The Atlanta Braves superstar was No. 1 on our preseason MLB Rank Top 100 after winning National League honors with his historic 40-home run/70-stolen base 2024 season — but there are some questions about how much he’ll run this season after a spring training knee injury.
Meanwhile, the sport’s other reigning MVP, Shohei Ohtani, will be providing all of his 2024 value as a designated hitter after dominating as a two-way star in recent seasons.
That leaves the door open for a new superstar to take center stage as MLB’s premier player this season.
We asked five of our MLB experts to select who could make a run at the title of baseball’s best player and present the strongest case for that player earning the crown this season. We then enlisted our very own Judge Jeff Passan to weigh in on the cases with his own verdict on which superstar will rule the sport in 2024.
The case for Soto: He doesn’t possess the five-tool skill set Acuña and some other stars on this list have at their disposal. But his unparalleled presence in the batter’s box — a thorough, exhaustive approach heavy on plate discipline and swagger — combined with his propensity to shine on the grandest stages and his megawatt smile have already lifted Soto to the status of superstar on a Hall of Fame path. Add playing in New York in a platform season, and the 25-year-old is poised to make 2024 his year. His defense (usually) won’t amaze you. He won’t steal bases. But he’s going to torment opponents and impact games one shuffle at a time — and maybe carry the Yankees to a place they haven’t been in 15 years (the World Series) — before hitting the jackpot next winter. — Jorge Castillo
Judge Jeff says: Thank you, counselor Castillo, for listing all of the reasons Soto isn’t the best player in baseball so I don’t have to. Perhaps he can just settle for the best hitter? Or biggest contract (non-deferred money division)? Even if Soto isn’t at the tippy-top of the sport — and because of his relative deficiencies, he indeed doesn’t match Acuña — he is still mighty good.
The case for Witt: At 24, Witt’s eye-popping raw skills have coalesced into stat-line-stuffing superstar production. Since late July, the point at which Witt’s game really took off, he’s been putting up Acuña-like numbers but with one difference: He’s trending sharply upward. As it is, we’re talking about 150-game paces of 38 homers, 55 steals, 205 hits to go with percentages that could put him in batting title contention and, especially, league-leading slug levels.
Somehow, Witt has started this season hitting the ball even harder. He’s leading the majors in hard-hit balls and his MLB-leading average exit velo (101.5 mph, through Thursday) dwarfs Aaron Judge‘s leading figure from 2023 (97.6). You can’t take your eyes off the guy. And unlike Acuña, who is the catalyst for a lineup packed with star power, Witt’s numbers will tower above his teammates. If the Royals surprise in the AL Central race, which isn’t impossible, late-season games at the K will be echoing with MVP chants every time Witt walks onto the field. — Bradford Doolittle
Judge Jeff says: Everything lines up. He plays arguably the most important position on the field. He does almost everything well, from hitting the ball hard to running faster than anyone to manning shortstop with grace, style and intelligence. Witt’s lack of walks may keep him from securing the top spot, but even those have spiked in the desired direction early this season. All that is standing in the way is a full season of this level of performance. Witt looks the part. He plays the part. What matters is whether he can translate it to the sort of consistent performance that the best exhibit.
The case for Tatis: He made the full-time transition to right field in 2023 and wound up winning a Platinum Glove. He took zero major league plate appearances in 2022, came back the following year and hit 25 home runs, stole 29 bases and put up a 113 OPS+. All this talk about Ronald Acuña Jr.’s emergence, Juan Soto’s prowess, Shohei Ohtani’s uniqueness and Mookie Betts‘ awesomeness has made us forget that, of all of them, Tatis — who was arguably the new face of baseball before a PED suspension tarnished his reputation — might be the most talented.
He’s still only 25 years old. He was so motivated to vault himself back to the top of his sport that he followed a grueling regular season with a prolonged stint in winter ball, training under his father just like Acuña did before capturing the MVP in 2023. Now, it’s Tatis’ turn.
Keep in mind that we’ve never seen a fully unlocked, uninterrupted version of Tatis. In 2020, when he finished fourth in NL MVP voting, the COVID-19 pandemic limited the season to 60 games. In 2021, when he led the league with 42 home runs, he spent all year battling a shoulder subluxation. The 2022 season began with a wrist injury caused by a motorcycle accident before he served an 80-game suspension after a positive test for an anabolic steroid. In 2023, Tatis admitted, he never quite felt right offensively. If Tatis stays healthy in 2024, he’ll remind us that nobody is better. — Alden Gonzalez
Judge Jeff says: Are we going to see the fully unlocked, uninterrupted version of him, though? That’s the thing about this list: Availability wins the day. Ohtani would be the unquestioned No. 1 player on this list had his elbow stayed healthy. Acuña played 159 games last year. Never in Tatis’ four previous big league seasons has he played more than 141 games. So while he’s showing his prodigious power stroke, swiping bags and patrolling right field with Gold Glove range, Tatis needs to play more to turn potential and fleeting excellence into something more.
The case for Mookie Betts: Here’s a quick Mookie Betts story. It’s spring training 2019, with the Red Sox coming off their World Series title and Betts coming off his MVP season. It’s a hot and steamy day in Fort Myers and the Red Sox have cones set up outside their clubhouse, maybe 20 yards apart, to get in a little running. Most players go through the motions with some light jogging, emphasis on “light.” Except Mookie. He takes it seriously and runs hard. This helps explain why Betts absolutely loves the challenge of moving to shortstop and will make it work — and, based on early indications, have a season so good he’ll even overshadow teammates Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman, two superstars who could easily be included in this discussion.
That’s saying something because Betts is already one of just five position players with at least three 8-WAR seasons in the wild-card era (joining Alex Rodriguez, Barry Bonds, Albert Pujols and Mike Trout). Through his first nine games, he hit .485/.595/1.091 with five home runs and 14 runs scored. Batting in front of Ohtani and Freeman, he might become the third player since World War II to score 150 runs (joining Jeff Bagwell in 2000 and Ted Williams in 1949) and matching Rickey Henderson at a run-per-game pace (Henderson scored 146 runs in 143 games in 1985).
Betts has made some tweaks to his approach. After a down year for him in 2021, he was more aggressive in 2022, which helped his power but not his OBP. He got back to a more patient approach last season and hit .300 for the first time since 2018 while also hitting a career-high 39 home runs. That mindset has carried over to his hot start in 2024. Right now, he’s at another level. Factor in the near-unprecedented move to the infield and we’re talking about a potential season for the ages. The first non-Bonds 11-WAR season since Cal Ripken in 1991 is possible and as the Dodgers undoubtedly roll to another 100-win season, Betts will lead the way. — David Schoenfield
Judge Jeff says: Yes, it’s too early to get caught up in the hoopla of just a handful of games. But what a start it has been. Through 10 games, Betts led MLB in everything: all three triple-slash categories, home runs, runs, RBIs. You name it, Mookie does it. And now that he’s playing a far more important position than Acuña’s right field — and doing it rather well — the case for Betts overtaking Acuña, even at 31 years old, might be the strongest of all. Not ready to slam the gavel and adjourn the court quite yet, but it’s primed to go.
The case for Acuña Jr.: Do I really have to make a case for the reigning NL MVP? Perhaps he won’t hit 41 home runs and steal 73 bases again — of course, he might — but even if he drops into the 30/60 club, he’ll still be the only player ever to reach those heights. In other words, he has a cushion to maintain his status as best in the game and win a second consecutive MVP award. Remember, he’s only 26. There’s still room to grow — though how much better can you get than last season? Even his strikeout-to-walk ratio improved in 2023, from 2.38 in 2022 to just 1.05 last year. Incredible.
So that’s my case: Acuña can be about 75 percent of the player he was last year and still be the best. Who else can say that? — Jesse Rogers
Ohio State opened as a 9.5-point favorite over Notre Dame in the College Football Playoff National Championship Presented by AT&T, per ESPN BET odds.
If that line holds, it would be tied for the second-largest spread in a CFP national championship game and the fourth largest in the CFP/BCS era. Georgia was -13.5 against TCU in the 2022 national championship, while Alabama showed -9.5 against none other than Ohio State to decide the 2020 campaign. Both favorites covered the spread in blowout fashion, combining for a cover margin of 63.
Notre Dame is 12-3 against the spread this season, tied with Arizona State (12-2) and Marshall (12-1) for the most covers in the nation. The Irish are 7-0 ATS against ranked teams and 2-0 ATS as underdogs, with both covers going down as outright victories, including their win over Penn State (-1.5) in the CFP national semifinal.
However, Notre Dame was also on the losing end of the largest outright upset of the college football season when it fell as a 28.5-point favorite to Northern Illinois.
Ohio State is 9-6 against the spread and has been a favorite in every game it has played this season; it has covered the favorite spread in every CFP game thus far, including in its semifinal win against Texas when it covered -6 with overwhelming public support.
The Buckeyes also have been an extremely popular pick in the futures market all season. At BetMGM as of Friday morning, OSU had garnered a leading 28.2% of money and 16.8% of bets to win the national title, checking in as the sportsbook’s greatest liability.
Ohio State opened at +700 to win it all this season and is now -350 with just one game to play.
ARLINGTON, Texas — Quinshon Judkins ran for two touchdowns before Jack Sawyer forced a fumble by his former roommate that he returned 83 yards for a clinching TD as Ohio State beat Texas28-14 in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic on Friday night to advance to a shot for their sixth national title.
Led by Judkins and Sawyer, the Buckeyes (13-2) posted the semifinal victory in the same stadium where 10 years ago they were champions in the debut of the College Football Playoff as a four-team format. Now they have the opportunity to be the winner again in the debut of the expanded 12-team field.
Ohio State plays Orange Bowl champion Notre Dame in Atlanta on Jan. 20. It could be quite a finish for the Buckeyes after they lost to rival Michigan on Nov. 30. Ohio State opened as a 9.5-point favorite over the Irish, per ESPN BET.
“About a month ago, a lot of people counted us out. And these guys went to work, this team, these leaders, the captains, the staff,” Ohio State coach Ryan Day said. “Everybody in the building believed. And because of that, I believe we won the game in the fourth quarter.”
Sawyer got to Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers on a fourth-and-goal from the 8, knocking the ball loose and scooping it up before lumbering all the way to the other end. It was the longest fumble return in CFP history.
Ewers and Sawyer were roommates in Columbus, Ohio, for the one semester the quarterback was there before transferring home to Texas and helping lead the Longhorns (13-3) to consecutive CFP semifinals. But next season will be their 20th since winning their last national title with Vince Young in 2005.
Texas had gotten to the 1, helped by two pass-interference penalties in the end zone before Quintrevion Wisner was stopped for a 7-yard loss.
Judkins had a 1-yard touchdown for a 21-14 lead with 7:02 left. That score came four plays after quarterback Will Howard converted fourth-and-2 from the Texas 34 with a stumbling 18-yard run that was almost a score.
Howard was 24-of-33 passing for 289 yards with a touchdown and an interception.
Ewers finished 23-of-39 for 283 yards with two TD passes to Jaydon Blue and an interception after getting the ball back one final time.
Bill McCartney, a three-time coach of the year in the Big Eight Conference who led the Colorado Buffaloes to their only national football title in 1990, has died. He was 84.
McCartney died Friday night “after a courageous journey with dementia,” according to a family statement.
“Coach Mac touched countless lives with his unwavering faith, boundless compassion, and enduring legacy as a leader, mentor and advocate for family, community and faith,” the family said in its statement. “As a trailblazer and visionary, his impact was felt both on and off the field, and his spirit will forever remain in the hearts of those he inspired.”
After playing college ball under Dan Devine at Missouri, McCartney started coaching high school football and basketball in Detroit. He then was hired onto the staff at Michigan, the only assistant ever plucked from the high school ranks by Bo Schembechler.
Schembechler chose wisely. As the Wolverines’ defensive coordinator during the 1980 season, McCartney earned Big Ten “Player” of the Week honors for the defensive scheme he devised to stop star Purdue quarterback Mark Herrmann.
“When I was 7 years old, I knew I was going to be a coach,” McCartney told The Gazette in 2013. “My friends, other kids at that age were going to be president, businessmen, attorneys, firemen. Ever since I was a little kid, I imitated my coaches, critiqued them, always followed and studied them.”
In 1982, McCartney took over a Colorado program that was coming off three straight losing seasons with a combined record of 7-26. After three more struggling seasons, McCartney turned things around to go to bowl games in nine out of 10 seasons starting in 1985, when he switched over to a wishbone offense.
His 1989 team was 11-0 when it headed to the Orange Bowl, where Notre Dame dashed Colorado’s hopes of a perfect season. McCartney and the Buffaloes, however, would get their revenge the following season.
After getting off to an uninspiring 1-1-1 start in 1990, Colorado won its next nine games to earn a No. 1 ranking and a rematch with the Fighting Irish. This time the Buffaloes prevailed, 10-9, and grabbed a share of the national title atop the AP poll (Georgia Tech was tops in the coaches’ poll).
McCartney won numerous coach of the year honors in 1989, and he was also Big Eight Coach of the Year in 1985 and 1990. His teams went a combined 58-11-4 in his last six seasons before retiring (1989-94).
The Buffaloes finished in the AP Top 20 in each of those seasons, including No. 3 in McCartney’s final year, when the team went 11-1 behind a roster that included Kordell Stewart, Michael Westbrook and the late Rashaan Salaam. That season featured the “Miracle in Michigan,” with Westbrook hauling in a 64-yard TD catch from Stewart on a Hail Mary as time expired in a win at Michigan. Salaam also rushed for 2,055 yards to earn the Heisman Trophy.
McCartney also groomed the next wave of coaches, mentoring assistants such as Gary Barnett, Jim Caldwell, Ron Dickerson, Gerry DiNardo, Karl Dorrell, Jon Embree, Les Miles, Rick Neuheisel, Bob Simmons, Lou Tepper, Ron Vanderlinden and John Wristen.
“I was fortunate to be able to say goodbye to Coach in person last week,” Colorado athletic director Rick George, who worked under McCartney and was a longtime friend of his, said in a statement. “Coach Mac was an incredible man who taught me about the importance of faith, family and being a good husband, father and grandfather. He instilled discipline and accountability to all of us who worked and played under his leadership.
“The mark that he left on CU football and our athletic department will be hard to replicate.”
McCartney remains the winningest coach in Colorado history. He retired at age 54 with an overall record of 93-55-5 (.602) in 13 seasons, all with Colorado.
He was inducted into the College Football Hall of Fame in 2013. His family announced in 2016 that McCartney had been diagnosed with late-onset dementia and Alzheimer’s.
“Here’s what football does: It teaches a boy to be a man,” McCartney told USA Today in 2017. “You say, ‘How does it do that?’ Well, what if you line up across from a guy who’s bigger, stronger, faster and tougher than you are? What do you do? Do you stay and play? Or do you turn and run? That’s what football does. You’re always going to come up against somebody who’s better than you are.
“That’s what life is. Life is getting knocked down and getting back up and getting back in the game.”
In recent years, McCartney got to watch grandson Derek play defensive line at Colorado. Derek’s father, Shannon Clavelle, was a defensive lineman for Colorado from 1992-94 before playing a few seasons in the NFL. Derek’s brother, T.C. McCartney, was a quarterback at LSU and is the son of late Colorado quarterback Sal Aunese, who played for Bill McCartney in 1987 and ’88 before being diagnosed with stomach cancer in 1989 and dying six months later at 21.
Growing up, Derek McCartney used to go next door to his grandfather’s house to listen to his stories. He never tired of them.
When playing for Colorado, hardly a day would go by when someone wouldn’t ask Derek if he was somehow related to the coach.
“I like when that happens,” Derek said.
ESPN’s Adam Rittenberg and The Associated Press contributed to this report.