Tesla (TSLA) rises on deliveries in China, but can it save its Q3?
Tesla’s stock (TSLA) is up this morning on delivery data from China showing a strong end-of-quarter performance, but is this enough to save its Q3?
Insurance registration data in China shows that Tesla delivered 15,600 vehicles in the country last week, down 3.7% from the prior week, which had a strong performance with 16,200 registrations.
This is a strong start for September, with 31,800 registrations. That only accounts for Tesla’s vehicles built at Gigafactory Shanghai and sold domestically—though that’s generally most of its Shanghai production at the end of quarters to limit vehicles in transit.
Tesla tends to end quarters strong with a push in deliveries over the last few weeks.
According to the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), Tesla China delivered 86,697 electric vehicles made in China in August and just over 74,000 vehicles in July.
Tesla is on pace to deliver over 230,000 electric vehicles in and from China in Q3.
Is China going to save Tesla’s Q3?
Tesla introduced 0% financing in China this year in order to boost demand in its most important market and it is clearly working.
However, other markets are not doing as well.
According to registration data, Tesla’s deliveries in Europe are way down this year:
Tesla is down more than 70,000 vehicles in its biggest EU markets compared to last year. The difference is more significant by 10,000 units since we last checked in August.
Electrek’s Take
It looks like China is going to be able to compensate for some of Tesla’s troubles in the EU, but not all of it.
The difference maker in Q3 could end up being the US market, where Tesla has been having its own issues, but it recently introduced strong incentives to try to boost sales.
The new referral program basically results in a $1,000 discounts on all cars except Cybertruck. Speaking of Cybertruck, it’s not a high volume program, but the recent ramp-up in production does point to it contributing a few tens of thousands of units to Tesla’s total deliveries in Q3.
Finally, Tesla recently introduced new financing incentives in the US that are likely going to be impactful at the end of the quarter.
At this point, I think Tesla is likely going to beat deliveries from last quarter, 443,956 units, which would actually mean a return to year-over-year growth for Tesla since it delivered 435,000 units during the same period in 2023.
However, I believe that Tesla will be far short of the 585,000 vehicles it needs to be deliver in order to be on pace for its original goal of 2 million deliveries in 2024. It might even be short of the 485,000 vehicles it needs to be on pace so as not to be down year-over-year in deliveries for the whole year.
What do you think? Let us know in the comment section below.
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Fueled by incentives from the Illinois EPA and the state’s largest utility company, new EV registrations nearly quadrupled the 12% first-quarter increase in EV registrations nationally – and there are no signs the state is slowing down.
Despite the dramatic slowdown of Tesla’s US deliveries, sales of electric vehicles overall have perked up in recent months, with Illinois’ EV adoption rate well above the Q1 uptick nationally. Crain’s Chicago Business reports that the number of new EVs registered across the state totaled 9,821 January through March, compared with “just” 6,535 EVs registered in the state during the same period in 2024.
Those numbers represent more than 50% growth in EV registrations – far beyond the expected 12% first-quarter increase nationally being projected by Cox Automotive. (!)
What’s going on in Illinois?
While President Trump and Elmo were running for re-election, they campaigned on the threat promise of canceling the $7,500 federal tax credit for EVs. Along with California Governor Gavin Newsom, Illinois’ Governor JB Pritzker made countermoves – launching a $4,000 rebate for new electric cars and up to $1,500 for the purchase of a new electric motorcycle.
At the same time, the state’s largest utility, ComEd, launched a $90 million EV incentive program featuring a new Point of Purchase initiative to deliver instant discounts to qualifying business and public sector customers who make the switch to electric vehicles. That program has driven a surge in Class 3-6 medium duty commercial EVs, which are eligible fro $20-30,000 in utility rebates on top of federal tax credits and other incentives (Class 1-2 EVs are eligible for up to $7,500).
We covered the launch of those incentives when the program was announced at Chicago Drives Electric last year, but the message here is simple: incentives work.
SOURCES: Chicago Business, Ray Cunningham; featured image by the author.
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The electric construction equipment experts at XCMG just released a new, 25 ton electric crawler excavator ahead of bauma 2025 – and they have their eye on the global urban construction, mine operations, and logistical material handling markets.
Powered by a high-capacity 400 kWh lithium iron phosphate battery capable of delivering up to 8 hours of continuous operation, the XE215EV electric excavator promises uninterrupted operation at a lower cost of ownership and with even less downtime than its diesel counterparts.
XCMG is delivering on part of that reduced downtime promise with the lower maintenance and easier repair needs of electric equipment, and delivering on the rest of it with lickety-quick DC fast charging that can recharge the machine’s massive battery in 1.5-2 hours … but that’s not the slick bit. The XCMG XE125EV can be powered up without leaving the job site thanks to its BYD battery swap technology.
We first covered XCMG and its battery swap technology back in January, and covered similar battery-swap tech being developed by MOOG Construction offshoot ZQUIP, as well – but while XCMG’s battery tech has been in production for several years, it’s still not widely known about in the West (even within the industry).
XCMG showed off its latest electric equipment at the December 2024 bauma China, including an updated version of its of its 85-ton autonomous electric mining truck that features a fully cab-less design – meaning there isn’t even a place for an operator to sit, let alone operate. And that’s too bad, because what operator wouldn’t want to experience an electric truck putting down 1070 hp more than 16,000 lb-ft of torque!?
Easy in, easy out
The best part? All of the company’s heavy equipment assets – from excavators to terminal tractors to dump trucks and wheel loaders – all use the same 400 kWh BYD battery packs, Milwaukee tool style. That means an equipment fleet can utilize x number of vehicles with a fraction of the total battery capacity and material needs of other asset brands. That’s not just a smart use of limited materials, it’s a smarter use of energy.
You can check out all the XE215EV’s specs at this tear sheet, and get an in-person look at the Chinese company’s latest electric excavator this week in Munich, Germany.
SOURCE | IMAGES: XCMG.
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As “extreme” weather events become more commonplace, the demand for reliable and portable energy continues to rise. In response to that growing demand for dependable off-grid power, Volvo has developed the new PU500 Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) designed to take electrical power when it’s needed most.
Designed to be deployable in a number of environments at a moment’s notice, the Volvo Energy PU500 BESS is equipped with approximately 500 kWh of usable battery capacity (up to 540 kWh total). More than enough juice, in other words, to power a remote construction site, disaster response effort, or even a music festival – anything that needs access to reliable electricity beyond a grid connection.
That’s great, but what sets the PU500 apart from other battery storage solutions is its integrated 240 kW DC fast charger.
“With an integrated CCS2 charger, the PU500 is designed to work with all brands of electric equipment, trucks, and passenger cars,” says Niklas Thulin, Head of BESS Product Offer at Volvo Energy. “This ensures that no matter what type of electric vehicle or machinery you rely on, the PU500 can provide the power you need, making it a truly flexible solution for any grid constrained site or location.”
The integrated charger in the PU500 has the impressive ability to charge a heavy equipment asset (be that an electric semi truck or something like a wheel loader) in under two hours. Its on-board capacity allows to fully recharge up to 3 electric HD trucks or 20 electric cars per day, making it an incredibly versatile disaster response asset.
Electrek’s Take
As we often say over at The Heavy Equipment Podcast, “just because you’re working for the power company doesn’t mean you have power,” and there are hundreds of scenarios where the extra power provided by something like the new PU500 would be useful. Its ability to be palletized and easily moved or swapped out of a larger BESS array, too, just add to its flexibility.
SOURCE | IMAGES: Volvo.
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