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Libya oil production cuts will have a 'major impact' on markets: Consulting firm

U.S. crude oil futures slipped below $77 per barrel on Tuesday, after surging in the previous session on OPEC member Libya halting production and exports.

Libya produces about 1.2 million barrels per day with the overwhelming majority of its crude exported to the global market, with European nations serving as the main buyers. U.S. oil surged because it is the best substitute for importers looking to replace lost Libyan supply.

But the U.S. benchmark is pulling back slightly as the market expects a gradual disruption rather than all of Libya’s production suddenly going offline, Sara Vakhshouri, founder of SVB Energy International, told CNBC’s “Capital Connection” on Tuesday.

Here are Tuesday’s energy prices:

  • West Texas Intermediate October contract: $76.99 per barrel, down 43 cents, or 0.56%. Year to date, U.S. crude oil has gained 7.4%.
  • Brent October contract: $80.96 per barrel, down 47 cents, or 0.58%. Year to date, the global benchmark is ahead 5.1%.
  • RBOB Gasoline September contract: $2.28 per gallon, little changed. Year to date, gasoline is ahead 8.5%.
  • Natural Gas September contract: $1.93 per barrel, down more than 2 cents, or 1.38%. Year to date, gas is down 23.2%.

Goldman Sachs sees the disruptions in Libya as short-lived with 600,000 bpd falling off the market in September and 200,000 bpd in October.

Libya is divided between rival governments in Tripoli and Benghazi. The Benghazi government announced the production halt Monday amid a dispute with the Tripoli government over who should lead the central bank.

“In the case of Libya, the eastern regional government can turn off Libyan production like a light switch,” Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Tuesday.

“Gen. Haftar, he’s a militia leader in the east. If he wants to shut it down, he controls all the terminals in the east, the infrastructure — so they can shut it down,” Croft said.

Goldman slashed its forecast for Brent prices by $5 to a range of $70 to $85 per barrel and expects the global benchmark to average $77 in 2025, down from $82 previously.

Demand in China has softened as the world’s second-largest economy switches from gasoline-powered cars to electric vehicles, Daan Struyven, head of oil research at Goldman, told clients in a Monday note. And supply out of the U.S. is beating expectations on efficiency gains, Struyven said.

Don’t miss these energy insights from CNBC PRO:

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What EV sales slump? Illinois’ EV sales outpace the nation by 4:1

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What EV sales slump? Illinois' EV sales outpace the nation by 4:1

Fueled by incentives from the Illinois EPA and the state’s largest utility company, new EV registrations nearly quadrupled the 12% first-quarter increase in EV registrations nationally – and there are no signs the state is slowing down.

Despite the dramatic slowdown of Tesla’s US deliveries, sales of electric vehicles overall have perked up in recent months, with Illinois’ EV adoption rate well above the Q1 uptick nationally. Crain’s Chicago Business reports that the number of new EVs registered across the state totaled 9,821 January through March, compared with “just” 6,535 EVs registered in the state during the same period in 2024.

Those numbers represent more than 50% growth in EV registrations – far beyond the expected 12% first-quarter increase nationally being projected by Cox Automotive. (!)

What’s going on in Illinois?

File:Illinois Governor J. B. Pritzker (33167937268).jpg
Illinois Governor JB Pritzker at the Chicago Auto Show; by Ray Cunningham.

While President Trump and Elmo were running for re-election, they campaigned on the threat promise of canceling the $7,500 federal tax credit for EVs. Along with California Governor Gavin Newsom, Illinois’ Governor JB Pritzker made countermoves – launching a $4,000 rebate for new electric cars and up to $1,500 for the purchase of a new electric motorcycle.

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At the same time, the state’s largest utility, ComEd, launched a $90 million EV incentive program featuring a new Point of Purchase initiative to deliver instant discounts to qualifying business and public sector customers who make the switch to electric vehicles. That program has driven a surge in Class 3-6 medium duty commercial EVs, which are eligible fro $20-30,000 in utility rebates on top of federal tax credits and other incentives (Class 1-2 EVs are eligible for up to $7,500).

We covered the launch of those incentives when the program was announced at Chicago Drives Electric last year, but the message here is simple: incentives work.

SOURCES: Chicago Business, Ray Cunningham; featured image by the author.

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XCMG launches XE215EV battery swap electric excavator ahead of bauma

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XCMG launches XE215EV battery swap electric excavator ahead of bauma

The electric construction equipment experts at XCMG just released a new, 25 ton electric crawler excavator ahead of bauma 2025 – and they have their eye on the global urban construction, mine operations, and logistical material handling markets.

Powered by a high-capacity 400 kWh lithium iron phosphate battery capable of delivering up to 8 hours of continuous operation, the XE215EV electric excavator promises uninterrupted operation at a lower cost of ownership and with even less downtime than its diesel counterparts.

XCMG is delivering on part of that reduced downtime promise with the lower maintenance and easier repair needs of electric equipment, and delivering on the rest of it with lickety-quick DC fast charging that can recharge the machine’s massive battery in 1.5-2 hours … but that’s not the slick bit. The XCMG XE125EV can be powered up without leaving the job site thanks to its BYD battery swap technology.

We first covered XCMG and its battery swap technology back in January, and covered similar battery-swap tech being developed by MOOG Construction offshoot ZQUIP, as well – but while XCMG’s battery tech has been in production for several years, it’s still not widely known about in the West (even within the industry).

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XCMG showed off its latest electric equipment at the December 2024 bauma China, including an updated version of its of its 85-ton autonomous electric mining truck that features a fully cab-less design – meaning there isn’t even a place for an operator to sit, let alone operate. And that’s too bad, because what operator wouldn’t want to experience an electric truck putting down 1070 hp more than 16,000 lb-ft of torque!?

Easy in, easy out

XCMG battery swap crane; via Etrucks New Zealand.

The best part? All of the company’s heavy equipment assets – from excavators to terminal tractors to dump trucks and wheel loaders – all use the same 400 kWh BYD battery packs, Milwaukee tool style. That means an equipment fleet can utilize x number of vehicles with a fraction of the total battery capacity and material needs of other asset brands. That’s not just a smart use of limited materials, it’s a smarter use of energy.

You can check out all the XE215EV’s specs at this tear sheet, and get an in-person look at the Chinese company’s latest electric excavator this week in Munich, Germany.

SOURCE | IMAGES: XCMG.

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Volvo shows off production PU500 battery energy storage system

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Volvo shows off production PU500 battery energy storage system

As “extreme” weather events become more commonplace, the demand for reliable and portable energy continues to rise. In response to that growing demand for dependable off-grid power, Volvo has developed the new PU500 Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) designed to take electrical power when it’s needed most.

Designed to be deployable in a number of environments at a moment’s notice, the Volvo Energy PU500 BESS is equipped with approximately 500 kWh of usable battery capacity (up to 540 kWh total). More than enough juice, in other words, to power a remote construction site, disaster response effort, or even a music festival – anything that needs access to reliable electricity beyond a grid connection.

That’s great, but what sets the PU500 apart from other battery storage solutions is its integrated 240 kW DC fast charger.

“With an integrated CCS2 charger, the PU500 is designed to work with all brands of electric equipment, trucks, and passenger cars,” says Niklas Thulin, Head of BESS Product Offer at Volvo Energy. “This ensures that no matter what type of electric vehicle or machinery you rely on, the PU500 can provide the power you need, making it a truly flexible solution for any grid constrained site or location.”

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The integrated charger in the PU500 has the impressive ability to charge a heavy equipment asset (be that an electric semi truck or something like a wheel loader) in under two hours. Its on-board capacity allows to fully recharge up to 3 electric HD trucks or 20 electric cars per day, making it an incredibly versatile disaster response asset.

Electrek’s Take

Stockholm progresses with electric construction site from Volvo CE
Electric job site; via Volvo CE.

As we often say over at The Heavy Equipment Podcast, “just because you’re working for the power company doesn’t mean you have power,” and there are hundreds of scenarios where the extra power provided by something like the new PU500 would be useful. Its ability to be palletized and easily moved or swapped out of a larger BESS array, too, just add to its flexibility.

SOURCE | IMAGES: Volvo.

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