After the EU announced new tariffs on Chinese EV imports, BYD is subject to an additional 17.4% duty. However, with BYD reportedly generating higher EV profits on models like the Seal U in the EU than in China, the EV leader is expected to overcome the impact.
BYD announced it would enter the European car market in 2020. After launching in Norway in 2021, BYD showcased its EV lineup, including the Atto 3, Han, and Tang models.
Since then, BYD has strategically expanded in the region, adding models like the Dolphin and Seal. Last year, the Atto 3 was BYD’s best-selling EV in Europe, with 12,363 models sold. It was followed by the Dolphin (1,079), Tang (1,055), and Han (849).
However, BYD sees sales accelerating over the next few years after learning more about the EU market.
The high expectations come despite new EU tariffs on imported EVs from China. After global markets became “flooded with cheaper electric cars” from China, EU Commission President Ursula von Der Leyen announced an investigation in October.
After finding that Chinese EVs benefit from “unfair subsidization,” the EU pre-disclosed additional tariffs that it plans to impose on automakers this week.
BYD launches Atto 3, Seal EV in Greece (Source: BYD)
BYD EV profits are still higher in the EU with tariffs
The additional Tariff for BYD is 17.4%. If no other resolution is found, it will be applied on July 4, 2024.
Meanwhile, recent research from Rhodium Group shows the tariffs may not be enough to slow BYD and other Chinese EV makers from gaining market share.
Michael Shu, Managing Director of BYD Europe, speaks at the IAA (Source: BYD)
According to the study, duties in the 40 to 50% range, or even higher, would likely be needed to slow the momentum.
An increasingly competitive Chinese market has led to aggressive price cuts. As a result, many electric cars sell for much more in the EU than in China. And it’s not just Chinese automakers.
BYD, Volkswagen EV prices in Europe and China (Source: Rhodium Group)
Volkswagen’s ID.4 sells for around 50% more (46,335 euro vs 31,011 euro) in Europe than in China. BYD’s Seal U (Comfort) costs nearly 93% more (41,990 euro vs 21,769 euro). The same goes for other popular models like the BYD Atto 3 (+112%) and Volkswagen ID.3 (57%).
According to Rhodium’s price analysis, BYD makes around 14,300 euros ($15,360) on each Seal U model sold in the EU. In China, BYD earns a profit of 1,300 euros ($1,400) for each model sold.
BYD Dolphin (left) and Atto 3 (right) Source: BYD
Based on MSRPs (after shipping, tariffs, distribution, and VAT), BYD earns 13,000 euros ($14,000) more on every Seal U model sold in the EU (the “EU premium).
The EU would need to drastically increase tariffs to reduce the incentive to export. Even a 30% duty would leave BYD with a 15% profit, or 4,700 euros ($5,050) compared to China.
(Source: Rhodium Group)
Tariffs around 45% to 55% might be needed to lower profits. However, it would also likely hurt foreign automakers even more, such as BMW and Tesla, which export from China.
BYD’s CEO, Wang Chuanfu, called the US and Europe “afraid” of Chinese EVs last week. “If you are not strong enough, they will not be afraid of you,” he added.
Wang said the tariffs are a testament to China’s auto industry strength. With BYD’s first factory in Europe set to begin production later this year, the EV maker expects to overcome the potential impacts of higher tariffs.
Fire and smoke rise into the sky after an Israeli attack on the Shahran oil depot on June 15, 2025 in Tehran, Iran.
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The CEOs of two major energy companies are monitoring the developments between Iran and Israel — but they aren’t about to make firm predictions on oil prices.
Both countries traded strikes over the weekend, after Israel targeted nuclear and military facilities in Iran on Friday, killing some of its top nuclear scientists and military commanders.
Speaking at the Energy Asia conference in Kuala Lumpur on Monday, Lorenzo Simonelli, president and CEO of energy technology company Baker Hughes, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” that “my experience has been, never try and predict what the price of oil is going to be, because there’s one sure thing: You’re going to be wrong.”
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Simonelli said the last 96 hours “have been very fluid,” and expressed hope that there would be a de-escalation in tensions in the region.
“As we go forward, we’ll obviously monitor the situation like everybody else is. It is moving very quickly, and we’re going to anticipate the aspect of what’s next,” he added, saying that the company will take a wait-and-see approach for its projects.
At the same conference, Meg O’Neill, CEO of Australian oil and gas giant Woodside Energy, likewise told CNBC that the company is monitoring the impact of the conflict on markets around the world.
She highlighted that forward prices were already experiencing “very significant” effects in light of the events of the past four days.
If supplies through the Strait of Hormuz are affected, “that would have even more significant effects on prices, as customers around the world would be scrambling to meet their own energy needs,” she added.
As of Sunday, the Strait remained open, according to an advisory from the Joint Maritime Information Center. It said, “There remains a media narrative on a potential blockade of the [Strait of Hormuz]. JMIC has no confirmed information pointing towards a blockade or closure, but will follow the situation closely.”
Iran was reportedly considering closing the Strait of Hormuz in response to the attacks.
O’Neill said that oil and gas prices are closely linked to geopolitics, citing as examples events that date back to World War II and the oil crisis in the 1970s.
Nevertheless, she would not make a firm prediction on the price of oil, saying, “there’s many things we can forecast. The price of oil in five years is not something I would try to put a bet on.”
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The Strait of Hormuz is a vital waterway between Iran and the United Arab Emirates. About 20% of the world’s oil passes through it.
It is the only sea route from the Persian Gulf to the open ocean, and the U.S. Energy Information Administration has described it as the “world’s most important oil transit chokepoint.”
A series of images of landscapes and wildlife from the Brigalow Belt region of Queensland near the town of St. George.
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Shares of Santos surged as much as 15.23% Monday, after it received a non-binding takeover offer of $18.72 billion by an Abu Dhabi’s National Oil Company-led group.
The move marks the biggest intraday jump in the Australian oil and gas producer’s shares since April 2020, LSEG data shows.
Prices of gold, the stalwart shelter in times of crises, rose. Investors flock to the precious metal amid uncertainty because it serves as a stable store of value that is mostly resistant against exogenous shocks, such as inflation or geopolitical conflicts.
And the dollar strengthened, as it is wont to do when the world looks ugly. Recall the dollar smile: The greenback will appreciate when things are really good because investors want in on U.S. risk assets, or when they are really bad because investors want in on the perceived safety of U.S. government bonds.
Stocks, the financial risk asset epitomized, fell across markets globally.
Despite the markets giving multiple indications we are entering a period of ugliness — or, at least, volatility — U.S. stocks still appear resilient, and the surge in oil prices only brings us back to where they were about three months ago as prices have been low since, CNBC’s Michael Santoli wrote.
The markets have, indeed, mostly shrugged off Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the Israel-Hamas war, both of which are still brewing. But with the conflict between Israel and Iran still in its early days, it might pay to be extra cautious in the coming weeks.
Safe haven assets in demand Investors piled into safe-haven assets after Israel’s attack on Iran. After weeks of declining, the dollar index, a measurement of the strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies, rallied 0.3%on Friday and was up 0.1% as of7:30 a.m. Singapore time Monday. Spot gold rose 0.38% and gold futures for August delivery were up 0.41% Monday, adding to Friday’s gains of 1.4% and 1.5% respectively.
Prices of oil jump Oil prices surged as investors feared a disruption to oil supply from Iran, which produced 3.305 million barrels per day in April, according to OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report of May. As of Monday morning Singapore time, U.S. crude oil rose 2.22% to $74.62 a barrel, adding to its 7.26% jump on Friday. The global benchmark Brent climbed 2.22% to $75.88 a barrel, following Friday’s 7.02% surge.
[PRO]U.S. stocks still look resilient Even though stocks fell on the eruption of conflict between Israel and Iran, the market appeared resilient, wrote CNBC’s Michael Santoli. This week, while hostilities between the two Middle East countries will continue weighing on investors’ minds, they should not lose sight of the Federal Reserve’s rate-setting meeting, which concludes Wednesday.
And finally…
The Boeing 787-9 civil jet airplane of Vietnam Airlines performs its flight display at the 51st Paris International Airshow in Le Bourget near Paris, France. (Photo by: aviation-images.com/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)
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