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The “ongoing viability” of London’s junior stock market would be threatened if the government removes business relief (BR) from its shares in next month’s budget, the exchange’s owner has warned ministers.

Sky News has obtained a letter sent by Dame Julia Hoggett, the London Stock Exchange (LSE) chief executive, to Tulip Siddiq, the City minister, which includes a stark alert about the potential impact on the Alternative Investment Market (AIM) of radical tax moves next month.

In it, Dame Julia expresses concern about “the current fragility of the market and this concern is shared by companies and fund managers across the market”.

AIM, which is positioned as the LSE’s international exchange for growth companies, has contracted from 819 companies with a combined value of £131bn at the end of 2020 to 704 companies now valued at approximately £76bn, according to Dame Julia.

Julia Hoggett, the chief executive officer of the London Stock Exchange. Pic: PA
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Julia Hoggett, the chief executive officer of the London Stock Exchange. Pic: PA

The LSE chief said removing BR from AIM shares – a fundamental part of the appeal of London’s junior market – “would remove a core source of capital undermining the market’s capital base and bringing its viability into question over the short to medium term”.

She added: “An announcement of the removal of BR in the budget is likely to result in significant market volatility as individual investors and IHT funds seek to liquidate holdings in companies that have been long-term beneficiaries of BR investment.”

And she warned: “Given the illiquid nature of smaller companies, we are concerned that this volatility would have a disproportionate impact on share prices across the market.”

Dame Julia’s letter amounts to the starkest warning to date from the exchange about the future of AIM, which has provided a model to other international exchange operators but which has been beset by concerns about a lack of liquidity and corporate governance issues at some of its companies.

“Given the concerted effort being made to improve the funding environment in the UK including the development of PISCES, we are genuinely concerned that the removal of BR and its direct impact on growth markets such as AIM would create a very negative perception about the government’s commitment to this agenda,” the LSE chief wrote.

Her letter to Ms Siddiq comes just over a month before Rachel Reeves delivers the first speech by a Labour chancellor for nearly 15 years.

Tulip Siddiq MP in 2019. Pic: Reuters
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Tulip Siddiq MP in 2019. Pic: Reuters

The new government has warned that the problematic economic inheritance it has been saddled with will lead to difficult tax and spending decisions.

Dame Julia is a key member of the Capital Markets Industry Taskforce, a joint government and industry body, and one of the City’s most respected figures.

She has played a pivotal role in advocating listing rule changes which have been approved by the Financial Conduct Authority in an attempt to improve the international competitiveness of London’s capital markets.

That drive has been spurred in part by the number of large London-listed companies – among them the gambling giant Flutter Entertainment – which have switched their primary listing to New York.

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The City has also missed out on a string of prized initial public offerings (IPOs), most notably that of the chip designer ARM Holdings, exacerbating fears of an inexorable post-Brexit decline in London’s standing as a financial centre.

Those concerns may, in part, be alleviated by a decision from the Chinese-founded online fashion giant Shein to list in London, although its flotation plans are proving to be contentious because of the company’s labour rights record.

In her letter to Ms Siddiq, Dame Julia said AIM had played “a crucial role as a source of equity capital for growth and development”.

She cited data showing that UK-based companies admitted to AIM contributed £35.7bn gross value added to UK GDP and directly supported more than 410,000 jobs in 2023.

“Furthermore, through their supply chain expenditure, these companies support a further 212,000 jobs and £18.6bn of GVA and are estimated to contribute £5.4bn in corporation tax,” Dame Julia wrote.

She also told Ms Siddiq that companies listed on AIM were geographically and industrially broad-based, were “more productive than the national average and have consistently generated four-times as much of their revenue from overseas exports, compared to private companies”.

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In her letter, Dame Julia also highlighted that smaller quoted companies had been disproportionately affected by recent outflows from UK-listed shares, with net outflows in three of the last four years.

“The package of fiscal incentives including EIS, VCT and BR are designed to address long-standing market failures to ensure companies can transition to the public market, raise capital, scale and stay in the UK,” Dame Julia wrote.

“Without these measures, investors would likely concentrate their investments in larger, more liquid companies, denying growth companies access to risk equity capital through the public markets.”

Dame Julia also said that more than 660 AIM-listed companies with a combined market capitalisation of about £73bn were eligible for business relief.

“Around 75% of these companies are smaller companies in the £0-£100m market capitalisation range – the category of companies regularly identified as otherwise being more susceptible to capital constraints,” she wrote.

“The availability of BR has been one of the few constant features of AIM.

“As a result, investment encouraged by BR has become a vital source of capital for AIM companies.

“Around £6.3bn of capital is managed by the largest AIM IHT funds.

“However, the total amount of capital allocated to AIM companies, where BR is a factor in the investment decision, is likely to be much greater.”

A spokeswoman for LSEG, the LSE’s owner, declined to comment.

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Carlyle joins list of possible Thames Water rescue backers

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Carlyle joins list of possible Thames Water rescue backers

Carlyle, the American investment giant, has become the latest global fund to weigh an investment in Thames Water as the stricken utility races to avoid being nationalised.

Sky News has learnt that Carlyle, which has roughly $435bn in assets under management, is at the very preliminary stages of assessing whether an investment in Thames Water Utilities Limited (TWUL) would be viable.

Britain’s biggest water and wastewater company, which has about 16 million customers, is edging towards the brink of collapse after warning in recent days that its financial liquidity is set to expire months earlier than previously anticipated.

It has also seen its credit rating downgraded further into junk territory by two leading rating agencies.

Carlyle is one of a long list of prospective investors approached by Rothschild, the investment bank advising Thames Water’s board, as the utility scrambles to raise more than £3bn in the coming months.

This weekend, people close to the process confirmed that Carlyle had been approached but said it was “too early” to judge whether the firm might participate in a rescue deal through one or more of its funds.

Among the others sounded out by Rothschild are Brookfield, the Canadian investment giant, and Global Infrastructure Partners, which is now owned by BlackRock.

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Many investors and industry analysts believe, however, that the Rothschild-led process is destined to fail given the massive financial restructuring which faces Thames Water.

The company has about £16bn in debt, with approximately £10bn of that accounted for by a group of 90 funds which have appointed Jefferies and Akin Gump to represent them.

That syndicate is now preparing its own rescue plan in the coming weeks, which is likely to include an enormous debt-for-equity swap that would wipe out the existing shareholders.

Thames Water’s future remains so shrouded in uncertainty because the industry watchdog, Ofwat, has rejected the company’s initial spending plans for the next five-year regulatory period.

The company is now engaged in discussions with Ofwat ahead of its final determination in December.

A bridging loan of about £1bn is being contemplated by some of Thames Water’s creditors, but some stakeholders remain sceptical that any new financing will be forthcoming without greater regulatory certainty.

“Until the lenders know what they are bridging to, the concern deepens that they risk throwing good money after bad,” said one fund.

TWUL’s board is said to have met in the last 48 hours to discuss the implications of its latest rating downgrades and impending liquidity shortfall.

One creditor said that Ofwat was expected to appoint an independent monitor next week to scrutinise the company’s progress against its turnaround plan.

Ofwat, which signalled in August that it would make such an appointment, declined to comment.

If new investment into Thames Water is not forthcoming before it runs out of cash, the government will have little choice but to sanction the temporary nationalisation of the company.

This would be done through a Special Administration Regime (SAR), a procedure tested only once before when Bulb Energy collapsed in 2021.

As part of its contingency planning for implementing a far-reaching restructuring, Thames Water has booked court dates in November to progress a rescue deal.

A source close to the company said that Thames Water “continues to look at all options for extending its liquidity and raising new equity”.

“Reserving court dates is sensible forward planning and a part of keeping all options open.”

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Former Missguided owner Alteri in talks to buy Kurt Geiger

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Former Missguided owner Alteri in talks to buy Kurt Geiger

A former owner of Missguided, the youth fashion brand, is in talks to buy Kurt Geiger, the upmarket shoe and accessories retailer.

Sky News has learnt that Alteri Investors, which was backed by the global private equity giant Apollo Management when it launched a decade ago, is among a number of parties in discussions about a takeover of the 61-year-old footwear brand.

City sources said this weekend that the talks were at an early stage and were not being held on an exclusive basis.

Several other parties are also considering bids for Kurt Geiger, which has been owned by Cinven, the private equity firm, since 2015.

The brand’s celebrity customers reportedly include Kylie Jenner, Jennifer Lopez and Paris Hilton.

Last October, Sky News revealed that Cinven had appointed Bank of America to oversee an auction of the retailer.

At the time, banking sources said they expected the company to fetch a price in the region of £400m.

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It was unclear what valuation a deal under discussion with Alteri would command.

Luxury goods groups and other buyout firms are understood to have been examining offers for Kurt Geiger in recent months.

Kurt Geiger, which was founded in 1963, is run by Neil Clifford, its long-serving chief executive.

Previously backed by Sycamore Partners, another private equity group, the brand is targeting significant expansion in the US through a chain of standalone stores.

To mark its 60th anniversary last year, Mr Clifford announced plans to establish a design academy for young people to embark on careers in the fashion industry.

Mr Clifford has run the business for the last two decades.

Last year, it announced a £150m debt deal to fund its international expansion and refinance existing borrowings.

In the UK, Kurt Geiger’s shoes have been sold at department stores including Harrods and Selfridges for years.

Alteri has owned a number of retailers in Europe since it was established, and is the current owner of the Bensons for Beds chain.

It specialises in distressed or turnaround situations, and has been linked with chains including BHS, the now-defunct department store group, and Poundworld, the discounter.

Kurt Geiger recently published results showing a 10% rise in sales in the year to the end of January.

Earnings of £40.4m on revenue of £360m put the business back in line with its pre-Covid performance, Mr Clifford said last month.

Alteri and Cinven both declined to comment this weekend.

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Southern Water considering shipping supplies from Norway to UK due to drought fears

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Southern Water considering shipping supplies from Norway to UK due to drought fears

One of the UK’s largest water companies is considering shipping supplies from Norway to the UK.

Southern Water said the idea was a “last-resort contingency measure” in case of extreme droughts in the early 2030s.

Up to 45 million litres could be brought to the UK per day under the proposals.

The Financial Times, which first reported the potential move, said the water, from melting glaciers by fjords in the Scandinavian country, would be transported by tankers.

It comes as fears grow over the future of water services in the UK following droughts in the summer of 2022 when some areas of the country came close to running out of supplies.

The Financial Times said Southern Water was in “early-stage” talks with Extreme Drought Resilience Service, a private UK company that supplies water by sea tanker.

The firm would pay for the measure out of customers’ bills, according to the report.

Southern Water, which covers Hampshire, Kent, East and West Sussex, and the Isle of Wight, currently gets its supplies from groundwater and rare chalk streams.

However, the Environment Agency (EA) has urged the firm to reduce its reliance on such sources amid concerns over the environmental impact and fears they could make the risk of droughts worse.

‘Costly and carbon-intensive’

Water firms have come under growing criticism in recent years over sewage spills and rising bills, with households facing an average increase of 21% over the next five years.

Companies have also been urged to improve their infrastructure to help supplies. Currently around a fifth of water running through pipes is lost to leaks, according to regulator Ofwat.

And a report by the EA earlier this year found that Southern Water, along with Anglian Water, Thames Water and Yorkshire Water, was responsible for more than 90% of serious pollution incidents.

Following criticism over sewage discharges, Southern Water’s chief executive Lawrence Gosden blamed “too much rain” in 2023 for the problem during an interview with ITV News.

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The company said it was facing a shortfall of 166 million litres per day in Hampshire alone during future droughts.

But the firm said it was already undertaking other measures to address the problem, including by building the UK’s first new reservoir in more than three decades in Havant Thicket.

However, Greenpeace UK’s chief scientist Dr Doug Parr criticised the Norway proposal and said the firm should focus more on addressing issues domestically.

“Tankering in huge quantities of water from Norway will inevitably be a costly and carbon-intensive alternative to that of doing a better job with the water resources that are available in a rainy country like the UK,” he said.

He added: “Despite the obvious failings of planning, water companies need to start thinking of potable fresh water as a precious and finite resource, and plan to start treating it as such.”

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From 2022: How can we protect ourselves from water crisis?

Tim McMahon, Southern Water’s managing director for water, said: “We put less water into supply now than we did 30 years ago and measures like reducing leakage have enabled us to keep pace so far with population growth and climate change.

“As we work to take less water from our chalk streams and build new reservoirs like Havant Thicket in Hampshire, we need a range of options to help protect the environment while this infrastructure comes online.”

Mr McMahon added: “Importing water would be a last resort contingency measure that would only be used for a short period in the event of an extreme drought emergency in the early 2030s – something considerably worse than the drought of 1976.

“We’re committed to continuing to work with our regulators on developing the right solutions to meet the challenge of water scarcity, while protecting the environment.”

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