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Nintendo said domestic sales of Splatoon 3 hit a record in the first three days of the game being on sale. Splatoon 3 proved to be a hit in Japan, helping keep momentum for Nintendo’s ageing Switch console.

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Nintendo is likely to release a new Switch console this year, analysts told CNBC, as the Japanese gaming giant looks to capitalize on the interest in its characters ranging from Mario to Zelda.

The Nintendo Switch first launched in March 2017 and marked a new type of hybrid console where gamers could play on their TVs but then take their controller, attach it to a tablet, and game on the go.

This approach, which combined the at-home aspects of console gaming with the portability of mobile games, proved very popular with gamers. Nintendo has sold 132.46 units of the Switch, making it the company’s second-most successful console after the handheld Nintendo DS.

Since the Switch’s launch, Nintendo’s shares are up more than 200%. The console has helped the company sustain sales momentum over the years thanks to its steady and strong stream of first-party games and popular characters.

Games involving Mario, Zelda and Pokemon are among the Switch’s best sellers.

But there are signs that sales are starting to slow and Nintendo needs something new. In its September-quarter results, Nintendo said revenue fell 4% year-on-year and profit dropped 19%.

“I think the new device will come out in 2024, probably in the second half of the year,” Serkan Toto, CEO of Tokyo-based games consultancy Kantan Games, told CNBC.

“The original Switch is now almost 7 years old, sales are going down … So it’s absolutely high time for a new Nintendo system this year.”

Piers Harding-Rolls, research director of games at Ampere Analysis, expects the launch of the new Switch in the fourth quarter of this year.

For Atul Goyal, managing director at Jefferies, the timings of the launch will depend on recent sales. If the Switch remained popular in the holiday quarter then Nintendo could push a new console out to the Fall of this year, Goyal said. If Switch sales dropped in the December quarter, the new device could come as early as Spring or Summer, he added.

Nintendo has not announced its December-quarter results yet.

Launching a new console this year will also allow Nintendo to capitalize on the popularity of a number of its key characters following movie releases. “The Super Mario Bros. Movie” has raked in more than $1 billion in box office sales since its April release and helped Nintendo see a bump in revenue in the June quarter of last year. In November, Nintendo said it plans to develop a live-action film of The Legend of Zelda, one of its most popular characters.

What do we know about Switch 2?

Not much at this point as the company has been tight-lipped on what’s next. Analysts are expecting what they’re dubbing the “Switch 2” to follow the hybrid approach set out by its predecessor.

“I’m expecting Nintendo’s next console to be a Switch follow-up, as the hybrid device approach has been so successful,” Harding-Rolls said, adding that there’s likely to be an upgrade in capabilities to the company’s console controllers too.

Kantan Games’ Toto said he expects the successor to be a “new device and not just an upgrade.”

“Nintendo needs to drastically improve specs after 7 years, so they will absolutely release a successor,” Toto said.

Such an appraoch, building on the success of the Switch, makes sense to many.

“An evolution, not a revolution, in the console strategy is likely. In other words, an iPhone model. With that comes the opportunity to ease the 130M+ Switch audience into a familiar but more powerful form factor, and the ability for Nintendo to sell compelling 1st (and 3rd) party games to a scaled audience,” analysts at Moffett Nathanson wrote in a note in December.

Will the ‘Switch 2’ sell well?

Harding-Rolls said the performance of the new console will be impacted by the availability of the product. But he said he can see it “achieving similar levels to the original Switch during its first Q4 sales period,” which equates to around 7 million or 8 million units sold to consumers.

Analysts at Moffett Nathanson said the Switch 2 is unlikely to “match or surpass the Switch,” arguing the current Nintendo console benefitted from people buying gaming consoles while staying at home during the Covid-19 pandemic.

Still, the analysts said “this next console can match or even exceed the early performance of the Switch but trail off as we get into year four and beyond,” as Covid-inflated comparisons of Nintendo’s fiscal year in 2021 and 2022 are “too challenging to overcome.”

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CoreWeave prices IPO at $40 a share, below expected range

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CoreWeave prices IPO at  a share, below expected range

Michael Intrator, co-founder and CEO of CoreWeave, speaks at Web Summit in Lisbon, Portugal, on Nov. 13, 2024.

Carlos Rodrigues | Sportsfile | Web Summit | Getty Images

CoreWeave on Thursday priced shares at $40 in the company’s IPO, raising $1.5 billion in the biggest U.S. tech offering since 2021, CNBC has confirmed.

The company, which provides access to Nvidia graphics processing units for artificial intelligence training and workloads, had planned to sell shares for between $47 and $55 each. At the top end of the range, that would’ve valued CoreWeave at about $26.5 billion, based on Class A and Class B shares outstanding.

The offering is down from 49 million shares to 37.5 million, according to a source familiar with the matter who asked not to be named because the announcement hasn’t been made public yet. Bloomberg was first to report on the $40 price. At that level, CoreWeave’s valuation will be closer to $19 billion, though the market cap will be higher on a fully diluted basis.

Earlier on Thursday, CNBC reported that Nvidia, one of CoreWeave’s largest shareholders, was targeting a $250 million order at $40 per share.

CoreWeave’s shares are set to start trading on the Nasdaq on Friday under the ticker symbol “CRWV.”

The IPO is a major test for tech startups and the venture capital market after an extended lull in new offerings dating back to the beginning of 2022, when soaring inflation and rising interest rates pushed investors out of risky assets. Other tech-related companies that have filed to go public in recent weeks include digital health startup Hinge Health, online lender Klarna and ticketing marketplace StubHub. Bloomberg reported on Wednesday that chat app maker Discord is working on an IPO.

The last venture-backed tech company that raised at least $1 billion for a U.S. IPO was Freshworks in 2021. Last year Reddit and Rubrik each raised about $750 million in their offerings.

After Donald Trump’s election victory in November, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said he expected renewed IPO activity, but President Trump’s imposition of tariffs in recent weeks added uncertainty to economic forecasts and led to increased volatility to tech stocks.

CoreWeave counts Microsoft as its biggest customer by far. Other clients include Meta, IBM and Cohere. Revenue soared more than 700% last year to almost $2 billion, but the company recorded a net loss of $863 million. CoreWeave’s model is capital intensive, requiring hefty purchases of equipment and expenditures on real estate.

A week after filing to go public, CoreWeave announced a contract with OpenAI worth up to $11.9 billion over five years. OpenAI agreed to buy $350 million in CoreWeave stock as part of the deal.

CoreWeave is trying to compete with some of the biggest tech companies in the world, including Amazon, Microsoft and Google, the three leading providers of public cloud infrastructure in the U.S.

WATCH: Nvidia will anchor CoreWeave deal at $40 per share with a $250 million order, sources say

Nvidia will anchor CoreWeave deal at $40 per share with a $250 million order, sources say

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AppLovin shares plunge 20% after third short-selling firm slams company’s ad technology

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AppLovin shares plunge 20% after third short-selling firm slams company's ad technology

Jaque Silva | Nurphoto | Getty Images

Shares of AppLovin sank 20% on Thursday, their steepest drop on record, as another short-selling firm raised concerns about the company’s digital ad technology and claimed that it’s violating app store rules.

AppLovin tumbled $65.92 to close at $261.70. The stock soared more than 700% last year, the biggest gain among U.S. tech companies, due to enthusiasm surrounding AppLovin’s artificial intelligence technology and the growth it was spurring in its ad business.

But Muddy Waters Research on Thursday became the third short-selling firm to publish a report meant to raise significant investor skepticism. The stock is down 19% in 2025 after Thursday’s drop.

The report said that AppLovin’s ad tactics “systematically” violate app stores’ terms of service by “impermissibly extracting proprietary IDs from Meta, Snap, TikTok, Reddit, Google, and others.” In so doing, AppLovin is funneling targeted ads to users without their consent, Muddy Waters said.

“If APP is not deplatformed, logically, numerous competitors will start copying APP’s techniques because there is little technology involved,” the firm wrote.

Read more CNBC tech news

Last month, Fuzzy Panda Research was one of two firms, along with short-seller Culper Research, that critiqued AppLovin’s AXON software, which drove its earnings growth and stock surge. The shares dropped 12% on Feb. 26, the day of the short reports. Earlier in February, AppLovin reported a revenue and earnings beat.

After the short reports were published last month, AppLovin CEO Adam Foroughi wrote a blog post, defending his company’s technology and practices, and taking aim at the short sellers trying to profit from AppLovin’s decline.

An AppLovin spokesperson didn’t provide a comment on Thursday, referring CNBC to Foroughi’s post.

“It’s disappointing that a few nefarious short-sellers are making false and misleading claims aimed at undermining our success, and driving down our stock price for their own financial gain, rather than acknowledging the sophisticated AI models our team has built to enhance advertising for our partners,” Foroughi wrote. “It’s also noteworthy that the short reports emerged after our earnings report, where we would be in a period of being unable to respond with financial performance.”

Earlier this month, Fuzzy Panda penned a letter to the S&P 500 inclusion committee reiterating its claims of fraudulent ad tactics and alleging that AppLovin didn’t meet the committee’s “gold standard.” The firm encouraged the committee to keep AppLovin out of the S&P 500.

“AppLovin’s recent revenue growth has been based in data theft, revenue fraud, and the exploitation of our country’s laws protecting children,” the firm wrote to the S&P committee.

One of Muddy Waters’ central claims is that e-commerce advertisers are bailing on AppLovin. The firm said that it analyzed 776 advertisers active early in the first quarter and noted that the churn rate was about 23%, while Foroughi “reportedly claims there has been no churn,” according to the report.

Muddy Waters said it conducted the churn analysis by looking at e-commerce websites that, on Jan. 3, had AppLovin’s AXON pixel. The firm then re-ran those checks from March 24-26, and said it found 21 sites with “broken links,” and another 171 that no longer contained the pixel.

The 23% “churn rate is based only on those customers who removed the pixel,” the firm wrote.

A representative for Muddy Waters declined to comment.

WATCH: AppLovin shares down after Muddy Waters short

AppLovin shares down after Muddy Waters short

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Silicon Valley bubble risks heighten as investors pile into funds that bet on a single buzzy startup

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Silicon Valley bubble risks heighten as investors pile into funds that bet on a single buzzy startup

What to know about the rise of special purpose vehicles

One of the most popular acronyms in Silicon Valley these days is SPV.

It stands for special purpose vehicle. In tech startup land, it’s a type of investment fund that typically involves concentrating all of its assets in one company. SPVs have blown up in recent years as investors clamor to get a piece of hot startups with valuations often in the tens of billions of dollars.

But buyer beware. Investors are warning of hidden fees, unclear rules about ownership, and marketing that’s driven by FOMO, or the fear of missing out.

Traditional venture capital funds spread risk across a portfolio of startups, with the understanding that most bets will fail and that the one or two successes will pay back the fund several times over. In an SPV, a fund manager usually raises capital for a single deal and recruits a syndicate of smaller investors to join for an added fee that covers management and other costs.

Some established venture firms use the vehicles to offer their limited partners — endowments, pension funds or high-net worth investors — a larger slice of a single startup. That allows the firm to write a bigger check and capture more ownership than would be possible using their existing funds.

“In venture capital, a few winners deliver all the results,” said Sandeep Dahiya, professor of finance at Georgetown’s McDonough School of Business. “SPVs are a single shot — if it works out, good. If not, there’s no second bite of the apple.”

Six years ago, SPVs accounted for just 7% of private shares traded on Forge Global, a marketplace for private company stock. That number has since ballooned to 64%.

SPVs have been a cornerstone in major artificial intelligence deals of the past year, including OpenAI, Anthropic and CoreWeave, set to go public later this week. Magnetar, CoreWeave’s largest institutional investor, has used SPVs to help build its stake in the AI infrastructure company.

We’re seeing a lot of fundraising through SPVs in artificial intelligence names — it’s a way to raise a large amount of money in a short mount of time,” Howe Ng, head of data and investment solutions at Forge Global, told CNBC. “The hotter the name, the higher the fee.”

The rising risk of a data center bubble and how it could affect Nvidia

AngelList, which also offers access to SPVs and secondary shares, noted a similar flurry. CEO Avlok Kohli said his platform has seen a 65% increase in SPV flows in the past year, in part because the venture market has started to recover after a gloomy few years when the story was all about inflation and higher interest rates.

Kohli said he’s seen some shady behavior in the SPV market. When he personally invested in a startup through a syndicate six years ago, he said there were multiple layers of fees and a lack of transparency.

“A bunch of things weren’t disclosed to me,” he said. “It was clear the person I invested behind had no idea what was going on at the company, and that that experience as a [limited partner] is seared into my brain. I would rather not have anyone else go through that.”

Kohli said AngelList often turns down SPVs that it can’t verify. In extreme cases, Kohli said, funds will pool together money to invest in a startup with no guarantee that they’ll actually own the stock. He called such behavior fraud, and said it takes place “in every bull cycle.”

‘Typically a bad sign’

There are differences this time.

In addition to a huge pipeline of high-valued companies that have been on the sidelines due to the dormant IPO market and the mountains of available private capital, employees at late-stage companies are cashing out through selling shares in secondary rounds, which has created more opportunities for SPV deals.

Private market gains are outpacing the stock market of late, attracting more interest from high net worth investors. Forge’s private market index is up 32% in the past three months, outpacing gains for S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq-100, which are down in the first quarter.

To invest in an SPV, individuals need to be “accredited” and meet certain thresholds set by the SEC. Qualification requires having a net worth of at least $1 million and earnings of at least $200,000 annually over the past two years. At that level, the SEC considers investors sophisticated enough to protect their own financial interests despite the risk of putting money in unregistered securities.

“Because these are private companies, it’s expected that you know what you’re doing,” Georgetown’s Dahiya said.

Hans Swildens, CEO and Founder of Industry Ventures, which focuses on secondary market investments, said access to information is a big challenge and transaction data is spotty. He estimated only 10% of secondary deals are made public.

“Most of the time, counterparties don’t want to disclose what they buy or sell,” he said. “They’re not writing a press release.”

The law requires that SPVs disclose their fees. But how much an SPV investor ultimately ends up paying can vary depending on the holding period of the asset. The longer the waiting period until an acquisition or an IPO, the bigger the return needs to be to make up for those fees.

Swildens said the SPV explosion has parallels to the peak of the dot-com bubble, when retail investors put cash into hyped-up internet companies.

“It’s typically a bad sign in our market, when retail shows up,” he said. “If retail keeps coming in and over the next year or two, and makes up a larger part of this market, I would say that that’s probably a good signal for institutional investors to take some risk off and sell.”

WATCH: Venture capital veterans talk AI hype cycle

Venture capital veterans talk new Silicon Valley firms and the AI hype cycle

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