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Rishi Sunak’s once close friend, Robert Jenrick, is leading the 64-strong Tory rebellion.

Boris Johnson was out of the traps this morning to throw his support behind the rebels.

Loyal MPs are spitting that two deputy party chairmen – Lee Anderson and Brendan Clarke-Smith – have put their names to rebel amendments and not yet been sacked.

Welcome to another day in the Conservative Party psychodrama.

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Boris Johnson moves against PM on Rwanda

Mr Jenrick, who abstained on the second reading of the Rwanda bill, went further than I thought he would on Tuesday in an interview with me, telling Sky News he was prepared to vote down the bill if the prime minister didn’t make robust changes to the proposed legislation.

His argument is consistent – he doesn’t believe the bill as it stands will work, and he – like Mr Sunak – is prepared to “do whatever it takes”.

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“The government has a choice,” he added. “It can accept the amendments… or it can bring back a new and improved bill, and it can do that in a matter of days.”

When I point to concessions the government is offering – such as more judges and further streamlining the judicial process – Mr Jenrick is unmoved.

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Rwanda bill ‘a bucket full of holes’

Neither is he being swayed by another argument the government is hammering home to rebels – that Rwanda won’t take any deportees if it deems the UK has broken any international law over this legislation.

“It is quite an implausible suggestion from the government, which was raised at the 11 hour,” he said. “I think it is a highly convenient argument…I don’t think it’s going to wash with colleagues.”

For his part, the prime minister argues he has gone as far as he can legally while staying on the right side of the law, while Mr Jenrick says he has not.

When I asked the former immigration minister whether he has legal advice showing that there is a respectable argument for these amendments that he’s privately shared with the government, he tells me he has the legal opinion but says it’s “not common practice” to share legal advice.

“The PM has said that his test is [for there to be] respectable legal arguments in favour of any amendments,” he told me.

“I have legal opinion from a highly respected lawyer, John Larkin Casey, the former attorney general of Northern Ireland, who attests to that fact.”

So, it appears the rebels and the government are at a standoff.

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Number 10 does not seem minded to budge, believing that it will, as with the second reading of this bill, be able to pick off rebels and get it passed.

Meanwhile, Mr Jenrick – alongside former home secretary Suella Braverman – is upping the ante by declaring they will, if necessary, vote down the legislation.

When I put it to the former immigration minister that it would, in effect, be a confidence issue in the prime minister and leave him in crisis should he lose the vote, he disagreed, arguing that what was at stake was getting the policy right.

But this argument won’t be lost on other rebels, worried that torpedoing the Rwanda legislation entirely will only make it worse at the ballot box, leaving the government with absolutely no chance of tackling the problem, while leaving an already diminished leader defenestrated.

For now, the consensus around Westminster is that the legislation will pass – although perhaps with a smaller majority than the 44 the prime minister secured at the second reading.

But it looks like it’s going to be messy and damaging.

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PM asked if he will discipline frontbenchers who oppose Rwanda plan

If Mr Jenrick’s rebel amendment around individual claims is called today, the government will be caught up in the spectacle of whipping its MPs to vote down 60-plus rebels.

That’s perhaps the biggest rebellion – please correct me if I am wrong out there – since 91 Tory MPs defied a three-line whip on House of Lords reform in the coalition years.

A victory this week will be banked as a win and will allow Mr Sunak to kick the matter of small boats into the long grass (at least for a bit) and reset his focus to an issue a little more fertile for him – the economy.

But what happens, as Mr Jenrick asks, if, come August there are still thousands of people coming across in small boats?

There is a chunk of his party, particularly in those Boris Johnson-backing Red Wall seats, who believe success or failure at the ballot box rests on this single issue, which is why they are unbiddable.

That’s why winning the vote won’t bring peace for the prime minister and his party.

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RWAs build mirrors where they need building blocks

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RWAs build mirrors where they need building blocks

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Most RWAs remain isolated and underutilized instead of composable, DeFi-ready building blocks. It’s time to change that.

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Collapsed crypto firm Ziglu faces $2.7M deficit amid special administration

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Heidi Alexander says ‘fairness’ will be government’s ‘guiding principle’ when it comes to taxes at next budget

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Heidi Alexander says 'fairness' will be government's 'guiding principle' when it comes to taxes at next budget

Another hint that tax rises are coming in this autumn’s budget has been given by a senior minister.

Speaking to Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips, Transport Secretary Heidi Alexander was asked if Sir Keir Starmer and the rest of the cabinet had discussed hiking taxes in the wake of the government’s failed welfare reforms, which were shot down by their own MPs.

Trevor Phillips asked specifically if tax rises were discussed among the cabinet last week – including on an away day on Friday.

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Tax increases were not discussed “directly”, Ms Alexander said, but ministers were “cognisant” of the challenges facing them.

Asked what this means, Ms Alexander added: “I think your viewers would be surprised if we didn’t recognise that at the budget, the chancellor will need to look at the OBR forecast that is given to her and will make decisions in line with the fiscal rules that she has set out.

“We made a commitment in our manifesto not to be putting up taxes on people on modest incomes, working people. We have stuck to that.”

Ms Alexander said she wouldn’t comment directly on taxes and the budget at this point, adding: “So, the chancellor will set her budget. I’m not going to sit in a TV studio today and speculate on what the contents of that budget might be.

“When it comes to taxation, fairness is going to be our guiding principle.”

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Afterwards, shadow home secretary Chris Philp told Phillips: “That sounds to me like a barely disguised reference to tax rises coming in the autumn.”

He then went on to repeat the Conservative attack lines that Labour are “crashing the economy”.

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Chris Philp also criticsed the government’s migration deal with France

Mr Philp then attacked the prime minister as “weak” for being unable to get his welfare reforms through the Commons.

Discussions about potential tax rises have come to the fore after the government had to gut its welfare reforms.

Sir Keir had wanted to change Personal Independence Payments (PIP), but a large Labour rebellion forced him to axe the changes.

With the savings from these proposed changes – around £5bn – already worked into the government’s sums, they will now need to find the money somewhere else.

The general belief is that this will take the form of tax rises, rather than spending cuts, with more money needed for military spending commitments, as well as other areas of priority for the government, such as the NHS.

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