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The oldest president in American history has a problem with the nations youngest voters.
Support from voters under 30 has powered every Democratic presidential victory for the past half century; Joe Biden carried the demographic by 24 points in 2020, his biggest margin of any age group. But according to several recent surveys, the presidents support among young voters has plummeted. Polls covering six swing states released last week by The New York Times, Siena College, and The Philadelphia Inquirer found Biden losing to Donald Trump (though within the margin of error) among voters under 30. The two men were effectively tied in this months national poll from Fox News.
These results have prompted a mix of panic and disbelief among many Democrats, who see little chance of a Biden victory if he cant win back one of the partys core constituencies. Yet analysts who study the youth vote say the presidents standing with this key group isnt nearly as bad as Democrats tend to think, and they attribute many of the struggles he is having to an underappreciated finding: Most first-time voters know surprisingly little about Trump. The most targeted data suggest that Biden maintains a double-digit lead over Trump among voters ages 18 to 29. Its smaller than it was four years ago, but experts say Biden has a good opportunity to run it up.
Surveys that specifically poll voters under 30as opposed to those in which young people are merely a subset of respondentsshow Biden leading Trump by double digits. In the Harvard Youth Poll, a biennial survey considered the gold standard for measuring young voters, Biden led Trump by 13 points among registered voters. That advantage was virtually identical to the margin found in surveys (one national and one across several battleground states) commissioned this spring by Voters of Tomorrow and NextGen America, a pair of Democrat-aligned groups who are targeting the youth vote, according to summaries they shared with me. Pollsters place more trust in these findings because they sample a larger number of young peopleand therefore have a smaller margin of errorthan the surveys that have shown less favorable results for Biden.
Read: The real youth-vote shift to watch
Still, those margins arent close to what they were in 2020. Biden is polling worst with 18-to-22-year-olds, most of whom were children when Trump was president. In polls and focus groups, this cohort demonstrated little awareness of the major controversies of Trumps term. They didnt fully know who Donald Trump was, Cristina Tzintzn Ramirez, NextGen Americas president, told me. Some of them were 10 years old when he was first elected. And if they had good parents, they were probably shielded from the images of crying babies being ripped from their mothers at the border, or from the sight of Heather Heyer being run over by white supremacists in Charlottesville.
In polling conducted by Blueprint, a Democratic data firm, fewer than half of registered voters under 30 said they had heard some of Trumps most incendiary quotes, such as when he said there were very fine people on both sides demonstrating in Charlottesville, Virginia, in 2017, or when he told members of the Proud Boys, the far-right militia group, to stand back and stand by during a 2020 debate. Just 42 percent of respondents were aware that, during his 2016 campaign, Trump called for a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States.
The youngest voters know Trump more as a ribald commentator than as a political leader. Santiago Mayer, the 22year-old founder of the Gen Z group Voters of Tomorrow, which has endorsed Biden, told me that his 18-year-old brother and his friends see Trump as more funny than threatening. They dont know much about Donald Trumps agenda, and Donald Trump is an entertaining character, Mayer said. They are gravitating toward him not because of their political beliefs but out of sheer curiosity.
A related problem for Biden is that young voters dont know much about what hes done, either. The president has kept a lower profile than his two predecessors, and young people as a group arent as civically engaged as older Americans. As a result, pollsters have found that young voters are less aware of Bidens accomplishments, even on issues that they say are important to them. Many of them dont know, for example, that he signed the largest climate bill in history (the Inflation Reduction Act) or the most significant change to gun laws in decades (the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act), or that he has forgiven about $160 billion in student debt. The more they pay attention, the more they approve of and are likely to vote for Biden, John Della Volpe, the director of polling at Harvards Institute of Politics, told me. The biggest challenge for Biden, he said, is that an overwhelming number of young people do not appreciate the degree to which hes delivered on promises he made in 2020. I hear that in every single city.
Other factors are driving the disconnect between Biden and young voters as well. When Blueprint asked young voters what concerned them most about a potential second Biden term, their top worry was that hed be too old for the job. Next on the list, however, was inflation. People in early adulthood are also less economically stable than their older peers and more sensitive to costs. So although campus protests over Israels military campaign in Gaza have dominated headlines, polls show that inflation is a much bigger drag on Bidens support among young voters, and a more significant issue for them than for older people. Young voters just think that Biden doesn’t have his eye on the ball economically when it comes to inflation, Evan Roth Smith, Blueprints lead pollster, told me. It is surprising but not inexplicable that voters under 30 associate lower price points with Donald Trump. But they do, because its just a hard fact that prices were lower and the rate of inflation was lower when Donald Trump was president.
Read: Bidens weakness with young voters isnt about Gaza
I think people would forgive age if they felt that Biden could bring prices down, Smith added.
Still, Biden has advantages over Trump that could help him win back young voters by November. Voters under 30 have retreated from both parties and are more likely to register as independents than in the past. But they remain more progressive than the electorate as a whole, and in recent polls they align much closer with Biden on the issues than with Trump. In 2022, Tzintzn Ramirez said, young voters expressed antipathy toward the Democratic Party in polling but ended up backing Democratic candidates in the midterms. She and other analysts see a similar dynamic at play now, where young voters are telling pollsters theyre undecided or registering support for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and other third-party candidates as a protest against both Biden and Trump. Surveys show this to be especially true for young men and voters of color, many of whom have soured on Biden. But support for third-party alternatives typically drops as the election nears. Young voters also tend to make their choice later in the campaign.
Perhaps the best data point for Biden is that hes hardly worse off among young voters than President Barack Obama was at this point in his 2012 reelection bid. Like Biden, Obama won big among voters under 30 during his first presidential victory but struggled to communicate his record to them. Della Volpe told me that in Harvards polling, Obama had the same 13-point advantage over Mitt Romney among registered voters in the spring of 2012 that Biden has over Trump now. He would nearly double that margin by the fall, thanks in large part to an aggressive ad campaign that portrayed the former Massachusetts governor and businessman as an out-of-touch and greedy financier.
Donald Trump would seem to need no introduction to votersexcept, that is, to those who were too young or tuned out to fully remember his presidency. Givig them a well-funded history lesson could be Bidens best hope for a second term.
Earlier this week, we covered Honda’s new patent images that revealed what looks to be a production-ready, ultra-low-cost electric motorcycle from the world’s most prolific motorcycle maker. While the company hasn’t officially announced plans to bring the bike to market, the level of detail in the patent suggests one thing loud and clear: Honda’s electric commuter is no longer just a concept – it’s waiting on a green light from the boardroom. And if they’re still debating giving it the thumbs up or down, then now would be the perfect time to make everyone’s day and release this thing to the world.
To be fair, we don’t really know what the bike would look like since we only have the technical drawings in the patent that showcase an electric motorcycle built on the frame of a Honda Shine 100, the company’s smash-hit 99cc commuter bike that has proven incredibly popular in India.
The images above and below show an AI interpretation of how the electric version could look, taking the technical drawings of the bike from the patent and applying styling similar to the Shine 100. But if this is any indication, it could slot nicely into Honda’s lineup.
Left: An actual Honda Shine 100 motorcycle; Right: AI-generated electric version for visualization purposes
A perfect storm of demand and opportunity
Right now, the market is crying out for a product like this. Two-wheel electric transport is booming globally, especially in regions where motorcycles are used not for weekend rides or fun, but as core transportation for everyday life. In developing countries like India, Indonesia, and throughout Southeast Asia and Africa, affordable motorcycles are the backbone of personal mobility. And as battery prices continue to fall and gas prices remain unpredictable, electric is becoming the obvious next step.
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Even in the US, which has been one of the slowest markets in the world to adopt electric two-wheelers, there are literal roving gangs of teenagers on light electric motorcycles. If that doesn’t underscore how far electric motorcycles have penetrated, nothing will. Even Americans are buying them.
But of course, the US isn’t the main market, and Honda seems to know that. The company’s yet-unnamed electric model from its patent appears to be designed as a direct electric counterpart to the Shine 100, that wildly popular gasoline-powered commuter bike that has dominated the budget end of the market in India. The Shine 100 is known for its simple, reliable design, ultra-low price, and frugal fuel economy. Now imagine replacing the gas tank with a battery pack, swapping out the engine for a hub motor, and cutting fuel and maintenance costs almost to zero. That’s exactly what this new bike looks poised to do.
Honda patent images show a fully-developed electric version of a Shine 100 motorcycle
The specs we don’t know… yet
We don’t have confirmed specs from Honda, but the design and architecture give us some important clues. The motor appears to be a small, centrally mounted unit similar in size to those seen on Sur Ron-style electric motorbikes, likely in the 5-6 kW range, which would likely put top speed somewhere in the ballpark of 50 to 55 mph (80–90 km/h). That’s fast enough for city and suburban riding, especially in developing nations where highway use is less common and speed limits are lower.
The battery appears to be designed as a pair of removable, under-seat packs that look quite similar to the Honda Mobile Power Pack standard. We can’t say for sure yet, but it would make sense for Honda to apply that standard to the new motorcycle, especially since the company has already invested in the early stages of building up a swapping network for these batteries in India.
A Honda Mobile Power Pack-powered electric Rickshaw in India
The battery packs’ removable nature is key for markets where most riders don’t have access to ground-level charging. Removable batteries mean that the bike can be left parked on the street, with only the batteries being carried into a home or apartment for charging.
Sure, removable batteries limit the range by necessitating something light enough to be feasibly carried by the average rider. But let’s be clear: this isn’t going to be a Zero or a LiveWire. It’s a small, simple, commuter-focused machine. And that’s exactly what makes it so exciting.
A massive opportunity in plain sight
While companies like Ola, Ather, and Hero Electric have already entered India’s electric two-wheeler market, Honda still has massive brand recognition and an extensive dealership and service network. If the company moves quickly, it can leverage that footprint to immediately scale electric sales where it matters most.
And this isn’t just about India.
With a few tweaks, like ensuring compliance with region-specific lighting rules and adding a few basic safety features, Honda could easily bring a version of this bike into Europe, where cities are increasingly banning internal combustion vehicles and where small-format urban mobility is booming. Even in North America, there’s a growing appetite for affordable electric motorcycles. Sure, a 50 mph top speed limits highway use, but for many urban commuters and students, that’s more than enough. It may have scooter performance, but it sure looks cooler than a scooter.
We’ve already seen Chinese brands dipping their toes into this space, offering ultra-low-cost commuter bikes and scooters with modest specs. The difference is that those bikes are often plagued by weak support networks, sketchy build quality, and limited availability of parts. Honda could change the game here, bringing name-brand reliability and global support to the affordable electric motorcycle segment.
What’s stopping them?
And yet, despite all of its promise, the bike in these drawings remains just a patent on paper, at least for now.
It’s pretty clear from the drawings that this is a production-ready design, especially compared to much more basic designs patented by Honda in years past. The detailed component layout, integrated electronics, and finalized styling suggest that Honda could start prepping an assembly line for this thing tomorrow. All it needs is a go-ahead from Honda’s executive team.
Of course, large companies move slowly. There are internal projections to review, factories to retool, and business cases to make. But given Honda’s prior commitments to electrify its motorcycle lineup and its stated goals to phase out ICE motorcycles by the 2040s, the company needs to start moving products like this from blueprint to showroom floor yesterday.
Honda has the global reputation, the dealer network, and the engineering muscle to absolutely dominate the entry-level electric motorcycle segment. But it has to want to.
This new low-cost e-moto is exactly the kind of product that could move the needle, not just in emissions reductions or electrification goals, but in making EVs more accessible to millions of riders who need practical, affordable transportation today.
The demand is real. The market is ready. The design is done.
Now all we need is for Honda to say: “Let’s build it.”
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The European Union has reached an agreement on a new sanctions package against Russia, which includes a lower price cap for Moscow’s crude oil barrels.
Within a year of Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine, the G7 and EU restricted the price at which non-G7 countries could continue purchasing Moscow’s crude and oil products while using shipping and logistical services from G7 companies.
The measures aimed to limit Russia’s oil revenues — the backbone of its economy and war coffers — while retaining the country’s supplies in the market to avoid a major shortage.
The price cap agreed in December 2022 banned access to G7 transport, insurance and reinsurance services if non-G7 buyers paid more than $60 per barrel for crude. Formerly a staple of European refiners’ intake, Russian crude now primarily heads to buyers in China and India.
EU policymakers on Friday signaled the Russian oil price threshold would be lowered as part of a newly agreed sanctions package.
“I welcome the agreement on our 18th sanctions package against Russia. We are striking at the heart of Russia’s war machine. Targeting its banking, energy and military-industrial sectors and including a new dynamic oil price cap,” EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on social media.
The EU’s top diplomat Kaja Kallas concurred that a “lower oil price cap” was part of the freshly agreed measures, also noting that the bloc had, for the first time, sanctioned Russian oil producer Rosneft’s largest refinery in India.
Neither official explicitly named the level of the new price cap. CNBC has reached out to Canada, holder of the G7’s yearly rotating presidency in 2025, for comment on whether the group endorses the lowered threshold.
VIVI e-bikes, a budget-friendly brand commonly found on Amazon and Walmart, just got hit with a major recall affecting around 24,000 electric bicycles due to fire risks. The US Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC) announced that the lithium-ion batteries included with VIVI e-bikes can overheat, catch fire, and potentially cause injury or death.
According to the recall notice, VIVI has received at least 14 reports of their e-bike batteries overheating, with at least three reports of the batteries catching fire, though fortunately no injuries were reported in the recall notice.
The faulty batteries were shipped with a range of VIVI electric bikes sold between December 2020 and November 2023, priced between $365 and $950.
That puts them among the cheapest full-size e-bikes on the market.
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The affected bikes include long list of VIVI models, with the complete found here and seen in the table below.
The e-bikes were most commonly available online through Walmart.com and Amazon.com, but were also sold on eBay.com, Wish.com, Sears.com, Wayfair.com, Aliexpress.com, and the company’s own site (viviebikes.com).
Riders who purchased a VIVI e-bike are encouraged to check their model immediately to see if it matches the list of recalled e-bikes or battery packs.
The problem stems from the lithium-ion battery packs, which were not certified to UL standards, which are the most common safety standards for e-bikes in the US.
Consumers are being told to stop using the bikes immediately and contact VIVI for a free replacement battery. According to the recall notice, “Consumers should immediately stop using e-bikes with the recalled lithium-ion batteries and contact VIVI to receive a free replacement battery and battery charger. Consumers must dispose of the recalled battery at a household hazardous waste (HHW) collection center or follow the instructions of their municipality and confirm that this was done by sending an email to vivirecall@163.com.”
This recall adds to growing concerns about the safety of low-cost e-bikes flooding online marketplaces. While affordability has helped e-bikes become more accessible, it’s also opened the door to corners being cut, particularly when it comes to the batteries, which are arguably the most dangerous component of any electric vehicle when poorly made.
On the other hand, the increase in UL certification in the US e-bike industry has led to higher consumer confidence among respected e-bike brands that prominently display their safety certifications. This practice has helped assuage consumers’ fears and serves as a reminder of why these safety certifications are so important.
Electrek’s Take
Here we go again – another Amazon e-bike brand that was selling what looks like a too-good-to-be-true electric bike with a questionable battery. And surprise: it catches fire.
Now I want to make sure we keep this in perspective here, because the story isn’t that e-bikes are dangerous. Even among these ultra-super-duper-extremely cheap e-bikes, there have been 14 overheating cases and three reported fires out of 24,000 e-bikes sold. So it’s not like batteries are cooking off left and right like meth labs in Arkansas here or something. But this is still a stark reminder of the risks of purchasing bargain-basement electric bikes. In fact, just a couple of weeks ago, I wrote a piece about the hidden risks of the cheapest e-bikes, and this issue was front and center.
In this case, these VIVI e-bikes are just some of the many aggressively priced models on Amazon, and that’s always a red flag when it comes to lithium-ion safety. At Electrek, we’ve said it before and we’ll keep saying it: cheap batteries are risky batteries. UL certification isn’t legally required in most places (yet), but if a company isn’t willing to invest in the most basic safety testing, it should raise alarm bells.
If you’re hunting for a budget e-bike, stick to brands that at least use name-brand cells (like Samsung, LG, or Panasonic) and ideally have UL certification. Otherwise, you’re not just gambling with performance, you’re gambling with your garage, your home, your apartment building, and potentially the lives of your family and neighbors.
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