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It’s been a whiplash-inducing 36 hours in Washington. Breakthrough or broke in Gaza?

The prospect of a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, which had seemed possible during the weekend, ebbed away as Sunday turned to Monday. Then a moment, but one which soon evaporated.

So what’s going on?

When President Joe Biden and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke by phone late on Monday morning, hope for a deal, being hashed out thousands of miles away in the Qatari capital, Doha, seemed slim.

Instead the focus was on what Mr Netanyahu planned to do with the troops he had ordered to amass in southern Israel just over the Israeli border fence from the Gazan city of Rafah.

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Israeli airstrikes hit Rafah. Pic: AP
Image:
Israeli airstrikes hit Rafah. Pic: AP

As Mr Netanyahu and Mr Biden spoke, leaflets were fluttering down over Rafah, telling the more than a million people there to leave, to head north to Israeli-self-declared safe zones.

President Biden has repeatedly told the Israeli leadership America would not support a ground invasion of Rafah without a comprehensive and workable plan for the civilians – a plan that has not been forthcoming.

But over the past six months, we’ve all learnt American influence over its ally Israel has its limits.

Even US military officials have questioned the logic of a massive ground invasion of such a heavily populated area.

They understand the basic military objectives of rooting out the remaining Hamas battalions hiding in Rafah. Yes, those fighters are hiding behind civilians, but shouldn’t that give pause for thought rather than ploughing on regardless?

Analysis: Peace in Gaza looks as distant as ever

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Displaced people react to IDF’s evacuation warning

Military operation doomed to fail?

The consequences of Israel’s policy of flattening the cities north of Rafah are yet to be calculated.

Beyond the elusive concept of “total victory”, Mr Netanyahu has never explained what his political endgame is or who the political partner in Gaza would be.

By the measure of most students of warfare and history, any military operation which lacks a clear political endgame is doomed to fail and will make a lasting settlement so much harder.

The phone call between Mr Biden and Mr Netanyahu lasted about half an hour and we’re told it was “constructive”.

The president “made clear” his views on the Rafah operation “that could potentially put more than a million innocent people at greater risk”, his spokesperson said.

But the vibes from Israel were that the Rafah operation was looking more likely than not.

Palestinians in Rafah cheer after Hamas announced it had accepted a ceasefire proposal. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Palestinians cheer after Hamas announced it had accepted a ceasefire proposal. Pic: Reuters

Hamas agrees to ceasefire deal

Then, at lunchtime in Washington, news suddenly of a potential breakthrough.

Hamas had issued a statement agreeing to the ceasefire deal.

A big moment it seemed. But what, precisely, were the terms of the deal they had agreed to? Which deal was it? The one Secretary of State Antony Blinken had trumpeted in yet another tour of the region last week? He’d called it “generous”.

It wasn’t clear, and as I write, it’s still not entirely clear.

But in Rafah – they’d got wind of it. The scenes of jubilation were honestly sad to watch. They are so desperate for peace but they’re so likely to be let down.

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‘There is not a deal, there is no acceptance’

White House spokesperson unaware of latest bombings

A little later, no word from President Biden, but his spokesperson, John Kirby, was busy treading water. “We’re currently reviewing the response,” was the White House line.

Mr Kirby was then asked if he was aware bombs were being dropped on Rafah as he spoke. Was that not a clear indication that Mr Netanyahu was rejecting whatever Hamas had agreed to?

He was not aware of the latest bombings, he said.

Then, in an optically terrible moment, as the White House spokesman was saying (again) that President Biden was uneasy, at best, about something Israel was planning, Israel went right ahead and did it anyway.

An IDF statement was published which said: “The IDF is currently conducting targeted strikes against Hamas terror targets in eastern Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip. Details to follow.”

The statement confirmed what our local teams on the ground were seeing and hearing with their eyes and ears.

Palestinians flee Rafah after the Israeli army ordered them to evacuate. Pic: AP
Image:
Palestinians flee Rafah after the Israeli army ordered them to evacuate

Smoke rises from Rafah after an Israeli airstrike on the Gaza city
Image:
Smoke rises from Rafah after an Israeli airstrike. Pics: AP

Israel to send team to Egypt for ceasefire talks

My social media feeds are again full of the sort of images which we could never publish on taste grounds but which we have seen so many times during the course of this war.

Then a statement from Mr Netanyahu’s office – the war cabinet had “unanimously decided Israel will continue its operation in Rafah, in order to apply military pressure on Hamas so as to advance the release of our hostages and achieve the other objectives of the war”.

It added that a team would be sent to Egypt to “maximise the possibility of reaching an agreement on terms acceptable to Israel”.

Jordan could be key to ceasefire

Rafah is part of Mr Netanyahu’s negotiating strategy of course.

President Biden happened to be having lunch with King Abdullah of Jordan at the White House as news of the Hamas agreement came through.

In a conflict where we look hard for honest brokers to decipher what’s actually going on, perhaps Jordan is close?

It’s a key Arab nation, made up of so many exiled Palestinians, but a diplomatic partner to Israel and a key ally of America.

Netanyahu ‘jeopardising the deal by bombing Rafah’

After the lunch there was no comment from Jordan’s Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi when I asked him if a deal was really possible.

Then, a tweet from him: “Tremendous effort has been made to produce an exchange deal that’ll release hostages and realise a ceasefire. Hamas has put out an offer. If Netanyahu genuinely wants a deal, he will negotiate the offer in earnest. Instead, he is jeopardising the deal by bombing Rafah.”

The opposing view is that Hamas has laid a trap, subtly shifting the terms of the deal allowing the world to think it’s Israel who has rejected it.

There is one indisputable trap: Gaza. A miserable cycle of human suffering in a locked-off strip of land.

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Air India confirms 241 dead after plane crash – with one Briton surviving

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Air India confirms 241 dead after plane crash - with one Briton surviving

Air India has confirmed that 241 people on board a flight to London Gatwick have died after the aircraft crashed shortly after take-off – with just one person surviving.

The Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner, which was carrying 53 Britons, crashed into a doctors’ hostel in a residential area moments after taking off from Ahmedabad airport, in western India.

India plane crash latest: Follow live updates

Air India has said 229 passengers and 12 crew died. Authorities have not confirmed how many people on the ground were killed or injured.

The airline said it “offers its deepest condolences to the families of the deceased”.

“Our efforts now are focused entirely on the needs of all those affected, their families and loved ones,” the statement continued.

The sole survivor is British man Vishwash Kumar Ramesh, who was travelling on the flight with his brother.

Vishwash Kumar Ramesh.
Pic: Hindustan Times
Image:
Vishwash Kumar Ramesh. Pic: Hindustan Times

He told the Hindustan Times newspaper he heard a “loud noise” around 30 seconds after take-off before the Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner went down.

“It all happened so quickly,” he said, adding that he suffered “impact injuries” to his chest, eyes and feet. “When I got up, there were bodies all around me. I was scared. I stood up and ran.”

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Moment of fatal plane crash in India

The passengers included 169 Indian nationals, 53 British nationals, seven Portuguese nationals and one Canadian national.

In a statement posted on Facebook, Gloucester Muslim Community said Akeel Nanabawa, his wife Hannaa and their four-year-old daughter Sara had died in the crash.

They said: “No words can truly ease the pain of such a profound loss, but we pray that the family may find solace in the tremendous outpouring of compassion and solidarity from communities across the world.”

Akeel Nanabawa, his wife Hannaa and their four-year-old daughter Sara. Pic: PA
Image:
Akeel Nanabawa, his wife Hannaa and their four-year-old daughter Sara. Pic: PA

Also on the flight were married couple Fiongal and Jamie Greenlaw-Meek from west London. They had posted a video from the airport on their Instagram feed shortly before boarding.

Fiongal and Jamie Greenlaw-Meek. Pic: Instagram
Image:
Fiongal and Jamie Greenlaw-Meek. Pic: Instagram

Air India pane crash map

Videos show the aircraft, which departed from Ahmedabad to London Gatwick at 1.38pm local time, struggling to gain altitude in the seconds after taking off.

It then begins to descend and a fireball can be seen as the plane crashes, with massive plumes of thick black smoke rising into the sky.

Other images show the aircraft’s tail after it crashed into the roof of the BJ Medical College Hostel in the Meghaninagar area.

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Video shows huge plumes of smoke near Indian airport

Tata Sons, which owns the airline, said it will give around £86,000 to the families of each person who died, cover the medical expenses of those injured, and provide support to rebuild the medical hostel.

Ahmedabad airport said the plane crashed “shortly after take-off, outside the airport”. Flights were suspended until shortly after 4pm local time.

In a statement, London Gatwick said the flight was due to land at 6.25pm UK time on Thursday and a reception centre for relatives of those on board was set up where information and support will be provided.

Flight tracking website Flightradar said a signal was last received from the aircraft less than a minute after take-off.

It is the first ever crash of a Boeing 787 Dreamliner, according to the Aviation Safety Network database.

The model, a widebody, twin-engine plane, has made five million journeys in the 14 years since its first passenger flight.

Pic: Takagi
Image:
The aircraft before the crash. Pic: Takagi

Pic: NDTV
Image:
The plane crashed in a residential area. Pic: NDTV

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Tail of Air India plane wedged in roof

Read more:
What we know so far
Investigators will want to know if crash part of wider problem

CCTV shows take-off and fireball explosion
Aviation experts review crash video

Sir Keir Starmer said the scenes emerging were “devastating”. He added: “Our hearts and our thoughts are absolutely with the friends and families of all of those affected.”

The prime minister said the British government is in “constant contact” with the Indian authorities and has dispatched an investigation team of its own.

The King said he and the Queen were “desperately shocked by the terrible events” in a post on X.

“Our special prayers and deepest possible sympathy are with the families and friends of all those affected by this appallingly tragic incident across so many nations, as they await news of their loved ones,” he said.

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Rescuers rush to airport

The foreign office said the UK is “working with local authorities in India to urgently establish the facts and provide support to those involved”.

British nationals who require consular assistance are advised to call 020 7008 5000, while Air India has set up hotlines to provide information on 1800 5691 444 for those calling within India and +91 806 2779 200 for foreign nationals.

India’s prime minister Narendra Modi said in a post on X: “The tragedy in Ahmedabad has stunned and saddened us.

“It is heartbreaking beyond words. In this sad hour, my thoughts are with everyone affected by it.”

India’s worst aviation tragedy in decades

It’s the worst aviation tragedy the country has seen in decades, writes Sky News India correspondent Neville Lazarus.

The images of the aircraft plunging to the ground into a fireball and the horizon filled with black smoke will haunt the nation for a very long time.

Some 242 passengers, including children and 12 crew members, were on the ill-fated flight.

The aircraft, which lost altitude soon after take-off, crashed into residential quarters of BJ Medical College doctors in Ahmedabad’s Meghaninagar area.

Images of parts of the plane can be seen hanging precariously on the building of the hostel, having caused severe damage.

A large number of residents are feared dead in the speciality doctors’ buildings, which have 94 flats and about 200 people living in them.

The nation is in shock as bodies, some beyond recognition, are being brought into hospitals across the city. There are many injured and some in critical condition.

India’s civil aviation minister Ram Mohan Naidu Kinjarapu said he was “shocked and devastated” to learn about the crash.

“We are on highest alert,” he said. “I am personally monitoring the situation and have directed all aviation and emergency response agencies to take swift and coordinated action.

“Rescue teams have been mobilised, and all efforts are being made to ensure medical aid and relief support are being rushed to the site.”

 Air India plane crash
Firefighters work at the site of an airplane that crashed in India's northwestern city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat state, Thursday, June12, 2025. (AP Photo/Ajit Solanki)
Image:
Pic: AP

Aviation expert Julian Bray told Sky News he understands the pilot managed to make a mayday call, meaning the crew was aware of a problem before the crash.

Air India was acquired by Tata Group from the Indian government in January 2022 after racking up billions of pounds of losses.

The group now operates more than 8,300 weekly flights on 312 routes, connecting more than 100 domestic and international destinations with a fleet of 300 aircraft.

Rescue team members work as smoke rises at the site where an Air India plane crashed in Ahmedabad, India, June 12, 2025. REUTERS/Amit Dave T
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Rescue workers at the crash site. Pic: Reuters

People work near the site of an airplane that crashed in India's northwestern city of Ahmedabad in Gujarat state, Thursday, June12, 2025. (AP Photo/Ajit Solanki)
Image:
Pic: AP

The airline’s chairman Natarajan Chandrasekaran described the incident as a “tragic accident” and a “devastating event” and said emergency response teams were at the site.

“At this moment, our primary focus is on supporting all the affected people and their families,” he said.

“We are doing everything in our power to assist the emergency response teams at the site and to provide all necessary support and care to those impacted.”

A Boeing spokesperson said: “We are in contact with Air India regarding Flight 171 and stand ready to support them. Our thoughts are with the passengers, crew, first responders and all affected.”

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What you need to know as Israel launches strikes against Iran

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What you need to know as Israel launches strikes against Iran

Israel has launched a major attack on Iran and declared a state of emergency over retaliation fears.

The operation, called “Rising Lion”, killed a number of Iranian commanders, scientists and the head of the country’s powerful Revolutionary Guard, according to Iranian state media.

Iran launched more than 100 drones towards Israel after the country vowed retaliation, an Israeli military spokesperson said.

Israel-Iran live: Follow the latest updates

Here is what we know so far.

What has happened?

Shortly after 1am UK time on Friday, Israel launched what it called “pre-emptive strikes” against targets in Iran.

Explosions were heard in Iran’s capital, Tehran, while Iranian state TV broadcast footage of blown-out walls, burning roofs and shattered windows in residential buildings across the city.

Smoke rises from a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran.
Pic: WANA/Reutes
Image:
Pic: WANA/Reutes

It reported that blasts had set the Revolutionary Guard’s headquarters on fire.

Bracing for retaliation, Israel closed its airspace and said it was calling up tens of thousands of soldiers to protect the country’s borders.

Firefighters work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran.
Pic: WANA/Reuters
Image:
Firefighters work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran.
Pic: WANA/Reuters

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the operation “will continue for as many days as it takes to remove this threat”.

As a result of the strikes, flights around the Middle East are being cancelled, with passengers in Iraq, Jordan, Israel, Lebanon, Iran and Dubai facing delays.

Where and who was targeted?

In a video announcing the military operation, Mr Netanyahu said the strikes hit Iran’s main nuclear enrichment site, the Natanz atomic facility, and targeted Iran’s leading nuclear scientists.

He said Israel had also targeted Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal.

Iran Map

The international atomic watchdog (IAEA) said it is in contact with Iranian authorities regarding radiation levels after the Natanz facility – which is in the central Isfahan province – was targeted.

The Natanz nuclear facility in Iran on Jan. 24, 2025 
Pivc: Maxar Technologies/AP
Image:
The Natanz nuclear facility in Iran.
Pivc: Maxar Technologies/AP

The head of the country’s Revolutionary Guard, Hossein Salami, has been killed, along with Major General Gholam Ali Rashid.

IRGC Commander-in-Chief Major General Hossein Salami.
File Pic: WANA/Reuters
Image:
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Commander-in-Chief Major General Hossein Salami.
File Pic: WANA/Reuters

Six nuclear scientists have also been killed, according to Iranian state media.

Nuclear scientist Fereydoun Abbasi and theoretical physicist Dr Mohammed Mehdi Tehranchi have been named as among the dead by Mehr News.

Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi Pic: Tasnim News Agency/Wiki Commons
Image:
Mohammad Mehdi Tehranchi Pic: Tasnim News Agency/Wiki Commons

Fereydoun Abbasi, Iran's Vice President and Head of Atomic Energy Organization pictured in 2012.
Pic: AP
Image:
Fereydoun Abbasi.
Pic: AP

Why has Israel launched strikes now?

The attack comes amid rising international fears over Iran’s nuclear programme, with the UN watchdog warning earlier this week that the country is breaking its obligations for the first time in 20 years.

Israel and the US have long feared Iran is plotting to develop a nuclear weapon. Tehran has repeatedly denied this and insists its programme is for civilian purposes – to generate energy.

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In full: Netanyahu statement

Mr Netanyahu claimed on Friday that if Iran wasn’t stopped, “it could produce a nuclear weapon within a very short time”.

He went further to claim Iran had in recent years developed enough highly-enriched uranium for “nine atom bombs”.

US and Iranian officials were scheduled to hold a sixth round of talks on Tehran’s escalating uranium enrichment programme in Oman on Sunday.

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Israel strike: ‘This is the big one’

Israel previously launched strikes on Iran in October 2024.

Sky News’ Middle East correspondent Alistair Bunkall said last year’s strikes eliminated much of Iran’s air defences, giving the Israeli air force some freedom of movement in Iran’s skies.

But Iran has been rebuilding those defences, Bunkall adds, so Israel’s window to operate was closing.

Iranian drones pictured in Jauary 2025.
File Pic: WANA/Reuters
Image:
Iranian drones.
File Pic: WANA/Reuters

Has Iran responded?

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, warned of “severe punishment”, claiming Israel targeted “residential areas”.

“In the enemy’s attacks, a number of commanders and scientists were martyred. Their successors and colleagues will immediately continue their duties,” he said in a statement reported by the Tasnim news agency.

Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran.
Pic: WANA/Reuters
Image:
Rescuers work at the scene of a damaged building in the aftermath of Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran.
Pic: WANA/Reuters

Hours after Israeli strikes, Iran launched more than 100 drones in retaliation, an IDF spokesperson said.

The IDF confirmed Israel has begun intercepting unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVS) which it said had been fired from Iran.

How has the world reacted?

US secretary of state Marco Rubio said that America was not involved in the attack and warned Iran not to retaliate against American interests in the region.

Mr Rubio added that America believes the strikes are necessary for Israel’s self defence.

British Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer has urged “all parties to step back and reduce tensions urgently”.

Read analysis from Sky correspondents:
If the Persian Gulf becomes a battlefield, we will all feel the consequences
The consequences for the region could be massive

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The UK is not currently helping to defend Israel from Iranian drone attacks, Sky News’ security and defence editor, Deborah Haynes, said.

A Chinese foreign ministry spokesperson said it is paying close attention to Israeli attacks on Iran and has called on the relevant
parties to act in ways that will lead to regional peace and stability.

In the Middle East, the UAE condemned Israel’s strikes against Iran “in the strongest terms” and expressed “deep concern” over the repercussions on regional security.

While neighbouring Qatar called Israel’s attack a “flagrant violation” of Iran’s sovereignty and security.

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Israel-Iran conflict: If the Persian Gulf becomes a battlefield, we will all feel the consequences

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Israel-Iran conflict: If the Persian Gulf becomes a battlefield, we will all feel the consequences

Israel has finally hit Iran’s nuclear facilities. What happens next and how bad could it get?

Israel first.

Israelis have always regarded Iran’s nuclear ambitions as an existential threat.

Israel-Iran latest: Iran retaliates against airstrikes

The ayatollahs insist their nuclear programme is entirely peaceful, but their leaders have also talked of wiping Israel off the face of the Earth, and that threat has been taken at face value by Israelis.

Benjamin Netanyahu clearly thinks this is the time to act for a number of reasons.

More on Iran

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Analysis: ‘This is the big one’

Iran has never been weaker internally after nationwide protests a few years ago, and Israel has massively degraded its proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas. And they have a sympathetic president in the White House.

Israel may have plenty on its plate in Gaza and southern Lebanon still, but that is not holding its leaders back from seizing the moment.

Critics might also wonder whether this is a distraction from the growing diplomatic isolation of Israel over Gaza.

Britain has just taken the unprecedented step of sanctioning two Israeli government ministers. France is thought to be poised to recognise Palestine as an independent state.

Whatever the reasons, Israel will try to finish what it’s started.

Firefighters work the scene of an explosion at a residence compound in northern Tehran, Iran.
Pic: AP
Image:
Firefighters are called to an explosion in northern Tehran. Pic: AP

Equally, Iran will do what it can to stop Israel’s attacks. Doing nothing or not enough looks weak, and in the Middle East that is dangerous. But how?

Missile and drone attacks on Israel seem certain, but possibly against US assets and allies too.

The Trump administration may have tried to distance itself from the Israeli operation. But Iran won’t believe that.

For Iranians, America and Israel are inextricably linked as part of the same evil.

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Read more:
Watch: Iran and Israel in major conflict
Israel attacks Iran and declares emergency
Iran TV shows bomb damage

The big fear is Iran starts striking targets in the Persian Gulf.

Enough tankers being sunk or oil refineries going up in smoke could have an immediate impact on the global economy. Bad enough and President Trump might call time on Israel’s actions. That would be the Iranian hope, at least.

So expect the following: Israel continues striking Iran; Iran hits back with all it can; America is forced to help defend Israel; Iran hits both Israel, the US and possibly US allies.

That is the predictable bit.

Wars follow the laws of unintended consequences. At any point in that escalation, unexpected events could lead to greater escalation.

Brace yourself, the coming days could go in a number of directions. If the Persian Gulf becomes the battlefield, we will all feel the consequences.

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