Natural gas prices have had an up and down January — taking Club stock Coterra Energy along for the wild ride. After rising more than 30% over the first two weeks of the year, natural gas futures plunged 24% last week and have continued their fall in recent days. The commodity lost 4% on Monday, but in a volatile session Tuesday settled up 1.3%, at $2.45 per million British thermal units. Nevertheless, nat gas prices remained negative year to date. Early Wednesday, nat gas prices swung higher. Shares of Coterra – whose total revenue is split evenly between natural gas and crude oil – gained ground Tuesday to more than $24 each, putting year-to-date declines at less than 3.5%. That performance has been marginally worse than the S & P 500 energy sector over the same stretch. Meanwhile, the broad S & P 500 index has risen roughly 2% in 2024. CTRA .SPX 1M mountain Coterra Energy’s stock price over the past month compared with the S & P 500. Despite some seeing a challenging near-term picture for natural gas prices, our investment outlook on Coterra and the energy sector more broadly remains the same. In a diversified portfolio, it’s worth owning an oil-and-gas stock, partly as a hedge in case there’s a dramatic spike in energy prices, as there was in early 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine. At this point, Coterra is our company of choice due to its significant exposure to both natural gas and oil, giving it flexibility on production, along with its internal improvements on well productivity to aid profitability — the latter being called out in multiple Wall Street analyst upgrades of the stock in recent weeks. Additionally, the company is committed to returning excess cash to shareholders, with a wise preference on buybacks over variable dividend payouts. It also stands to gain from the expected increases in U.S. liquified natural gas export capacity beginning primarily in 2025. Still, volatile oil and natural gas prices hold sway over Coterra’s near-term stock moves. And the swift reversal of fortunes for natural gas has been hard to ignore. However, some context is necessary when analyzing the swing. “Last week’s meltdown appears so significant because the move higher was, really, from a fundamental perspective completely overdone,” said Eli Rubin, a natural gas analyst at EBW Analytics Group. The commodity was particularly beaten up to end 2023, Rubin said, after one of the warmest Decembers on record limited demand for natural gas to heat homes and other buildings. The warm December added insult to injury amid strong U.S. natural gas production and mild weather throughout the fall, contributing to an oversupplied market. The result is traders had grown quite bearish on natural gas, Rubin said, which created the technical conditions for a dramatic spike in prices if more positive fundamental signs emerged. And they did, in fact, emerge by way of winter storms and bitter-cold temperatures that swept large parts of the U.S., causing a surge in demand for natural gas. That technical and fundamental backdrop created the jump of more than 30% in natural gas prices. However, the market’s focus last week began to shift toward weather forecasts for later in the month, which point to a return of warmer temperatures. And that’s generally what sparked the big decline in natural gas prices that have persisted into this week, Rubin said. Over the next three to six months, Rubin said he expects the natural gas market to remain “vastly oversupplied,” suggesting more pressure on the commodity’s price could be on the horizon. But looking out further on the horizon, Rubin said he sees the outlook starting to brighten as LNG-related demand is set to appear and hopes for a more normal winter emerge. That should bode well for Coterra. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long CTRA. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
A drilling rig operates in the Permian Basin oil and natural gas production area in Lea County, New Mexico, February 10, 2019.
Nick Oxford | Reuters
Natural gas prices have had an up and down January — taking Club stock Coterra Energy along for the wild ride.
Honda wants in on the growing demand for affordable EVs. With the company’s CEO saying EVs selling for under $30,000 will be the main competition in the US, Honda may offer one of its own.
Honda mulls launching a sub-$30,000 EV in the US
Honda currently sells one fully electric vehicle in the US, the Prologue, which shares the same Ultium platform as the Chevy Equinox EV and all of GM’s electric cars.
The company confirmed that the Acura ZDX will not return for the 2026 model year, as it prepares for a new lineup over the next few years.
During the Japan Mobility Show last week, Honda unveiled the Super-ONE, a prototype of its smallest and most affordable EV set to launch in Japan next year, followed by Europe, the UK, and other global markets. Although the Super-ONE is not expected to arrive in the US, Honda may still offer an EV for under $30,000.
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Honda’s CEO, Toshihiro Mibe, told reporters in Japan last week (via The Drive) that looking ahead, the main competition in the US will be affordable EVs, priced under $30,000.
The Honda Super-ONE (Source: Honda)
“So, for the future, we will consider coming up with EVs under $30,000 as well,” Mibe said. However, don’t expect to see it anytime soon.
Thanks to the Trump administration killing off the $7,500 federal tax credit and ending other policies promoting EV adoption, Honda believes it has some time before it needs to launch it.
2026 Honda Prologue Elite (Source: Honda)
“What’s making it difficult, of course, is with the IRA subsidies now gone, with the Trump administration in place, we have the sense that maybe EV growth has been moved back out, maybe out five years in the further future,” Mibe said.
Due to the changes, Honda is aiming to launch more affordable EVs priced under $30,000 closer to the end of the decade.
“If we think about whether we have to really come up with those affordable EVs right away, we get the feeling not really,” Mibe said, adding it will be around 2030 before we see it.
Honda also wants to introduce an electric sports car, but “given this slowing down environment of the electrification in the market, it is kind of hard to decide when we would make them available to the market, ” Mibe added, saying it will simply launch “sometime in the future.” Honda has already made several prototypes.
(Source: Honda)
The 0 Series Alpha SUV, revealed at the Japan Mobility Show, offers a preview of what the lower-priced EV could look like when it arrives.
In the meantime, Honda will focus on hybrids. The company is set to introduce its next-gen mid-size hybrid platform in 2027, promising it will be more efficient, less costly, and free of rare-earth materials.
Although it’s still not under $30,000, Honda is offering over $16,500 off with stackable savings on the 2025 Prologue in most US states.
Cooling towers at the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant in Middletown, Pennsylvania, Oct. 30, 2024.
Danielle DeVries | CNBC
Nuclear power will receive most of the money from the Energy Department’s loan office as the Trump administration pushes to quickly break ground on new reactors, Secretary Chris Wright said on Monday.
“We have significant lending authority at the loan program office,” the Secretary of Energy said at a conference hosted by the American Nuclear Society in Washington D.C. “By far the biggest use of those dollars will be for nuclear power plants — to get those first plants built.”
Wright said he expects electricity demand from AI to attract billions of dollars in equity capital to build new nuclear capacity from “very creditworthy providers.” The Energy Department could match those private dollars by as much as four to one with low cost debt financing from the loan office, he said.
“When we leave office three years and three months from now, I want to see hopefully dozens of nuclear plants under construction,” Wright said.
Cameco Chief Operating Officer Grant Isaac said last week that the U.S. government has a number of options available to facilitate the financing of Westinghouse reactors, including the Energy Department’s loan office.
“We’re assured that there is a lot of interest in investing this minimum $80 billion in order to begin the process,” Isaac told investors on Cameco’s third-quarter earnings call.
Under the terms of the October deal, Westinghouse could spin out as a separate, publicly-traded company with the U.S. government as a shareholder.
But Westinghouse has struggled in the past to build the AP1000 on time and on budget. It went bankrupt in 2017 from cost overruns at big nuclear projects in Georgia and South Carolina.
Two AP1000 reactors entered service at Plant Vogtle in Georgia in 2023 and 2024, years behind schedule and billions of dollars over budget. The South Carolina project was cancelled.
The board of Rivian has introduced a new pay package for the American automaker’s founder and CEO, RJ Scaringe, incentivizing him to stay on target and maintain growth over the next decade. If it comes to fruition, Scaringe’s revamped pay package could be one of the most robust in history.
Rivian, although a growing name in the automotive conversation, remains a relatively young brand. While it took some time (and plenty of money) to scale, Rivian finally hit its stride in R1 and EDV production at its flagship facility in Normal, IL.
Since then, the American EV automaker’s financial reports have been trending upward, most recently in its Q3 financials, which detailed an increase in deliveries, revenues, and gross profits. Through thick and thin, Rivian’s founder and CEO, RJ Scaringe, has always been at the helm.
The company was originally founded as Mainstream Motors in 2009 by Scaringe himself, an MIT grad who studied engineering and lean manufacturing. Scaringe grew up near Melbourne, Florida, where he would work on cars with his neighbor and spend much of his time outdoors hiking and exploring.
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As Scaringe grew older, he found himself driving miles into nature to hike, and became aware that he was contributing to the pollution of an environment he looked to preserve. As a result, the company was born.
Flash forward to today, and Rivian is currently selling its second-generation R1S and R1T EVs, as well as a new flagship model called the R2, which is due in the first half of 2026. Aside from helping battle climate change and provide consumers with dependable and rugged alternatives to traditional combustion pickups and SUVs, Rivian’s CEO does have to make a living, and has a pay plan in place.
However, Rivian’s board has announced a revamped plan with new and potentially more realistic milestones that could pay its founder and CEO handsomely.
Source: Rivian.com
Rivian CEO’s pay plan tied to stocks and financial targets
As reported by Reuters, Rivian’s board has decided to nix CEO RJ Scaringe’s current pay plan, which it said would likely not be met. Instead, Scaringe’s future as Rivian’s founder is secure through a new plan, complete with lower goals regarding share growth. The board also voted to double Scaringe’s base salary to $2 million.
According to a filing with the SEC, this new plan grants Rivian’s CEO options to purchase up to 36.5 million shares of the automaker’s Class A stock at an exercise price of $15.22 per share. Reuters notes that the purchase option involves approximately 16 million more shares than the previous grant awarded to Scaringe in 2021.
According to the new payment plan, the CEO’s award will be realized if Rivian achieves reduced stock-price milestones, which range from $40 to $140 per share over the next decade. That’s a more manageable number compared to stock milestones in the now-defunct pay package that required Rivian to reach a share price between $110 and $295 each.
Other required milestones include operating income and cash flow targets over the next seven years. If Rivian hits all the milestones in this revised package, its CEO will rake in up to $4.6 billion, while shareholders will gain $153 billion in value.
This news is quite topical as Tesla shareholders recently approved an astronomical pay package of $3 trillion for CEO Elon Musk, who, unlike Scaringe and despite what he says, is not a founder of the company he leads.
The revamped focus on growth and profits for the company, its CEO, and Rivian shareholders comes just a few weeks after Rivian announced it was laying off over 4% of its staff to lean down ahead of the R2 launch. R2 has a powerful hype train behind it, as a smaller, more affordable Rivian EV that aims to compete with the ultra-popular Tesla Model Y.
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