Evan Rodrigues, Panthers roll the Oilers: Grades, takeaways after Game 2 of the Cup Final
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Ryan S. Clark
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Kristen Shilton
Following the Florida Panthers‘ 3-0 win over the Edmonton Oilers in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final, many believed the Oilers would come out strong to start Game 2. They did, with Mattias Ekholm scoring the club’s first goal of the Final.
After that, it was all Panthers.
Evan Rodrigues scored two goals, Florida limited Edmonton to 19 shots on goal, and the Oilers’ vaunted power play was once again held scoreless.
Here’s what stood out in Florida’s second straight victory, as well as key players to watch in Game 3 on Thursday (8 p.m. ET, ABC and ESPN+) and the biggest lingering questions.
Panthers grade: A
Florida put on a clinic of sorts in Game 2. Edmonton managed just seven shots on net through the first two periods — compared to 22 off the Panthers’ sticks — and Florida’s top units were rolling over the Oilers’ best players.
The Panthers were smothering from the start, and stopped Edmonton from gaining any significant traction even after the Oilers opened scoring with a 4-on-4 goal. Florida made Edmonton pay for every mistake — like Evan Bouchard‘s awful turnover that led to Evan Rodrigues’ winning goal. The Oilers never seemed to recover from that snafu, and the harder they tried to compensate, the more Florida settled into their own groove and dictated pace in the game.
Edmonton’s frustration boiled over by the end, and Florida kept pressing until the final buzzer. It’s hard to fathom what, exactly, can stop the Panthers now.
“I’m really embracing the moment right now.” ?
Evan Rodrigues talked about his role on the Panthers after his 2-goal night to put Florida ahead 2-0 in the Stanley Cup Final. pic.twitter.com/qo7PHKE9bS
— ESPN (@espn) June 11, 2024
Oilers grade: D
There wasn’t just one issue, there were several for the Oilers.
It started with being held to seven shots through the first two periods, which tied a record for the fewest shots through the first two frames of a Stanley Cup Final game. They didn’t reach double digits until there was 16:05 left in the third period.
Even when they broke through to have 12 shots in the final frame, they gave up two goals before the Panthers scored an empty-netter late in the third. Keep in mind, that’s with having a shot share of 71% in the third frame in 5-on-5 play.
And if all that wasn’t enough, they also struggled to insulate Stuart Skinner. While the Oilers have worked to consistently limit opponents, Skinner has shown he can handle a heavier workload and his team can still win. The Oilers were 5-1 in games in which Skinner faced more than 25 shots this postseason, a mark that now drops to 5-2.
What we learned in Game 2
The Panthers have depth for days
Sure, it would be easy to quibble about Florida’s power play going 1-for-6 against an excellent Edmonton penalty kill that had killed 34 straight man-advantage attempts until Rodrigues scored a third-period, power-play goal. But that’s just it; Florida has skaters on every line capable of making a difference.
Rodrigues scored twice in the Panthers’ victory, while defenseman Niko Mikkola grabbed the other goal to put Florida on a clear path to victory (Aaron Ekblad‘s empty-netter was mere icing on Florida’s cake).
The Panthers have top-tier talents who can light the lamp at any moment but don’t require that to be successful. Even when special teams are struggling. Even when goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky isn’t perfect (which he has been close to in this series). Florida was excellent in all three phases at times in Game 2 because their lineup is strong and sound from its first to fourth line, from the third pairing to the first.
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Florida’s Niko Mikkola atones for near blunder with goal seconds later
After nearly firing in an own goal, Niko Mikkola scores on the other end moments later to bring the Panthers level.
There’s a disconnect with the Oilers
Finding a way to come back after losing in the playoffs has been part of the Oilers’ identity this postseason. They lost Game 2 to the Los Angeles Kings in overtime, only to win three straight to win the series in five games. After every loss in the second round against the Vancouver Canucks, they won. Even after losing two games to the Dallas Stars, they won three straight to close out the Western Conference finals in six games.
It’s proof that the Oilers have been able to make the necessary adjustments. But what makes this different — other than it being in the Cup Final — is that the Oilers had at least one victory in previous series whenever they lost. Now they’re in a 2-0 hole facing one of two realities: Either they cut the series to 2-1 or they face a 3-0 hole knowing they could potentially get swept on home ice in Game 4.
The Oilers’ strongest bet for secondary offense could be their defensemen
One of the conversations after Game 1 was how 52% of the Oilers’ shots came from Evan Bouchard, Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman and Connor McDavid. Game 2 saw another quartet lead the way when it came to the Oilers’ getting shots on net: the Oilers defensemen combined for 13 of the Oilers’ 19 shots on goal.
No, really. Mattias Ekholm, who scored the Oilers’ lone goal, along with Brett Kulak, Vincent Desharnais and Bouchard were responsible for 13 shots. Kulak had five shots, Desharnais and Ekholm each had three, while Bouchard had two. The rest of the Oilers’ shots belonged to Draisaitl, Hyman and McDavid.
Players to watch in Game 3
Matthew Tkachuk, F, Panthers
Florida hasn’t seen the best of Matthew Tkachuk yet in the Cup Final. That’s not to say Tkachuk hasn’t been visible — he just hasn’t had the series-shifting, game-changing performance of which he has proven capable in the past.
Edmonton’s level of urgency will skyrocket now that it’s not only in a 2-0 deficit but back playing for its home crowd. This is when the Panthers need their stars to step up, and given the uncertainty surrounding Aleksander Barkov‘s status after the third period hit he took from Draisaitl, it’s on Tkachuk to set a tone for the Panthers and demonstrate his leadership.
And he’s quite familiar with the Edmonton crowd, after skating for the archnemesis Calgary Flames prior to his trade to the Panthers.
Florida has an opportunity to take a commanding lead on the Oilers, and Tkachuk will want to be a catalyst.
Darnell Nurse, D, Oilers
For starters, will Nurse be healthy enough to play in Game 3? Or will the Oilers be faced to make another adjustment with their defensive pairings?
Nurse was on the receiving end of a first-period check that led to him going to the dressing room. He returned for a 13-second shift, only to go back to the dressing room again before coming back to the Oilers’ bench. Nurse had just one shift in the second period and two more in the third period.
Getting injured is the latest development in what has been a trying postseason for Nurse. He was on the ice for two goals in Game 1, pushing him to a minus-15 rating for the playoffs. That mark is one away from the lowest plus/minus rating in a single postseason.
Big questions for Game 3
Will Barkov be available?
Florida is fortunate there are two days between Game 2 and Game 3. That gives Barkov a more time to be assessed to determine whether it’s safe for him to get back in action following the high hit from Draisaitl.
Barkov has had a tremendous run in this postseason, posting six goals and 19 points. If he is unavailable, that puts pressure on Anton Lundell and the Panthers’ other depth centers to step up — a tall task at any juncture of the season, but especially when facing an Edmonton team that will be desperate to start evening the score on home ice.
Barkov’s status will be at the forefront for Florida until there’s a definite answer on his availability.
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Why Sergei Bobrovsky is enjoying the ‘fun challenge’ of facing Oilers
Sergei Bobrovsky joins Scott Van Pelt following the Panthers’ 4-1 win over the Oilers in Game 2.
What must happen for the Oilers to piece together a consistent performance?
Game 1 saw the Oilers consistently generating shots for two periods while limiting shots on the other end … only to lose. Game 2 saw them score against Bobrovsky, but they struggled to get shots on net while allowing several chances at a time … which led to them losing.
Through two games, there have been glimpses of progress, but also quite a few moments of struggle. Part of the narrative with the Oilers this season following Kris Knoblauch’s hire has been the ability to make adjustments. They did so against the Canucks when they were down 2-1 in the second round. They did it again when they lost two straight in the Western Conference finals to the Stars.
Can they once again find the right combinations to climb out of a 2-0 series hole or could they be facing the threat of facing elimination on home ice in Game 4?
The first 12-team College Football Playoff is down to the final two contenders: Notre Dame and Ohio State.
The seventh-seeded Fighting Irish and eighth-seeded Buckeyes will meet Jan. 20 at Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium for the CFP National Championship Presented by AT&T. Whichever team wins will end a championship drought. Notre Dame aims for its first title since 1988. Ohio State’s lull isn’t nearly as long, as the Buckeyes won the first CFP championship a decade ago, but given how consistently elite they are, it seems like a while.
Notre Dame’s Marcus Freeman and Ohio State’s Ryan Day are also aiming for their first championships as head coaches, and Freeman’s past will be in the spotlight. Freeman and the Irish lost to the Buckeyes and Day in each of the past two seasons. But after a masterful coaching job this season, Freeman now will face his alma mater — he was an All-Big Ten linebacker for Ohio State under coach Jim Tressel — with everything on the line. Day, meanwhile, can secure the loftiest goal for a team that fell short of earlier ones, but never stopped swinging.
Here’s your first look at the championship matchup and what to expect in the ATL. — Adam Rittenberg
When: Jan. 20 at 7:30 p.m. ET. TV: ESPN
What we learned in the semifinal: Notre Dame’s resilience and situational awareness/execution are undeniably its signature traits and could propel the team to a title. The Irish have overcome injuries all season and did so again against Penn State. They also erased two deficits and continued to hold the edge in the “middle eight” — the final four minutes of the first half and the first four minutes of the second half — while dominating third down on both sides of the ball. Notre Dame can rely on front men such as quarterback Riley Leonard, running back Jeremiyah Love and linebacker Jack Kiser, but also on backup QB Steve Angeli, wide receiver Jaden Greathouse and kicker Mitch Jeter. These Irish fight, and they’re very hard to knock out.
X factor: Greathouse entered Thursday with moderate numbers — 29 receptions, 359 yards, one touchdown — and had only three total catches for 14 yards in the first two CFP games. But he recorded career highs in both receptions (7) and receiving yards (105) and tied the score on a 54-yard touchdown with 4:38 to play. A Notre Dame offense looking for more from its wide receivers, especially downfield, could lean more on Greathouse, who exceeded his receptions total from the previous five games but might be finding his groove at the perfect time. He also came up huge in the clutch, recording all but six of his receiving yards in the second half.
How Notre Dame wins: The Irish won’t have the talent edge in Atlanta, partly because they’ve lost several stars to season-ending injuries, but they have the right traits to hang with any opponent. Notre Dame needs contributions in all three phases and must continue to sprinkle in downfield passes, an element offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock has pushed. And they finally did start seeing results against Penn State. The Irish likely can’t afford to lose the turnover margin, although they can help themselves by replicating their third-down brilliance — 11 of 17 conversions on offense, 3 of 11 conversions allowed on defense — from the Penn State win. — Rittenberg
What we learned in the semifinal: The Buckeyes have a defense with championship mettle, headlined by senior defensive end Jack Sawyer, who delivered one of the biggest defensive plays in Ohio State history. On fourth-and-goal with just over two minutes remaining, Sawyer sacked Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers, forcing a fumble that he scooped up and raced 83 yards for a game-clinching touchdown, propelling Ohio State to the national title game. The Buckeyes weren’t perfect in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic, and they struggled offensively for much of the night against a talented Texas defense. But Ohio State showed late why its defense is arguably the best in college football, too.
X factor: The play two snaps before the Sawyer scoop-and-score set the table. On second-and-goal from the Ohio State 1-yard line, unheralded senior safety Lathan Ransom dashed past incoming blockers and dropped Texas running back Quintrevion Wisner for a 7-yard loss. After an incomplete pass, the Longhorns were forced into desperation mode on fourth-and-goal down a touchdown with just over two minutes remaining. All-American safety Caleb Downs, who had an interception on Texas’ ensuing drive, rightfully gets all the headlines for the Ohio State secondary. But the Buckeyes have other veteran standouts such as Ransom throughout their defense.
How Ohio State wins: Texas took away Ohio State’s top offensive playmaker, true freshman wide receiver Jeremiah Smith, who had only one reception for 3 yards on three targets. As the first two playoff games underscored, the Buckeyes offense is at its best when Smith gets the ball early and often. Notre Dame is sure to emulate the Texas blueprint, positioning the defensive backs to challenge Smith. Ohio State offensive coordinator Chip Kelly has to counter with a plan that finds ways to get the ball into Smith’s hands, no matter what the Fighting Irish do. — Jake Trotter
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