Electoral Dysfunction: Budget did little to defuse ticking time bomb for local councils
All my bandwidth this week has been given over to the spring budget, the moment of the year when Chancellor Jeremy Hunt tells us his plans for the economy – how he’s going to cut our taxes, or increase and set out where he’s going to spend some of our money.
But this week was a tale of two budgets: the one obsessed over in Westminster and then the budget of Birmingham Council, which has huge repercussions for the city’s one million plus population.
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I didn’t think much about the Birmingham story over the past few days as I joined the rest of the Westminster village in obsessing about whether the chancellor was going to cut national insurance or income tax, administer further public spending cuts to boost tax giveaways (and give a future Labour government a headache) or nick the opposition’s plan to abolish tax breaks for so-called wealthy “non-doms” who live in the UK with a permanent home overseas (FYI: Hunt didn’t shave more off future spending plans but they did nick Labour’s plan to scrap non-dom plan to raise £2.7bn for tax cuts).
But the dire situation of many councils across England is perhaps what is closer to the hearts of our Electoral Dysfunction listeners.
Sure the national budget matters hugely in setting the economic direction of our country and deciding on what public services with prioritise.
But local council budgets service much of our daily bread and butter: Our bin collections, childcare services, adult social care, leisure centres, parks and libraries, our carparks and road maintenance.
Between 2010 and 2020, local government fund suffered a 40% real terms cut in grants from central government.
In December nearly one in five council bosses said they thought it “fairly or very likely” they will go bust in the next 15 months as funding fails to keep pace with inflationary costs, and rising demand for a raft of services – be in child protection or adult social care.
And it was Hayley’s email that landed in our Electoral Dysfunction inbox that pulled my attention out of Westminster.
Hayley, who has been an officer in local government for the last 20 years, emailed in to talk about how “the last few years have been difficult”.
“In a district council setting, that I have always been incredibly proud to work in, I’m now left feeling like I might need to move on – mentally exhausted, emotionally drained,” she said.
“It’s impossible to feel like you are delivering anything meaningful because of reducing finance and increasing demand.
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Good people are leaving and the public perception is at an all low – and I have a huge amount of sympathy for that.”
She added: “I’d love to know Jess and Ruth’s view on the present state of local government, what they think the future holds – and what they think the current government’s intentions for local government are.”
It’s so pertinent this week, because this was the moment, away from Westminster, that Birmingham City Council – the city in which Electoral Dysfunction’s Jess Phillips is an MP, signed off £300m in cuts ahead of a 21% rise in council tax over two years, after declaring itself effectively bankrupt.
Financial measures described as “devastating” to people living in the city, Europe’s largest local authority could not afford to meet its financial obligations – after facing equal pay claims of up to £760m, and an £80m overspend on an under-fire IT system.
Jess, who knows the Birmingham situation all too well, talks about how councils – and this is not politically party specific – have been “massively defunded” but also says “as somebody who lives in Birmingham”, the [Labour-run] council has not been well managed.
Ruth says local government is the “bit of politics that affects people’s lives 100 per cent” and thinks the largest council in all of Europe going bust “should have been a bigger story”.
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She also points out that Scotland’s local government is funded by Holyrood, where the row between central and local government over funding is very much live.
We are, says Jess, “sitting on a time bomb” with vulnerable children and adults struggling to access services now, that will only service to build up a bigger bill later.
Communities secretary Michael Gove last month announced a 6.5% increase in funding for local councils in England, but the £64bn settlement is unlikely to quell fears of a wave of de facto town hall bankruptcies, with the Local Government Association saying it was not enough to meet “severe pressures”.
The budget in Westminster did little to defuse this ticking time bomb on Wednesday.
The Institute for Government concluded in its budget wash up that the Conservative administration would “bequeath a dismal public services legacy to whoever wins the general election”, adding “it is also likely that more local authorities could issue section 114 [bankruptcy] notices, necessitating further painful cuts to services.”
Problems likely to be passed to Labour should they win the next general election.
But it’s going to get much harder for Westminster to ignore the continued problems of local government budgets if more council dominos continue to fall, especially in an election year.
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Politics
Row over how many farms will be affected by inheritance tax policy – as PM doubles down ahead of farmers protest
Sir Keir Starmer has insisted the “vast majority of farmers” will not be affected by changes to Inheritance Tax (IHT) ahead of a protest outside parliament on Tuesday.
It follows Chancellor Rachel Reeves announcing a 20% inheritance tax that will apply to farms worth more than £1m from April 2026, where they were previously exempt.
But the prime minister looked to quell fears as he resisted calls to change course.
Speaking from the G20 summit in Brazil, he said: “If you take a typical case of a couple wanting to pass a family farm down to one of their children, which would be a very typical example, with all of the thresholds in place, that’s £3m before any inheritance tax is paid.”
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The comments come as thousands of farmers, including celebrity farmer Jeremy Clarkson, are due to descend on Whitehall on Tuesday to protest the change.
And 1,800 more will take part in a “mass lobby” where members of the National Farmers’ Union (NFU) will meet their MPs in parliament to urge them to ask Ms Reeves to reconsider the policy.
Speaking to broadcasters, Sir Keir insisted the government is supportive of farmers, pointing to a £5bn investment announced for them in the budget.
He said: “I’m confident that the vast majority of farms and farmers will not be affected at all by that aspect of the budget.
“They will be affected by the £5bn that we’re putting into farming. And I’m very happy to work with farmers on that.”
Sir Keir’s spokesman made a similar argument earlier on Monday, saying the government expects 73% of farms to not be affected by the change.
Environment, Farming and Rural Affairs Secretary Steve Reed said only about 500 out of the UK’s 209,000 farms would be affected, according to Treasury calculations.
However, that number has been questioned by several farming groups and the Conservatives.
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The NFU said the real number is about two-thirds, with its president Tom Bradshaw calling the government’s figures “misleading” and accusing it of not understanding the sector.
The Country Land and Business Association (CLA) said the policy could affect 70,000 farms.
Conservative shadow farming minister Robbie Moore accused the government last week of “regurgitating” figures that represent “past claimants of agricultural property relief, not combined with business property relief” because he said the Treasury does not have that data.
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Agricultural property relief (APR) currently provides farmers 100% relief from paying inheritance tax on agricultural land or pasture used for rearing livestock or fish, and can include woodland and buildings, such as farmhouses, if they are necessary for that land to function.
Farmers can also claim business property relief (BPR), providing 50% or 100% relief on assets used by a trading business, which for farmers could include land, buildings, plant or machinery used by the business, farm shops and holiday cottages.
APR and BPR can often apply to the same asset, especially farmed land, but APR should be the priority, however BPR can be claimed in addition if APR does not cover the full value (e.g. if the land has development value above its agricultural value).
APR and BPR can apply to farmland, which the Conservatives say has been overlooked by the Treasury in compiling its impact figures. File pic: iStock
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Mr Moore said the Department for the Environment, Farming and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) and the Treasury have disagreed on how many farms will be impacted “by as much as 40%” due to the lack of data on farmers using BPR.
Lib Dem MP Tim Farron said last week1,400 farmers in Cumbria, where he is an MP, will be affected and will not be able to afford to pay the tax as many are on less than the minimum wage despite being asset rich.
Politics
Cabinet split over assisted dying as Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson latest to reveal she will vote against bill
A split is emerging in the cabinet, with Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson revealing she will join several of her colleagues and vote against the bill to legalise assisted dying.
Ms Phillipson told Sky News she will vote against the proposed legislation at the end of this month, which would give terminally ill people with six months to live the option to end their lives.
She voted against assisted dying in 2015 and said: “I haven’t changed my mind.
“I continue to think about this deeply. But my position hasn’t changed since 2015.”
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Details of end of life bill released
MPs will be given a free vote on the bill, so they will not be told how to vote by their party.
The topic has seen a split in the cabinet – however, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer has yet to reveal how he will vote on 29 November.
Ms Phillipson joins some other big names who have publicly said they are voting against the bill
These include Deputy PM Angela Rayner, Health Secretary Wes Streeting, Justice Secretary Shabana Mahmood and Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds.
Border security minister Angela Eagle is also voting against the bill.
Senior cabinet members voting in favour of assisted dying include Energy Secretary Ed Miliband, Science Secretary Peter Kyle, Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall, Culture Secretary Lisa Nandy, Northern Ireland Secretary Hilary Benn, Transport Secretary Louise Haigh and Welsh Secretary Jo Stevens.
The split over the issue is said to be causing friction within government, with Sir Keir rebuking the health secretary for repeatedly saying he is against the bill and for ordering officials to review the costs of implementing any changes in the law.
Read more:
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Health Secretary Wes Streeting has called for a cost report into assisted dying. Pic: PA
Sky News’ deputy political editor Sam Coates has been told Morgan McSweeney, the PM’s chief of staff, is concerned about the politics of the bill passing.
He is understood to be worried the issue will dominate the agenda next year and, while he is not taking a view on the bill, he can see it taking over the national conversation and distracting from core government priorities like the economy and borders.
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Details of the bill were published last week and include people wanting to end their life having to self-administer the medicine.
It would only be allowed for terminally ill people who have been given six months to live.
Two independent doctors would have to confirm a patient is eligible for assisted dying and a High Court judge would have to give their approval before it could go ahead.
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