Labour in needless tangle over headline policy that didn’t exist in detail at all

Published

1 year ago

February 9, 2024

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The incredible – needless – tangle that Labour got itself into over its £28bn green investment policy only truly became clear as leader Sir Keir Starmer and shadow chancellor Rachel Reeves were killing it.

The flagship policy had been that it borrows £28bn a year to turn Britain green.

But at 5pm on Thursday, Labour announced it would only be borrowing just a tenth of that sum – £2.6bn a year – an extraordinary switch.

Politics Live: Starmer ditches his ‘biggest dividing line’ with Tories

Yet in the same breath, Sir Keir and Ms Reeves say that they will continue to press ahead with all the projects they were talking about doing before this change, reducing the scale of spending on just one project while keeping all the rest in train.

Only over the course of briefings and interviews did the true scale of the underlying mess become clear.

All the agony and pain that Labour has been absorbing over this policy – a bruise the Tories have been mercilessly punching – was for a headline policy that, in reality, didn’t exist in detail at all.

As recently as Tuesday, Sir Keir recommitted to spending £28bn a year. Last month, he told Sky News the Tories were trying to “weaponise this issue, the £28bn… this is a fight I want to have”.

Yet even as he said this, it wasn’t true.

Since it was first announced two years ago, this policy has already been changed three times – to delay its introduction in full until the second half of the parliament, make it subject to fiscal rules, and to set this target inclusive of existing government decisions.

This meant that despite repeating the headline figure, Labour was never going to spend anything like £28bn.

Some £10bn of the £28bn had already been committed by this Tory government – so would not need further additional borrowing by a future Labour government.

On top of that, Labour never worked out how to spend all the remaining £18bn a year. Around £6bn of that had no plan attached to it whatsoever, so that’s been slashed – a cost-free cut.

Shadow climate secretary Ed Miliband might have had designs for how to spend that remaining sum, but it never appears to have passed muster with the shadow Treasury team.

Yet it seems incredible that Labour was drawing fire, worrying and losing political capital and sleep over a borrowing pledge it did not know how to spend.

It had become a strange mirage of a policy – about signalling intent – yet Sir Keir appeared determined to continue fighting in public to defend it – until today. Now he will spend just £4.7bn, only £2.6bn of which is from borrowing.

Nobody would say this has been easy.

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But in killing it, Labour is setting a clear course that very tight fiscal discipline matters most, just at a point where big decisions are about to be made that will determine what Labour does in office.

Sir Keir and Ms Reeves made clear that the fiscal rules – artificial rules to curb borrowing – are more important than anything else, yet have not spelled them out in full.

Reeves – who seemed to be the architect of the U-turn – is pushing to copy the Tory fiscal rules, meaning an even tighter regime than the one implemented by Gordon Brown as chancellor in 1997.

This worries some, as it will hinder spending all the way through the next parliament if as many think growth remains anaemic.

It is one thing to scrap an artificial spending pledge which had become a political millstone.

But if Ms Reeves is about to bind the hands of Labour for the whole of the next parliament, with the blessing of Sir Keir, decisions like this could become more tricky and more frequent.

Politics

Russian national arrested in South Korea for attempted crypto robbery

Published

3 hours ago

May 27, 2025

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Russian national arrested in South Korea for attempted crypto robbery

South Korean authorities have arrested one of three Russian nationals accused of an attempted robbery during a fake crypto deal in Seoul. The suspects allegedly lured Korean investors to a hotel, where they tried to steal 1 billion won (approximately $730,000) in cash.

The Gangseo Police Precinct in Seoul detained a man in his 20s in Busan on May 27, according to a report by local news outlet JoongAng Daily. The suspect faces charges of assault and attempted robbery. The other two suspects reportedly fled South Korea shortly after the incident.

According to investigators, the robbery attempt occurred on May 21 at a hotel in Seoul’s Gangseo District. The suspects posed as participants in a peer-to-peer crypto transaction and invited 10 Korean men to the hotel.

Two were called to the room while the others waited in the lobby. Inside the room, the suspects — wearing protective vests — ambushed the victims with a replica handgun and a telescopic baton, tying their hands with cable ties.

Police seize weapons, launch global manhunt

Per the report, one of the victims managed to escape and raise the alarm, prompting the suspects to flee without the cash. Police responded to an emergency call and found one man bleeding in the lobby.

Officers discovered a cache of equipment in the suspects’ hotel room, including a replica firearm, batons, vests and a money counter. Police suspect the robbery had been carefully planned.

A request to prevent the suspects from leaving the country was filed the next morning, but two had already departed. “We have requested assistance from Interpol to track down the suspects who fled overseas,” a police official reportedly said.

Authorities are now questioning the detained suspect and preparing to seek a pretrial detention warrant.

Rise in crypto crime incidents

The incident comes amid a recent uptick in crypto-related violent crimes, including kidnapping and ransom cases.

A Manhattan crypto investor faces serious charges after allegedly kidnapping and torturing an Italian man in a bid to extract access to digital assets.

On May 13, the family of Pierre Noizat, the co-founder and CEO of French crypto exchange Paymium, was targeted in an attempted kidnapping.

In response, executives and investors in the crypto industry are increasingly seeking personal security services. On May 18, private firm Infinite Risks International reported a rise in requests for bodyguards and protection contracts from high-profile figures in the crypto space.

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Politics

IMF upgrades UK economic growth forecast – but issues tariffs warning

Published

6 hours ago

May 27, 2025

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IMF upgrades UK economic growth forecast - but issues tariffs warning

The UK economy will grow more than previously thought, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which has upgraded its latest forecast.

But it warned trade tensions linked to US tariff plans will reduce UK economic growth next year.

The Washington-based UN financial agency said the UK economy will expand 1.2% this year and “gain momentum next year”.

The upgrade in forecasts, however, is slight, up from an expected 1.1% announced in April as the world reeled from the global trade war sparked by US President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

That April figure was a 0.5% downgrade from the projected 1.6% growth for 2025 the IMF foresaw in January and the 1.5% forecast issued in October.

It means the IMF expects the UK economy to grow less this year than it forecast in October and January.

Money blog: Britons face 100% property tax in Spain

Tariffs warnings

This anticipated lower growth is largely due to tariffs – taxes on goods imported to the United States – and the uncertainty caused by shifting trade policy in the US, the world’s largest economy.

While many tariffs have been paused until 8 July, it’s unclear if deals will be in place by then and if pauses may be extended.

The effect of this has been quantified as a 0.3 percentage points lower growth by 2026 in the UK, the IMF said.

The organisation held its prediction that the UK economy will grow by 1.4% in 2026.

“The forecast assumes that global trade tensions lower the level of UK GDP by 0.3% by 2026, due to persistent uncertainty, slower activity in UK trading partners, and the direct impact of remaining US tariffs on the UK,” it said.

It comes despite the UK having agreed a deal with the Trump administration to circumvent the 25% tariffs on cars and metals.

The IMF also cautioned that “weak productivity continues to weigh on medium-term growth prospects”.

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Interest rates “should” continue to come down, making borrowing cheaper, though the IMF acknowledged the rate-setters at the Bank of England now have a “more complex” job due to the recent rise in inflation and “fragile” growth.

The author of the report on the UK Luc Eyraud said the IMF expected the Bank to cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points every three months until they reach a level of around 3%, down from the current 4.25%.

Praise was given to the UK government as the IMF said “fiscal plans strike a good balance between supporting growth and safeguarding fiscal sustainability”.

The news is being taken as a win by Chancellor Rachel Reeves.

“The UK was the fastest growing economy in the G7 for the first three months of this year and today the IMF has upgraded our growth forecast,” she said.

“We’re getting results for working people through our plan for change – with three new trade deals protecting jobs, boosting investment and cutting prices, a pay rise for three million workers through the national living wage, and wages beating inflation by £1,000 over the past year.”

Politics

Luxembourg flags crypto companies as high risk for money laundering

Published

7 hours ago

May 27, 2025

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Luxembourg flags crypto companies as high risk for money laundering

Luxembourg classified virtual asset service providers (VASPs) as high-risk entities for money laundering in its 2025 National Risk Assessment (NRA), highlighting concerns over the crypto industry’s exposure to financial crime.

According to the report, the inherent risk level of VASPs is deemed “High,” driven by factors including transaction volume, client reach, distribution channels, legal structures and the international scope of operations.

The NRA identified VASPs as an emerging risk in its 2020 report after “a detailed assessment of ML inherent risks emerging from virtual assets.” This was followed by a 2022 NRA report deeming “the risks associated with crypto assets and virtual currencies as very high,” because, among other things, they are internet-based and cross-border.

EU’s evolving crypto regulation

The European Union, of which Luxembourg is a founding member, has been working to regulate the cryptocurrency industry. A key part of this effort is the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework, which is designed to unify crypto regulation across all 27 EU member states.

Since January, crypto asset service providers have started acquiring licenses to operate legally within the EU. In May, cryptocurrency exchange Kraken launched regulated derivatives trading, and competitor Crypto.com secured a license allowing it to do the same.

MiCA also establishes a new set of requirements for stablecoins. The stablecoin market leader behind USDt (USDT), Tether, refuses to comply with the new rules and was delisted on Crypto.com, Coinbase and leading crypto exchange Binance on their EU platforms.

Money laundering with crypto

As the role of cryptocurrencies in the broader financial ecosystem increases, so does their popularity for money laundering. Earlier this month, Hong Kong police arrested 12 people involved in a cross-border money laundering scheme that relied on crypto and over 500 stooge bank accounts to launder 118 million Hong Kong dollars ($15 million).

Luxembourg — *Crypto value received by illicit addresses per year. Source:* *Chainalysis*

According to reports this month, European law enforcement arrested 17 suspects of a “mafia crypto bank” for allegedly laundering over 21 million euros ($23.5 million) in crypto for Middle East and China-based criminal entities. As a result of the proceedings, 4.5 million euros ($5 million) worth of items were seized, including cash, crypto, 18 vehicles, four shotguns and several electronic devices.

Magazine: Chinese Tether laundromat, Bhutan enjoys recent Bitcoin boost: Asia Express