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US inflation rose 3.4% in December, a larger-than-expected increase that could delay the prospect of three interest rate cuts the Federal Reserve plans for this year.

December’s Consumer Price Index which tracks changes in the costs of everyday goods and services came in above the 3.2% figure economists at FactSet expected, and marks an advance from the 3.1% growth reading in November — the lowest monthly reading since June.

The latest inflation figure — more than half of which was driven by persistently stiff housing costs — is significantly lower than the 6.5% advance in December 2022.

Still, there’s a ways to go before inflation is tamped down to the Fed’s 2% target — a rate the US economy hasn’t seen in over a decade.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that the 2% reading likely won’t happen until 2025 after they chose to hold the rate steady following their meeting last month. The central bankers had signaled that they would begin cutting the Fed fund rate — currently between 5.25% and 5.50% — this year.

However, Wall Street expectations that a rate cut could come as soon as March were dampened by the stubborn inflation figures. It was further tempered by other data on Thursday showing the labor market remained fairly tight at the start of this year — with the number of people filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly falling last week.

The data followed news last Friday that the economy added 216,000 jobs in November and annual wage growth picked up.

“The final stretch of the path back to the 2% inflation target could be harder than the market is anticipating,” said Ryan Brandham, head of global capital markets, North America, at Validus Risk Management.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics attributed the CPI increase to the shelter index, which rose 0.4% on a monthly basis and contributed to over half of the monthly all-items increase.

The food index increased 0.2% in December, as it did in November.

And the gas index rose 0.4%, offsetting a decrease in the natural gas index, the federal agency said.

As of Thursday, the average price for a gallon of gas in the US is $3.08, according to AAA data.

Core CPI —  a number that excludes volatile food and energy prices — increased 0.3% in December after rising 0.2% in November.

The figure, a closely-watched gauge among policymakers for long-term trends, was also greater than what economists at FactSet expected.

Persistently high inflation poses a threat to President Joe Biden’s prospects for reelection later this year. Frustration over the rising cost of living has weighed on Biden’s popularity, even as other aspects of the economy, including the labor market, have remained favorable.

“Until we see further progress on services inflation, the Fed will likely be worried about upside risks to inflation,” said Stephen Juneau, a U.S. economist at Bank of America Securities in New York.

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After the release of the CPI, several Fed officials indicated that imminent cuts were unlikely.

The next FOMC meeting will be held Jan. 30 to 31, at which point central bankers will decide on whether to keep the borrowing rate at its current rate — the highest Americans have seen since 2006.

The December CPI report “just shows there is more work to do and that work is going to take restrictive monetary policy,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in an interview with Bloomberg TV.

“I think we need to see more evidence,” before reducing interest rates, she said, with a March rate cut, currently anticipated by financial markets, “too early in my estimation.”

In separate comments to reporters following a presentation at the Virginia Bankers Association, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the December inflation report was “about as expected,” with prices rising slowly for goods but shelter and services costs still increasing at a more vigorous pace.

Barkin said that did not add to the sort of “conviction” about future declines in inflation that he feels he would need to begin reducing the Fed’s target interest rate.

“This gap between services and shelter and goods is one that I am watching carefully because you would not want a goods deflationary cycle to end and find yourself disproportionately bearing the cost of shelter and services,” Barkin said.

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Environment

Fiat launches beachy Topolino Vilebrequin as Stellantis ramps up EV production

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Fiat launches beachy Topolino Vilebrequin as Stellantis ramps up EV production

The Fiat Topolino Vilebrequin is a new beach town cruiser that captures the elegance, glamour, and relaxed vibe of the French Riviera. More significantly, the updated EV also heralds Stellantis’ plans to double EV production at its Kenitra Assembly Plant in Morocco.

Closer to a Mercury Villager Nautica or Ford F-150 Harley-Davidson than a new model on its own, the new Topolino Vilebrequin features colors and fabrics inspired by the French surfwear brand, and is based on the Dolcevita version of Stellantis’ electric microcar. With its open sides, a soft rollback roof, and turtle-tastic fabric prints, it’s ready to whisk you off on a carefree summer adventure in France or Italy – which are, coincidentally, the only two markets the “collector’s edition” Vilebrequin Topolino is currently available in.

“This encounter between the Fiat Topolino and our iconic sea turtle gave rise to a high-quality, lower-impact, and perfectly whimsical design,” says Roland Herlory, CEO of Vilebrequin. “(It is) the definitive summer toy, and the perfect witness to sun-soaked memories still to come.”

Like the standard Topolino, the new Vilebrequin model remains electronically limited to a top speed of 45 kph (just under 30 mph), and is equipped with a 5.5 kWh battery pack that ensures up to 75 km (about 45 miles) of electric range. Prices start at €13,490 ($15,810), and if you don’t want one you’re dead inside.

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Fiat Topolino Vilebrequin


The Vilebrequin Topolino is just the latest version of Stellantis’ electric microcar platform that underpins the Citroën Ami, Opel Rocks-e, and Fiat Topolino. Annual production of the little EVs has grown from 20,000 units and is reportedly on track for 70,000 in 2025.

Now, Mopar Insiders is reporting that number is about to get even bigger. Stellantis’ Chief Operating Officer (COO) for the Middle East & Africa (MEA) region, Samir Cherfan, announced plans to more than double the production capacity at the company’s Kenitra Assembly Plant in Morocco, from some 230,000 vehicles per year to more than 530,000.

The factory was opened in 2019, and the planned €1.2 billion ($1.4B) expansion is expected to add around 3,100 new jobs to the factory’s employee roster.

SOURCE | IMAGES: Stellantis.


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Business

Lakeland-owner Hilco eyes swoop for stricken jeweller Claire’s

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Lakeland-owner Hilco eyes swoop for stricken jeweller Claire's

The prolific high street investor which owns Lakeland and has backed chains including HMV and Superdry is sizing up a takeover of the UK operations of Claire’s, the struggling jewellery chain.

Sky News understands that Hilco Capital, which was also one of the recent bidders for Poundland, is among the parties expected to submit offers for Claire’s in the coming weeks, according to banking sources.

Other parties expected to examine offers for Claire’s British chain, which trades from about 280 stores, would include Alteri Investors and Modella Capital, which recently bought WH Smith’s high street chain.

The Telegraph reported earlier this month that Claire’s had hired Interpath Advisory to find a buyer for the UK business as it explores options – including bankruptcy – for its US-based operations.

Prospective buyers of the business have been told that a sale of the British chain could lead to significant numbers of store closures.

One retail industry boss speculated that as many as a third of the UK shops could be axed in a deal to salvage the rest of the chain, potentially putting hundreds of jobs at risk.

Claire’s has been a fixture in British shopping centres and on high streets for decades.

Houlihan Lokey, the investment bank, is advising on the sale of the US arm.

Claire’s, which is reported to trade from 2,000 stores globally, is owned by former creditors Elliott Management and Monarch Alternative Capital following a previous financial restructuring.

Hilco could not be reached for comment on Sunday.

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Politics

Embedding human rights into crypto isn’t optional, it’s foundational

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Embedding human rights into crypto isn’t optional, it’s foundational

Embedding human rights into crypto isn’t optional, it’s foundational

Embedding human rights into crypto systems is a necessity. Self-custody, privacy-by-default, and censorship-resistant personhood must be core design principles for any technology. The future of digital freedom depends on it.

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