Governments are rolling out renewables at a record pace, and tripling capacity by 2030 is within reach – it’s time to make Paris Agreement targets official.
Global renewable capacity additions reached almost 560 gigawatts (GW) in 2023, an unprecedented 64% year-over-year increase from 2022, and China was by far the most significant contributor.
But the International Energy Agency’s newly released report, “COP28 Tripling Renewable Capacity Pledge: Tracking countries’ ambitions and identifying policies to bridge the gap,” finds that few countries have explicitly laid out 2030 targets for installed capacity in their existing Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) under the Paris Agreement.
Of the 194 NDCs previously submitted, only 14 include explicit targets for total renewable power capacity for 2030. Official NDC commitments currently amount to 1,300 GW – just 12% of what’s required to meet the global tripling goal set in Dubai.
However, new country-by-country analysis by the IEA of nearly 150 countries finds that governments’ domestic ambitions go much further, corresponding to almost 8,000 GW of global installed renewable capacity by 2030.
Nearly 50 countries are on track to reach or surpass their current plans – and China is by far the biggest contributor. It’s not yet set an official target, but China’s goal of 1,200 GW of solar and wind capacity by 2030 – which it’s expected to surpass this year(!) – accounts for over 90% of all renewable capacity mentioned in NDCs. China in 2030 is set to be 2.5 times its 2022 level.
If countries were to include all their existing policies, plans, and estimates in their new NDCs due next year – which will consist of revised ambitions for 2030 and new goals for 2035 – they would reflect 70% of what’s needed by 2030 to reach the tripling goal, which corresponds to 11,000 GW of installed renewable capacity globally.
Dr. Katye Altieri, an analyst at global energy think tank Ember, said:
The latest year of record growth brings the tripling goal within reach and should give leaders the confidence to upgrade their targets further in their NDCs.
Current NDCs do not accurately represent countries’ actual ambition, and more will be needed to make up the gap to tripling. The next round of updated NDCs provides a big opportunity to solidify, and more importantly, increase existing 2030 renewable capacity ambitions to meet the global tripling goal.
According to the report, the amount of renewable capacity added worldwide each year has tripled since the Paris Agreement was signed in 2015. This is largely thanks to policy support, economies of scale, and technological progress, which has driven down the cost of solar and wind by over 40% over the same period and made them widely competitive with fossil fuels.
However, key challenges remain, from lengthy wait times for project permits, inadequate investment in grid infrastructure, the need to quickly and cost-efficiently integrate variable renewables, and high financing costs, especially in emerging and developing economies.
IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said:
At COP28, nearly 200 countries pledged to triple the world’s renewable power capacity this decade, which is one of the critical actions to keep alive hopes of limiting global warming to 1.5C. This report makes clear that the tripling target is ambitious but achievable – though only if governments quickly turn promises into plans of action.
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Toyota’s most affordable electric vehicle, which starts at around $15,000, is off to a hot start in China. With a new locally-built EV motor, Toyota is already cutting costs to keep pace in China’s fierce EV price war.
Toyota secures a new China-made EV motor to cut costs
After launching the bZ3X in March, Toyota’s joint venture, GAC Toyota, claimed the new electric SUV was “so popular that the server crashed.”
The electric SUV is selling faster than expected. In May, its second full month on the market, the bZ3X was the best-selling foreign brand EV in China, outselling the Volkswagen ID.3 and ID.4 Crozz, BMW i3, and Nissan’s new N7.
GAC-Toyota’s general manager of sales, Peng Baolin, announced the bZ3X retained the title in June with 6,030 units delivered.
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Toyota has already sold around 20,000 models, a new record for joint venture electric SUVs. Thanks to a new, locally made EV motor, the Japanese automaker can offer the bZ3X at such low prices.
Japan’s Nidec built a “made-in-China” EV motor to help Toyota compete in China’s intense EV market. Nidec’s president, Mitsuya Kishida, said in an interview (via Bloomberg) that around 99% of the materials and parts are sourced from China.
Toyota bZ3X electric SUV (Source: Toyota)
According to Kishida, building the new electric motor was “incredibly tough,” but it’s already helping Toyota cut costs in China.
Nidec began supplying the new EV motor for the bZ3X in March, a key factor in the electric SUV’s starting price of roughly $15,000.
Toyota bZ3X electric SUV (Source: GAC Toyota)
The bZ3X is available in seven different trims with prices ranging from 109,800 yuan ($15,000) to 159,800 yuan ($22,000). It’s offered with two battery packs, 50.03 kWh and 67.92 kWh, providing a CLTC driving range of 430 km (267 miles) and 610 km (379 miles), respectively.
Toyota bZ3X interior (Source: Toyota)
Despite the low price, the interior is surprisingly luxurious and equipped with advanced technology, including a 12.3″ infotainment screen and an 8.8″ driver cluster screen.
Powered by Momenta’s end-to-end intelligent driving model, the electric SUV offers nearly 50 advanced safety features, including Level 2 assisted driving.
Toyota bZ3X EV interior (Source: Toyota)
Toyota promotes it as a budget-friendly family SUV. With all seats folded down, the bZ3X has nearly 10 feet of space.
At 4,645 mm in length, 1,885 mm in width, and 1,625 mm in height, Toyota’s electric SUV is about the same size as the BYD Yuan Plus (sold as the Atto 3 overseas).
Electrek’s Take
Toyota is showing signs of a recovery in China with a series of new electric vehicles rolling out. Last month, the company launched another electric SUV, the bZ5.
The bZ5 is about the size of a Tesla Model Y, but it’s about half the cost in China, with prices starting at 129,800 yuan ($18,000).
During GAC-Toyota’s EV Tech Day in June, the company announced partnerships with “car industry bigwigs,” including Xiaomi, Huawei, and Momenta.
Through the first five months of 2025, Toyota’s sales in China are up 7.7% with over 530,000 vehicles sold. With several more EVs on the way, including the bZ7, the Japanese automaker aims to catch up.
Toyota also broke ground on a new Lexus EV plant in Shanghai last month, the second wholly owned auto plant in China from a foreign automaker, following Tesla. Kishida said Nidec could cooperate with Toyota on the project for supply.
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Tesla has announced the new ‘Model YL’, a larger 6-seater Model Y with a longer wheelbase, coming to China this fall.
We first heard about this new version of the Model Y through hacker Green last month.
Today, Tesla officially announced the new Model Y variant, called Model YL, on China’s Weibo, stating that it will be available this fall. The automaker also released these two images:
It looks like Tesla announced the new model today, despite not being available until this fall, because it was officially posted on China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) website for regulatory approval.
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The filing gives us a little more detail.
Here’s a comparison table between the new Model Y released earlier this year and this new Model YL:
Specification
Model Y
Model YL
L*W*H (mm)
4797*1920*1624
4976*1920*1668
Wheelbase (mm)
2890
3040
Front/Rear Overhang (mm)
896/1011
896/1040
Track Front/Rear (mm)
1636/1636
1656/1624
Top Speed (km/h)
201
201
Curb Weight (kg)
1921
2088
Tire Size
255/45R19, 255/40R20
255/45R19, 275/45R19
Energy Type
BEV
BEV
Motor
220 kW
142 kW / 198 kW
Battery Type
LFP
NCM
Battery Supplier
CATL
LGES Nanjing
As you can see, the new Model YL is slightly longer, ~180mm or 7 inches longer, and 24mm or about an inch taller.
The wheelbase is also 150mm, or approximately 6 inches, longer.
Here are pictures of the new Model YL released through the MIIT filing:
Electrek’s Take
This appears to be in response to several new all-electric third-row SUVs launching in China in the last few months.
Most recently, the Onvo L90 has been launched at a very competitive price compared to the Model Y.
However, this is expected to be priced closer to the equivalent of $50,000 in China as it uses LG battery cells and it is bigger than the current Model Y. In comparison, the Onvo L90 starts at the equivalent of $39,000.
Tesla needs to go down market with the Model Y in China if it wants to stop the bleeding. Not up market.
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Buzz Bicycles has just launched its newest electric tricycle model, pushing prices even lower as older riders continue to gravitate towards electric three-wheelers as accessible e-bikes for both recreation and transportation. Now with the Buzz Cerana T2 hitting the road, the lower end of the market is heating up even faster. And Buzz may now have one of the best-priced mid-drive e-trikes in town.
There’s no shying away from the massive competition in the electric trike space. After Lectric eBikes launched the second generation of the US’ best-selling electric trike model last week, everyone now has a new target to beat. Priced at $1,499, the Lectric XP Trike2 sets a new standard for any retailer that wants to compete on price.
In the weeks since, we’ve seen other e-bike companies roll out their own next-generation models in an attempt to keep up with the driving force in the growing three-wheeler market. But the Buzz Cerana T2 is the first “second-gen” model I’ve seen since the XP Trike2 launch that has actually managed to undercut Lectric’s price. With a $1,399 sticker, the Buzz trike is a solid $100 cheaper.
So what does one Benjamin less get you? Let’s dive in and find out.
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First of all, the Cerana T2 rolls on relatively large wheels, with a 24×3.0″ front tire and 20×3.0″ rear tires. The trike is also powered by a mid-drive motor mounted at the bottom bracket, offering 500W of power.
The product page claims a 20 mph top speed, though that’d be pretty fast for a trike and may be a copy/paste error from another product page, which I’m entertaining as a possibility because right next to it is a graphic touting the rear hub motor – which this trike clearly does not have.
What it does have though is torque, and a lot of it! The mid-drive motor is rated for 130 Nm of torque, which is pretty far up the chart and exceeds the torque output of the vast majority of e-bikes on the market today.
With a throttle on the handlebars, the Cerana T2 qualifies as a Class 2 electric bike, though the five different levels of pedal assist and the cadence sensor mean that riders can also still get a nice workout at varying levels of effort if they choose to ignore the enticing throttle.
Considering the battery is a 48V 10.4Ah unit with only 500 Wh of capacity, pedaling is going to be important if riders want to achieve the claimed 40 miles (64 km) of maximum range on a single charge. If using the throttle frequently, a range of closer to half of that figure is more likely.
And for those who like to keep an eye out for UL certifications, you’ll be happy to hear that Buzz reports full UL2849 certification for the bike.
Other features on the Cerana T2 include the fender set, LCD display, 7-speed shifter, mechanical disc brakes, LED lighting in the front and rear, and an included front rack with matching rear basket.
There’s also an oversized saddle that features a manual drop post. It’s a hand lever found under the saddle that can instantly drop the post down several inches – a great way to quickly lower the seat when coming to a stop to dismount. It’s always a great way to get people to raise an eyebrow the first time you fiddle around for it in a fairly… intimate location.
Electrek’s Take
On the one hand, it feels a bit unfair to compare the Buzz Cerana T2 to the Lectric XP Trike2 instead of discussing this new model in its own right. But on the other hand, it’s one of several second-gen trikes to recently hit the market in the wake of the Trike2’s groundshattering unveiling, so I’d be doing the journalistic version of closing my eyes, putting my hands over my ears and shouting “La la la la!” if I pretended the two unveilings weren’t at least somewhat related.
Of course everyone is looking to save a buck (or a hundred of them) where they can, and the Cerana T2 even offers some cool things the XP Trike2 doesn’t, such as that dropper seat post and the mid-drive motor – though I’m not sure if the cadence sensor is worth it, not to mention that the XP Trike2’s jackshaft motor is essentially a hub motor functioning as a mid-drive. And while the Cerana T2’s lack of suspension is disappointing, the 3″ tires will help earn back some of the cushion lost to a rigid fork and frame.
On the other hand, the Cerana T2 has a few downsides, such as the lower-end mechanical disc brakes and the lack of a folding frame.
But hey, if it can really do 20 mph on the straightaways, then that might be its biggest selling point right there – other than the $1,399 price. Just watch out for those turns…
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