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There is a long queue of people waiting to board the ferry from the coastal city of Xiamen in southeast China.

There are families with children, a number of older people and many others lugging huge suitcases laden with cheap goods.

They board quickly and take seats inside the small boat, there’s a sense many of them take this trip regularly.

Their journey is a short one, fewer than 10 miles lasting only about half an hour, but they are passing between two places with an increasingly tense and fractious relationship: China and Taiwan.

Indeed, this ferry links Chinese Xiamen with the Kinmen Islands, an outlying territory of Taiwan situated over 100 miles from the Taiwanese mainland, but just a few miles from China’s coast.

China-Taiwan map

They are so close that even on a misty day you can see one from the other, at low tide the very closest points are a mere two kilometres apart and there is a history of defectors successfully swimming between them.

But these islands and the short journey between them offer a vantage point of sorts, a perspective on the complex, intertwined relationship between China and Taiwan, the struggle over what their future should be and, crucially, the threat that one poses to the other.

Those issues are coming into sharp focus this week as Taiwan heads to the polls to pick a new president.

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The contest China calls a choice between war and peace

The skyscrapers of the Chinese city of Xiamen visible across the water from Taiwan’s Kinmen Islands.
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Xiamen is seen from the Kinmen Islands

‘A choice between war and peace’

As a self-governing island that China views as a breakaway province, elections are always contentious, and this time promises to be no exception.

The current ruling party’s candidate, Lai Ching-te, is most likely to win, his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) takes the hardest line against China, and with a history of making pro-independence statements, his election will be highly provoking to Beijing.

In the run-up China has maintained military pressure on Taiwan such as flying warplanes towards the island, while one official framed the vote as a choice between “war and peace”.

On Kinmen itself an awareness of its vulnerability is everywhere.

The beaches are lined with historic defensive spikes and bunkers, there are multiple imposing army bases and military trucks are a regular sight on the roads.

Experts say that while Kinmen would not be a key focus of any Chinese invasion, it would likely be a first port of call.

Historic defences on a beach on Taiwan’s Kinmen Islands just across the water from China
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Historic defences on a beach on Taiwan’s Kinmen Islands, just across the water from China

Shih Tsung Chen, 66, is a retired teacher who lives on the Kinmen Islands, he is critical of the ruling DPP for 'emphasising Taiwan's independence'
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An historic bunker on a beach on the Kinmen Islands, which could be re-used if China invaded

‘People are unhappy and angry’

This is what 36-year-old Wenchi Lan believes. He previously served in the army and is now a keen follower of military issues and an expert on Kinmen’s historic military sites.

He thinks that while war isn’t imminent, it is possible and shows us a bag he has prepared for that eventuality, including torches, medicine and a wallet stuffed with Chinese currency to “pay-off the invading troops”, he says.

As a young voter his support lies with Lai Ching-te, the DPP, he believes, is the party most likely stand up to the Chinese threat.

“Emotionally due to the constant state of intimidation, people are definitely unhappy and angry,” he says, “China’s continuous showing of military threat is counter-productive.

“The threat from China directly influences my families’ assessment of the candidates and their attitudes towards cross-strait relations.

“Older people tend to believe that the country should prioritise peace over the nation, consider peace first and then the nation second.”

He continues: “However my family and I believe the order should be reversed, we think the nation should come first and then we can discuss how to engage in equal exchanges.”

Watch: Moment Chinese warship nearly hits US destroyer in Taiwan Strait

Wenchi Lan, 36, who runs tours of military sites on the Kinmen Islands, has prepared an emergency kit for him and his wife for if China was to invade
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Wenchi Lan has prepared an emergency kit for him and his wife for if China invades

Taiwan's current vice president and DPP candidate for president Lai Ching-te alongside his running mate Hsiao Bi-khim on a campaign poster on display in the Kinmen Islands
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Taiwan’s current vice president and DPP candidate for president Lai Ching-te alongside his running mate Hsiao Bi-khim on a campaign poster

‘Both Taiwan and the mainland belong to Chinese culture’

But the views of many on Kinmen are a little more nuanced, heavily influenced by the deep historical as well as cultural and linguistic ties with the mainland.

In fact many here continue to see themselves as culturally Chinese, “I am a Fujian person”, one woman proudly tells us.

And that closeness means that many here vote for the opposition KMT party which advocates more dialogue and a closer relationship with Beijing.

This is also a place where Chinese efforts to win the hearts and minds of Taiwanese people have made significant inroads.

State supported cultural exchanges are just one tactic.

Shih Tsung Chen’s choir has taken part in such exchanges, journeying to the mainland to perform.

At the small church in Kinmen where they gather to practice a mixture of Taiwanese and Chinese cultural songs, he tells us that most people here want a relationship with China, but one based on peace.

“Politically, we belong to Taiwan, but in terms of culture, I feel that we are quite close to the mainland. This closeness may even surpass Taiwan itself,” he says.

Shih Tsung Chen, 66, is a retired teacher who lives on the Kinmen Islands, he is critical of the ruling DPP for 'emphasising Taiwan's independence'
Image:
Shih Tsung Chen is critical of the ruling DPP for ’emphasising Taiwan’s independence’

In fact when it comes to rising tensions with China, he blames the DPP.

“Taiwan’s main issue now is because the ruling party has been emphasising Taiwan’s independence,” he says.

“I think that the division between the two sides, Taiwan and the mainland, is not correct. Both Taiwan and the mainland belong to Chinese culture. So, fundamentally, trying to separate them is not right. From my perspective, Taiwan’s ruling party bears a larger responsibility.”

A KMT victory might reduce tensions across the strait for a time, but it almost certainly won’t resolve the underlying disagreement.

It is unclear at the moment how China will respond to the vote, but any escalation of tensions may well be felt first by the people of Kinmen.

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Russia ‘making concessions’ and Ukraine ‘happy’ with peace deal talks, says Trump

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Russia 'making concessions' and Ukraine 'happy' with peace deal talks, says Trump

Donald Trump has claimed Russia is “making concessions” in talks to end the Ukraine war – and that Kyiv is “happy” with how talks are progressing.

Speaking to reporters on Air Force One as he flew out to his Florida estate for Thanksgiving, Mr Trump said “we’re making progress” on a deal and said he would be willing to meet with both Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy once they are close to an agreement.

He also said his previously announced deadline of Thursday, which is Thanksgiving, was no longer in place – and that the White House’s initial 28-point peace plan, which sparked such concern in Kyiv, “was just a map”.

U.S. President Donald Trump looks on aboard Air Force One during travel to Palm Beach, Florida, from Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, U.S., Nov
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U.S. President Donald Trump looks on aboard Air Force One during travel to Palm Beach, Florida, from Joint Base Andrews, Maryland, U.S., Nov

Asked if Ukraine had been asked to hand over too much territory, Mr Trump suggested that “over the next couple of months [that] might be gotten by Russia anyway”.

Moscow’s concessions are a promise to stop fighting, “and they don’t take any more land”, he said.

“The deadline for me is when it’s over,” he added. “And I think everybody’s tired of fighting at this moment.”

Read more: A plan with Russian fingerprints all over it

Before boarding the plane, Mr Trump claimed only a few “points of disagreement” remain between the two sides.

Mr Trump’s negotiator Steve Witkoff will be meeting with Mr Putin in Moscow next week, the president said, while American army secretary Daniel Driscoll is due to travel to Kyiv for talks this week.

The chief of Ukraine’s presidential staff, Andriy Yermak, wrote: “Ukraine has never been and will never be an obstacle to peace. We are grateful to the US for all its support.

“The meeting between the presidents will be thoroughly and promptly prepared on our part.”

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‘Ukraine still needs defence support,’ says Zelenskyy

Zelenskyy warns against ‘behind our back’ deal

Yesterday, a virtual “coalition of the willing” meeting that featured Ukraine’s allies took place, which was attended by US secretary of state Marco Rubio.

In a speech, Mr Zelenskyy told attendees: “We firmly believe security decisions about Ukraine must include Ukraine, security decisions about Europe must include Europe.

“Because when something is decided behind the back of a country or its people, there is always a high risk it simply won’t work.”

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What is Russia saying about the latest peace talks?

A joint statement from coalition leaders Sir Keir Starmer, Emmanuel Macron, and Friedrich Merz said they had agreed with Mr Rubio “to accelerate joint work” with the US on the planning of security guarantees for Ukraine.

But a Ukrainian diplomat has warned major sticking points remain in the peace deal being thrashed out – primarily the prospect of territorial concessions.

A warning from the Kremlin

Meanwhile, Moscow has stressed that it will not allow any agreement to stray too far from its own objectives.

Russia’s foreign minister Sergei Lavrov warned any amended peace plan must reflect the understanding reached between Mr Trump and Mr Putin over the summer.

“If the spirit and letter of Anchorage is erased in terms of the key understandings we have established then, of course, it will be a fundamentally different situation,” he said, referring to the two leaders’ meeting in Alaska.

Read more:
Zelenskyy races to beat Trump’s peace plan deadline

In full: Europe’s 28-point counterproposal

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Standing ovation for Zelenskyy

As negotiations continue, so have Russian attacks, with Kyiv hit by a barrage of missiles and hundreds of drones early yesterday morning.

Seven people were killed with power and heating systems disrupted, as residents sheltered underground.

Meanwhile, three people died and homes were damaged after Ukraine launched an attack on southern Russia.

‘A critical juncture’

French President Emmanuel Macron has said peace efforts are gathering momentum, but “are clearly at a critical juncture”.

And during the annual White House turkey pardon ahead of Thanksgiving, Mr Trump told reporters: “I think we’re getting close to a deal. We’ll find out.

“I thought that would have been an easier one, but I think we’re making progress.”

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Trump’s peace plan had Russian fingerprints all over it – and now we know why

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Trump's peace plan had Russian fingerprints all over it - and now we know why

In this story, there’s no substitute for hard news.

To learn of US envoy Steve Witkoff and his Russian interactions is to understand the handbrake turn towards Moscow.

If there was much surprise and confusion about the origins of a peace proposal that had Russian fingerprints all over it, there is less now.

The Bloomberg report of Witkoff’s recent involvement distills eye-watering detail of his contact with Yuri Ushakov, Vladimir Putin’s senior adviser on foreign policy.

Among the revelations, it tells of the American advising the Russian on dealing with Trump.

In a phone call last month, Witkoff told Ushakov that Zelenskyy was coming to visit the White House, and suggested Putin speak to Trump beforehand.

Witkoff reportedly said: “The president will give me a lot of space and discretion to get to the deal.”

He spoke of Trump’s 20-point Gaza peace plan and suggested that “maybe we do the same thing with you”.

Read more:
Who actually wrote Trump’s peace plan?

Steve Witkoff: Real estate mogul turned envoy

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What is Russia saying about the latest peace talks?

A good impression of a useful idiot

Subsequently, Witkoff drafted the controversial peace proposal with his Russian counterparts, and the US pressured Ukraine to accept it.

The report paints an unflattering picture of Trump’s envoy doing a good impression of a useful idiot.

There must be serious questions surrounding his engagement with the Russians and serious concerns around consequences that are potentially catastrophic.

Moscow’s threat to Ukraine and to the security infrastructure of Western Europe is strengthened on his handshake.

He’ll press the flesh in Russia once more – Donald Trump is sending Witkoff back to Moscow for further talks aimed at bridging the Ukraine-Russia impasse.

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Trump: I think we are getting very close to Ukraine deal

Scandal isn’t what it used to be

Putin has given the Americans little to no encouragement around their reworked plan and Kyiv will shudder at what Trump’s “Mr Fixit” might fix next.

They will despair of his continued involvement at any level and what it says about Trump’s perspective and where his loyalties lie.

In any other job, Witkoff might have been sacked for being irredeemably compromised.

At any other time, this would have been viewed, universally, as a major scandal.

But under Donald Trump, scandal isn’t what it used to be.

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‘Ukraine still needs defence support,’ says Zelenskyy

The president and his point man continue to consort with Vladimir Putin.

On the evidence of Steve Witkoff’s interaction, the power dynamic leans less Trump than we might have thought.

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Venezuela: Maduro brandishes sword and vows to defy any US attempt to overthrow his government

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Venezuela: Maduro brandishes sword and vows to defy any US attempt to overthrow his government

Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro has vowed to defy any US attempt to overthrow his government – telling crowds that “failure is not an option”.

The 63-year-old brandished a sword as he addressed supporters during a march in Caracas, against a backdrop of growing tensions with Donald Trump’s administration.

Dressed in camouflage fatigues, Mr Maduro said: “We must be ready to defend every inch of this blessed land from imperialist threat or aggression, no matter where it comes from.”

Maduro was swamped by supporters. Pic: Reuters
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Maduro was swamped by supporters. Pic: Reuters

Since September, US military forces have been conducting a series of strikes against vessels suspected of drug trafficking in international waters, killing at least 80 people.

Washington has claimed that several of these boats had departed from Venezuela, with Mr Maduro describing the deployment as an assault on the nation’s sovereignty.

‘Stop this madness’

Yesterday, Cuba also accused the US of seeking a violent overthrow of Mr Maduro’s government – and called its military presence in the region “exaggerated and aggressive”.

The country’s foreign minister, Bruno Rodriguez, said ousting Venezuela’s leader would be extremely dangerous and irresponsible, not to mention a violation of international law.

He added: “We appeal to the people of the United States to stop this madness. The US government could cause an incalculable number of deaths and create a scenario of violence and instability in the hemisphere that would be unimaginable.”

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Is US about to go to war with Venezuela?

Reports suggest the US is planning to launch a new phase of Venezuela-related operations in the coming days.

Critics have questioned the legality of America’s campaign and argue it amounts to extrajudicial killings, with a recent poll suggesting just 29% of voters support this policy.

Officials within Maduro’s government have claimed that Washington’s actions are being driven by economic motives.

Venezuelan minister Delcy Rodriguez said: “They want Venezuela’s oil and gas reserves. For nothing, without paying. They want Venezuela’s gold.

“They want Venezuela’s diamonds, iron, bauxite. They want Venezuela’s natural resources.”

Venezuela's president has remained defiant. Pic: AP
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Venezuela’s president has remained defiant. Pic: AP

Donald Trump, like his predecessor Joe Biden, does not recognise Mr Maduro as the country’s leader.

He is currently on his third term after being declared the winner of last year’s presidential election, despite evidence that the opposition defeated him by a two-to-one margin.

Mr Maduro and senior officials have been repeatedly accused of human rights violations against real and perceived government opponents.

Earlier this week, the US designated Venezuela’s Cartel de los Soles – Cartel of the Suns in English – as a foreign terrorist organisation for importing illegal drugs to the States.

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Venezuelan president dances to speech remix

The Trump administration has claimed that Maduro is part of this group, but Venezuelan officials have described its mere existence as a “ridiculous fabrication”.

Speaking to reporters on Air Force One as he travelled to Florida for Thanksgiving, the president suggested he might be planning to talk to Mr Maduro.

“If we can save lives, if we can do things the easy way, that’s fine,” the US president said. “And if we have to do it the hard way, then that’s fine too.”

Read more world news:
Russia ‘making concessions’, Trump says
Four more arrests over Louvre heist
Brazil’s Bolsonaro begins 27-year jail term

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US strikes alleged drug boat

Carlos Diaz Rosillo, a former US deputy assistant secretary of defence during the first Trump administration, does not believe America will go to war with Venezuela.

He told The World With Dominic Waghorn: “What I do see is a strategy of maximum pressure on the regime. I do think if there’s any change, that change has to come from within the military.”

Dr Rosillo said the official position of the US government is not regime change, but Mr Trump would like to see that happen in Venezuela.

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