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Education Secretary Gillian Keegan has joked about needing a new job next week as she faces being one of the Tories’ most high-profile election casualties.

The cabinet minister is projected to lose her Chichester seat in West Sussex to the Lib Dems, who are aiming to smash the so-called “blue wall” in southern England.

Election latest: Farage on defensive after supporters caught on camera making racist remarks

During a visit to a school in her constituency, Ms Keegan was asked by pupils what job she would do if she was not an MP.

“I might have to answer that question next Friday”, she said.

Ms Keegan later told the PA news agency that the polls were “all over the place” and “I have never taken anything in my whole life for granted”.

But her initial answer reflects the defeatist mood of some Tories as multiple polls suggest Britain’s political landscape is about to be fundamentally re-drawn, with Labour on course for a historic majority.

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Ms Keegan is one of more than a dozen senior figures at risk of having a so-called “Portillo moment” – a reference to Michael Portillo, the Conservative minister who was famously unseated as Tony Blair swept to power in 1997.

It is relatively rare for cabinet ministers to lose their seats at elections but as well as Ms Keegan, polls predict Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, Defence Secretary Grant Shapps and Commons Leader Penny Mordaunt could all be heading for the electoral chopping board, alongside many more high-profile colleagues.

Ms Keegan was elected in 2017 and has a healthy majority of 21,000.

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Tories ‘fighting for every vote’

Chichester has always been considered a Conservative stronghold, but the latest YouGov MRP poll says the Lib Dems are likely to take this seat on 4 July.

The education secretary is known to not mince her words and has faced criticism for a sweary rant about the RAAC crisis and joking that she would have “punched” an Ofsted inspector.

Earlier on Friday she gave a frank summation of the Tories’ chances at the election, telling Sky News that the polls are not “looking like the best outcome for our party” and lots of people are “frustrated” with the Conservatives for “very many reasons”.

It echoes a similar sentiment from other Tories who appear to have all but accepted defeat.

Read more from Sky News:
Hunt donates £32,000 in fight to keep seat
Major Tory donor defects to Reform

Northern Ireland minister Steve Baker will launch a bid to replace Rishi Sunak, it is understood, assuming the prime minister resigns if the party loses.

However, he admitted he is “widely expected” to be unseated in Wycombe, where he has a slim 4,214 majority.

Other Tories have taken to warning voters about the dangers of a Labour “supermajority” and saying an effective opposition will be needed.

Meanwhile, Mr Shapps said early on in the campaign that to claim the Conservatives are on course for a victory would be to “try and pretend black is white”.

Mr Sunak, however, has sought to remain optimistic and insisted the Tories can still win.

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Jaguar Land Rover to ‘pause’ US shipments over Donald Trump tariffs

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Jaguar Land Rover to 'pause' US shipments over Donald Trump tariffs

Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) has said it will “pause” shipments to the US as the British car firm works to “address the new trading terms” of Donald Trump’s tariffs.

The US president has introduced a 25% levy on all foreign cars imported into the country, which came into force on Thursday.

JLR, one of the country’s biggest carmakers, exported about 38,000 cars to the US in the third quarter of 2024 – almost equal to the amount sold to the UK and the EU combined.

Follow live updates: Trump’s baseline 10% tariff kicks in

In a statement on Saturday, a spokesperson for the company behind the Jaguar, Land Rover and Range Rover brands said: “The USA is an important market for JLR’s luxury brands.

“As we work to address the new trading terms with our business partners, we are taking some short-term actions including a shipment pause in April, as we develop our mid- to longer-term plans.”

The company released a statement last week before Mr Trump announced a “baseline” 10% tariff on goods from around the world, which kicked in on Saturday morning, on what he called “liberation day”.

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JLR reassured customers its business was “resilient” and “accustomed to changing market conditions”.

“Our priorities now are delivering for our clients around the world and addressing these new US trading terms,” the firm said.

Trading across the world has been hit by Mr Trump’s tariff announcement at the White House on Wednesday.

All but one stock on the FTSE 100 fell on Friday – with Rolls-Royce, banks and miners among those to suffer the sharpest losses.

Read more: A red wall on Wall Street – but Trump seems to believe it will work out

Cars are the top product exported from the UK to the US, with exports worth £8.3bn in the year to the end of September 2024, according to data from the Office for National Statistics.

For UK carmakers, the US is the second largest export market behind the European Union.

Industry groups have previously warned the tariffs will force firms to rethink where they trade, while a report by thinktank the Institute for Public Policy Research said more than 25,000 car manufacturing jobs in the UK could be at risk.

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Two people die after caravan fire at holiday park in Lincolnshire

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Two people die after caravan fire at holiday park in Lincolnshire

Two people have died following a fire at a caravan site near Skegness, Lincolnshire Police have said.

In a statement, officers said they were called at 3.53am on Saturday to a report of a blaze at Golden Beach Holiday Park in the village of Ingoldmells.

Fire and rescue crews attended the scene, and two people were found to have died.

They were reported to be a 10-year-old girl and a 48-year-old man.

The force said the victims’ next of kin have been informed and will be supported by specially trained officers.

Officers are trying to establish the exact cause of the blaze.

“We are at the very early stages of our investigation and as such we are keeping an open mind,” the force said.

Two fire crews remain at the scene.

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Boy dies after ‘getting into difficulty’ in lake in southeast London

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Boy dies after 'getting into difficulty' in lake in southeast London

A 15-year-old boy has died after “getting into difficulty” in a lake in southeast London, police say.

Officers and paramedics were called shortly after 3pm on Friday to Beckenham Place Park in Lewisham.

The Metropolitan Police said a boy “was recovered from the lake” at around 10.42pm the same day.

“He was taken to hospital where he was sadly pronounced dead. His death is being treated as unexpected but not believed to be suspicious,” according to the force.

The boy’s family has been told and are being supported by specialist officers.

The force originally said the child was 16 years old, but has since confirmed his age as 15.

In the earlier statement, officers said emergency services carried out a search and the park was evacuated.

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google street view inside Beckenham Place park, Lewisham where a 16 y/o boy is missing after getting into difficulty in a lake
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Emergency teams were called to Beckenham Place Park on Friday afternoon

Beckenham Place Park, which borders the London borough of Bromley, covers around 240 acres, according to the park’s website.

The lake is described as 285 metres long, reaching depths of up to 3.5 metres.

It is designed as a swimming lake for open-water swimming and paddle boarding.

A London Ambulance Service spokesperson said on Friday: “We were called at 3.02pm this afternoon to reports of a person in the water.

“We sent resources to the scene, including an ambulance crew, an incident response officer and members of our hazardous area response team.”

Emergency teams have not explained how the boy entered the water, or whether he was accompanied by others.

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