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This election is about the big and the small – as small as anything can be in the USA.

The big number first – our Sky News poll tracker now gives Kamala Harris a three-point lead over Donald Trump nationwide.

That number has been getting bigger – it looks like we can now see a bounce from last week’s debate, one that is being sustained.

And it could get bigger still: bear in mind that our poll tracker includes polls conducted pre-debate.

As they are replaced in our tracker by new polls, her lead may improve.

Three points are substantial: for context, a week after the Biden-Trump debate, widely seen as a disaster for Biden, Trump was polling 3.3 points higher than Biden – a similar gap.

So why aren’t we talking about Trump being in as much trouble?

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Some of that has to do with the narrative and momentum around Biden at the time, especially the idea that things would only get worse.

But Trump also has some strengths that Biden did not.

First, as we talked about earlier this week, Harris needs a big nationwide polling lead to ensure she wins a small number of swing states.

Three points are no guarantee of that.

And that’s the other point about the small.

This is about specific voters in specific places, with different demographics and economies.

There are three geographic groupings for the swing states – the southeast (Georgia and North Carolina), the northeast (Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin), and the southwest (Nevada and Arizona).

Ipsos has done polling around the issues that voters in those three regions think are the most important, though.

They’re strikingly similar, enough to aggregate them together.

Democracy means “threats to democracy and the dangers of extreme polarisation” and the economy will mean different things in the rust belt northeast vs the agricultural southeast.

But there are clear priorities.

And those swing state voters have clear ideas about which candidate can best deal with those issues.

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There are some local variations though.

The southwest rates Trump even higher on the economy and immigration, and the southeast thinks he would be better for democracy.

That’s the good news for Donald Trump.

In the smaller places where the votes really matter, he’s seen as the best candidate on the issues that really matter.

But let’s finish with another big-picture finding: Harris’s net favourability continues to be way ahead of Trump’s.

So, big vs small: how they interact will decide the election.

The Data and Forensics team is a multi-skilled unit dedicated to providing transparent journalism from Sky News. We gather, analyse and visualise data to tell data-driven stories. We combine traditional reporting skills with advanced analysis of satellite images, social media and other open source information. Through multimedia storytelling, we aim to better explain the world while also showing how our journalism is done.

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George Wendt, who played Norm in Cheers, dies at age of 76

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George Wendt, who played Norm in Cheers, dies at age of 76

Actor George Wendt, who played Norm Peterson in the iconic sitcom Cheers, has died at the age of 76.

His family said he died early on Tuesday morning, peacefully in his sleep, according to publicity firm The Agency Group.

“George was a doting family man, a well-loved friend and confidant to all of those lucky enough to have known him. He will be missed forever,” the family said in a statement.

His character as an affable, beer-loving barfly in Cheers was watched by millions in the 1980s – earning him six consecutive Emmy nominations for best supporting actor.

The sitcom was based in a Boston bar “where everybody knows your name” – proved true given everyone would shout “Norm!” when he walked in.

Wendt appeared in all 273 episodes of Cheers – with his regular first line of “afternoon everybody” a firm fan favourite.

He was also a prominent presence on Broadway – appearing on stage in Art, Hairspray and Elf. Before rising to fame, he spent six years in Chicago’s renowned Second City improvisation troupe.

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In an interview with GQ magazine, he revealed he didn’t have high hopes when he auditioned for the role that would catapult him to fame.

“My agent said: ‘It’s a small role, honey. It’s one line. Actually, it’s one word.’ The word was ‘beer.’

“I was having a hard time believing I was right for the role of ‘the guy who looked like he wanted a beer.’

“So I went in, and they said, ‘It’s too small a role. Why don’t you read this other one?’ And it was a guy who never left the bar.”

One of nine children, Wendt was born in Chicago and graduated with a degree in economics.

He married actress Bernadette Birkett in 1978, who voiced the character of Norm’s wife in Cheers but never appeared on screen. They have three children.

Wendt’s nephew is Jason Sudeikis, who played the lead role in Ted Lasso.

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Elon Musk says he will remain Tesla CEO and plans to cut back on political spending

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Elon Musk says he will remain Tesla CEO and plans to cut back on political spending

Elon Musk has said he is committed to remaining as Tesla’s chief executive for at least five years, as the electric carmaker faces pressure from consumers and the stock market over his work with Donald Trump’s government.

The world’s richest man said he will cut back on political spending after heavily backing the US president last year.

During a video appearance at the Qatar Economic Forum hosted by Bloomberg, a moderator asked: “Do you see yourself and are you committed to still being the chief executive of Tesla in five years’ time?”

Musk responded: “Yes.”

The moderator added: “No doubt about that at all?”

Musk chuckled and replied: “I can’t be still here if I’m dead.”

Tesla has borne the brunt of the outrage against Musk over his work with Mr Trump as part of his Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which implemented cuts across the US federal government.

Asked if the reaction made him think twice about his involvement in politics, Musk said: “I did what needed to be done.

“I’m not someone who has ever committed violence and yet massive violence was committed against my companies, massive violence was threatened against me.”

He added: “Don’t worry: We’re coming for you.”

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Musk pulls back from D.O.G.E. role

Musk spent at least 250 million dollars (£187m) supporting Mr Trump in the presidential campaign, and even held some of his own campaign rallies.

“I’m going to do a lot less in the future,” Mr Musk said. Asked why, he responded: “I think I’ve done enough.”

And he added: “Well, if I see a reason to do political spending in the future, I will do it. I do not currently see a reason.”

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Aspirations to build ‘billions of humanoid robots’

It comes after a Tesla pay package Musk was due, once valued at $56bn (£41.8bn) was stopped by a judge in Delaware.

Musk referred to chancellor Kathaleen St Jude McCormick as an “activist who is cosplaying a judge in a Halloween costume”.

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But he acknowledged his Tesla pay was part of his consideration about staying with Tesla, though he also wanted “sufficient voting control” so he “cannot be ousted by activist investors”.

“It’s not a money thing, it’s a reasonable control thing over the future of the company, especially if we’re building millions, potentially billions of humanoid robots,” he added.

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Donald Trump announces Golden Dome defence project – confirming US plans to put weapons in space

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Donald Trump announces Golden Dome defence project - confirming US plans to put weapons in space

Donald Trump has announced the concept for his Golden Dome missile defence system – which includes plans for the US put weapons in space for the first time.

The “cutting-edge missile defence system” will include “space-based sensors and interceptors”, Mr Trump said, adding the Golden Dome “should be fully operational by the end of my term”.

The system – styled on Israel’s Iron Dome – will be able to detect and stop missiles at all points of attack, from before launch to when they are descending towards a target, the Trump administration has said.

Making the announcement in the Oval Office on Tuesday, Mr Trump told reporters the Golden Dome will be “capable of intercepting missiles even if they are launched from the other side of the world”.

The US president also said Canada “has called us and they want to be part of it”. “As usual, we help Canada as best we can,” he said.

President Donald Trump speaks in the Oval Office of the White House, Tuesday, May 20, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
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Trump was flanked by two Golden Dome posters. Pic: AP

He has also pledged that the entire system to be built within the United States. Manufacturers in Georgia, Alaska, Florida and Indiana will all be heavily involved in the project, Mr Trump said.

General Michael Guetlein, who currently serves as the vice chief of space operations, will oversee the Golden Dome’s progress.

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The space weapons “represent new and emerging requirements for missions that have never before been accomplished by military space organizations,” General Chance Saltzman, the head of the US Space Force, said at a hearing Tuesday.

Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth speaks during an event with President Donald Trump in the Oval Office of the White House, Tuesday, May 20, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
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Defence secretary Pete Hegseth joined the president for the announcement. Pic: AP

How much will the Golden Dome cost?

Mr Trump said he has allocated $25bn “to help get construction under way,” which he described as an initial down payment.

The total cost will be “about $175bn”, the US president added – but the Congressional Budget Office has put the price much higher.

The space-based components alone could cost as much as $542bn (£405bn) over the next 20 years, it estimated earlier this month.

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Mr Trump’s announcement came shortly after the newly confirmed US Air Force secretary said there’s currently no money allocated for the Golden Dome.

The programme is “still in the conceptual stage,” Troy Meink told senators today.

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The Pentagon has for years warned that the newest missiles developed by Russia and China are so advanced counter measures are needed.

Both Russia and China have already put offensive weapons, such as satellites capable of disabling those of other countries, in space.

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