Which tax rises could the Labour government introduce in the autumn budget?
There’s going to be “a lot of bad news” in the chancellor’s autumn budget – which the prime minister has said will be “painful”.
Speaking from Downing Street, Sir Keir Starmer said the public will have to “accept short-term pain for long-term good“.
Sky’s economics and data editor Ed Conway heard there was going to be “a lot of bad news” in the fiscal event as the government continues to remind voters about its financial inheritance from the Tories, with borrowing at levels not seen since the pandemic.
Rachel Reeves’s first budget on 30 October will be “quite miserable”, Conway has said – with spending cuts and tax rises both expected.
The latter is something Ms Reeves herself has admitted will be on the cards, though Sir Keir vowed in its election manifesto that income tax, national insurance, and VAT wouldn’t budge – remaking the pledge in August.
With that in mind, Sky News looks at which ones could be targeted.
Inheritance tax
This is one of the taxes most likely to be changed.
Inheritance tax is charged at 40% on the value of an estate above £325,000 when someone dies.
The tax rate could be increased, or the value people have to pay inheritance from could be lowered to raise money.
There are currently several exemptions, including on agricultural land and family businesses, but these could be lifted to include them.
The government could also reduce the number of years allowed when giving away assets before someone dies before inheritance tax kicks in.
A leaked recording from March revealed now chief secretary to the Treasury, Darren Jones, saying inheritance tax could be used to “redistribute wealth” and address “intergenerational equality”.
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Will Labour raise taxes?
Capital gains tax
Capital gains is imposed on the profit from the sale of capital assets, including second homes, shares, business assets and most personal possessions worth £6,000 or more, apart from cars.
Currently, people do not have to pay tax on the first £3,000 of profits, or £1,500 for trusts.
The minimum limit could be removed and the tax could be imposed on assets currently exempt.
Like inheritance tax, it is one of the taxes that is being most talked about to be targeted.
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Council tax
In the leaked recording from Mr Jones, he said he was frustrated by the “out of date” council tax system and hinted homes worth over £1m may have to pay more.
Former shadow minister Jonathan Ashworth told Sky News during the election campaign that Labour would not change council tax bands.
Council tax is currently set in bands that are based on the 1991 value of homes, which has been branded “absurd” by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) and “incredibly poorly designed” by the Institute for Government “(IfG).
Gemma Tetlow, chief economist at the IfG, said council tax could be reformed “in a very sensible way… rather than having the banded system you could move to something that is much more proportional tax on land revenue”.
She added: “You could do that sensible structural reform and raise some extra money at the same time.”
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Labour ‘rolling the pitch’ for tax hikes
Business rates
Labour are understood to be consulting on changing business rates, which are charged on most non-domestic properties with relief for some including small businesses, retail, hospitality and leisure properties.
A change could be made so they are related to the value of the land instead of the current rateable value, which is an estimate of how much it would cost to rent that property for a year in April 2021.
Pic: iStock
Stamp duty
Stamp duty is paid on the cost of a property over £250,000, with more paid for second homes and by non-UK residents, and relief for first-time buyers.
It currently discourages people from moving home and is part of the reason older people are not moving out of expensive, larger properties.
Labour could change the tax so it is focused on annual land value tax instead of on a transaction – but that could be a hard sell with the party.
UK
Pictured: Boy killed in Gateshead industrial estate fire – 14 children arrested on suspicion of manslaughter
Tributes have been paid to 14-year-old Layton Carr who died in a fire at an industrial estate.
Eleven boys and three girls, aged between 11 and 14 years, have been arrested on suspicion of manslaughter after the incident in Gateshead on Friday. They remain in police custody.
Police were alerted to a fire at Fairfield industrial park in the Bill Quay area
Firefighters raced to Fairfield industrial park in the Bill Quay area shortly after 8pm, putting out the blaze a short time later.
Police then issued an appeal for a missing boy, Layton Carr, who was believed to be in the area at the time.
In a statement, the force said that “sadly, following searches, a body believed to be that of 14-year-old Layton Carr was located deceased inside the building”.
Layton’s next of kin have been informed and are being supported by specialist officers, police added.
Layton has been described as a ‘beautiful soul’
A fundraising page on GoFundMe has been set up to help Layton’s mother pay for funeral costs.
Organiser Stephanie Simpson said: “The last thing Georgia needs to stress trying to pay for a funeral for her Boy Any donations will help thank you.”
One tribute in a Facebook post read: “Can’t believe I’m writing this my nephew RIP Layton 💔 forever 14 you’ll be a massive miss, thinking of my sister and 2 beautiful nieces right now.”
Another added: “My boy ❤️ my baby cousin, my Layton. Nothing will ever come close to the pain I feel right now. Forever 14. I’ll miss you sausage.”
A third said: “Rest in peace big lad such a beautiful soul taken far to soon my thoughts are with you Gee stay strong girl hear for u always.”
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Detective Chief Inspector Louise Jenkins, of Northumbria Police, also said: “This is an extremely tragic incident where a boy has sadly lost his life.”
She added that the force’s “thoughts are with Layton’s family as they begin to attempt to process the loss of their loved one”.
They are working to establish “the full circumstances surrounding the incident” and officers will be in the area to “offer reassurance to the public”, she added.
A cordon remains in place at the site while police carry out enquiries.
Sky News can reveal that the government has rowed back on a national compensation scheme for victims of child sexual abuse, despite it being promised under the previous Conservative administration.
Warning – this story contains references to sexual and physical abuse
A National Redress Scheme was one of 20 key recommendations made by the Independent Inquiry into Child Sexual Abuse (IICSA), but a Home Office report reveals the government has scrapped it because of the cost.
Marie, who is 71, suffered alleged sexual, physical, and emotional abuse at Greenfield House Convent in St Helens, Merseyside, between 1959 and 1962, and is still fighting for compensation.
Greenfield House Convent, where Marie says she was abused
As soon as she arrived as a six-year-old, Marie says her hair was cut off, her name changed, and she experienced regular beatings from the nuns and students.
She claims a nun instigated the violence, including when Marie was held down so that her legs were “spread-eagled” as she was sexually abused with a coat hanger.
Merseyside Police investigated claims of abuse at the convent, but in 2016, a suspect died before charges could be brought.
Marie has received an apology from the Catholic body that ran the home; she tried to sue them, but her claim was rejected because it was filed too long after the alleged abuse.
Marie, 71, is still fighting for compensation for the abuse she says she suffered as a child
In February, ministers said the law would change for victims of sexual abuse trying to sue institutions for damages, which was a recommendation from the IICSA.
Previously, people had to make a civil claim before they were 21, unless the victim could prove a fair trial could proceed despite the time lapse.
Campaigners argued for the time limit to be removed as, on average, victims wait 26 years to come forward. Changes to the 1980 Limitation Act could lead to more people making claims.
Peter Garsden, President of The Association of Child Abuse Lawyers
Civil cases ‘can take three to five years’
But Peter Garsden, president of the Association of Child Abuse Lawyers, worries that when it comes to historical abuse where the defendant is dead, institutions will still argue that it is impossible to have a fair trial and will fight to have the case thrown out of court.
Mr Garsden said it takes “between three and five years” for a civil case to get to trial.
He warned that claimants “can end up losing if you go through that process. Whereas the Redress Scheme would be quicker, much more straightforward, and much more likely to give justice to the victims”.
Victim awarded £10 compensation
Jimbo, who was a victim of abuse at St Aidan’s children’s home in Cheshire, took his case to the High Court twice and the Court of Appeal three times, but, after 13 years, all he ended up with was £10 for his bus fare to court.
Despite the Lord Justice of Appeal saying he believed that the abuse had occurred, Jimbo lost his claim because of the time limit for child sexual abuse claims to be made.
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Neither Marie nor Jimbo is likely to benefit from the removal of the time limit for personal injury claims, which is why Mr Garsden is calling on the government to implement a National Redress Scheme for victims of sexual abuse, as recommended by the IICSA.
Hundreds of millions paid to victims
The governments in Scotland and Northern Ireland have set up compensation schemes and paid hundreds of millions of pounds to victims.
In 2023, the then Conservative government said a similar scheme would be organised for England and Wales.
But the Home Office admitted in its Tackling Child Sexual Abuse: Progress Update that it “is not currently taking forward any further steps on the IICSA proposal for a separate, national financial redress scheme for all survivors of child sexual abuse”.
“In the current fiscal environment, this recommendation is very difficult to take forward,” it added.
For victims, the scheme was the last chance of compensation for a lifetime blighted by abuse.
“The money is about justice and about all the other people who have had to suffer this abuse,” Marie said.
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