After blowout loss to Texas A&M, Billy Napier’s time at Florida is running out
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Chris Low, ESPN Senior Writer
GAINESVILLE, Fla. — Tom Petty’s “Runnin’ Down a Dream” played in the background Saturday night at a long since emptied and rain-soaked Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
But as embattled Florida coach Billy Napier walked toward the locker room following yet another listless double-digit loss at home, this one a 33-20 beating by a Texas A&M team playing a backup freshman quarterback, even Petty couldn’t drown out the boos. Napier briefly shook hands with interim university president Kent Fuchs, who was waiting under the goalpost, and then Napier disappeared underneath the stands as frustrated fans yelled down what an increasing number of Florida fans, some with high financial stakes in the program, are now saying out loud.
“Fire him!” one woman screamed amid the boos.
In his news conference after the game, Napier took responsibility for how poorly his team (1-2) has played this season and said there are no excuses.
“I don’t blame them …” Napier said of the fans booing. “I mean, ultimately when you play a certain way in this arena, you’re going to be criticized. This is one of those places where there’s history and tradition and expectations. There’s been a lot of really good football teams that played in that stadium in the past. When you play ugly ball and maybe it doesn’t look quite like we all want it to, then, hey, it comes with the territory.
“So I probably would’ve done the same thing, truth be known.”
The other sad truth for Napier is that his already tenuous Florida coaching career is now hanging by a thread. You could see it on his face and the faces of his players and even the face of athletic director Scott Stricklin as he sat quietly in the back of the room during Napier’s news conference.
Napier has worked tirelessly to return Florida to national relevance. He’s created a healthy culture within the locker room, treated people the right way and gone about his business in such a way that it’s impossible not to like the guy.
What he hasn’t done is win enough games or show tangible proof that the program is headed in a championship direction, which is the standard at Florida. Napier is now 6-11 against SEC opponents. The Gators have lost seven straight games to Power 4 opponents, with four of those losses coming at home. A losing season would be his third in a row and the program’s fourth straight. (Napier’s buyout would be roughly $26 million and sources told ESPN that high-ranking boosters have gathered the money to fund it.)
The home woes are particularly frustrating for Florida fans, many of whom didn’t come back following a 47-minute lightning delay at the end of the first quarter. Texas A&M jumped to a 20-0 lead at the half, and by the start of the fourth quarter, the Swamp was less than half full. Napier has now lost six home games in a little more than two seasons. Steve Spurrier, who coined the “Swamp” nickname, was 68-5 at home in his career. Urban Meyer was 35-5.
“I think there’s been a ton of progress made,” Napier said. “I think my frustrations are with how we played two out of the last three weeks. That’s what my frustration is. I think we’ve done a lot of good in terms of behind the walls and just the organization as a whole. I truly believe that, and I think most people that have familiarity withour program would say that.
“So we’re not getting the result on the field right now that we want, but ultimately that’s how you’re judged to some degree in this arena. So it comes with the territory.”
Whether or not the decision-makers at Florida agree is up for serious debate. Stricklin said on the Paul Finebaum Show prior to the opener against Miami, a 41-17 beatdown, that he believes Napier will be Florida’s coach for a “long, long time.”
Stricklin added that Florida had been patient as a university.
“I think that patience will be rewarded,” he said.
Patience in college football can be fickle, especially when a team looks so ill-equipped to compete against the best teams. Keep in mind that Texas A&M had a quarterback making his first career start for a first-year coach in Mike Elko. The Aggies also entered the game having lost nine straight true road games to SEC foes, their last win coming nearly three years ago.
And yet, Texas A&M rushed for 310 yards — something Napier called “disgusting and ultimately my responsibility” — and held Florida to 52 yards on the ground. At one point in the first half, the Aggies had 203 yards in total offense to the Gators’ minus-7. Florida missed tackles on defense and repeatedly struggled to stop Texas A&M on key third downs.
Napier was roundly booed as he exited the field at halftime, and boos also rang out when a video of him doing a public service announcement was shown on the big screen a few minutes earlier.
He’s not naïve and neither are his players. They know how restless the fans are now and most of the attention on the outside will be devoted to how much longer can Napier make it. None of his three predecessors (Dan Mullen, Jim McElwain and Will Muschamp) lasted four full seasons before being fired.
Quarterback Graham Mertz said Napier broke the team down in the locker room and told the players these last two losses were all on him.
“We’re all like, ‘Nah, coach, it’s up to us. We’re not doing our jobs,'” Mertz recounted. “I think it just speaks to the amount of accountability that has grown with us over the year. Everybody knows that we can all do our jobs better. … We’re all in this thing together.”
Mertz, who started and rotated at quarterback with freshman DJ Lagway, added: “There’s no coach I’d rather play for.”
Napier understands the negativity that has engulfed the program outside the locker room and that his precarious future will dominate the airwaves and message boards.
“The No. 1 thing that’s critical for this group is that they stick together, right?” Napier said. “Because ultimately that’s what they’ll have 25 years from now. They’re going to have those relationships with their teammates. It’s critical regardless of how negative it may be and will be outside. … We may not be able to control what people say about us on the outside, but we can control what we do on the inside, the words we speak, the actions that we take, our attitude, our effort, our approach. And that will be the challenge, right? Can we do that and can we improve?”
It’s no secret that Florida’s schedule only gets more daunting. It travels to Mississippi State next week, then gets a bye and faces UCF at home on Oct. 5. Five of the Gators last seven games are against nationally ranked teams, including Tennessee, Georgia, Texas and Ole Miss, all of whom entered Week 3 in the AP top 10.
Will Napier make it to that final stretch? Again, patience in college football is about as abundant as icy cold water in a swamp. And patience in this particular Swamp is all but gone.
Regardless of how it shakes out, Napier said his focus won’t change.
“The biggest challenge in leadership, I think, is trying to put your ego on the shelf a little bit and try to make decisions that reflect that,” Napier said. “Look, for me, all my decisions are about stewarding the people that have been entrusted to — the players, your staff members. That’s probably what I struggle with the most. When we don’t play well, what can I do to help those young people in that locker room? Because I’ve seen them work their tails off since January, and you want the reward for the player.
“That’s what motivates you.”
The 2025 MLB All-Star Home Run Derby is fast approaching — and the field is set.
Braves hometown hero Ronald Acuna Jr. became the first player to commit to the event, which will be held at Truist Park in Atlanta on July 14 (8 p.m. ET on ESPN). He was followed by MLB home run leader Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners, James Wood of the Washington Nationals, Byron Buxton of the Minnesota Twins, Oneil Cruz of the Pittsburgh Pirates, Junior Caminero of the Tampa Bay Rays, Brent Rooker of the Athletics and Jazz Chisholm Jr. of the New York Yankees.
On Friday, however, Acuna was replaced by teammate Matt Olson.
With all the entrants announced, let’s break down their chances at taking home this year’s Derby prize.
Full All-Star Game coverage: How to watch, schedule, rosters, more
2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 434 feet
Why he could win: Olson is a late replacement for Acuna as the home team’s representative at this year’s Derby. Apart from being the Braves’ first baseman, however, Olson also was born in Atlanta and grew up a Braves fan, giving him some extra motivation. The left-handed slugger led the majors in home runs in 2023 — his 54 round-trippers that season also set a franchise record — and he remains among the best in the game when it comes to exit velo and hard-hit rate.
Why he might not: The home-field advantage can also be a detriment if a player gets too hyped up in the first round. See Julio Rodriguez in Seattle in 2023, when he had a monster first round, with 41 home runs, but then tired out in the second round.
2025 home runs: 36 | Longest: 440 feet
Why he could win: It’s the season of Cal! The Mariners’ catcher is having one of the greatest slugging first halves in MLB history, as he’s been crushing mistakes all season . His easy raw power might be tailor-made for the Derby — he ranks in the 87th percentile in average exit velocity and delivers the ball, on average, at the optimal home run launch angle of 23 degrees. His calm demeanor might also be perfect for the contest as he won’t get too amped up.
Why he might not: He’s a catcher — and one who has carried a heavy workload, playing in all but one game this season. This contest is as much about stamina as anything, and whether Raleigh can carry his power through three rounds would be a concern. No catcher has ever won the Derby, with only Ivan Rodriguez back in 2005 even reaching the finals.
2025 home runs: 24 | Longest: 451 feet
Why he could win: He’s big, he’s strong, he’s young, he’s awesome, he might or might not be able to leap tall buildings in a single bound. This is the perfect opportunity for Wood to show his talent on the national stage, and he wouldn’t be the first young player to star in the Derby. He ranks in the 97th percentile in average exit velocity and 99th percentile in hard-hit rate, so he can still muscle the ball out in BP even if he slightly mishits it. His long arms might be viewed as a detriment, but remember the similarly tall Aaron Judge won in 2017.
Why he might not: His natural swing isn’t a pure uppercut — he has a pretty low average launch angle of just 6.2 degrees — so we’ll see how that plays in a rapid-fire session. In real games, his power is primarily to the opposite field, but in a Home Run Derby you can get more cheapies pulling the ball down the line.
2025 home runs: 20 | Longest: 479 feet
Why he could win: Buxton’s raw power remains as impressive as nearly any hitter in the game. He crushed a 479-foot home run earlier this season and has four others of at least 425 feet. Indeed, his “no doubter” percentage — home runs that would be out of all 30 parks based on distance — is 75%, the highest in the majors among players with more than a dozen home runs. His bat speed ranks in the 89th percentile. In other words, two tools that could translate to a BP lightning show.
Why he might not: Buxton is 31 and the Home Run Derby feels a little more like a younger man’s competition. Teoscar Hernandez did win last year at age 31, but before that, the last winner older than 29 was David Ortiz in 2010, and that was under much different rules than are used now.
2025 home runs: 16 | Longest: 463 feet
Why he could win: If you drew up a short list of players everyone wants to see in the Home Run Derby, Cruz would be near the top. He has the hardest-hit ball of the 2025 season, and the hardest ever tracked by Statcast, a 432-foot missile of a home run with an exit velocity of 122.9 mph. He also crushed a 463-foot home run in Anaheim that soared way beyond the trees in center field. With his elite bat speed — 100th percentile — Cruz has the ability to awe the crowd with a potentially all-time performance.
Why he might not: Like all first-time contestants, can he stay within himself and not get too caught up in the moment? He has a long swing, which will result in some huge blasts, but might not be the most efficient for a contest like this one, where the more swings a hitter can get in before the clock expires, the better.
2025 home runs: 23 | Longest: 425 feet
Why he could win: Although Caminero was one of the most hyped prospects entering 2024, everyone kind of forgot about him heading into this season since he didn’t immediately rip apart the majors as a rookie. In his first full season, however, he has showed off his big-time raw power — giving him a chance to become just the third player to reach 40 home runs in his age-21 season. He has perhaps the quickest bat in the majors, ranking in the 100th percentile in bat speed, and his top exit velocity ranks in the top 15. That could translate to a barrage of home runs.
Why he might not: In game action, Caminero does hit the ball on the ground quite often — in fact, he’s on pace to break Jim Rice’s record for double plays grounded into in a season. If he gets out of rhythm, that could lead to a lot of low line drives during the Derby instead of fly balls that clear the fences.
2025 home runs: 19 | Longest: 440 feet
Why he could win: The Athletics slugger has been one of the top power hitters in the majors for three seasons now and is on his way to a third straight 30-homer season. Rooker has plus bat speed and raw power, but his biggest strength is an optimal average launch angle (19 degrees in 2024, 15 degrees this season) that translates to home runs in game action. That natural swing could be picture perfect for the Home Run Derby. He also wasn’t shy about saying he wanted to participate — and maybe that bodes well for his chances.
Why he might not: Rooker might not have quite the same raw power as some of the other competitors, as he has just one home run longer than 425 feet in 2025. But that’s a little nitpicky, as 11 of his home runs have still gone 400-plus feet. He competed in the college home run derby in Omaha while at Mississippi State in 2016 and finished fourth.
2025 home runs: 17 | Longest: 442 feet
Why he could win: Chisholm might not be the most obvious name to participate, given his career high of 24 home runs, but he has belted 17 already in 2025 in his first 61 games after missing some time with an injury. He ranks among the MLB leaders in a couple of home run-related categories, ranking in the 96th percentile in expected slugging percentage and 98th percentile in barrel rate. His raw power might not match that of the other participants, but he’s a dead-pull hitter who has increased his launch angle this season, which might translate well to the Derby, even if he won’t be the guy hitting the longest home runs.
Why he might not: Most of the guys who have won this have been big, powerful sluggers. Chisholm is listed at 5-foot-11, 184 pounds, and you have to go back to Miguel Tejada in 2004 to find the last player under 6 foot to win.
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