We’re initiating a position in Nextracker , buying 350 shares at roughly $48.18. Following Thursday’s trade, Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust will own 350 shares of NXT with a weighting of about 0.5%. Nextracker makes solar tracker systems that allow huge utility-scale rows of solar panels to rotate and follow the sun’s movement across the sky throughout the day, maximizing their power generation. It’s the “backbone” of any solar power system, as management would say. We’re using proceeds from Thursday’s exit of Foot Locker to fund this addition. We’re calling up Nextracker from the Bullpen , viewing its 24% pullback over the past couple of weeks as a good entry point to start a new position. As you can tell by its recent trading, this is a highly volatile name that is sensitive to interest rates and government policy. It’s why we are starting this position on the smaller side, leaving plenty of room to scale over time. Nextracker stands out for its leadership in a fast-growing market. Its original innovation was a single-row tracker technology that allows each row of panels to move independently, rather than all in unison. While this was once considered too expensive, Nextracker was able to lower its input pricing to the point where they’re now much more competitive. Over the years, the company added additional features to its product line of integrated hardware and software. Some of these features include self-powering systems, software that helps improve the energy yield on uneven terrain or bad weather conditions, and equipment that protects solar panels during hail storms, which is one of the leading causes of panel breakage. In response to customers needing something to mitigate hail damage risk, Nextracker developed an industry-first “hail stow” technology. Its most advanced system is fully automated and can provide up to a 75-degree rotation angle. Nextracker is the global market share leader in this space, with the highest-quality and most reliable product with the lowest install cost, operating cost, and levelized cost of energy (LCOE), which is a measure of lifetime costs divided by energy production. Its U.S. business accounts for roughly two-thirds of the company’s revenue. The international market is more competitive and its margins are lower than the corporate average, but the company believes there are opportunities to gain market share and pricing over time. The company reported a strong set of fourth-quarter results in May, with revenues up 42% year over year, much higher than expected, and adjusted EBITDA of $160 million versus $134 million expected. On adjusted earnings, analysts expected the company to make 68 cents per share, but it earned 96 cents per share. NXT YTD mountain Nextracker YTD For the full-year fiscal 2025, Nextracker management guided revenues in line but adjusted EBITDA ahead of estimates and adjusted EPS below estimates at the midpoint. However, some analysts pointed to management’s strong execution since becoming a public company, raising guidance each quarter in fiscal 2024, as a sign that guidance could be conservative. What makes solar, and the renewable industry at large, so appealing is that energy usage has increased dramatically over the past few years, driven by growth in data centers, electrification of appliances and vehicles with the need for more charging stations, and reindustrialization across the United States. It’s one of the reasons why we have been so bullish on Eaton . In a recent note by UBS, the analyst points out that Amazon , Meta , Microsoft , and Google represented 40% of total U.S. utility-scale solar demand over the last five years. Just four companies. Why are they huge buyers? These mega-cap tech companies are committed to 100% renewable power or clean energy. They are committed to decarbonizing. But here’s the thing: their needs may dramatically increase in the years ahead because of AI, which we know uses 10 times more electricity per query than a traditional Google search. And training has much higher power needs than your traditional cloud infrastructure. UBS argues that if these companies are in the early stages of exponential electricity demand growth, we should see demand for renewable projects increase along with it. Most will come from utility-scale solar projects that need tracker systems from either Nextracker or a competitor. Solar projects are a solution to these demand challenges because it is the lowest-cost option for new power. Its why CEO Dan Shugar explained on the last earnings call that solar deployments are accelerating in most of the world. Shugar’s positive view is also based on the U.S. Energy Information Administration forecasts of a 5% annual increase in new power generation needs over the next five years, and solar being the fastest growing energy technology with a 26% compound annual growth rate over the next five years. Nextracker’s record backlog of over $4 billion, up from $2.6 billion, surely supports this view. Even with all this growth happening at Nextracker and in the industry at large, we’re talking about a stock that trades at only 16 times the midpoint of its adjusted EPS outlook. If the stock can trade up to 18 times the high end of its full-year earnings guidance, the stock will trade at $55. We’ll set our price target at that level and note it is still $5 below where the stock traded in mid-June. The company has a strong liquidity position, which matters in this industry. Solaredge got slammed Tuesday after offering convertible notes and took down the whole group with it. Last quarter, Nextracker had about $470 million in cash and $150 of debt on the balance sheet and generated more than $400 million of cash flow over the full year. The company is not allowed to pay dividends or repurchase stock until 2026 due to the rules related to the spin from Flex , so what it can do instead build cash and use what’s leftover for disciplined mergers and acquisitions. Last week, it announced it paid $119 million to buy Ojjo, a renewable energy company specializing in foundation technology and services used in utility-scale ground-mount applications for solar power generation. Putting it all together, we are interested in renewables and solar stocks because energy needs are increasing around the world. Nextracker stands out to us in the group because of its technology leadership, strong balance sheet, and track record of execution. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. NO SPECIFIC OUTCOME OR PROFIT IS GUARANTEED.
Elon Musk, who already suggested Tesla invest in xAI, is now setting the stage for the public company under his control to grossly overpay for xAI, a private company under his control that just absorbed Twitter (X).
Anyone invested in a mutual fund that owns Tesla shares could be about to bail out Musk and his billionaire friends.
At $44 billion, Musk knew he was overpaying for Twitter and tried to back out of the deal.
Within a year of Musk taking Twitter private, Fidelity Investments, which invested in Musk’s Twitter acquisition, revalued its investment as being down 65% from its purchase price.
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A year later, in October 2024, Fidelity valued Twitter, X by now, at just $10 billion.
That’s not surprising since Musk had Twitter take on $12 billion in debt as part of the take-private deal, and revenue fell by roughly half under his leadership.
To take Twitter private, Musk personally financed the deal with $25 billion of his own and his existing stake in Twitter, $12 billion in debt, and about $7 billion in investment from his friends.
As of October, most of that equity was gone, but Musk wasn’t about to let a loss slide on his record.
In 2023, he launched xAI, a private company under his control that develops AI products. Tesla investors are suing him for breach of fiduciary duty and resource tunneling over the founding of xAI since he had previously stated that Tesla would be a big player in AI and simultaneously threatened not to build AI products at Tesla if he didn’t get more control of the company, but let’s put that aside for now.
When raising money for xAI in 2023, Axios reported on how Musk might use the AI company as a “plan B to save Twitter” and Musk responded:
“I have never lost money for those who invest in me and I am not starting now.”
Who are these people who invested in Twitter with Musk? There’s a long list, but two of the biggest investors are Prince Alwaleed bin Talal, a Saudi Arabian billionaire and head of Kingdom Holding Company, and Larry Ellison, billionaire co-founder of Oracle. Both are close friends of Musk.
VC firms Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia Capital, Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund, the highly controversial crypto exchange Binance, and the previously mentioned Fidelity Investments have also invested in the deal.
By the end of 2024, those people were basically writing down 80% of their investment in Twitter, as per Fidelity.
However, a few months later, in March 2025, X was somehow valued back at $44 billion as part of a “so-called secondary deal.” Some took this information as news that X had turned around, but many were skeptical that the valuation could have gone from $10 billion to $44 billion in just 5 months.
Sure enough, we quickly learned that the new valuation had little to do with improved financials at X and was instead based on Musk pushing for xAI to buy X at $45 billion through an all-stock acquisition. A company’s valuation is only what someone is willing to pay for it and Musk was willing for xAI to “pay” $45 billion.
In late March, Musk announced that xAI had acquired X in a deal valuing xAI at $80 billion and X at $45 billion, while xAI would take on X’s $12 billion debt.
The world’s richest man was not shy about highlighting the controversial self-dealing here:
It’s worth noting that xAI had raised only $12 billion at a $40 billion valuation with virtually no revenue as of December 2024, and now it’s a $125 billion company, based entirely on Musk’s valuation, with $12 billion in debt.
How does Tesla plays into this?
Musk has promised Tesla shareholders that the Twitter acquisition would be good for the company. That was after he sold tens of billions of dollars worth of Tesla stocks to buy Twitter – sending Tesla’s stock crashing.
Tesla shareholders haven’t really seen a return on that yet unless you count a brief surge in stock price after Trump was elected, with the help of Musk and X, but the stock has since erased all those gains since Trump came into office.
Now, xAI is the plan B.
Last summer, Musk suggested that Tesla invests $5 billion in xAI, but that was before the company acquired X. Musk will need shareholder’s approval for a deal between xAI and Tesla, which would happen at Tesla’s shareholders meeting – generally held in June.
Now, Tesla’s CEO, who has been complaining about his eroding control of Tesla after selling shares to buy Twitter, has greatly inflated the value of xAI through this acquisition of X ahead of the potential investment.
Musk has also discussed Tesla integrating Grok, xAI’s large language model, into its products, specifically its electric vehicles.
A post on X this weekend suggested that this might be happening soon:
ChatGPT, OpenAI’s LLM, has already been integrated in many vehicles, including from the Volkswagen Group, Peugeot, and Mercedes-Benz.
Electrek’s Take
The grift never stops. As I have been saying for years, Musk is not equipped to be an executive of a public company, and this is just the latest example.
If all these entities were private, and he was taking his affluent private investor friends on a ride, I wouldn’t have any problem with this, but Tesla is a public company included in many ETFs and mutual funds. Many people own Tesla stocks without even knowing.
But as Musk said himself, he doesn’t let people who invested in him lose money. Does that include Tesla investors?
I don’t think it does anymore.
There’s an argument to be made that Tesla shareholders should already own Musk’s stake in xAI. That’s what the breach of fiduciary duty lawsuit is about. Musk said that Tesla was “a world leader in AI’ and said that AI products would be critical to the company’s future.
Then, he starts a private AI company and threaten Tesla shareholders that he will not build AI products at Tesla if he doesn’t get more than 25% control over the company. That’s a clear breach of fiduciary duties to Tesla shareholders as the CEO of Tesla, but it will likely take years to solve this through courts.
In the meantime, Musk is pushing for Tesla to invest in xAI, which is now valued at $125 billion – a number completely made up by Musk.
Grok is not a bad product, but it ranks below OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’S Gemini in most AI rankings. It also relies too heavily on information from X, which is far from reliable. Most experts see xAI as being way behind OpenAI and other AI companies, which are already generating significant revenue.
Now, I doubt Musk will still push for a $5 billion investment from Tesla. I don’t think that Musk will want Tesla to spend 15% of its cash position on this amid delcinign earnings and a very difficult macroeconomic situation.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see Musk pushing for Tesla to invest in xAI as part of a stock deal.
The timing would be good for Musk. Tesla’s current brand issues, lower deliveries, crashing earnings have led to a much lower share price on top of the crashing US stock market. If Tesla’s share price is lower, Musk can get more shares for his made-up valuation of xAI.
Musk likely owns more than 50% of xAI post X acquisition. A stock deal would virtually result in him getting half of the Tesla stocks that are part of the deal – boosting his stake in Tesla, which has been his goal since selling his stake to buy an overpriced Twitter.
In short, Musk sold Tesla stocks to buy an overpriced Twitter, regretted it and threatened Tesla shareholders to get more shares. Now, he might get Tesla shareholders to pay for the acquisition again at the same ridiculous valuation.
The craziest thing about all of this is that I bet Tesla shareholders are going to approve this scheme.
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Specialized has announced a voluntary recall for several of its popular Turbo e-bike models after identifying a safety issue with the chain guard that could pose a fall risk to riders. The culprit? A clothing-eating drivetrain setup that may be a bit too hungry for its own good.
The recall affects Turbo Como IGH, Turbo Como SL IGH, and Turbo Vado IGH models equipped with internal gear hubs (IGH), sold between 2021 and 2024. According to Specialized, certain chain guards on these bikes may allow loose-fitting clothing to become entrapped in the drivetrain, potentially causing crashes or falls.
The recall includes both belt-drive and chain-drive models. Models equipped with traditional rear derailleurs are not part of the recall and remain unaffected.
The issue isn’t widespread in terms of injuries — thankfully, as there have been no reports of serious harm. But as Specialized continues to grow its e-bike lineup, especially in the urban and commuter segment, it’s clear they’re taking proactive steps to ensure rider safety and confidence.
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Riders of affected bikes are being advised to stop using their e-bikes immediately and schedule a free chain guard replacement with their local Specialized retailer. The fix will be installed at no cost, and Specialized is footing the bill for both parts and labor.
You can check if your model is affected by visiting Specialized’s official recall notice page, or by contacting their Rider Care team.
This recall lands in a growing category of micromobility safety updates and recalls, as more riders turn to e-bikes and scooters for daily transportation. From battery-related recalls to structural flaws, the increased adoption of electric two-wheelers has put new pressure on manufacturers to catch potential issues early.
While the vast majority of all e-bikes and e-scooters will never see a recall, the growing number of models on the road has seen an uptick in such occurrences over the last few years.
Electrek’s Take
While it’s always disappointing to see a defect, it’s encouraging to see brands like Specialized move quickly, transparently, and without passing costs to the customer.
And let’s be honest: for riders who favor flowing pants, long jackets, or any other long garment, these kinds of things can happen. My wife learned that the hard way when she lost a chunk of her kimono last year when she switched to riding her bike to work every day. Securing long, flowing clothing is just part of the safety procedure for riding bike. It’s good that Specialized is being proactive here, but I think just about any bike could see long garments getting sucked into a chain if conditions are right – or wrong.
I reviewed one of these e-bikes a few years ago and it was an incredible ride. I managed to escape with my pants intact, and I’d still ride one any day. If I owned one though, I’d probably take it in for that free chain-guard swap, though – which is just another example of a benefit of buying a bike shop e-bike as opposed to a direct-to-consumer brand. I love my D2C e-bikes, but having a bike shop help with this stuff, or even reach out to you directly during a recall, is a big plus in my book.
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A view shows disused oil pump jacks at the Airankol oil field operated by Caspiy Neft in the Atyrau Region, Kazakhstan April 2, 2025.
Pavel Mikheyev | Reuters
U.S. oil prices dropped below $60 a barrel on Sunday on fears President Donald Trump’s global tariffs would push the U.S., and maybe the world, into a recession.
Futures tied to U.S. West Texas intermediate crude fell more than 3% to $59.74 on Sunday night. The move comes after back-to-back 6% declines last week. WTI is now at the lowest since April 2021.
Worries are mounting that tariffs could lead to higher prices for businesses, which could lead to a slowdown in economic activity that would ultimately hurt demand for oil.
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Oil futures, 5 years
The tariffs, which are set to take effect this week, “would likely push the U.S. and possibly global economy into recession this year,” according to JPMorgan. The firm on Thursday raised its odds of a recession this year to 60% following the tariff rollout, up from 40%.