MLB Power Rankings: Where every team stands in mid-September
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5 months agoon
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adminMidway through September, the 2024 playoff picture looks mostly set.
While no team has secured a postseason berth yet or even clinched a division, a number of clubs are comfortably leading their respective divisions and will soon lock up playoff positioning.
The only division race that remains close is the American League East, while the National League wild-card chase will seemingly go down to the wire between the Braves and Mets for the final spot. What else might the final weeks of the regular season bring?
Our expert panel has combined to rank every team based on a combination of what we’ve seen so far and what we already knew going into the 162-game marathon that is a full baseball season. We also asked ESPN MLB experts David Schoenfield, Bradford Doolittle, Jesse Rogers, Alden Gonzalez and Jorge Castillo to weigh in with an observation for all 30 teams.
Week 23 | Second-half preview | Preseason rankings
Record: 88-58
Previous ranking: 2
Trea Turner‘s time with the Phillies has been marked by streaky production. We all remember his struggles last season until he finally broke out in August — and he had an OPS over 1.000 in the postseason, only to go 0-for-8 in the final two losses to Arizona. This season, he had a huge first half, hitting .349 with a .941 OPS despite a hamstring strain and stint on the IL. Then he hit .250 with a .670 OPS in August. He’s raking again in September, although it’s worth noting he’s basically stopped stealing bases since the hamstring injury (10 of his 15 steals came early in the season). The Phillies will need a hot Turner in October. — Schoenfield
Record: 87-59
Previous ranking: 1
The Dodgers, ravaged by injuries throughout their rotation, got the encouraging sign they longed for on Tuesday, when Yoshinobu Yamamoto stood on the mound for the first time in nearly three months and looked every bit as dominant as he did before his shoulder injury. Yamamoto pitched four innings, struck out eight batters, gave up a run (largely due to a couple of misplays by his infielders) and displayed dominant stuff — a fastball that consistently reached the upper 90s, a devastating curveball and a splitter, with relatively sharp command of all three. Next up: Tyler Glasnow (elbow tendonitis) will take part in a two- to three-inning simulated game on Friday, which is expected to be his last step before also getting activated off the injured list. — Gonzalez
Record: 84-62
Previous ranking: 3
While the fan base clamored for top prospect Jasson Dominguez‘s promotion, another Yankees rookie quietly continued making his case for hardware. On Monday, Austin Wells padded his résumé for American League Rookie of the Year in a loud way with a 440-foot go-ahead three-run home run and a double in the Yankees’ win over the Royals. Wells leads all rookies with 3.7 fWAR, and he tops all catchers with at least 230 plate appearances in on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS since June 6.
His emergence was enough for the Yankees — desperate for offense beyond Juan Soto and Aaron Judge at the time — to make him their primary cleanup hitter on July 20. He has flourished in the role protecting Judge, who has gone without a home run since Aug. 25, to give the Yankees another steady power source down the stretch. — Castillo
Record: 83-62
Previous ranking: 4
A lot of industry insiders like Milwaukee as their sleeper pick come October. The team has been here before — the underdog that people overlook in favor of the big market, big payroll teams. The Brewers have had varying degrees of success in that role, but perhaps they’re best suited for it this time. They’re the only team in baseball that ranks in the top six in runs scored and runs given up, and they play great defense. They also steal just enough bases to keep the opposing battery honest. The bigger test might be on the mound, where the Brewers don’t have a lot of playoff experience, but have had plenty of success this regular season. — Rogers
Record: 84-62
Previous ranking: 8
The Guardians have once again created a little separation and, as has been the case all season, Emmanuel Clase has been a big reason. Is it time to consider this the best season a closer has ever had? And maybe even that he’s a Cy Young candidate? Clase is 4-2 with 44 saves in 46 chances (and Cleveland won both games he blew a save) and a 0.67 ERA.
The best season from a modern closer is Eric Gagne in 2003, the last reliever to win the Cy Young. He was 2-4 with a 1.20 ERA and 55-for-55 in save chances. He held batters to a .374 OPS; Clase is at .403. Brad Lidge also had a perfect season for the Phillies in 2008 — 41-for-41, plus seven more in the playoffs as the Phillies won the World Series (although his ERA was 1.95). Dennis Eckersley and Mariano Rivera also had some great seasons. Clase is up there with this group and should finish high in the Cy Young voting. — Schoenfield
Record: 83-64
Previous ranking: 5
Barring an enormous collapse, the Orioles will reach the postseason for the second straight year. But they haven’t played like a postseason team over the past two-plus months. Since July 5, the Orioles are 27-32 — good for the 11th-best record in the AL. The offense isn’t clicking consistently, injuries have ravaged the starting rotation and Craig Kimbrel‘s downturn has destabilized the bullpen. And yet, the Orioles remain in contention for the AL East title. Time is still on their side to get back on track. But only for so long. — Castillo
Record: 82-65
Previous ranking: 6
It doesn’t seem as if Manny Machado has been a Padre that long. But he set the franchise’s home run record on Tuesday against the Mariners, hitting his 164th to move past Nate Colbert for first on the all-time list. It provides us with a good opportunity to take a big-picture look at Machado’s season. The All-Star third baseman struggled through the first couple of months in the wake of offseason elbow surgery, with a .241/.293/.361 slash line at the end of May. Since then, he’s slashing .297/.349/.541 with 21 home runs and 65 RBIs in 83 games. The team, unsurprisingly, has thrived. As Manny goes, so do the Padres. That has basically been the case since he arrived in San Diego six years ago. — Gonzalez
Record: 77-68
Previous ranking: 7
Wait, who is that newcomer DHing for the Astros? It’s Kyle Tucker, back from a three-month stay on the IL for what can only be described as a mystifying lower-body injury. The Astros were more than a little circumspect about revealing details about Tucker’s malady until it leaked that he fractured a shin bone. As of Tuesday, Tucker has yet to play consecutive days since his return and has not started a game on the field. When those streaks will end is unclear, and the Astros aren’t likely to tell us. What we do know is that for Houston to be at its best in October, it needs Tucker back in the fold. — Doolittle
Record: 82-64
Previous ranking: 9
Their rotation is finally whole, and the ace of the staff, Zac Gallen, has put together back-to-back scoreless outings. But the D-backs are still waiting on some key starters to get going. Eduardo Rodriguez, who didn’t debut until Aug. 7, has been charged with 13 runs (12 earned) on 19 hits in his last 13⅓ innings. Brandon Pfaadt has a 6.91 ERA over his past five starts. Ryne Nelson gave up five runs in 4⅔ innings against the Astros his last time out. And Merrill Kelly, who missed nearly four months with a shoulder strain, was pulled from his start Wednesday — in which he gave up three runs in four innings — with a hamstring cramp, though he’s not expected to miss his next outing. The D-backs would really love to see some more positive signs from their starters heading into October. — Gonzalez
Record: 80-67
Previous ranking: 12
The Royals again have shown themselves to be unusually resilient. Kansas City dropped seven in a row, a skid that started the September stretch run. Even worse, it lost one of its top RBI producers, Vinnie Pasquantino, to a thumb injury. Rather than going into a tailspin, the Royals reeled off four straight wins and swept a weekend series against division foe Minnesota.
General manager J.J. Picollo has been pushing the right buttons since last season ended and continued his hot streak with the late-August acquisitions of Tommy Pham, Robbie Grossman and Yuli Gurriel. The Royals have a number of personnel in prime awards positioning, but perhaps only one seemingly has an honor all but locked up. It’s hard to make a case for anyone but Picollo for Executive of the Year. — Doolittle
Record: 80-66
Previous ranking: 13
The Mets might look back to Wednesday’s victory as the key game to remember if they make the playoffs. Toronto’s Bowden Francis took a no-hitter into the ninth, leading 1-0, but Francisco Lindor led off the inning with a home run on an 0-2 meatball. The Mets then tacked on five more runs off the Toronto bullpen. The schedule isn’t easy the rest of the way — two series against the Phillies and a season-ending road trip to Atlanta and Milwaukee — but with 11 wins in their past 13 games, the Mets are still riding high as they battle the Braves. — Schoenfield
Record: 79-67
Previous ranking: 10
The Braves had one of their biggest wins of the season Sunday, when they tied the Blue Jays with a run in the bottom of the ninth and then won it 4-3 with two runs in the bottom of the 11th — on a bunt single, Toronto error, intentional walks and a walk-off fielder’s choice. But Atlanta followed that up with a 1-0 loss to the Reds, wasting a strong start from Charlie Morton as the offense registered just two hits. It may come down to those three games against the Mets the final week of the season in Atlanta. The season series is tied, so whoever wins that series will hold the all-important tiebreaker advantage as well. — Schoenfield
Record: 78-68
Previous ranking: 11
This season in Minnesota has been a story of overcoming injuries. But the Twins are running low on gas at the worst time. Still without Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa, they lost four straight games and six of seven before beating the Angels on Tuesday. Correa has been out since the All-Star break. Buxton has been on the IL since Aug. 15 with right hip inflammation — and exited a recent rehab game early with pain in the hip. The good news is that the pair is on track to return soon to fortify a club whose hold on a wild-card spot is loosening. The bad news is another setback could jeopardize the Twins’ status for the rest of the regular season and playoffs — if they manage to reach the postseason. — Castillo
Record: 75-71
Previous ranking: 14
First baseman Michael Busch is on his way to a solid rookie season that included a four-hit game this week against his former team, the Dodgers. Busch won’t be the top choice for Rookie of the Year among voters due to a deep rookie roster in the NL this year, but that doesn’t take away from what he’s accomplished. His 114 OPS+ at the plate is a good number, but the biggest steps he’s taken this year have actually come on defense. Busch could very well be the long-term option for the Cubs at first base, or a decent trade chip, considering his salary is in line for any team in the majors. — Rogers
Record: 75-71
Previous ranking: 16
Could the Tigers make a late push for a wild-card spot in the AL? They sure are making it interesting. They won their third straight game Tuesday, moving just three games back of the division-rival Twins for the final playoff spot. The Tigers operated in clear deal mode before the trade deadline, most notably parting with frontline starter Jack Flaherty. But they’re also 37-25 since the start of July, during which they have a plus-58 run differential. Tarik Skubal has continued to lead the charge, but their entire staff has a 3.32 ERA in that stretch — second only to the Astros for the major league lead. — Gonzalez
Record: 74-72
Previous ranking: 15
Rich Hill‘s return to the majors two weeks ago made for a neat story. It was his fourth stint with his hometown Red Sox, and at 44 years old, he was the oldest player in the majors in his 20th season. But the Red Sox, still hunting for wins in pursuit of the final AL wild-card spot, cut Hill loose after just four relief appearances. The left-hander allowed two runs over 3⅔ innings. He reportedly still wants to pitch. If he does sign with another club this season, however, he won’t be eligible to pitch in the playoffs. — Castillo
Record: 74-72
Previous ranking: 17
Cal Raleigh, as usual, rates among the MLB leaders in defensive value behind the plate. As usual, any offense he creates is gravy. And, as usual, he’s provided above-average production with his take-and-rake approach at the plate. Raleigh’s 30th homer tied the career high he set last season and allowed him to continue to climb the Seattle leaderboard for long balls by a catcher. Though he’s in just his third full season as Seattle’s primary backstop, Raleigh surpassed his current manager — Dan Wilson — with his 89th career homer for the Mariners. Only Mike Zunino (95) has more dingers for the franchise as a primary catcher. — Doolittle
Record: 73-72
Previous ranking: 18
St. Louis can squarely pin its woes this season on an offense that had another bad week, hitting .194 with just nine walks and 35 strikeouts. That showing dropped the team OPS below .700 for the year. Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado simply haven’t been as dangerous this season, with the latter player struggling to keep his OPS over .700. The Cardinals weren’t even this bad at the plate when they finished last in the division in 2023. They won’t come close to having a player hit 30 home runs this season. That’s a problem. — Rogers
Record: 72-74
Previous ranking: 19
The Giants will soon be eliminated from postseason contention, marking the seventh time in eight years that they’ll miss the playoffs. The 2024 season was supposed to be different. The likes of Blake Snell, Matt Chapman, Jorge Soler and Jung Hoo Lee were brought in, and Bob Melvin was poached from the division-rival Padres to be the new manager. But very little changed. Speaking to The Athletic recently, Melvin, a Bay Area native, said: “This is everything I’ve dreamed of coming in here. And for it not to go well — and my expectation was that it would go well — makes it probably the hardest year I’ve had.” — Gonzalez
Record: 71-75
Previous ranking: 20
Before Tuesday, Edwin Uceta was just another under-the-radar example of the Rays’ ability to transform journeyman pitchers into run prevention weapons. The right-hander had a 0.75 ERA, holding opponents to a .391 OPS, in 24 outings this year after pitching for three teams over the past three seasons. Then he plunked Nick Castellanos with a first-pitch fastball after giving up three runs in ⅓ of an inning to the Phillies, doubling his ERA. Philly, understandably, wasn’t happy with Uceta, even though the pitcher later said he didn’t do it on purpose. Benches cleared. Bryce Harper had some choice words. Uceta was ejected — and handed a three-game suspension on Wednesday — and the Rays lost. — Castillo
Record: 70-76
Previous ranking: 23
All season, we wondered what the Texas rotation would look like as October approached. The answer looks like it’s going to be both remarkable and bittersweet. The remarkable part is that with top prospect Kumar Rocker due to make his big-league debut, he’ll join a rotation with fellow rookie (and college teammate) Jack Leiter, future Hall of Famer Max Scherzer (slated to start Saturday), two-time Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom (starting on Friday) and two-time world champion Nathan Eovaldi. With Scherzer and Eovaldi likely headed to free agency, it may not be a configuration we see anymore. But someday, history snoops may pull up the Baseball Reference page of the 2024 Rangers and say, “These guys were all in the same rotation at the same time?” The bittersweet part of it: This is happening after Texas’ defense of its first title is all but over. — Doolittle
Record: 71-76
Previous ranking: 22
Righty Nick Martinez has quietly put together a good year in his first season with the Reds. He’s appeared as a reliever and starter — though he’s probably better suited out of the pen. That ability to go back and forth has always been an underrated aspect in the game as it takes a healthy attitude — and arm — to be able to do both. Martinez has provided everything the Reds could have asked, both on and off the field. There will be interest in him if he opts out of his deal. — Rogers
Record: 69-78
Previous ranking: 21
The Blue Jays’ focus since punting on the season at the trade deadline has been about evaluating players for the future. Spencer Horwitz figures, in some way, to be part of that future. The 26-year-old rookie has been a revelation since getting called up to the majors in early June, slashing .277/.362/.471 with 12 home runs in 83 games split between second base, first base and designated hitter. He ranks second on the club in batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage — all behind All-Star Vladimir Guerrero Jr. They are the only two qualified Blue Jays with an OPS above .830. On Saturday, Horwitz notched his first career four-hit game and his first with three extra-base hits while clubbing two home runs. His emergence is one of the few positives in a dismal season for Toronto. — Castillo
Record: 70-76
Previous ranking: 24
The Pirates decision to keep Derek Shelton as their manager next season despite a second-half swoon is probably a good one, as they’ve played to their talent level. That doesn’t mean there won’t be pressure in Pittsburgh early next season considering the team will have one of the best pitchers on the mound from Day 1. Building around Paul Skenes should be the Pirates’ No.1 goal. He can carry a franchise but can’t do it all by himself. A free agent bat would go a long way to signaling they’re very much interested in winning sooner rather than later. — Rogers
Record: 64-82
Previous ranking: 25
The Athletics find diamonds in the rough as well as any team, perhaps as much out of necessity as anything else. One of this season’s discoveries was 28-year-old righty Osvaldo Bido, who they picked up as a minor-league free agent last winter. Bido was placed on the IL this week with a wrist problem that will likely end his late-blooming rookie season that was an unqualified success. Bido logged 63⅓ innings between the bullpen and nine starts, finishing 5-3 with a 3.41 ERA. He struck out about a batter per inning but flourished by inducing soft contact which led to a .252 BABIP and .192 opponent average. Replacing him on the roster is lefty prospect Brady Basso. — Doolittle
Record: 65-80
Previous ranking: 26
One thing for Nationals fans to look forward to: They’ll have money to spend in the offseason. While they still owe Stephen Strasburg $35 million for three more seasons, Patrick Corbin ($35 million) and Trevor Williams ($7 million) come off the payroll as free agents (Joey Gallo‘s option also won’t be picked up). That’s aside from whether the Nationals increase their overall payroll as well. Finding a right-handed starter in free agency to go with Jake Irvin and all the lefties makes sense. The outfield may be set with Dylan Crews, James Wood and Jacob Young, but they are one of the teams who, in theory, could feasibly go after Juan Soto. Upgrading first and third base will also be main priorities. — Schoenfield
Record: 60-86
Previous ranking: 27
We recently speculated about potential call-ups for the last-place Angels — and one of them came to fruition. Twenty-year-old righty Caden Dana was summoned and made his first two big-league starts last week. The first outing was solid: six innings and two runs allowed against the punchless Mariners. The second was not as good, as he gave up five runs and three homers while facing just 11 batters against Texas. Still, it’s remarkable that Dana is in the majors. According to Fangraphs, he is just the eighth Angels pitcher to make at least two starts in his age-20 season or earlier. Topping the list is Frank Tanana (39 starts), Mike Witt (21) and Rudy May (19). — Doolittle
Record: 54-92
Previous ranking: 28
One guy getting a chance to play down the stretch is first baseman/third baseman Jonah Bride. He’s 28 years old and struggled in two chances with the A’s in 2022 (hitting .204 in 187 plate appearances) and 2023 (hitting .170 in 106 PAs). He’s always hit in the minors — .342 in 2022, .305 in 2023 and, while he hit just .267 in Triple-A this season, he posted a .409 OBP with more walks than strikeouts. He doesn’t have the power you would prefer from a corner infielder, but he’s been getting on base with the Marlins — something they’ve lacked in the lineup in recent years. — Schoenfield
Record: 54-92
Previous ranking: 29
The Rockies faced a really good Brewers lineup over the weekend and held their own, with Ryan Feltner and Kyle Freeland in particular pitching very well. But then they went to Detroit and allowed 11 runs on Tuesday, absorbing their 91st loss of the season. So it goes. If the Rockies hope to avoid a second straight 100-loss season, they’ll have to win at least nine of their final 16 games. It’s a modest goal, but it certainly won’t be easy. Four of their five remaining series will come against teams that are still realistically in the playoff mix, including two of them against the first-place Dodgers. — Gonzalez
Record: 33-114
Previous ranking: 30
Chicago has continued to use this season to debut pitchers, with the latest righty Sean Burke, a third-round pick from 2021. He threw 53 pitches in relief against the Guardians on Tuesday, giving up an unearned run on three hits while striking out three over three innings. The outing earned him a start in his next time out, joining young players such as Jonathan Cannon, Nick Nastrini, Davis Martin and, of course, Garrett Crochet as relievers getting their feet wet as starters this year. The White Sox also hosted 2024 first-round pick, Hagen Smith, earlier this week at Guaranteed Rate Field. Their pitching infrastructure is the lone bright spot in an otherwise miserable season. — Rogers
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Logano insists playoff format is ‘very entertaining’
Published
2 hours agoon
January 30, 2025By
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Associated Press
Jan 30, 2025, 11:06 AM ET
Joey Logano has found a way to tune out months of negativity.
Critics? Naysayers? Anyone who thinks his third Cup Series championship was a fluke?
“I can’t hear it because my trophies, they kind of, like, echo around me,” Logano quipped during a videoconference call with media Wednesday.
Logano won his third title in November, sparking debate about whether NASCAR’s current playoff format is the best way to determine the series’ worthiest champion. Few could make a strong case for that being Logano in 2024.
He won four races, had 13 top-10 finishes and rarely had the car to beat over 37 events.
He got huge breaks along the way, too. He used what amounted to a Hail Mary to win in Nashville — stretching his empty fuel tank through five overtimes — just to qualify for the postseason. And then he was actually eliminated from playoff contention in the second round only to be reinstated when Alex Bowman’s car failed a postrace inspection.
While competitors have since called for NASCAR to tweak its playoff format, with some wanting to move the finale to a different track every year instead of keeping it at Phoenix Raceway, Logano — not surprisingly — believes the setup is just fine.
“The playoff system is very entertaining,” he said, adding that teams often get hot in other sports and win it all. “It takes a lot to get through the 10 races to win the championship. … When the playoffs start, a lot of times you see teams that fire up.
“And we’ve been one of those teams, thankfully, and it’s worked out for us three times. But I don’t think that means you have to change the playoff system.”
NASCAR said earlier this week that no tweaks would be made to the championship format in 2025. Instead, officials plan to study it for another year before making any decisions. That won’t stop drivers from stumping for a makeover.
“I think it deserves a look for sure and probably a change down the road,” Hendrick Motorsports driver William Byron said. “I just don’t know what that change is. I feel like we’ve just gotten into such a routine of going to the same racetrack for the final race, and having similar tracks that lead up to it has gotten a little bit predictable. But you could say probably the same thing in other sports, with the [Kansas City] Chiefs hosting the AFC championship every year.
“It’s just kind of the nature of sports, probably; it gets a little bit repetitive. But it’d be nice to see the final race to move around.”
Team Penske has won the last three Cup Series titles, with Logano sandwiching championships around teammate Ryan Blaney. All of those came in Phoenix, where the finale landed in 2020 after nearly two decades at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
NASCAR has made wholesale changes to its schedule in recent years, including moving the season-opening Clash and the all-atar race.
The Clash bounced from Daytona International Speedway to the Los Angeles Coliseum and is now headed to historic Bowman Gray Stadium in Winston-Salem, North Carolina, for Sunday’s exhibition.
The all-star race went from North Carolina to Tennessee to Texas before landing back in North Carolina.
No one would be surprised to see the finale end up with similar movement.
“We have some tracks that could be awesome for the championship, like Vegas and Homestead and even Charlotte,” Byron said. “Just being open to all the different ideas would probably be cool and bring some buzz and also just kind of even the competition out.”
With no changes in sight for now, Logano, 34, can focus on a fourth championship. He’s one of six drivers with three Cup titles and needs another to join Jeff Gordon (4), Dale Earnhardt (7), Jimmie Johnson (7) and Richard Petty (7) as the only guys with at least four.
“Probably not until I’m done racing will I be content with what I have because I’m not done yet,” Logano said. “I got a lot of years ahead of me to win more championships and races.
“As great as it is, the first 20 minutes is amazing because you’re celebrating with your team and your family. And then every day [after] it becomes a little less exciting and more thoughts of, ‘We got to do it again.'”
Another one surely would do a lot to drown out those detractors.
Sports
How the Rantanen blockbuster happened, what’s next for Avs, Canes, other contenders
Published
8 hours agoon
January 30, 2025By
admin-
Greg WyshynskiJan 30, 2025, 07:00 AM ET
Close- Greg Wyshynski is ESPN’s senior NHL writer.
Mikko Rantanen has been a member of the Carolina Hurricanes for nearly a week, but it’s going to take a bit longer than that for the shock to subside.
Carolina stunned the NHL last Friday night by acquiring Rantanen from the Colorado Avalanche in a three-way deal that also sent Chicago Blackhawks winger Taylor Hall to the Hurricanes. Entering Wednesday night, Rantanen was tied for sixth in the NHL in scoring (65 points). Since the 2021-22 season, the 28-year-old winger was fifth with 365 points in 286 games, including back-to-back 100-point seasons.
The NHL simply does not see this level of offensive superstar traded within the regular season; nor does it see teams with designs on the Stanley Cup move on from foundational core players like Colorado did with Rantanen. But his contract demands, as a pending unrestricted free agent, created a significant impasse with the Avalanche, with whom he had played for 10 seasons.
Rantanen told ESPN on Tuesday that he still hasn’t reached out to all the Avalanche teammates he wants to connect with. Both teams were right back in action in the aftermath of the trade, and Rantanen has been in a personal hurricane of reorienting his new life in Raleigh.
He knows players like Nathan MacKinnon have expressed their disappointment in seeing him traded. The feeling is mutual.
“I thought it was going to be an extension for sure. I can’t lie about that,” Rantanen said. “It was surprising because there was still some time to the deadline. I totally understand they didn’t want to lose me for free. But it surprised me for sure. I didn’t expect it at all.”
Nor did the rest of the NHL, which is still processing one of the biggest blockbusters of the last decade. We spoke with several NHL executives, agents and players to get a sense of the trade’s magnitude and the fallout that could impact more than just the teams involved.
Is this the right gamble for Carolina?
The Hurricanes were in New York when the Rantanen trade went down, with a game against the Islanders on the following evening. The players were at dinner when the news broke about Hall and then Rantanen. The tone and tenor of the meal quickly changed.
“We didn’t know who was going the other way. We all tried to figure out who it was,” center Jesperi Kotkaniemi said.
Kotkaniemi started getting texts from Finnish friends. “They’re really pumped in Finland. They’re able to watch the two best players now on the same team. So what could be better for them?” he said of Rantanen and center Sebastian Aho.
But then something else happened on social media: It was erroneously reported that Kotkaniemi himself would be sent to the Avalanche in the Rantanen trade.
On the surface, it made sense: He’s a 24-year-old forward signed through 2029-30 at a reasonable cap hit ($4.82 million annually), but he was never part of the package for Rantanen. Still, his name was out there long enough for another wave of text messages to roll in about his own future, which made the situation a bit more intense for him.
“It was a very hectic 15 minutes there,” he said.
It’s been a hectic few weeks for Eric Tulsky, in his first season as Hurricanes general manager. The league was buzzing about Carolina being active in the trade market. Sources told ESPN that the Hurricanes and Vancouver Canucks had engaged in negotiations about forwards Elias Pettersson and J.T. Miller. The players’ longstanding feud had finally reached a boiling point, and Vancouver was seeking to ship one or both of them out before the March 7 trade deadline.
Kotkaniemi and forward Jack Roslovic were discussed in the framework of a Miller trade. Martin Necas wasn’t on the table for Miller, but might have been part of a deal for Pettersson.
Meanwhile, Carolina was also engaged in talks with the Avalanche for Rantanen, ones that tracked back to last summer.
Tulsky said last week that there was a desire for all parties to “get their best offers on the table” so the Hurricanes could decide which player to pursue. “Everybody had multiple offers. It was sort of time for everyone to figure out what they wanted to do, and this deal got done,” he said. “It was a complicated dance.”
When the music stopped, Rantanen and Hall were members of the Hurricanes.
The Avalanche picked up Carolina forwards Necas and Jack Drury, as well as a second-round pick in this year’s draft and a fourth-rounder in 2026. Chicago acquired its 2025 third-rounder from Carolina for Hall, the rights to Swedish forward Nils Juntorp and 50% retention of Rantanen’s $9.25 million salary cap hit. The Hurricanes ended up with Hall, a former Hart Trophy winner as league MVP, and Rantanen.
“Obviously, Carolina has been coveting a superstar and this is the way to get one,” one agent said.
NHL executives were impressed with the boldness of the swing from Carolina.
“Good for them. Risk and reward,” a general manager said. “They’re giving up controllable assets for someone that you’re not sure you can control. But they have the cap space to sign him. He’s a great player who makes them a better team.”
The executives we spoke with downplayed the notion that the Hurricanes might have started an “arms race” in the Eastern Conference among contenders. One general manager said that most teams have their own plans in mind for the NHL trade deadline for specific needs that won’t be torn up because a rival made a blockbuster trade.
There were virtues to all three players the Hurricanes were considering. Miller and Pettersson were both signed with lengthy term. Miller seemed cut from a Rod Brind’Amour mold as a great, two-way player who’s difficult to play against. (Depending on who you believe, he’s also a bit difficult to play with as a teammate.) Pettersson has been underwhelming this season, but has incredible upside as a star offensive. In 2022-23, he had 103 points in 80 games for Vancouver.
But Rantanen’s combination of size, skill and offensive consistency was too much for the Hurricanes to pass up. Especially when one considers his Stanley Cup Playoff success: Since 2019-20, Rantanen is fifth in postseason scoring, with 83 points in 63 games, including 28 goals.
Carolina has made the playoffs for six straight seasons, each time not producing enough offense to advance out of the conference. In that span, the Hurricanes have a .486 winning percentage in one-goal games.
The downside to acquiring Rantanen, potentially: They currently don’t know if he’ll be one-and-done in Raleigh, a superstar rental for a team that’s yet to play for the Stanley Cup with Brind’Amour as their coach.
“Carolina will look stupid if they lose in the first round and he walks away to another team,” an agent said. “But I think they’re going to sign him. I think he’ll like it there.”
Did Colorado make the right call?
Nathan MacKinnon was already in a mood after the Avalanche lost to the Boston Bruins last Saturday.
“I wish I could have talked about this not right now,” he said.
But this was the first opportunity for the media to ask Colorado’s star center about losing his linemate and close friend Mikko Rantanen.
“Just sad, obviously. Losing Mikko … really great friend for 10 years. Won a Cup together. I don’t really know what happened,” he said. “It’s just unfortunate losing a great friend and a great teammate.”
Rantanen was seeking a contract in the neighborhood of the eight-year extension Leon Draisaitl signed with the Edmonton Oilers in September. That deal carries an average annual value of $14 million. Both Rantanen and Draisaitl are represented by agent Andy Scott.
The winger has said he was willing to take less than market value to remain in Colorado, but it’s unclear what that number actually looked like with regard to market value.
MacKinnon tried to stay out of Rantanen’s business on a new contract. The ticking clock didn’t bother him. He assumed it would play out much like Gabriel Landeskog‘s negotiations with the team did back in 2021, when the latter signed an eight-year, $56 million extension hours before free agency. But MacKinnon was wrong.
“I never thought in a million years he’d leave. It just sucks,” he said.
But Rantanen’s departure was something the Avalanche and GM Chris MacFarland believed was a possibility. The Avalanche and Hurricanes had been discussing Rantanen since last summer. Tulsky said the teams tabled “serious offers” for the winger during the past six to eight weeks. The Hurricanes were pushing hard to complete the trade in the past two weeks.
Others around the league knew it was a possibility too.
“I wasn’t surprised. For me, it wasn’t a secret,” a GM said. “The potential was there because of their situation — that he can’t go over MacKinnon [in AAV] or whatever. And I know that Carolina wasn’t the only team they were speaking with about Rantanen.”
MacKinnon makes $12.6 million against the salary cap on a deal that runs through 2030-31. Before signing that deal in Sept. 2022, he talked about taking less than market value — on a contract that made him the highest paid player in the league at the time — in order to “win with the group.” It’s the same mindset exhibited by his friend and mentor Sidney Crosby with the Pittsburgh Penguins over Crosby’s career.
But the contract that really influenced the Rantanen deal was one that hasn’t been signed yet: Cale Makar‘s next deal, which will begin in 2027-28. Considered by some to be the best offensive defenseman since Bobby Orr, Makar could earn the largest NHL contract for a defenseman ever.
“I think they made a decision that you can have two players but not three players making more than $12 million per season,” an agent said. “They knew, ballpark, the number for Cale Makar. So their decision was, ‘We can have two, but not three. Who do we keep?'”
So MacFarland had a choice to make: Top-load his roster with three star players gobbling up a large percentage of the salary cap or break up their holy hockey trinity. MacFarland made it clear that in doing the latter, he was acknowledging the team didn’t have championship depth and needed the flexibility to get it back.
“It’s clear we are not deep enough. I think that you’ve got to be deep to go four rounds, and hopefully this is going to help that,” MacFarland said. “Obviously Mikko is a superstar. You can’t replace that. But he’s a superstar that earned the right to be a free agent.”
One agent was skeptical of the negotiation: “I don’t feel they ever really were interested in signing him.”
Another agent felt the Avalanche did what they had to do. “It was the right trade for Colorado, because they couldn’t afford to pay Rantanen what he wanted within the context of their salary structure. He didn’t have full trade protection, so good move by them to trade him,” they said.
Mikko Rantanen nets goal for Avalanche
Mikko Rantanen nets goal for Avalanche
MacFarland called it “a tough business decision” for the team. “It hurts, right. He’s a homegrown talent. He’s a superstar person. He’s a superstar human being,” he said.
Of course, there are other “business decisions” to think about in Denver or any NHL market.
“There’s an argument to be made that keeping Rantanen makes sense because you’re selling tickets. It doesn’t really matter ultimately if you win the Cup, but you have to be good every year. That guy is going to allow you to make the playoffs every year,” another general manager said. “But I could also make the argument that winning the Cup trumps everything else, and that winning it buys you a few seasons of a steady revenue stream no matter what your success is in those seasons.”
MacFarland has made it clear that teams usually have to draft and develop players like Rantanen. “We’re going to have to try and replace him in the aggregate; 50-goal scorers don’t grow on trees,” he said.
But what if he could be replaced?
“You could make the argument that Rantanen is a unicorn, and that you’re not finding another player like that,” a general manager said. “That said, what’s your opportunity cost? Could you find another 100-point winger like that? What could you trade to find that?”
One agent believes the Avalanche could find that player because of MacKinnon.
“Something no one seems to be discussing: I think the Avalanche believe that MacKinnon was a big part of Rantanen’s success, and that they would be able to put another guy with MacKinnon, pay him less and have comparable success,” they said.
Right now that player is Necas, who was immediately placed with MacKinnon after the trade. The speedy winger led the Hurricanes in scoring this season and has another year on his contract at $6.5 million AAV.
MacFarland said it was important to have Necas and Drury, an “emerging player” down the lineup, under contract and “cost-controlled” beyond this season. He said the trade would allow the Avalanche to potentially make more moves before the March 7 deadline. Many sources are wondering if the Avalanche would target a center to play behind MacKinnon, with players like the Islanders’ Brock Nelson in the conversation.
“I think we’re always sort of looking to get better. Certainly, over the next few weeks that won’t change. I think obviously there are a little more bullets in the draft-pick cupboard and some cap space,” MacFarland said.
But no Mikko Rantanen any longer.
‘What is Chicago doing?’
The Blackhawks’ role in the Rantanen trade had observers around the NHL baffled.
“What the f— is Chicago doing?” one NHL executive asked.
The Blackhawks retained half of Rantanen’s salary and cap hit, while also trading Hall to the Hurricanes. For that, they received their own 2025 third-round draft pick that Carolina had acquired from Chicago at the 2024 draft.
In recent trades, a third-party team retaining 25% of a player’s salary to facilitate a transaction has typically received a fourth-round pick. Chicago retaining that much cap space ($4.625 million) for 50% of a player’s salary and including a veteran forward with Hall’s abilities in a deal for only one third-round pick in return left many criticizing the return for the Blackhawks. But NHL insiders acknowledge there may have been some method to Chicago’s perceived madness.
One aspect of the trade that hasn’t gotten a lot of attention is the actual salaries for Rantanen and Hall this season. Rantanen’s contract has a declining real-dollar value to where he was making only $6 million this season after having a base salary of $12 million in the first two years of the deal. Hall made $5.25 million this season. As one general manager noted, from a base salary perspective, the Blackhawks are paying slightly more for the rest of Rantanen’s contract than they would have if Hall finished the season with them.
“Essentially, Chicago was asked to sell a little cap space with the money being the same. They get a third for Hall — which to me is a little low — but effectively that’s what they’re doing,” one general manager said.
Davidson said that trading Hall was the logical move now because things frankly weren’t going to get better for him in Chicago leading up to the trade deadline. “You run the risk of things like injury, the role was diminishing almost by the game, and it just wasn’t heading towards a way that was going to maximize or enhance value,” he said.
As one NHL agent put it: “I know Kyle Davidson’s taking a lot of heat, but I don’t think he probably was going to get much better for Taylor Hall than what he got.”
There’s no question it hasn’t been the happiest season for Hall in Chicago. Former head coach Luke Richardson surprised him by making him a healthy scratch earlier this season. He had nine goals in 46 games. One NHL executive suggested that moving Hall out now could benefit the vibes inside Chicago’s dressing room.
But moving him out now also means not having to use Chicago’s last salary retention spot to move him later, which Davidson would undoubtedly have to do to make a trade work at the deadline. Now that slot is available for another deadline trade involving a player like forward Ryan Donato ($2 million AAV) or defenseman Alec Martinez ($4 million AAV), both of whom are unrestricted free agents after the season; or a more coveted player in forward Jason Dickinson, who has two years left at $4.25 million AAV.
Will Carolina sign Rantanen?
The Hurricanes now have the chance to do something no other team can do for Rantanen this offseason: Give him an eight-year contract. Per the NHL Collective Bargaining Agreement, everyone else can only go as high as seven years.
“Where is he going to go for seven years instead of the eight that Carolina can give him? If they’re willing to go eight years and $13 million annually, where else would he want to go that’s good that can afford him?” one agent pondered.
Rantanen told me that the Hurricanes’ ability to give him an eighth year will be a factor in his eventual free-agent decision. But those negotiations are a ways off. He’s got other things to think about now.
“To be honest, I haven’t had any chance to think about an extension, just trying to get into the group and try to play well,” he said. “So I think we’ll have to think about those situations in a couple weeks or so.”
What’s been interesting in chatting with sources about Rantanen and the Hurricanes is that the money doesn’t seem to be a concern. Owner Tom Dundon is infamous for his tough negotiations on contracts for everyone from players to his own coaches. But the assumption is that the Hurricanes had a ballpark idea of what Rantanen is looking for on his next contract and were comfortable going there in negotiations.
Obviously, the Hurricanes faced a similar situation when they traded for Pittsburgh Penguins winger Jake Guentzel at the deadline last season and attempted to sign him to an extension, only to see the Tampa Bay Lightning ink him instead.
But Tulsky said the conditions are more favorable to keep Rantanen than they were for retaining Guentzel. Last season, the Hurricanes didn’t have the cap flexibility to sign Guentzel and the other players they wanted. This offseason, Tulsky estimates the team could have between $35 million to $40 million in cap space.
“Our team situation is totally different right now,” he said. “We don’t feel nearly as constrained.”
So if it’s not the money and it’s not the percentage of the salary cap, what is the make-or-break thing for Rantanen staying with the Hurricanes?
“I think they will ultimately sign him, unless he absolutely hates it there,” one agent concluded.
Tulsky admitted that the Hurricanes’ current approach to Rantanen is “more of a recruiting pitch than a negotiation in my mind.” They have to sell him on the franchise, the system, the players on the roster and on the way and, most of all, spending the next eight years of his life in Raleigh.
Sebastian Aho has not affixed “Ambassador” to his name, but it might as well be there. He’s been a friend and Finnish national team teammate for Rantanen throughout their lives. Aho has starred with Carolina since 2016-17. No one on the Hurricanes is better equipped to sell Rantanen on Raleigh and the franchise.
“I guess it’s just about making him feel comfortable, making him feel welcome. I think that goes a long way,” Aho said. “But obviously if he wants to go play a round of golf, I’m not saying no to that.”
What if Rantanen goes to market?
There isn’t yet certainty on the NHL’s salary cap in the near term. Some projections have it jumping from $88 million to upwards of $97 million next season. From there, the sky’s the limit.
One agent said that as the salary cap rises, some teams will claim they have an internal cap that only allows them to offer so much money to players. But after one or two huge contracts are handed out that elevate teams to the new ceiling, that dogma will go out the window.
“Competitiveness is going to kick in. GMs and owners are going to decide that they need to spend more to stay competitive,” the agent said.
The opportunity has never been greater for a player like Rantanen to maximize his earning potential on the open market. Leon Draisaitl’s contract with the Oilers was $112 million over eight years, or $14 million AAV.
“I think he’ll get Draisaitl-like money as a UFA,” one agent predicted.
“There are probably some good teams that might be willing to go seven years at $14 million annually to get him,” another said.
Draisaitl’s contract is one factor, but there’s another winger potentially going to market this summer seeking a big contract: Mitch Marner of the Toronto Maple Leafs, who is in the last year of a six-year contract with a $10.903 million AAV.
As far as possible suitors, two of the NHL’s richest franchises come to mind:
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The New York Rangers continue to aggressively try to reshape their roster. They nearly completed a trade for Miller with the Canucks in recent weeks, with center Filip Chytil as the centerpiece. But salary retention and draft pick conditions were reported sticking points. If they’re able to create the necessary space — moving out a veteran like Chris Kreider or Mika Zibanejad — Rantanen is the kind of shiny new toy the franchise finds hard to resist. Consider also that winger Artemi Panarin will be in the last year of his contract in 2025-26 at an $11,642,857 AAV.
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The other team is already paying part of Rantanen’s salary: The Chicago Blackhawks. They’re expected to be in on every player they can this offseason in an attempt to quickly build a contender around young star Connor Bedard. The 19-year-old phenom has shown some discontent at dwelling in the Central Division cellar in the first two seasons of his NHL career. Putting a top five scorer like Rantanen on his wing would certainly put a smile on his face. Needless to say, Chicago has the money and the cap space to attempt it — if not the competitive team that Rantanen might be compelled to join.
Then there’s a wild card played recently by insider Andy Strickland, who is the rinkside reporter for the St. Louis Blues on FanDuel Sports Network. On his “Cam & Stick” podcast, Strickland said Rantanen will sign with the Edmonton Oilers this summer.
“They’re going to be able to pay him and I think there would be some interest from him,” he said, noting that Draisaitl and Rantanen share an agent. Strickland said the acquisition of Rantanen would also be an enticement for star Connor McDavid to re-sign, as he becomes an unrestricted free agent in summer 2026.
The magnitude of this trade, and the star quality of the player, lend themselves to this kind of speculation. The Hurricanes have some advantages in seeking to keep Rantanen. But they won’t be alone if he tests the market.
“Assuming he doesn’t hate the system and the environment there, I think he signs with Carolina,” one agent said. “If he doesn’t care where he plays, all bets are off.”
Sports
Sources: IF Kim, Rays agree to 2-year, $29M deal
Published
23 hours agoon
January 29, 2025By
adminInfielder Ha-Seong Kim and the Tampa Bay Rays are in agreement on a two-year, $29 million contract that includes an opt-out after the first season, sources told ESPN, adding a Gold Glove winner to a Rays team that places significant emphasis on defense.
Kim, 29, who is expected to return from shoulder surgery in May, likely will start at shortstop but also has played second and third base, with his Gold Glove coming in a utility role.
The deal, which will pay Kim $13 million this season, is the most Tampa Bay has guaranteed in free agency for a position player since signing outfielder Greg Vaughn for four years and $34 million in 1999.
Before the partial tear of his right labrum required surgery, Kim was expected to land a free agent deal in the nine-figure range. With his opt-out, he can join a free agent class next year that’s thin on infielders, with shortstop Bo Bichette and second baseman Luis Arraez the only players of Kim’s caliber.
He arrived from Korea in 2021, signing with the San Diego Padres as a bat-first middle infielder. While the power Kim displayed in Korea didn’t show up as frequently as it did with the Kiwoom Heroes, his glove was a revelation, and in four seasons with the Padres, he posted double-digit wins above replacement despite never slugging above .400.
Tampa Bay enters the 2025 season with playoff aspirations but had been relatively quiet over the winter, signing catcher Danny Jansen and trading left-hander Jeffrey Springs to Oakland. The Rays used Jose Caballero and Taylor Walls at shortstop last season and are expected to do the same this year before the return of Kim.
Their infield already was a strength, with first baseman Yandy Diaz, second baseman Brandon Lowe and star-in-the-making Junior Caminero at third, with Christopher Morel, Curtis Mead, Jonathan Aranda and Richie Palacios also capable to playing on the dirt.
Shortstop Wander Franco, who was expected to be the Rays’ long-term solution at the position after signing an 11-year deal, remains on the restricted list while facing charges in the Dominican Republic of sexual abuse, sexual exploitation against a minor and human trafficking.
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