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A new political term, and a new reality for the Conservatives, as what’s left of the party regroups in Westminster and gets down to the business of picking a new leader.

On Monday, it was the turn of Kemi Badenoch and James Cleverly to officially launch their campaigns ahead of the first knock-out round on Wednesday.

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Their competing visions for the party are a window into how this race will shape up.

Those involved say the choice Conservative MPs and members make will determine whether the party has a shot of turning its devastating election loss into just one term out of office.

Look at the Labour working majority of 181 and the obvious answer seems to be that a rebuild is a two-term project at the very best.

But as both Badenoch and Cleverly supporters told me at their launch today, the Starmer support is wide but shallow, with the Labour leader garnering the support of 34% of voters (as opposed to 43% of the vote won by Tony Blair in 1997).

The two would-be leaders on Monday had very different pitches.

Badenoch is running on a ticket of “renewal” and used her speech to outline her principles – personal responsibility, citizenship, family, telling the truth – rather than going into policies.

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‘Kemi has Thatcher’s courage’

She pledged to tell “hard truths” as she declared that her former government “talked right but governed left, sounding like Conservatives but acting like Labour”.

“Government should do fewer things, but what it does, it should do with brilliance,” she said.

“We can’t just keep having the same policy arguments from the last parliament. We lost. We are not in power… we have to focus on renewal. The renewal of our party, our politics, our thinking.”

Cleverly, meanwhile, leaned into a policy platform.

He spoke about spending 3% on more on defence, bringing back the Rwanda scheme, cutting taxes, and shrinking the state, as he pitched himself as the ultra-loyalist former cabinet minister who could unite the party and use his experience in government to get the Tories ready for power once more.

Read More:
Who is running in the Conservative leadership race?
‘Pointing out how terrible Labour are’ won’t win trust, says Badenoch

At the heart of the debate, and the success or failure of the next iteration of the Conservative party, is whether MPs and members select a leader that doesn’t just win back voters lost to Reform by tacking right on immigration – (Robert Jenrick and Tom Tugenhadt are pledging to leave the ECHR in order to tackle the small boat crisis, something Cleverly argued is not necessary, and Badenoch says is not a priority), but also wins back the millions that drifted to Labour, the Lib Dems or stayed at home.

Badenoch is the bookies’ favourite, but around Westminster, seasoned political operatives say the contest is simply too hard to call.

Badenoch commanded the support of a number of high profile MPs today at her launch, such as former cabinet minister Claire Coutinho and ex-Treasury minister Laura Trott.

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General Election 2024 round-up

Cleverly only had four MPs at his event, which instead was filled with party members, with activists there telling me his undying loyalty to the party during difficult times had won plenty of support with the grassroots.

On Wednesday, one of the six will be eliminated from the race, with another candidate going the following week.

The remaining four will battle it out at the party conference at the end of the month before MPs whittle the four down to a final two for the party membership to choose between.

For a party badly battered in the last general election, they can at least take comfort that the man in No10 was written off when he took over from Jeremy Corbyn in 2020 as a Labour leader who would never be able to overturn Johnson’s 80-seat majority in one term.

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There are many reasons for this, from external pressures – be it the COVID-19 pandemic and war in Ukraine – to own goals and leadership failure – “Partygate”, Tory turmoil, and the chaotic premiership of Liz Truss.

But it was helped too by a leader that talked to the left during the leadership race, only to reset in the centre group and – in Starmer’s words – “put country before party” when he finally got his hands on the top job.

After learning the lessons of the election drubbing, the next Conservative leader might want to look at the Starmer playbook for clawing your party back to power too.

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Wes Streeting rules out pay rises for striking resident doctors saying they have ‘squandered goodwill’

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Wes Streeting rules out pay rises for striking resident doctors saying they have 'squandered goodwill'

Resident doctors have “squandered the considerable goodwill” they had with the government by going on strike, Health Secretary Wes Streeting has told them.

The medics – formerly known as junior doctors – finished a five-day strike over pay on Wednesday morning. The group were awarded a close to 30% raise last year but say they want more in an attempt to bring their pay back in line with what they had in 2008.

Mr Streeting previously said he would not negotiate further on pay but would consider taking steps on working conditions.

He has reiterated that stance – and continued to put pressure on negotiations to start again on the government’s terms.

The British Medical Association Resident Doctors Committee, which represents the doctors, have not ruled out further action.

In a letter sent today to the co-chairs of the committee, Mr Streeting thanked them for an invitation to “get back to the negotiating table” – but added the barb that it was “ironic because I never left”.

“I am ready to continue the conversation from where you left it,” he added.

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He went on to say the strikes were “deeply disappointing and entirely unnecessary” – adding that there were “seemingly promising discussions” about improving doctors’ working lives.

Read more:
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‘No doctor wants to go out on strike’

‘We cannot move on pay’

Mr Streeting criticised the committee, saying they “rushed to strike”.

His letter added: “The consequences of your strike action have been a detrimental impact on patients, your members, your colleagues and the NHS, which might have been worse were it not for the considerable efforts of NHS leaders and front-line staff who stepped up.

“Your action has also been self-defeating, because you have squandered the considerable goodwill you had with me and this government. I cannot in good conscience let patients, or other NHS staff, pay the price for the costs of your decision.”

The health secretary said he wanted to “reset the relationship” between the government and young doctors following the previous industrial action.

Mr Streeting went on to say he is “serious about improving working conditions” but has been clear “we cannot move on pay”.

“This government is prepared to negotiate on areas related to your conditions at work, career progression and tangible measures which would put money in your members’ pockets,” he added.

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Mr Streeting concluded: “I was critical of my predecessors when they closed the door to the Junior Doctors Committee.

“My door remains open to the hope that we can still build the partnership with resident doctors I aspired to when I came in a year ago and, in that spirit, I am happy to meet with you early next week.”

A BMA spokesperson said: “The resident doctors committee has received the letter from Mr Streeting and is considering its response.”

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Companies who pay suppliers late to be fined

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Companies who pay suppliers late to be fined

Companies which continually pay their suppliers late will face fines worth potentially millions of pounds, the prime minister has announced.

Sir Keir Starmer said “It’s time to pay up” as the government is set to unveil plans to give the small business commissioner powers to fine large companies that persistently pay their suppliers late.

Under the new legislation, businesses will have to pay their suppliers within 30 days of receiving a valid invoice, unless otherwise agreed, with spot checks to help identify breaches.

Maximum payment terms of 60 days, reducing to 45 days, will also be introduced as part of the legislation to ensure businesses are paid on time.

Late payments cost the UK economy £11 billion a year and shut down 38 businesses a day, the government said.

The new law will save small and medium businesses time so they can focus on growing their revenue, it added.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves and Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer at the launch of the 10-year health plan in east London. Pic: PA
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Chancellor Rachel Reeves and PM Sir Keir Starmer. Pic: PA

Sir Keir said: “From builders and electricians to freelance designers and manufacturers – too many hardworking people are being forced to spend precious hours chasing payments instead of doing what they do best – growing their businesses.

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“It’s unfair, it’s exhausting, and it’s holding Britain back. So, our message is clear: it’s time to pay up.

“Through our Small Business Plan, we’re not only tackling the scourge of late payments once and for all, but we’re giving small business owners the backing and stability they need for their business to thrive, driving growth across the country through our Plan for Change.”

The late payment crackdown is part of a wider government package, including a move to pump £4bn of financial support into small business start-ups and growth.

This will include £1bn for new firms, with 69,000 start-up loans and mentoring support.

Read more:
Sainsbury’s blames Visa card issues for online payment failure
Streeting rules out pay rises for striking doctors

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The value of ‘de minimis’ imports into Britain

The Conservatives said the crackdown will be welcome, but fails to address the “218,000 businesses that have closed under Labour”.

Andrew Griffith, the Tory shadow business secretary, added: “The reality for businesses under Labour is a doubling of business rates, a £25billion jobs tax and a full-on strangulation of employment red tape.

“Only the Conservatives are on the side of the makers and will support businesses across Britain to create jobs and wealth.”

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has increased employers’ national insurance, raised the minimum wage and lowered the threshold at which employers’ national insurance is paid.

The Resolution Foundation said this hits the cost of low-paid and part-time workers the most.

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How is Starmer’s government doing? Here’s what ‘end-of-term’ report from voters says

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How is Starmer's government doing? Here's what 'end-of-term' report from voters says

One year on, how’s Keir Starmer’s government going? We’ve put together an end-of-term report with the help of pollster YouGov.

First, here are the government’s approval ratings – drifting downwards.

It didn’t start particularly high. There has never been a honeymoon.

But here is the big change. Last year’s Labour voters now disapprove of their own government. That wasn’t true at the start – but is now.

And remember, it’s easier to keep your existing voter coalition together than to get new ones from elsewhere.

So we have looked at where voters who backed Labour last year have gone now.

YouGov’s last mega poll shows half of Labour voters last year – 51% – say they would vote for them again if an election was held tomorrow.

Around one in five (19%) say they don’t know who they’d vote for – or wouldn’t vote.

But Labour are also leaking votes to the Lib Dems, Greens and Reform.

These are the main reasons why.

A sense that Labour haven’t delivered on their promises is top – just above the cost of living. Some 22% say they’ve been too right-wing, with a similar number saying Labour have “made no difference”. Immigration and public services are also up there.

Now, YouGov asked people whether they think the cabinet is doing a good or a bad job, and combined the two figures together to get a net score.

John Healey and Bridget Phillipson are on top, but the big beats of Angela Rayner, Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves bottom.

But it’s not over for Labour.

Here’s one scenario – 2024 Labour voters say they would much prefer a Labour-led government over a Conservative one.

But what about a Reform UK-led government? Well, Labour polls even better against them – just 11% of people who voted Labour in 2024 want to see them enter Number 10.

Signs of hope for Keir Starmer. But as Labour MPs head off for their summer holidays, few of their voters would give this government an A*.

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