Labour could be swept into power with a landslide of more than 400 seats at the next general election, according to the latest YouGov mega poll.
The survey of 18,000 people predicts Sir Keir Starmer’s party will win a parliamentary majority of 154 – almost double what the Conservatives achieved with Boris Johnson in 2019.
The poll forecasts Labour will win 403 seats, a gain of 201, while the Tories will crash to just 155 seats – a loss of 210.
If correct, the result would be a worse defeat for the Conservatives than under Sir John Major in 1997, when the rise of Sir Tony Blair’s New Labour left them with just 165 MPs.
Key Conservatives projected to lose their seats include Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, cabinet ministers Grant Shapps and Penny Mordaunt and former party leader Sir Iain Duncan Smith.
A loss for Ms Mordaunt would be particularly embarrassing as she has been already a two-time contender for the party leadership, and has been touted as a potential successor to Rishi Sunak.
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Other cabinet ministers set to lose their seats include Transport Secretary Mark Harper, Justice Secretary Alex Chalk, Science Secretary Michelle Donelan and Wales Secretary David TC Davies.
There is also bad news for the SNP, which is forecast to lose 29 seats – with most of them going to Labour.
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‘We’re ready – just call an election’
That would mean Labour once again becoming the largest party in Scotland, having been virtually wiped out north of the border in 2015.
The Liberal Democrats, who are targeting Conservative heartlands in the so-called “Blue Wall”, are forecast to gain 38 seats.
The poll of 18,761 adults was conducted by YouGov between 7 and 27 March, and it used a multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) process to model constituency-level results.
It is generally considered one of the most accurate forms of polling due to the number of interviews conducted, which enables pollsters to examine voting intentions in very small geographical areas.
It is the latest in a series of disastrous polls for the Conservative Party ahead of a general election expected in the second half of this year.
There’s been a huge increase in animal neglect and abandonment in England and Wales and the RSPCA’s rescue centres are “absolutely full”, according to the charity.
New figures show there were 38,977 incidents of neglect reported to the RSPCA’s emergency cruelty line between January and September 2023.
But for the same period in 2024, there were 48,814 – a 25% increase.
The number of animals dumped in winter has also doubled.
“Our centres up and down the country are absolutely full, and we’re also taking animals into private boarding,” said RSPCA spokesperson Suzanne Norbury.
“So when our teams are out there, they rescue animals and we haven’t got space.
“We’re spending money on private boarding facilities at the moment on top of running centres like this one. It’s costing us £26,000 each and every week.”
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It means the charity is trying to absorb extra costs of £1,352,000 a year for emergency boarding.
At their rescue centre at Frankley near Birmingham, Damon is one of many cats looking for a new home.
He was a stray found on a building site with a broken jaw and has had to have it wired back together at the animal hospital here.
‘The first thing they cut back on is their animals’
Ian Briggs, a chief inspector for the charity, said: “He must have been in considerable pain, and it was only due to a member of the public letting us know that we were able to intervene and give him the treatment he needed.”
“During COVID, people sought to own pets because they were looking to have companionship.
“Then after lockdown was released and everyone got back to normal, we were then hit by the cost of living crisis. Then year on year we’re seeing finances stretched for everybody, so we believe we’ve got all these extra people who have pets and now some are feeling the financial strain.”
He added: “Because of the Christmas period, we’re in the middle of winter, heating goes up, electricity costs even more, that adds an additional financial burden to people who are already struggling, and often the first thing they cut back on is their animals.”
Animals found in appalling conditions
Last year, the charity rescued 34 animals from a house in Walsall, including 24 dogs, who’d been kept in appalling conditions.
They were found surrounded by hundreds of empty dog food cans, and faeces.
Following an RSPCA prosecution, two people were disqualified from keeping all animals for life.
They also received suspended 20-week custodial sentences after pleading guilty to offences including failing to provide the animals with veterinary care, a suitable living environment or taking reasonable steps to protect them from pain, suffering, injury and disease.
The animals were rehabilitated at various RSPCA rehoming centres, including the centre at Frankley.
One, a Staffordshire bull terrier cross, was rehomed in the summer.
‘We needed to give two homeless cats a home’
Cats Peter and Paul are the lucky ones being picked up to be taken to a new home while Sky News was filming at the centre.
Sarah and Martin Potter are taking them back to Worcestershire.
“We recently lost a cat,” said Sarah, “and the house is just completely empty”.
“We’ve just got so much love to give, that we needed to give two homeless cats a home ready for Christmas”.
It can, though, take years for other animals to be re-homed and there are now more than ever needing a new start.
The King has praised the community response to the “anger and lawlessness” of this summer’s riots in towns and cities around the UK in his annual Christmas message.
Charles, 76, also used the message, filmed by Sky News at the chapel of the former Middlesex Hospital in central London, to thank doctors and nurses who cared for him and his daughter-in-law the Princess of Wales through their cancer treatment this year.
Drawing on the Nativity story’s theme of listening to others, the King said: “Through listening, we learn to respect our differences, to defeat prejudice, and to open up new possibilities.
“I felt a deep sense of pride here in the United Kingdom when, in response to anger and lawlessness in several towns this summer, communities came together, not to repeat these behaviours, but to repair.
“To repair not just buildings, but relationships. And, most importantly, to repair trust; by listening and, through understanding, deciding how to act for the good of all.”
Almost 1,000 people were arrested during the summer riots, which came in response to misinformation around the deadly stabbing of three children at a Taylor Swift-themed holiday club in Southport in July.
The King visited the Merseyside town after the killings and the ensuing disorder, during which rioters attacked hotels housing migrants.
His final public engagement of the year was in Walthamstow, east London, where thousands gathered in a counter-protest to condemn the rioting this summer.
The King’s Christmas message spoke of the need to support one another, as “all of us go through some form of suffering at some stage in our life – be it mental or physical”.
“The degree to which we help one another – and draw support from each other, be we people of faith or of none – is a measure of our civilisation as nations,” he said.
He added that “those who dedicate their lives to helping others… continually impress me” and he is “thinking especially of the many thousands of professionals and volunteers here in the United Kingdom and across the Commonwealth who, with their skills and out of the goodness of their heart, care for others – often at some cost to themselves”.
Reflecting on his cancer treatment, which will continue into next year, he gave his “special, heartfelt thanks to the selfless doctors and nurses who, this year, have supported me and other members of my family through the uncertainties and anxieties of illness, and have helped provide the strength, care and comfort we have needed”.
He also thanked members of the public for their well-wishes after he and the Princess of Wales, 42, returned to public duties in April and September respectively – following courses of cancer treatment.
They and other members of the Royal Family attended church near the Sandringham estate in Norfolk on Christmas morning.
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How Sky News filmed the King’s message
Thoughts with people in ‘Middle East, central Europe and Africa’
The King began his message by recalling his visit to 80th anniversary D-Day commemorations with the Queen in June.
He described meeting “remarkable veterans” and noted that “during previous commemorations we were able to console ourselves with the thought that these tragic events seldom happen in the modern era”.
But he said: “On this Christmas Day, we cannot help but think of those for whom the devastating effects of conflict – in the Middle East, in central Europe, in Africa and elsewhere – pose a daily threat to so many people’s lives and livelihoods.”
He thanked humanitarian organisations working in conflict zones and referenced the gospels’ references to conflict and the “values with which we can overcome” them.
Signing off, he wished “you and all those you love a most joyful and peaceful Christmas”.
A man has been arrested on suspicion of attempted murder after a car was driven on to the pavement in central London in the early hours of Christmas Day.
Four people were taken to hospital after the incident on Shaftesbury Avenue, with one said to be in a life-threatening condition.
Metropolitan Police officers were called to reports of a crash and a car driving on the wrong side of the road at 12.45am.
In a statement, police said the incident was isolated and not terror related.
A cordon is in place outside the Sondheim Theatre on Shaftesbury Avenue, which is the London home of the musical Les Miserables. Shaftesbury Avenue is at the heart of London‘s West End and the city’s theatre district.
Blood, a jacket, pair of shoes and a hat are visible on the pavement inside the cordon.