Is today the moment the world’s top diplomatic body comes together in a collective call for a ceasefire in Gaza? Or will messy, discombobulating and cynical geopolitics get in the way? Will Russia vote for an American resolution?
At 9am New York time (1pm UK time) the United Nations Security Council will vote on a resolution calling for a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.
Déjà vu? Yes. We’ve been here several times before. Resolutions over the past few months have used different constructions of the same sentences by different countries to find a form of word upon which all sides can agree.
This resolution is different. It was penned by America using its strongest language to date.
The language in the latest circulated draft of the resolution is key. It “…determines the imperative of an immediate and sustained ceasefire to protect civilians on all sides, allow for the delivery of essential humanitarian assistance, and alleviate humanitarian suffering, and towards that end unequivocally supports ongoing international diplomatic efforts to secure such a ceasefire in connection with the release of all remaining hostages”.
Words like “imperative”, “immediate”, “sustained” and “in connection” are vital and do a lot of work in terms of how the text as a whole is received and the success it has in passing.
For America to use “immediate” is significant because it’s a first.
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Beyond that, in the context of the hostages, by adding “towards that end” and “in connection with” prior to mentioning the release of all the hostages, the new text loosens the previously tight linkage between an immediate ceasefire and hostage releases. There is ambiguity over whether the ceasefire is conditional on the release of all the hostages. In UN texts, ambiguity can be intentional and helpful.
Image: Humanitarian aid has had to be dropped in via the air to make it into the Gaza Strip. Pic: Reuters
The evolution of this US resolution has happened over several weeks during which America’s diplomats in New York have reluctantly hardened the language in consultation with other members.
A key issue, as ever in this Gaza ceasefire resolution quest, has been the issue of condemning Hamas without condemning Israel – a red line for Arab bloc in the Security Council.
They highlight that the Israel-Palestinian hostilities didn’t begin with the 7 October Hamas attack and they insist on condemnation of Israel’s actions since the incursion.
That America, of all nations, has penned this text reflects how they have moved on the issue and how frustrated they are with Israel regarding aid access to Gaza.
It is also a hint that the Americans either think the ceasefire talks (between Israel and Hamas through mediators in Doha and Cairo) are coming close to a deal or that they could do with some pressure being placed on them. The Arab bloc around the table will take account of the Palestinian view of the text. Will they find the text too wishy-washy? The text will need to condemn Israel enough to satisfy the Palestinians.
Image: Smoke rises over Gaza over the weekend. Pic: AP
Russia’s position
There is one key thing to watch: Russia. Along with China, as permanent members of the Security Council, they have the power to veto resolutions.
Western diplomats are concerned that Russia may seek to veto this US resolution despite voting for all other ceasefire-demanding resolutions for Gaza. Why would they do that?
Image: The destruction inside the Gaza Strip. Pic: AP
If the Arab bloc and the Palestinians are not happy with the text, and see an advantage in it not passing, they can pressure Russia and China.
But it could be more straightforward or cynical (some would say) than that. Russia may conclude it has no interest in allowing America to dig itself out of its own diplomatic hole.
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From Thursday: ‘Israel needs to do more’
Would the resolution have any impact?
Last important point – even if this resolution does pass, it is not binding. It is a so-called Chapter VI resolution which doesn’t specify measures to enforce compliance.
Only Chapter VII resolutions are considered to be legally binding, and the UN has never tabled an Israel-related Chapter VII resolution, which could authorise economic or military sanctions.
Given that Israel has undermined the United Nations at every turn in this crisis, arguing that the elements within the body have worked against its right to self-defence, it is feasible that they dismiss any successful resolution.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said he’s ready to meet with Vladimir Putin after Donald Trump said the Russian president had agreed to let Ukraine have security guarantees from its allies.
A meeting between the two men could happen before the end of the month, followed by a trilateral summit which includes their US counterpart.
It comes after Mr Trump hosted the Ukrainian president and a host of other European leaders at the White House on Monday, just days after he met Mr Putin in Alaska last week.
Among those in attendance were Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, France’s Emmanuel Macron, Italy’s Giorgia Meloni, Germany’s Friedrich Merz, Finland’s Alexander Stubb, as well as NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte and Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission.
Mr Trump said Mr Putin “agreed that Russia would accept security guarantees for Ukraine”.
He added: “I think that the European nations are going to take a lot of the burden. We’re going to help them, and we’re going to make it very secure.”
Image: Donald Trump speaks to Volodymyr Zelenskyy and other European leaders in the White House. Pic: Reuters/Alexander Drago
‘Article-Five-like’
The mention of US involvement in security guarantees was welcomed by the European leaders.
Ms Von der Leyen said it was “good to hear” the nations were working on “Article Five-like security guarantees”.
NATO’s Article Five is the principle that an attack on one member is considered an attack on all of them.
Sir Keir said the guarantees would help ensure a “lasting deal”, and one for which there would be consequences if Russia breached it.
Mr Macron said it was not just about Ukraine, but “the whole security of the European continent”.
He added that one guarantee he would want to come out of any deals is that Ukraine should be able to have a “credible” army for “the years and decades to come”.
But there remained signs of some strain between Mr Trump and Europe. His belief that a ceasefire isn’t required to strike a peace deal was challenged Mr Merz, who said he “can’t imagine” a Zelenskyy-Putin meeting taking place without one.
Sky News understands that European leaders and Mr Zelenskyy will stay in Washington for now to continue talks.
Image: The European leaders stand for a photo with US President Donald Trump. Pic: Reuters/Alexander Drago
The talks including the European leaders came after a Trump-Zelenskyy summit in the Oval Office. It was their first since their infamous sparring match back in February, but this time was far more cordial.
Mr Zelenskyy was complimented on his suit and evoked a few hearty laughs from Mr Trump, who said the US would provide “very good protection” for Ukraine.
Mr Trump revealed during the Oval Office talks that he would have a call with Mr Putin later in the day. He broke up his talks with the Europeans to do so, before returning to update them on what they had discussed.
A Kremlin official, Kirill Dmitriev, later hailed the talks as an “important day for democracy”, but didn’t comment on the issue of security guarantees or possible changes of territory.
Image: Mr Zelenskyy gestures during a meeting with Mr Trump at the Oval Office
In exchange, Russia would give up other Ukrainian territories held by its troops, according to several news reports citing sources close to the matter.
Russian troops currently occupy large parts of the two regions and, in September 2022, Moscow announced it was officially annexing them, alongside the Kherson and Zaporizhia regions, in a move rejected and condemned as illegal by the West.
Image: Donald Trump warmly greeted Vladimir Putin at the Alaska summit. Pic: AP
Trump talks up possible land swaps
Mr Trump is said to be planning to urge Mr Zelenskyy to agree to the conditions as part of a peace deal to end the war – despite the Ukrainian president previously ruling out handing any territory to Moscow.
“We also need to discuss the possible exchanges of territory,” the US president said ahead of the multilateral talks with Mr Zelenskyy and European leaders.
He said such exchanges would need to take “into consideration the current line of contact”.
He added: “That means the war zone, the war lines that are now, pretty obvious, very sad, actually, to look at them and negotiating positions.”
Image: Donald Trump put an arm around Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s shoulder during their greeting. Pic: Reuters/Kevin Lamarque
Image: Both were seen flashing a smile. Pic: Reuters/Kevin Lamarque
What happens next?
Mr Zelenskyy and Germany’s Mr Merz both suggested a Zelenskyy-Putin summit could take place within two weeks.
A location has not yet been determined.
A meeting that includes Mr Trump would likely follow in the weeks after.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy has learned his lesson from the last time he was in the Oval Office.
When the Ukrainian leader was at the White House in February, he didn’t wear a suit and was berated by Donald Trump and JD Vance over alleged disrespect.
Zelenskyy’s learned from that moment six months ago and he’s taken on board what other European and world leaders have done with these Oval Office moments – that the best policy is to say as little as possible.
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When Zelenskyy last went to White House
Such was the contrast that the right-wing reporter Brian Glenn, who questioned Zelenskyy over not wearing a suit in February, told the Ukrainian leader: “You look fabulous in that suit.”
The best tactic for dealing with Trump in front of reporters is to not answer the question, don’t rise to the bait.
Get in there and out as soon and as quickly as you can. And this time, that is precisely what Zelenskyy did.
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Did Vance learn his lesson too?
The vice president berated Zelenskyy last time but this time, while the US president’s key advisers were there, JD Vance sat quietly to Trump’s side, saying nothing altogether.
It was a marked contrast from six months ago, but some sort of “gulf between the two sides in terms of any peace deal” continues.
Veteran stuntman Ronnie Rondell Jr, who was set on fire for the front cover of Pink Floyd’s Wish You Were Here album, has died, his family has said.
Rondell Jr, who performed in a host of Hollywood films, including How the West Was Won, Ice Station Zebra, Twister and The Matrix Reloaded, was 88.
He died at a care home in Osage Beach, Missouri, earlier this week, his family said in a statement posted on the Hedges-Scott-Millard funeral homes website.
Rondell Jr was pictured as a businessman on fire on the cover of the British rock band’s multi-million-selling 1975 album.
His moustache was singed off during the shoot on the Warner Bros studio lot in Burbank, California, according to The Hollywood Reporter.
Rondell Jr also racked up numerous TV credits and was known for taking on daring stunts involving diving, gymnastics and hang-gliding skills.
One of his best-known stunts was leaping from a pole that was on fire as it toppled over in the 1963 adventure film Kings of the Sun.
Two years later, he could be seen in midair flying upside down above a cannon in the 1965 western Shenandoah.
Among his other movie credits are the James Bond adventure, Diamonds Are Forever (1971), Mel Brooks’s Blazing Saddles (1974), Lethal Weapon (1987), Thelma & Louise (1991), Speed (1994) and Star Trek: First Contact (1996).
He later came out of retirement to take part in a spectacular car chase in The Matrix Reloaded (2003), on which his son R A Rondell was the supervising stunt coordinator.
Rondell came from a family steeped in the movies, with his father, Ronald R Rondell, an extra who graduated to working as an assistant director on films like Around the World in 80 Days and various TV shows.
One of his sons, R A Rondell, is a stunt performer and coordinator, while another son, Reid Rondell, 22, died in 1985 in a helicopter crash in California while performing a stunt on the TV series Airwolf.
Born in Hollywood in 1937, Rondell excelled in gymnastics and diving at school before entering the US Navy, where he specialised in scuba diving and mine force demolition.
He began as an extra before graduating to TV stunt work, eventually setting up Stunts Unlimited, which represented top motorcycle racers, car drivers, horsemen, pilots, aerial specialists and fight choreographers.
He is survived by his wife of 56 years, Mary Rondell, his son, R A Rondell, as well as grandchildren and great-grandchildren.