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US renewables’ electrical generating capacity could be close to – and may even surpass – natural gas within three years, according to FERC data.

In March alone, solar accounted for 99.7% of capacity added, marking the seventh consecutive month that it provided more new generating capacity than any other energy source, according to the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission’s (FERC) latest monthly “Energy Infrastructure Update” report (with data through March 31, 2024), which was reviewed by the SUN Day Campaign.

FERC says 52 “units” of solar provided 2,833 megawatts (MW) of new domestic generating capacity in March, or 99.72% of the total. Three megawatts each of new biomass and oil capacity plus 1 MW each of new hydropower and natural gas capacity made up the balance.

For Q1 2024, solar accounted for 86.79% (6,497 MW) of new generating capacity brought online while wind contributed another 12.40% (928 MW). Natural gas trailed with only 49 MW (0.65%) along with 5 MW of oil, 3 MW of biomass, 3 MW of “other,” and 1 MW of hydropower.

Solar has now been the largest source of new generating capacity from September 2023 to March 2024. Further, new solar capacity added in Q1 2024 was more than double the solar added in Q1 2023 (2,774 MW).

“FERC’s data for the first quarter seem to confirm forecasts by multiple sources that solar will dominate new capacity additions in 2024,” noted the SUN DAY Campaign’s executive director Ken Bossong. “And it is not unreasonable to suggest that solar’s growth this year will exceed expectations.” 

Renewables are nearly 30% of utility-scale generating capacity

The latest capacity additions have brought solar’s share of total available installed utility-scale (i.e., >1 MW) generating capacity up to 8.25%, surpassing that of hydropower (7.88%). Wind is currently at 11.77%. Solar and wind combined now account for more than a fifth (20.02%) of the US’s installed utility-scale generating capacity. With the inclusion of biomass (1.14%) and geothermal (0.33%), renewables now claim a 29.37% share of total US utility-scale generating capacity.

For perspective, a year ago, solar’s share was 6.67% while wind and hydropower were 11.51% and 7.97%, respectively. The mix of all renewables totaled 27.67%.

Installed utility-scale solar has now climbed into fourth place – behind natural gas (43.79%), coal (15.87%), and wind – for its share of generating capacity after having recently surpassed that of nuclear power (8.01%).

Solar to beat wind and coal within 3 years

FERC reports that net “high probability” additions of solar between April 2024 and March 2027 total 89,030 MW – that’s more than 3.5 times the forecast net “high probability” additions for wind (24,483 MW), the second-fastest growing resource.

FERC also foresees growth for hydropower (568 MW), geothermal (400 MW), and biomass (91 MW). The new 1,100 MW Vogtle-4 reactor in Georgia that entered commercial operation in late April will increase nuclear capacity modestly, while coal, natural gas, and oil are projected to shrink by 20,077 MW, 2,386 MW, and 2,015 MW, respectively.

If just FERC’s current “high probability” additions come to fruition, by April 1, 2027, solar will account for almost one-seventh (14.16%) of installed US utility-scale generating capacity. That would be greater than either coal (13.36%) or wind (12.77%) and nearly double that of either nuclear power (7.56%) or hydropower (7.40%).

The mix of all renewables would account for 35.73% of total available installed utility-scale generating capacity – rapidly approaching that of natural gas (40.72%) – with solar and wind constituting more than 75% of installed utility-scale renewable energy capacity. Solar capacity alone would equal the combined capacities of wind, biomass, and geothermal.

FERC’s numbers run conservative

Three years ago, in its March 2021 “Infrastructure” report, FERC projected that between April 2021 and March 2024, net “high probability” solar additions would total 41,238 MW while those for wind would reach 21,888 MW. In reality, solar additions during that three-year period totaled 49,480 MW – nearly one-fifth (19.99%) higher, while actual wind capacity additions reached 26,910 MW or nearly 23% higher than FERC’s forecast. 

Moreover, FERC reports that there may actually be as much as 214,882 MW of net new solar additions in the current three-year pipeline in addition to 73,732 MW of new wind and 7,719 MW of new hydropower.

FERC only reports data for utility-scale facilities – it doesn’t include rooftop solar data, for example. According to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), small-scale solar is estimated to account for nearly a third of US electrical generation by solar and a larger share of total installed solar capacity.

This suggests that the total capacity of distributed (rooftop solar) and utility-scale solar combined is significantly more than the 8.25% FERC reported as solar’s share of total capacity at the end of March. It’s perhaps closer to 12% and may be on track to approach or exceed 20% within three years.

That could bring the generating capacity of all renewables close to – and possibly surpassing – natural gas within three years.

Read more: In a milestone, the US exceeds 5 million solar installations


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Lectric eBikes launches updated XPeak 2.0 off-road e-bike for a killer price

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Lectric eBikes launches updated XPeak 2.0 off-road e-bike for a killer price

The Phoenix-based electric bike maker Lectric Ebikes has been on a tear lately, launching updated versions of its wildly popular electric bicycle models. The latest in a string of affordably priced updates is the new Lectric XPeak off-road e-bike, packing a surprising amount of tech and upgrades for a surprisingly low price of just $1,399. And to sweeten the deal even further, the launch promotion includes over $300 in free accessories, too.

It’s all pretty much par for the course at Lectric, which has spent years growing its lineup of affordable, popular e-bikes that offer some of the best bang-for-your-buck in the industry.

The XPeak 2.0 is the latest example, adding significant upgrades to the second generation version, including a new torque sensor for smooth and responsive pedal assist, plus surprisingly high-end components such as the RST Renegade front suspension fork.

“With the RST Renegade fork, excellent componentry, and an industry-leading low price, we knew the XPeak would be a hit,” explained Lectric eBikes co-founder and CEO Levi Conlow. “While the 2.0 version gets even better with a torque sensor and bigger battery options, most importantly, we knew we had to give our riders what they expect from Lectric: the same low price as the first model.”

At just $1,399, Lectric has kept the price of its newest off-road e-bike the same as the first generation while offering impressive specs.

The 750-watt Stealth M24 motor (which actually puts out around 1,300W of peak power) has become a staple of Lectric’s e-bikes, providing more power and torque than most other e-bikes in this class. In fact, with 85 Nm of torque, Lectric’s models often make it to the top of the hill quicker and more reliably than other brands in head-to-head tests.

Like most of the company’s models, the Class 3 XPeak 2.0 can reach a top speed of 28 mph (45 km/h) on pedal assist, as well as 20 mph (32 km/h) on throttle-only riding.

In addition to the standard 15Ah battery offering 60 miles (96 km) of range, there’s a new 20Ah battery for an even longer lasting 80 miles (130 km) of range. Both battery options are easily removable for charging either on or off of the bike.

The XPeak 2.0’s structural changes compared to the first generation include a new hydroformed aluminum frame, lock-on hand grips, a larger 203 mm front disc to give the hydraulic brakes even more stopping power, and a new color LCD display.

The bike also gets new blacked-out fork stanchions for a stealthier look and comes in the Tempest Grey colorway for the high step frame and stratus white for the easy-to-mount step-through frame option.

For safety, the XPeak 2.0 has been certified to ISO 4210-10, a rigorous electric mountain bike standard testing that covers the structure of the bike, as well as UL-compliance to UL 2849, a standard that covers an e-bike’s battery, controller, motor, and other electronic components.

The Lectric XPeak is now available for pre-order, starting at $1,399. The company is also offering $365 in free accessories bundled with pre-orders, including a rear rack, fenders, elite headlight, bottle-shaped bike lock, and suspension seat post.

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Watch Kia’s new EV4 hatch carve up the Nurburgring, nearly on two wheels [Video]

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Watch Kia's new EV4 hatch carve up the Nurburgring, nearly on two wheels [Video]

Kia’s upcoming entry-level EV has finally made its way to the famous Nurburgring for testing. The EV4 hatch was spotted ripping across the track, nearly on two wheels at one point, as Kia preps for its big debut.

According to Kia, the EV4 is “an entirely new type of EV sedan. ” It was first unveiled last October during Kia’s first annual EV Day, alongside the EV3 and EV5 as part of its new low-cost lineup.

The EV5 launched in China last year, while the EV3 is already rolling out in Korea and Europe. Next up, we will finally see the production version of the EV4.

Although its four-door format suggests it’s a sedan, Kia said the EV4’s bold design is a symbol of the company’s innovation. Its low nose, long-tail silhouette, and added roof spoiler give it an almost racecar-like feel.

With its official debut approaching, Kia’s EV4 has been spotted out in the wild several times. Last week, it was caught testing in the US for the first time.

A hatchback model has also been spotted. It was first caught on European roads this summer and in the US earlier this month.

Kia-EV4-Nurburgring
Kia EV4 (back) showcased alongside EV9 (left) EV3 (middle), and EV5 (right) (Source: Kia)

Kia EV4 hatch takes on the Nurburgring as debut looms

After the EV4 was spotted racing across the Nurburgring for the first time, we are getting our best look yet at the upcoming Kia model.

The video from CarSpyMedia shows the EV4 hatch carving up sections of the track. Several times, you can see the EV4 is being pushed to the limits, nearly going up on two wheels.

Kia EV4 hatch testing at Nurburgring (Source: CarSpyMedia)

However, with a low center of gravity and likely added stabilization tech, the EV4 appears to handle it with ease. You can also see the difference between the sedan model and the hatchback, with the bulky backside.

As it takes on the track, it almost looks like the 576 hp EV6 GT, Kia’s fastest and most powerful car. At least for now.

Kia-EV4-hatchback
Kia EV4 sedan concept (Source: Kia)

Kia is expected to officially reveal the EV4 by the end of the year, with deliveries starting in 2025. Prices are expected to be in the $30,000 to $40,000 range. The hatchback model is likely aimed at Europe, but it could also find a market in the US as buyers drift toward more efficient options.

Ahead of the LA Auto Show later this week, Kia is teasing five new vehicles for the US, at least one being an EV. Will it be the EV4? EV3?

Source: CarSpyMedia

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Elon Musk hints at Tesla making bigger electric cars, but don’t hold your breath

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Elon Musk hints at Tesla making bigger electric cars, but don't hold your breath

Elon Musk is hinting at Tesla making bigger electric cars, but you shouldn’t hold your breath as it’s not the first time he said that.

In the last few hours, Musk responded to two fans on X, asking Tesla to build bigger vehicles to support larger families.

Musk often promotes the idea of having bigger families as he is afraid of declining populations due to low birth rates in some countries.

With the first one, the CEO responded with a simple “OK,” and with the other, he elaborated a bit more by referencing the recently unveiled Tesla Robovan and “some other things”:

Musk appears to be hinting at Tesla’s work on a bigger electric vehicle that has yet to be unveiled.

While interesting, it’s hard to give too much weight to the comment, considering Musk claimed that Tesla has been working on a higher passenger capacity vehicle for years.

A “high passenger-density urban transport” vehicle has been in Tesla’s official product roadmap since 2016 and has yet to be unveiled, unless you count the Robovan unveiled last month, but that’s completely attached to Tesla’s self-driving effort as the vehicle has no steering wheel or pedals.

As part of Tesla’s shift toward autonomous driving, the automaker has pulled back plans for several new electric vehicle programs in favor of those without any driver inputs, like Cybercab and Robotvan.

Musk has also discussed the possibility of Tesla making an electric van on several occasions in the last few years.

Tesla is expected to soon unveil two new vehicles to be launch next year, but those are based on the Model 3 and Model Y and therefore, they aren’t likely to be bigger vehicles.

Electrek’s Take

Like most things Elon says lately, it goes in my “I’ll believe it when I see it” folder.

That said, I think an electric van that can be configured for cargo, camper, or passenger, would make a ton of sense in Tesla’s vehicle lineup.

Of course, it’s harder to get the greenlight for a vehicle program like that if your CEO is perpetually convinced that the company is on the verge of achieving self-driving and making steering wheels obsolete.

I’m more of the opinion that Tesla should have played it more careful and continue working on growing its human-driveable EV lineup while working on self-driving.

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