that Mandelson had backed a convicted paedophile against women and girls who had, to quote one victim, been passed to men by Epstein like fruit trays.
The spectre of a powerful man like Mandelson trying to protect him and even the thought of the PM trying to row in behind was absolutely unconscionable.
As Harriet Harman said on our Electoral Dysfunction podcast before he was sacked: “These young women talked about the ruination of their lives by this man abusing his wealth and his power.
“And the idea that Peter Mandelson sided with Epstein in that situation – and this is always the question – whose side are you on?
“You’ve got to be on the side of the vulnerable and not against the person who commits criminal offences, abusing their power.”
Harman also said she thought the prime minister would have been in “anguish” over having to defend Mandelson in the Commons.
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2:59
Harriet Harman, Ruth Davidson, and Beth Rigby react to the news
He looked almost as green as the green benches on Wednesday as he insisted he had full confidence in his ambassador, despite warnings from Mandelson himself that more embarrassing material was about to emerge.
When that material did emerge, I understand that the PM spent the evening in Downing Street going through the material and then summoned his new Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper, who has been a tireless champion in the fight to end violence against women and girls, for a meeting in which they decided to sack Mandelson.
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1:37
Sky’s US Correspondent Mark Stone provides analysis on the impact this may have on UK-US relations, as the President’s state visit to the UK approaches
That the US ambassador didn’t go of his own accord has angered many MPs and probably the PM, who has a record of prosecuting child sex offenders and made halving violence against women and girls a priority for this government.
Now Mandelson has gone. But, with the end of that comes new questions.
Questions about Keir Starmer’s political judgement.
This is not the first time Lord Mandelson has resigned in disgrace.
He stepped down as trade secretary over a loan from a colleague he failed to register under Tony Blair, and then quit again as Northern Ireland secretary over a cash for passports scandal.
And now the question is, in light of the Epstein connection, why did Starmer let him back in?
There is talk around Westminster that his key advisers had backed the move and Starmer had some reservations.
As well he might, because in the end, the scandal of it all stops at the PM’s door.
There are questions as to whether No 10 ignored concerns raised by the appointment and Badenoch is asking for full transparency.
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3:11
No 10 went ahead with the appointment anyway, Sky News understands
It is not known whether all of the detail was shared with the prime minister personally.
The prime minister’s official spokesman said No 10 “was not involved in the security vetting process”.
Badenoch said the latest revelations “point yet again to the terrible judgement of Keir Starmer”.
She added that it is “imperative that all documents relating to Peter Mandelson’s appointment are released immediately”.
Then there is a bigger picture.
Two weeks into a supposed reset, two scandals and two key figures gone from government.
This was a PM who promised to do politics differently and clean up after the scandal-ridden Tory years.
Peter Mandelson’s return to government and ousting in this manner casts a long shadow over the PM and that promise, and raises serious questions about the PM’s political judgement.
It was only on Wednesday that No 10 was thinking about trying to keep Mandelson to try to avoid putting the spotlight back onto President Trump.
With the White House, Royal Family and the UK government all tarnished by association with sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, this was an issue they all wanted to avoid and now it is top of the agenda.