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Regaining the confidence of British business has been a priority in Sir Keir Starmer’s mission to rehabilitate Labour.

Businesses of course are a disparate bunch, from sole traders and medium-sized enterprises that make up the majority of Britain’s employers, to multinationals that have a choice of markets in which to invest.

They all matter though, because Sir Keir and chancellor-in-waiting Rachel Reeves are counting on the private sector to deliver the economic growth on which their plan to restore public services relies.

Changing sentiment has been a long road.

Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell‘s 2019 election agenda sent a chill down the spines of a community that style themselves as “wealth creators”, but have strong views on how much of that wealth they should hang on to.

A successful charm offensive

Judging by the mood among delegates a week before polling day at the British Chambers of Commerce conference, a charm offensive fought over a thousand working breakfasts has been largely successful.

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In public and private, delegates and speakers are not scared of what a Labour government might mean. Many indeed are enthusiastic about the opportunity to turn the page on years of economic uncertainty, upheaval and occasionally hostility from Conservative administrations.

Amanda Blanc, chief executive of the insurance giant Aviva, bemoaned “an air of weariness and cynicism” hanging over the economy, but said stable policy after the election could unlock investment.

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Dame Amanda Blanc, the chief executive of Aviva, gives her thoughts on the election ahead to Sky’s Ian King.

“They seem thoughtful and sober-minded, a safe pair of hands, I think they come across as reasonable and evidence-based,” said Paul van Zyl, founder of The Conduit, a members club for ‘changemakers’ based in west London.

More than good vibes needed

Kick-starting the economy will take more than good vibes, however.

Many businesses have questions that Labour cannot yet answer and will come under pressure to resolve when governing replaces opposition.

Stability is Labour’s central pitch, delivered by the party’s Jonathan Reynolds, who may be just eight days from throwing off his “shadow” and becoming business secretary for real.

He had familiar messages about how growth would be delivered, from planning reform and skills to investment in the energy transition.

A plan that’s not working – Brexit

More interesting was what he had to say about Brexit, a dog that has not barked in this campaign largely because the main parties have kept it muzzled.

The BCC wants the new government to “stop walking on eggshells” and call out the shortcomings of the existing deal with the EU.

“The current plan isn’t working for our members,” says Shevaun Havilland, its chief executive.

The big business groups all lobbied to remain in 2016, but companies of all sizes have felt the impact of barriers imposed on commerce with the UK’s largest single trading partner.

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Speaking the morning after Sir Keir described the current EU deal as “botched” in his BBC debate with Rishi Sunak, Mr Reynolds said Labour would seek closer alignment on food safety standards and cut red tape for touring musicians.

But he ruled out anything more ambitious, including allowing “youth mobility”, effectively freedom of movement in the UK-EU for younger people.

“Labour will not be seeking to rejoin the single market or the customs union, or to reopen the wounds of the past, because that would not give us the stability which we know is essential,” he said.

That will disappoint but not surprise many who believe the EU offers the most direct route to increasing growth.

Workers rights

There is uncertainty too about what Labour’s plans to improve workers’ rights will mean in practice.

Deputy leader Angela Rayner is leading “a new deal for working people, including a guarantee of full employment rights, including sick pay and parental leave, from day one of starting a job rather than after the current two years.

Business bristled at that and the plans have been diluted to a starting point for consultation, but Mr Reynolds was challenged over the potential for increased costs.

“It has the potential to land UK employers with significant costs and risk in a world where we face competition from companies that have the choice to employ people here or internationally,” said Sean Ramsden, chief executive of food wholesale Ramsden International.

Mr Reynolds insisted that the changes, central to relations with the trade unions, would hold back recruitment.

They are a reminder though that, if the polls are right, the hard work is about to begin.

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Poundland owner drafts in advisers amid discounter crisis

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Poundland owner drafts in advisers amid discounter crisis

The owner of Poundland, one of Britain’s biggest discount retailers, has drafted in City advisers to explore radical options for arresting the growing crisis at the chain.

Sky News has learnt that Pepco Group, which has owned Poundland since 2016, has hired consultants from AlixPartners to address a sales slump which has raised questions over its future ownership.

City sources said this weekend that the crisis would prompt Pepco to explore more fundamental for Poundland, including a formal restructuring process that could prompt significant store closures, or even an attempt to sell the business.

AlixPartners is understood to have been formally engaged last week, with options including a company voluntary arrangement or restructuring plan said to have been floated by a range of advisers on a highly preliminary basis.

Sources close to the group said no decisions had been taken, and that the immediate focus was on improving Poundland’s cash performance and reviving the chain’s customer proposition.

A sale process was not under way, they added.

Poundland trades from 825 stores across the UK, competing with the likes of Home Bargains, B&M and Poundstretcher, as well as Britain’s major supermarket chains.

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Last year, the British discounter recorded roughly €2bn of sales.

It employs roughly 18,000 people.

Earlier this week, Pepco Group, the Warsaw-listed retail giant which also trades as Pepco and Dealz in Europe, said Poundland had seen a like-for-like sales slump of 7.3% during the Christmas trading period.

In its trading statement, Pepco said that Poundland had suffered “a more difficult sales environment and consumer backdrop in the UK, alongside margin pressure and an increasingly higher operating cost environment”.

“We expect that the toughest comparative quarter for Poundland is now behind us – the same quarter last year represented a period prior to the changes made within our clothing and GM [general merchandise] ranges – and therefore, we expect the negative sales performance for Poundland to moderate as we move through the year.”

It added that Poundland would not increase the size of its store portfolio on a net basis during the course of this year.

“We are continuing a comprehensive assessment of Poundland to recover trading and get the business back to its core strengths, including undertaking a thorough assessment of all costs across the business, as well as evaluating its overall competitive positioning,” it added.

The appointment of AlixPartners came several weeks after Stephan Borchert, the Pepco Group chief executive, said he would consider “every strategic option” for reviving Poundland’s performance.

He is expected to set out formal plans for the future of Poundland, along with the rest of the group, at a capital markets day in Poland on 6 March.

Among the measures the company has already taken to halt the chain’s declining performance have been to increase the range of FMCG and general merchandise products sold at its traditional £1 price-point.

Poundland’s crisis contrasts with the health of the rest of the group, with Pepco and Dealz both showing strong sales growth.

A spokesman for Pepco Group, which has a market capitalisation equivalent to about £1.7bn, declined to comment further on the appointment of advisers

AlixPartners also declined to comment.

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FTSE 100 closes at record high

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FTSE 100 closes at record high

The UK’s benchmark stock index has reached another record high.

The FTSE 100 index of most valuable companies on the London Stock Exchange closed at 8,505.69, breaking the record set last May.

It had already broken its intraday high at 8532.58 on Friday afternoon, meaning it reached a high not seen before during trading hours.

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The weakened pound has boosted many of the 100 companies forming the top-flight index.

Why is this happening?

Most are not based in the UK, so a less valuable pound means their sterling-priced shares are cheaper to buy for people using other currencies, typically US dollars.

This makes the shares better value, prompting more to be bought. This greater demand has brought up the prices and the FTSE 100.

The pound has been hovering below $1.22 for much of Friday. It’s steadily fallen from being worth $1.34 in late September.

Also spurring the new record are market expectations for more interest rate cuts in 2025, something which would make borrowing cheaper and likely kickstart spending.

What is the FTSE 100?

The index is made up of many mining and international oil and gas companies, as well as household name UK banks and supermarkets.

Familiar to a UK audience are lenders such as Barclays, Natwest, HSBC and Lloyds and supermarket chains Tesco, Marks & Spencer and Sainsbury’s.

Other well-known names include Rolls-Royce, Unilever, easyJet, BT Group and Next.

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FTSE stands for Financial Times Stock Exchange.

If a company’s share price drops significantly it can slip outside of the FTSE 100 and into the larger and more UK-based FTSE 250 index.

The inverse works for the FTSE 250 companies, the 101st to 250th most valuable firms on the London Stock Exchange. If their share price rises significantly they could move into the FTSE 100.

A good close for markets

It’s a good end of the week for markets, entirely reversing the rise in borrowing costs that plagued Chancellor Rachel Reeves for the past ten days.

Fears of long-lasting high borrowing costs drove speculation she would have to cut spending to meet self-imposed fiscal rules to balance the budget and bring down debt by 2030.

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They Treasury tries to calm market nerves late last week

Long-term government borrowing had reached a high not seen since 1998 while the benchmark 10-year cost of government borrowing, as measured by 10-year gilt yields, was at levels last seen around the 2008 financial crisis.

The gilt yield is effectively the interest rate investors demand to lend money to the UK government.

Only the pound has yet to recover the losses incurred during the market turbulence. Without that dropped price, however, the FTSE 100 record may not have happened.

Also acting to reduce sterling value is the chance of more interest rates. Currencies tend to weaken when interest rates are cut.

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Trump tariff threat prompts IMF warning ahead of inauguration

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Trump tariff threat prompts IMF warning ahead of inauguration

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned against the prospects of a renewed US-led trade war, just days before Donald Trump prepares to begin his second term in the White House.

The world’s lender of last resort used the latest update to its World Economic Outlook (WEO) to lay out a series of consequences for the global outlook in the event Mr Trump carries out his threat to impose tariffs on all imports into the United States.

Canada, Mexico, and China have been singled out for steeper tariffs that could be announced within hours of Monday’s inauguration.

Mr Trump has been clear he plans to pick up where he left off in 2021 by taxing goods coming into the country, making them more expensive, in a bid to protect US industry and jobs.

He has denied reports that a plan for universal tariffs is set to be watered down, with bond markets recently reflecting higher domestic inflation risks this year as a result.

While not calling out Mr Trump explicitly, the key passage in the IMF’s report nevertheless cautioned: “An intensification of protectionist policies… in the form of a new wave of tariffs, could exacerbate trade tensions, lower investment, reduce market efficiency, distort trade flows, and again disrupt supply chains.

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Trump’s threat of tariffs explained

“Growth could suffer in both the near and medium term, but at varying degrees across economies.”

In Europe, the EU has reason to be particularly worried about the prospect of tariffs, as the bulk of its trade with the US is in goods.

The majority of the UK’s exports are in services rather than physical products.

The IMF’s report also suggested that the US would likely suffer the least in the event that a new wave of tariffs was enacted due to underlying strengths in the world’s largest economy.

Read more: What Trump’s tariffs could mean for rest of the world

The WEO contained a small upgrade to the UK growth forecast for 2025.

It saw output growth of 1.6% this year – an increase on the 1.5% figure it predicted in October.

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What has Trump done since winning?

Economists see public sector investment by the Labour government providing a boost to growth but a more uncertain path for contributions from the private sector given the budget’s £25bn tax raid on businesses.

Business lobby groups have widely warned of a hit to investment, pay and jobs from April as a result, while major employers, such as retailers, have been most explicit on raising prices to recover some of the hit.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves said of the IMF’s update: “The UK is forecast to be the fastest growing major European economy over the next two years and the only G7 economy, apart from the US, to have its growth forecast upgraded for this year.

“I will go further and faster in my mission for growth through intelligent investment and relentless reform, and deliver on our promise to improve living standards in every part of the UK through the Plan for Change.”

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