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Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is unsure if the government can afford further tax cuts – as a National Insurance (NI) reduction comes into force today.

The pre-election cut to NI, from 12% to 10%, will impact around 27 million payroll employees across the UK.

A person earning the UK’s average salary of £35,000 will save £450 a year, or £37.38 a month, as a result of this change.

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Mr Hunt said the reduction, announced in his Autumn Statement last year, means “that a typical family with two earners will be nearly a thousand pounds better off this year”.

But Labour argued this wasn’t true, saying frozen income tax and national insurance thresholds mean that many families have been drawn into higher tax bands.

The Opposition’s new attack ads criticising the policy even made it onto the Tory-supporting website Conservative Home on Friday.

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Shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves said: “Under Rishi Sunak’s raw deal, for every extra £10 people are paying in tax they are only getting £2 back.”

A van in Wellingborough, North Northamptonshire, displaying Labour's poster campaign of what it calls "Rishi's raw deal" for taxpayers ahead of the reduction in national insurance contributions on January 6. Picture date: Friday January 5, 2024.
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Labour attack ad

‘If I can afford to go further I will’

In a statement on Saturday, Mr Hunt said he wanted to further ease the tax burden, which is expected to rise to the highest level since the Second World War before the end of this decade, but he doesn’t yet know if he can.

He called the NI reduction “the start of a process”, adding: “If I can afford to go further I will… I don’t yet know if I can.

“We want to do this because it helps families, it also helps to grow the economy, and we believe that a lightly taxed economy will grow faster and in the end that’ll mean more money for public services like the NHS.”

Mr Hunt argued the Conservative government “wants to bring down taxes” and recognises that “families are finding life really tough”.

But he defended its previous measures, saying: “It was right to support families through COVID and through the cost of living crisis, and yes taxes had to go up in that period.”

The government says its NI reduction is the biggest tax cut on record for workers.

The chancellor added: “Even after the effect of the tax rises that have happened previously, this means that a typical family will see their taxes go down next year.”

Jeremy Hunt leaves Downing Street to deliver the autumn statement in the Commons
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Jeremy Hunt leaves Downing Street to deliver the autumn statement in the Commons

Will Hunt cut taxes again before election?

The clock is ticking for Mr Hunt to find the fiscal headroom to cut taxes again.

The spring budget, pencilled in for 6 March, will be the last chance for him to make major tax and spending promises before the election, which Mr Sunak has said will likely be in the second half of the year.

Following the Autumn Statement in November, the government has faced pressure from Tory MPs to go further and cut income tax or inheritance tax.

While many campaigners welcomed the National Insurance changes, they pointed out that the tax burden remains at record high levels for Britons – thanks in part to the threshold at which people start paying personal taxes being frozen, rather than rising with inflation.

Mr Sunak introduced the current tax freezes when he was chancellor back in 2021 and as prime minister, extended the time they would need to be in place, from 2026 to 2028.

This causes a so-called “fiscal drag” as pay goes up but tax thresholds don’t, so more people are dragged into higher tax brackets.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies has said the Autumn Statement gave back just £1 in tax cuts for every £4 of tax rises due to threshold freezes since 2021.

Ms Reeves claimed that despite the NI cut, the average family was paying £1,200 extra tax this year “because of choices by Rishi Sunak and this Conservative government”.

“Never have people paid so much in tax and got so little in return in the form of public services,” she said.

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However, the Labour leadership has not committed to cutting tax or unfreezing the thresholds if they win the election.

Sir Keir Starmer told Sky News his priority is to grow the economy and he won’t make promises he can’t keep – but that he does want to “lower the burden of working people”.

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Chancellor’s Mansion House speech vows to rip up red tape – saying post-financial crash rules went ‘too far’

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Chancellor's Mansion House speech vows to rip up red tape - saying post-financial crash rules went 'too far'

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has criticised post-financial crash regulation, saying it has “gone too far” – setting a course for cutting red tape in her first speech to Britain’s most important gathering of financiers and business leaders.

Increased rules on lenders that followed the 2008 crisis have had “unintended consequences”, Ms Reeves will say in her Mansion House address to industry and the City of London’s lord mayor.

“The UK has been regulating for risk, but not regulating for growth,” she will say.

It cannot be taken for granted that the UK will remain a global financial centre, she is expected to add.

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It’s anticipated Ms Reeves will on Thursday announce “growth-focused remits” for financial regulators and next year publish the first strategy for financial services growth and competitiveness.

Rachel Reeves
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Rachel Reeves


Bank governor to point out ‘consequences’ of Brexit

Also at the Mansion House dinner the governor of the Bank of England Andrew Bailey will say the UK economy is bigger than we think because we’re not measuring it properly.

A new measure to be used by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) – which will include the value of data – will probably be “worth a per cent or two on GDP”. GDP is a key way of tracking economic growth and counts the value of everything produced.

Brexit has reduced the level of goods coming into the UK, Mr Bailey will also say, and the government must be alert to and welcome opportunities to rebuild relations.

Mr Bailey will caveat he takes no position on “Brexit per se” but does have to point out its consequences.

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Bailey: Inflation expected to rise

In what appears to be a reference to the debate around UK immigration policy, Mr Bailey will also say the UK’s ageing population means there are fewer workers, which should be included in the discussion.

The greying labour force “makes the productivity and investment issue all the more important”.

“I will also say this: when we think about broad policy on labour supply, the economic arguments must feature in the debate,” he’s due to add.

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The exact numbers of people at work are unknown in part due to fewer people answering the phone when the ONS call.

Mr Bailey described this as “a substantial problem”.

He will say: “I do struggle to explain when my fellow [central bank] governors ask me why the British are particularly bad at this. The Bank, alongside other users, including the Treasury, continue to engage with the ONS on efforts to tackle these problems and improve the quality of UK labour market data.”

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18 US states file lawsuit against SEC and Gary Gensler

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18 US states file lawsuit against SEC and Gary Gensler

President-elect Trump has vowed to fire SEC Chairman Gary Gensler and replace him with a more crypto-friendly SEC head. 

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Pennsylvania lawmaker introduces bill for ‘strategic Bitcoin reserve’

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Pennsylvania lawmaker introduces bill for ‘strategic Bitcoin reserve’

The proposed legislation would allow the State of Pennsylvania’s Treasurer to invest up to 10% of its funds in Bitcoin, suggesting a multibillion-dollar investment.

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