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Apple reports earnings for its second fiscal quarter on Thursday after the markets close.

Investor expectations are low and Apple could surpass them even if sales growth is weak. In February, Apple said it expected sales similar to last year’s $94.84 billion during the same period and flat iPhone sales.

Here’s what analysts expect from Apple, according to LSEG consensus estimates:

  • Earnings per share: $1.50
  • Revenue: $90.01 billion

Here’s how Apple’s business units are expected to fare in the March quarter, per LSEG estimates:

  • iPhone revenue: $46.00billion
  • Mac revenue: $6.86 billion
  • iPad revenue: $5.91 billion
  • Wearables, home and accessories revenue: $8.08 billion
  • Services revenue: $23.27 billion

Analysts expect Apple to give a forecast for the current quarter of about $83.23 billion in sales, which would be 1.8% annual growth. Apple shares are down about 10% this year, underperforming its peers and the broader market. Some worry that the 2023 iPhone 15 may be seeing weak demand.

But the biggest theme that investors will be watching for is the overall trend in Apple’s third-largest market: China. In the December quarter, sales dropped 13% in Greater China, which includes Hong Kong and Taiwan. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $15.25 billion in China regional sales, which would be a 14% year-over-year decline.

Even worse is what the slump could indicate: Deteriorating conditions in a key market for Apple where it also manufactures the vast majority of its products. Chinese government agencies over the past year have reportedly asked staff to curtail use of “foreign” devices — iPhones — suggesting that Apple may not have the support of Chinese national leadership.

Apple also faces increased competition from local companies, including Huawei, which recently introduced a 5G smartphone despite U.S. export controls on advanced chips.

“AAPL has de-rated significantly amid a weak iPhone 15 cycle and fears that Apple’s China business is structurally impaired,” Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi wrote in a note last week. He has an outperform rating on the stock.

But Sacconaghi doesn’t see Apple being permanently hampered by Chinese Communist Party sentiment, calling the current weak cycle “more cyclical than structural” and pointing out Apple’s historical volatility in the region.

“In strong iPhone cycles, Apple’s China revenues typically grow much faster than Apple overall, as Chinese consumers embrace the new phone,” Sacconaghi wrote. “The strong embrace is typically followed by several quarters of weaker (and often negative YoY growth), as we are seeing now.”

Third-party data points on China aren’t strong, either.

Data from Counterpoint Research shows Huawei surged 70% on an annual basis in March, while Apple declined 19%, falling into third place. However, analysis of the data suggests that the “preliminary signs of iPhone demand improvement … is broader than previously expected,” UBS’ David Vogt wrote this week.

Meanwhile, state statistics show iPhone sales falling 33% in February, the second consecutive month of declining shipments.

Wells Fargo analyst Aaron Rakers said in a March note that iPhone sales could be down 20% on an annual basis during the quarter.

Expectations for the quarter are muted, and how Apple says it sees the current quarter shaping up may be more important than the results for the March quarter.

“There’s a chance Apple could see a relief rally/squeeze higher on a ‘better than feared’ earnings report/guide,” Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring, who has an overweight rating on the stock, wrote in an April note. “This creates a tricky setup, and one we don’t believe investors necessarily need to step in front of.”

Apple hasn’t provided guidance since 2020, but company executives give data points that analysts can use to project sales. “June quarter revenue and gross margin guidance will be critical this quarter,” Woodring wrote.

Apple also typically updates investors during second-quarter earnings about how much it plans to spend on share buybacks for the rest of the year.

“We expect Apple to update its capital return plans at March quarter earnings, and don’t expect any meaningful deviation from recent plans,” Woodring wrote. In May 2023, Apple said it had authorized an additional $90 billion in repurchases.

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Reddit soars after announcing OpenAI deal that allows use of its data for training AI models

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Reddit soars after announcing OpenAI deal that allows use of its data for training AI models

The trading floor of the New York Stock Exchange prepares for the social media platform Reddit’s initial public offering in New York City on March 21, 2024.

Spencer Platt | Getty Images

Reddit shares surged 11% in extended trading on Thursday after the social media company announced a partnership with OpenAI that will allow the ChatGPT maker to train its artificial intelligence models on Reddit content.

As part of the deal, OpenAI will gain access to Reddit’s Data application programming interface, or API, “which provides real-time, structured, and unique content from Reddit,” according to a release.

In exchange, Reddit will begin offering certain AI features to users and moderators, powered by OpenAI, which will also become a Reddit advertising partner. Google announced a similar partnership with Reddit in February, allowing the company to train its AI models, such as Gemini, on Reddit content via access to the platform’s API.

“Reddit has become one of the internet’s largest open archives of authentic, relevant, and always up to date human conversations about anything and everything,” CEO Steve Huffman said in Thursday’s release. “Including it in ChatGPT upholds our belief in a connected internet, helps people find more or what they’re looking for, and helps new audiences find community on Reddit.”

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman is a former board member and major shareholder in Reddit, with a stake valued at about $750 million after Thursday’s pop. OpenAI Chief Operating Officer Brad Lightcap spearheaded the deal, which was approved by the company’s board, the release said.

Earlier this week, OpenAI launched a new AI model and desktop version of ChatGPT, along with an updated user interface, the company’s latest effort to expand use of its popular chatbot. The update brings GPT-4 to everyone, including OpenAI’s free users, Chief Technology Officer Mira Murati said Monday in a livestreamed event.

Murati said the new model, GPT-4o, is “much faster,” with improved capabilities in text, video and audio. OpenAI said it eventually plans to allow users to video chat with ChatGPT.

For Reddit, the deal provides another spark following a rally on Monday and Tuesday tied to a broader surge in so-called meme stocks such as GameStop. Reddit, which went public in March and reached a record close a few days after its initial public offering, is back to trading near its high of $65.11.

WATCH: OpenAI co-founder and chief scientist leaving company

OpenAI Co-Founder and Chief Scientist leaving company

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After Adobe collapse, Figma deal allows employees to sell shares at $12.5 billion valuation

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After Adobe collapse, Figma deal allows employees to sell shares at .5 billion valuation

Dylan Field, co-founder and CEO of Figma, speaks at the startup’s Config conference in San Francisco on May 10, 2022.

Figma

Figma, a cloud-based design tool company, said Thursday it will allow investors, including current and former employees, to sell their shares in a tender offer that values the company at $12.5 billion.

That’s up 25% from the valuation at which the company fundraised in 2021, but below the $20 billion acquisition offer Adobe made in 2022. Adobe and Figma called off the planned acquisition in December following regulatory scrutiny.

The San Francisco-based startup expects the size of the tender to be between $600 million and $900 million, with support from more than 25 current and new investors. A16z, Sequoia and Kleiner Perkins are participating in the offer.

Figma is used by tens of thousands of employees inside Microsoft, which spends millions per year on its deployment. GoogleOracle and Salesforce also use the company’s software.

In June 2021, during the heyday of mega financings, Figma was valued at $10 billion in a funding round that included participation from Morgan Stanley’s Counterpoint Global. That was before the 2022 market plunge sent many cloud stocks down by more than half and largely halted pre-IPO rounds.

Adobe initially said acquiring Figma would be a natural complement to the company’s portfolio, writing in the original announcement that “the combination of Adobe and Figma will usher in a new era of collaborative creativity.” In December, a regulatory filing said Adobe would pay Figma a $1 billion breakup fee.

— CNBC’s Jordan Novet contributed to this report.

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Meta slapped with child safety probe under sweeping EU tech law

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Meta slapped with child safety probe under sweeping EU tech law

Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Meta testifies before the Senate Judiciary Committee at the Dirksen Senate Office Building on January 31, 2024 in Washington, DC.

Alex Wong | Getty Images

Facebook parent company Meta on Thursday was hit with a major investigation from the European Union into alleged breaches of the bloc’s strict online content law over child safety risks.

The European Commission, the EU’s executive body, said in a statement that it is investigating whether the social media giant’s Facebook and Instagram platforms “may stimulate behavioural addictions in children, as well as create so-called ‘rabbit-hole effects’.”

The Commission added that it is concerned about age verifications on Meta’s platforms, as well as privacy risks linked to the company’s recommendation algorithms.

“We want young people to have safe, age-appropriate experiences online and have spent a decade developing more than 50 tools and policies designed to protect them,” a Meta spokesperson told CNBC by email.

“This is a challenge the whole industry is facing, and we look forward to sharing details of our work with the European Commission.”

The Commission said that its decision to initiate an investigation comes of the back of a preliminary analysis of risk assessment report provided by Meta in September 2023.

Thierry Breton, the EU’s commissioner for internal market, said in a statement that the regulator is “not convinced [that Meta] has done enough to comply with the DSA obligations to mitigate the risks of negative effects to the physical and mental health of young Europeans on its platforms.”

The EU said it will carry out an in-depth investigation into Meta’s child protection measures “as a matter of priority.” The bloc can continue to gather evidence via requests for information, interviews, or inspections.

The initiation of a DSA probe allows the EU to take further enforcement steps, including interim measures and non-compliance decisions, the Commission said. The Commission added it can also consider commitments made by Meta to remedy its concerns.

Meta and fellow U.S. tech giants have been increasingly finding themselves in the spotlight of EU scrutiny since the introduction of the bloc’s landmark Digital Services Act, a ground-breaking law from the European Commission seeking to tackle harmful content.

Under the EU’s DSA, companies can be fined up to 6% of their global annual revenues for violations. The bloc is yet to issue fines to any tech giants under its new law.

In December 2023, the EU opened infringement proceedings into X, the company previously known as Twitter, over suspected failure to combat content disinformation and manipulation.

The Commission is also investigating Meta over alleged infringements of the DSA related to its handling of election disinformation.

In April, the bloc launched a probe into the firm and said it’s concerned Meta hasn’t done enough to combat disinformation ahead of upcoming European Parliament elections.

The EU is not the only authority taking action against Meta over child safety concerns.

In the U.S., the attorney general of New Mexico is suing the firm over allegations that Facebook and Instagram enabled child sexual abuse, solicitation, and trafficking.

A Meta spokesperson at the time said that the company deploys “sophisticated technology” and takes other preventive steps to root out predators.

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