The chipmaker, which has lost over half its value this year and last month had its worst day on the market in 50 years after a disappointing earnings report, started the week on Monday by announcing that it’s separating its manufacturing division from the core business of designing and selling computer processors.
And late Friday, CNBC confirmed that Qualcomm has recently approached Intel about a takeover in what would be one of the biggest tech deals ever. It’s not clear if Intel has engaged in conversations with Qualcomm, and representatives from both companies declined to comment. The Wall Street Journal was first to report on the matter.
The stock rose 11% for the week, its best performance since November.
The rally provides little relief to CEO Pat Gelsinger, who has had a tough run since taking the helm in 2021. The 56-year-old company lost its long-held title of world’s biggest chipmaker and has gotten trounced in artificial intelligence chips by Nvidia, which is now valued at almost $3 trillion, or more than 30 times Intel’s market cap of just over $90 billion. Intel said in August that it’s cutting 15,000 jobs, or more than 15% of its workforce.
But Gelsinger is still calling the shots and, for now, he says Intel is pushing forward as an independent company with no plans to spin off the foundry. In a memo to employees on Monday, he said the two halves are “better together,” though the company is setting up a separate internal unit for the foundry, with its own board of directors and governance structure and the potential to raise outside capital.
Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger speaks while showing silicon wafers during an event called AI Everywhere in New York, Thursday, Dec. 14, 2023.
Seth Wenig | AP
For the company that put the silicon in Silicon Valley, the road to revival isn’t getting any smoother. By forging ahead as one company, Intel has to two clear two gigantic hurdles at once: Spend more than $100 billion through 2029 to build chip factories in four different states, while simultaneously gaining a foothold in the AI boom that’s defining the future of technology.
Intel expects to spend roughly $25 billion this year and $21.5 billion next year on its foundries in hopes that becoming a domestic manufacturer will convince U.S. chipmakers to onshore their production rather than relying on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and Samsung.
That prospect would be more palatable to Wall Street if Intel’s core business was at the top of its game. But while Intel still makes the majority of processors at the heart of PCs, laptops, and servers, it’s losing market share to Advanced Micro Devices and reporting revenue declines that threaten its cash flow.
‘Next phase of this foundry journey’
With challenges mounting, the board met last weekend to discuss the company’s strategy.
Monday’s announcement on the new governance structure for the foundry business served as an opening salvo meant to convince investor that serious changes are underway as the company prepares to launch its manufacturing process, called 18A, next year. Intel said it has seven products in development and that it landed a giant customer, announcing that Amazon would use its foundry to produce a networking chip.
“It was very important to say we’re moving to the next phase of this foundry journey,” Gelsinger told CNBC’s Jon Fortt in an interview. “As we move to this next phase, it’s much more about building efficiency into that and making sure that we have good shareholder return for those significant investments.”
Still, Gelsinger’s foundry bet will take years to pay off. Intel said in the memo that it didn’t expect meaningful sales from external customers until 2027. And the company will also pause its fabrication efforts in Poland and Germany “by approximately two years based on anticipated market demand,” while pulling back on its plans for its Malaysian factory.
TSMC is the giant in the chip fab world, manufacturing for companies including Nvidia, Apple and Qualcomm. Its technology allows fabless companies — those that outsource manufacturing — to make more powerful and efficient chips than what’s currently possible at volume inside Intel’s factories. Even Intel uses TSMC for some of its high-end PC processors.
Intel hasn’t announced a significant traditional American semiconductor customer for its foundry, but Gelsinger said to stay tuned.
“Some customers are reluctant to give their names because of the competitive dynamics,” Gelsinger told Fortt. “But we’ve seen a large uptick in the amount of customer pipeline activity we have underway.”
Prior to the Amazon announcement, Microsoftsaid earlier this year it would use Intel Foundry to produce custom chips for its cloud services, an agreement that could be worth $15 billion to Intel. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella said in February that it would use Intel to produce a chip, but didn’t provide details. Intel has also signed up MediaTek, which primarily makes lower-end chips for mobile phones.
U.S. President Joe Biden listens to Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger as he attends the groundbreaking of the new Intel semiconductor manufacturing facility in New Albany, Ohio, U.S., September 9, 2022.
Joshua Roberts | Reuters
Backed by the government
Intel’s biggest champion at the moment is the U.S. government, whish is pushing hard to secure U.S.-based chip supply and limit the country’s reliance on Taiwan.
Intel said this week that it received $3 billion to build chips for the military and intelligence agencies in a specialized facility called a “secure enclave.” The program is classified, so Intel didn’t share specifics. Gelsinger also recently met with Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, who is loudly promoting Intel’s future role in chip production.
Earlier this year, Intel was awarded up to $8.5 billion in CHIPS Act funding from the Biden administration and could receive an additional $11 billion in loans from the legislation, which was passed in 2022. None of the funds have been distributed yet.
“At the end of the day, I think what policymakers want is for there to be a thriving American semiconductor industry in America,” said Anthony Rapa, a partner at law firm Blank Rome who focuses on international trade.
For now, Intel’s biggest foundry customer is itself. The company started reporting the division’s finances this year. For the latest quarter, which ended in June, it had an operating loss of $2.8 billion on revenue of $4.3 billion. Only $77 million in revenue came from external customers.
Intel has a goal of $15 billion in external foundry revenue by 2030.
While this week’s announcement was viewed by some analysts as the first step to a sale or spinoff, Gelsinger said that it was partially intended to help win new customers that may be concerned about their intellectual property leaking out of the foundry and into Intel’s other business.
“Intel believes that this will provide external foundry customers/suppliers with clearer separation,” JPMorgan Chase analysts, who have the equivalent of a sell rating on the stock, wrote in a report. “We believe this could ultimately lead to a spin out of the business over the next few years.”
No matter what happens on that side of the house, Intel has to find a fix for its main business of Core PC chips and Xeon server chips.
Intel’s client computing group — the PC chip division — reported about a 25% drop in revenue from its peak in 2020 to last year. The data center division is down 40% over that stretch. Server chip volume decreased 37% in 2023, while the cost to produce a server product rose.
Intel has added AI bits to its processors as part of a push for new PC sales. But it still lacks a strong AI chip competitor to Nvidia’s GPUs, which are dominating the data center market. The Futurum Group’s Daniel Newman estimates that Intel’s Gaudi 3 AI accelerator only contributed about $500 million to the company’s sales over the last year, compared with Nvidia’s $47.5 billion in data center sales in its latest fiscal year.
Newman is asking the same question as many Intel investors about where the company goes from here.
“If you pull these two things apart, you go, ‘Well, what are they best at anymore? Do they have the best process? Do they have the best design?'” he said. “I think part of what made them strong was that they did it all.”
Intel stock held a sharp hike in pretrading on Monday, after the stock surged on Friday when an analyst predicted the chip giant was nearing a deal to supply Apple in 2027.
Shares in Intel rose 10% on Friday after TF International Securities analyst Ming-Chi Kuo posted on X that he expected Intel to begin shipping its lowest-end M processor to Apple as early as second or third quarter 2027.
He said that his latest industry surveys indicate that “visibility on Intel becoming an advanced-node supplier to Apple has recently improved significantly.”
Intel stock fell 0.59% as of 6.26am ET on Monday in early pretrading.
Kuo added that the timeline of the partnership is contingent on the development process after Intel releases its process design kit — the blueprint from which Apple’s engineers can build the chips — which is expected early 2026.
Apple’s silicon chips for its iPhone, iPad and Mac products are currently supplied by TSMC.
In his post, Kuo played down the potential Intel-Apple partnership’s impact on the Taiwanese chip maker, saying that Apple is expected to remain “highly dependent” on the company’s advanced nodes for the “foreseeable future.”
“In absolute terms, order volumes for the lowest-end M processor are relatively small and virtually no material impact on TSMC’s fundamentals or its technology leadership over the next several years.”
Kuo added a deal with Intel would signal strong support from Apple for the Trump administration’s push for its homegrown companies to manufacture in the U.S.
Neither Intel nor Apple immediately responded to a request for comment from CNBC.
‘If Intel pulls it off, there is potential to win higher volume and value business from Apple’
Intel’s stock has seen a resurgence over the past 12 months after years of decline. Share price fell as low as $17.66 in April, before recovering over the past few months.
“Apple is a potential major reference customer whose presence validates Intel’s high-performance foundry offering,” Paul Markham, investment director at GAM Global Equities, told CNBC.
“If Intel pulls it off, there is potential to win higher volume and value business from Apple, for example CPU production for the iPhone, and win business from other large chip designers.”
Intel has had an up and down relationship with Apple since it first announced the chip giant’s processors would power some products in 2005. The iPhone maker transitioned away from the company’s processors at the start of the 2020s.
Last week Intel was on the subject of a lawsuit filed by TSMC, in which it alleged one of its former senior vice president had leaked “confidential information” to the company. Intel did not immediately respond to CNBC’s request for comment at the time.
After the search for survivors and recovery of victims in tragic aviation accidents — like that of a UPS cargo plane shortly after takeoff from Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport in Kentucky last month — comes the search for flight data and a cockpit voice recorder often called the “black box.”
Every commercial plane has them. Aerospace giants GE Aerospace and Honeywell are among a few companies that design them to be nearly indestructible so they can help investigators understand the cause of a crash.
“They’re very crucial because it’s one of the few sources of information that tells us what happened leading up to the accident,” said Chris Babcock, branch chief of the vehicle recorder division at the National Transportation Safety Board. “We can get a lot of information from parts and from the airplane.”
Commercial aircraft have become very complex. A Boeing 787 Dreamliner records thousands of different pieces of information. In the case of the Air India crash in June, data revealed both engine fuel switches were put into a cutoff position within one second of each other. A voice recording from inside the cockpit captured the pilots discussing the cutoffs.
“All of those parameters today can have a very huge impact on the investigation,” said former NTSB member John Goglia. “It’s our goal to to provide information back to our investigators who are on scene as quick as we can to help move the investigation forward.”
This crucial data can also help prevent future accidents. A crash can cost airlines or plane manufacturers hundreds of millions of dollars and leave victims’ families with a lifetime of grief.
But in some circumstances black boxes were destroyed or never found. Experts say further developments such as cockpit video recorders and real-time data streaming are needed.
“The technology is there. Crash worthy cockpit video recorders are already being installed in a lot of helicopters and other types of airplanes, but they’re not required,” said Jeff Guzzetti, aviation analyst and former accident investigator for the Federal Aviation Administration and NTSB. “There’s privacy and cost issues involving cockpit video recorders but the NTSB has been recommending that the FAA require them for years now.”
A Thanksgiving week rally couldn’t put all three major indexes in the green for November. The S & P 500 gained nearly 4% for the week, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added more than 3% — a strong enough showing for each to eke out gains for the month. It extends their streak of winning months to seven. And while the Nasdaq Composite ended the week higher by more than 4%, it wasn’t enough to overcome selling earlier in the month triggered by valuation concerns about the artificial intelligence trade. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell roughly 2% in November, ending its seven-month winning streak. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 (SPX) year-to-date performance There were a couple of bright spots in our portfolio during the holiday-shortened trading week. Apple shares notched three consecutive all-time highs this week, starting on Monday and ending on Wednesday. The stock has been buoyed by positive demand signs for Apple’s iPhone 17 series. Counterpoint Research data on Wednesday showed that Apple is on track to dethrone Samsung as the world’s top smartphone maker this year — an achievement the iPhone maker hasn’t seen in over a decade. Overall, Counterpoint analysts expect Apple to capture 19.4% of the global smartphone market in 2025, compared with Samsung’s expected 18.7%. The stock rose further on Friday, closing the week with a nearly 3% gain. Broadcom secured all-time record closes during every trading session this week. The stock’s been up as Wall Street starts to see the chipmaker as an ancillary play to Alphabet ‘s growing AI dominance. As Google began rolling out its latest AI model, investors see benefits for Broadcom as a co-designer of its specialized chips, called tensor processing units (TPUs). Media reports earlier in the week of Meta Platforms considering Google’s TPUs for its data centers in 2027 added fuel to Broadcom’s run. That’s because Alphabet’s AI expansion could drive more sales for Broadcom’s crucial networking and custom chips businesses, which was a key reason the Club started a position in the stock. Shares of Broadcom advanced more than 18% week to date. Fellow chipmaker Nvidia went the other way, with shares hitting a nearly three-month low on Tuesday as those same reports highlighted how some big tech companies are looking for alternatives to Nvidia’s chips. But Jim Cramer recommended staying the course , and called the stock dip a buying opportunity for new investors. After all, Nvidia still dominates the extremely lucrative AI chip market. “The demand is insatiable for Nvidia,” Jim said Tuesday. Shares fell 1% week to date. NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia (NVDA) year-to-date performance And while we didn’t see any earnings from the portfolio this past week, Dick’s Sporting Goods ‘ quarterly report was great news for Club holding Nike . Jim called the retail stock a buy on Tuesday after Dick’s announced plans to close several Foot Locker locations during its third-quarter earnings call. “Nike is a buy off of Dick’s problems,” Jim said. Management’s remarks indicated that Nike’s relationship with the retail giant has been improving, a positive sign for Nike’s turnaround story. “They’re moving in the right direction,” Ed Stack, executive chairman of Dick’s Sporting Goods, told “Squawk on the Street,” after the company’s earnings were released. He cited a strong performance from Nike’s running line. “If you take a look at what they did with their running construct, what they did with Pegasus, what they did with Vomero, what they did with Structure, this running concept has done extremely well on the Dick’s side, and where it’s been put into Foot Locker stores, it’s done really well there too.” Nike stock jumped nearly 3% week to date. NKE YTD mountain Nike (NKE) year-to-date peformance Trades Finally, we executed two trades during the shortened holiday trading week. On Monday, the Club bought more Palo Alto Networks shares on the cybersecurity company’s overblown post-earnings decline. We saw the weakness as an opportunity, given that Palo Alto delivered a beat-and-raise third quarter that topped estimates for every single key metric. The Nov. 19 report showed that momentum in Palo Alto’s “platformization” strategy of bundling its products and services remains promising. Deals from Palo Alto make us even more bullish on the stock. The company announced plans to buy cloud management and monitoring company Chronosphere for $3.35 billion. Management’s acquisition of identity-security leader CyberArk was approved by shareholders on Nov. 13 and is expected to close in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026. “Palo Alto Networks is setting itself apart in the AI era by adding two platforms just as their respective markets hit key inflection points,” Jeff Marks, the Investing Club’s director of portfolio analysis, wrote in a trade alert. We added to our Procter & Gamble position on Tuesday, our second purchase of the consumer goods giant since starting a position on Nov. 18. The thesis: Shares will benefit from any rotation out of Big Tech and into more economically resilient companies. Basically, if AI spending lets up or the U.S. economy slows down, defensive stocks like P & G should shine. (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. 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