‘Almost inevitable’ UK will burn more gas and import more energy after Hinkley nuclear plant delayed, experts warn
The fresh delays to Hinkley Point C nuclear power station will “very likely” force the UK to burn more gas and import more energy than expected, analysts have told Sky News.
The already delayed project had been due to provide 7% of the UK’s electricity from 2027, until it was pushed back again last week by another 2-4 years.
The likely uptick in dirtier gas power would also add more greenhouse gases just as the UK is trying to slash them by 2030, the industry voices warned.
The UK government did not deny that gas and energy imports will likely increase, but insisted climate targets would not suffer as a result.
An energy department spokesperson said: “Hinkley Point C will serve Britain until well into the next century, making an important contribution to the UK’s net zero commitments.”
Professor Rob Gross, director of UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC), said the delays to Hinkley made increasing gas burn in the meantime “almost inevitable”.
Wind or solar are unlikely to plug the gap because the UK is already “struggling to connect all the renewables schemes already in the pipeline for 2027/28″, he said.
Glenn Rickson, who analyses the UK power sector for S&P Global Commodity Insights, also said it is “almost inevitable” that UK gas generation “will be higher” than if Hinkley had fired up in 2027.
He added: “Albeit well below current levels, mostly due to increased wind generation in the meantime.”
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UK’s electricity grid problem
Increased energy imports and emissions likely in short term
But the “the single biggest change may be an increased pull on power imports from the UK’s neighbours”, said Mr Rickson.
Prof Gross also said the UK “might import more power” by increasing the use of undersea electricity cables known as interconnectors.
The extra electricity imports might come from nuclear in France, wind in Denmark or hydro in Norway, but it could also mean more from gas generation too.
“Certainly the net impacts will be to lift overall fossil fuel generation, whether that’s in the UK or elsewhere in Europe,” said Mr Rickson.
With more fossil fuel generation comes more emissions of greenhouse gases, which governments are trying to cut in order to reign in climate change.
The prime minister Rishi Sunak in September watered down some climate measures on the basis the UK was on track to meet its target to cut emissions by 68% by 2030.
But the country is now missing an important part of that plan – Hinkley was due to provide 3.2GW of clean power from 2027.
That’s about 7% of the UK’s electricity, and enough to power six million homes.
“The most significant impact from a UK perspective will be higher greenhouse emissions,” said Robert Sansom, energy consultant for the Institution of Engineering and Technology.
Tom Greatrex, chief executive of business group the Nuclear industry Association, said: “Without more nuclear and renewables, it’s inevitable that we’ll burn more gas.”
“Hinkley will produce clean, reliable power for around 80 years, stretching into the next century, and alongside other stations it will complement wind and solar with a baseload of power available whatever the weather.”
UK plans to ‘revive’ nuclear power
Once upon a time Hinkley was slated to produce power from 2017, but it has been plagued by setbacks and delays, as have two similar plants in Finland and France.
Operator EDF blames Hinkley’s woes on inflation, the COVID-19 pandemic, Brexit and reportedly thousands of extra additional design changes required by the UK regulator.
The government last month set out plans to radically increase the UK’s nuclear capacity and simplify and accelerate the process.
Industry says future projects can be built faster and cheaper if projects are less spread out in time, and thanks to what is learned from building Hinkley.
The UK hasn’t built any new nuclear projects since Sizewell B was finished in 1995.
Eight of its 9 reactors are due to retire by 2028, and have already had their lives extended, meaning they are unlikely to plug the gap left by Hinkley either.
A spokesperson for the energy security and net zero department said: “We have the right energy mix to meet our net zero targets – investing in renewables, building the five largest operational offshore wind farms in the world, and supporting the revival of nuclear power.”
UK car production fell by more than a quarter (27.1%) last month as a cyberattack at Jaguar Land Rover halted manufacturing at the plant, industry figures show.
The total number of vehicles coming off assembly lines – including cars and vans – fell an even sharper 35.9%, according to September data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT).
“Largely responsible” for the drop was the five-week pause in production at Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) due to a malicious cyber attack, as other car makers reported growth.
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JLR’s assembly lines in the West Midlands and Halewood on Merseyside were paused from late August to early October as a result.
During this time, not a single vehicle was made. Production has since restarted, but the attack is believed to have been the “most financially damaging” in UK history at an estimated cost of £1.9bn, according to the security body the Cyber Monitoring Centre.
It was the lowest number of cars made in any September in the UK since 1952, including during the COVID-19 lockdown.
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Are we in a cyber attack ‘epidemic’?
Despite the restart, the sector remains “under immense pressure”, the SMMT’s chief executive Mike Hawes said.
The phased restart of operations led to a small boost in manufacturing output this month, according to a closely watched survey.
Of the cars that were made, nearly half (47.8%) were battery electric, plug-in hybrid or hybrid.
The vast majority, 76% of the total vehicles output, were made for export.
The top destinations are the European Union, US, Turkey, Japan and South Korea.
JLR was just the latest business to be the subject of a cyberattack.
Harrods, the Co-Op, and Marks and Spencer, are among the companies that have struggled in the past year with such attacks.
Championship club Sheffield Wednesday have filed for administration, according to a court filing, which will result in the already struggling side being hit with a 12-point deduction.
The South Yorkshire club currently sit bottom of the Championship, the second tier of English football, with just six points from 11 games.
Known as The Owls, Wednesday are one of the oldest surviving clubs in world football, with more than 150 years of history.
Court records confirm the club have filed for administration. A notice was filed at a specialist court at 10.01am.
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Sky’s Rob Harris reports on the news that Sheffield Wednesday have filed for administration
What has happened?
The Owls, who host Oxford United on Saturday, have been in turmoil for a long time.
On 3 June, owner Dejphon Chansiri, a Thai canned fish magnate who took over the club in 2015, was charged with breaching EFL regulations regarding payment obligations.
Sheffield Wednesday fans protest the ownership at a game away to Leeds United in January. Pic: Reuters
Weeks later, Mr Chansiri said he was willing to sell the club in a statement on their official website.
Sheffield Wednesday’s troubles have sparked furious protests from fans. Pic: PA
Their crisis deepened just days later when another embargo was imposed on the club relating to payments owed to HMRC, before players and staff were not paid on time on 30 June.
In the months that followed, forwards Josh Windass and Michael Smith left the club by mutual consent. Manager Danny Rohl, now at Rangers, also left by mutual consent.
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Frustrated Sheffield Wednesday supporters have targeted their embattled club’s owner in a highly-visible protest during their opening match of the season.
The Owls were forced to close the 9,255-capacity North Stand at Hillsborough after a Prohibition Notice was issued by Sheffield City Council.
‘Current uncertainty’
On 6 August, the EFL released a statement, saying: “We are clear that the current owner needs either to fund the club to meet its obligations or make good on his commitment to sell to a well-funded party, for fair market value – ending the current uncertainty and impasse.”
On 13 August, the Prohibition Notice was lifted, but a month later, news emerged of a winding-up petition over £1m owed to HMRC.
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Last season, Wednesday finished 12th. They had already been placed under registration embargoes in the last two seasons after being hit by a six-point deduction during the 2020/21 campaign, for breaching profit and sustainability rules.
With a 12-point deduction, the Owls would be 15 points away from safety in the Championship.
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