Asked whether he was comfortable with reports Israel was about to launch a ground invasion into Lebanon, he said: “No. I’m comfortable with them stopping. We should have a ceasefire now.”
It was a remarkable moment in US-Israel relations. Israel depends on American patronage. Without American support, it would simply be unable to defend itself.
And yet Benjamin Netanyahu’s Israeli government is thumbing its nose at its closest ally and carrying on regardless.
Most of all, Americans fear a wider war sucking in most of the region. Those fears seem to be coming to pass after Iran’s latest attack on Israel.
It has been an extraordinary week for the Israeli-American alliance.
Last week, the Israeli prime minister misled the Americans for all the world to see.
On the eve of his address to the UN, he agreed to the idea of a ceasefire. US officials then said publicly they were confident a truce would be implemented “in the coming hours”.
He has made the Biden administration look foolish and impotent.
Image: Netanyahu warned at the UN that there was ‘no place’ in Iran that the long arm of Israel couldn’t reach
Image: Joe Biden had a very different message at the UN last week. Pic: Reuters
Unable to stop the invasion of Lebanon, Joe Biden’s diplomats are trying to restrain Israel instead.
Well-sourced reports say the US has been urging Israel to make its invasion of Lebanon limited in scope.
That may be a forlorn hope. Israel has moved four more brigades to the north. It clearly sees this as an opportunity to do maximum damage to Hezbollah.
Even if its plans are for a limited operation, plans rarely survive first contact with the enemy, as a Prussian military strategist famously once observed.
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Because Benjamin Netanyahu has Joe Biden exactly where he wants him. The American president is snookered.
Just over a month away from the US election, he cannot possibly fall out with the Israeli prime minister while Israel is under attack. That would be politically disastrous.
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0:46
‘Not safe to cross river’ in Lebanon, says Israel
The US must also stand fast with Israel for pressing strategic reasons.
The US is deeply worried Iran might wade into this war. Those fears now seem well founded. Any distance between America and Israel might encourage Iran to do its worst.
Make no mistake, the US welcomes the death of Hassan Nasrallah and the degrading of Hezbollah. It has the blood of hundreds of Americans on its hands.
And the US government is absolutely committed to Israel’s right to self-defence.
But the Biden administration wants this to end – and end now – with a ceasefire.
For Joe Biden and his vice president, the spectacle of the Middle East descending into fiery chaos is an electoral nightmare.
Kamala Harris’s opponents have long fostered the impression their combined term in office has been a disaster overseas.
American officials are deeply concerned the Israelis do not have an endgame.
They fear mission creep, and the risk of Israel being drawn into a quagmire in Lebanon.
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0:40
Rocket lands on Israeli motorway
President Biden has been a steadfast supporter and friend of Israel in a half-century of public office.
He has sent Israel billions of dollars of aid since 7 October and the Hamas attacks. He has paid a political price for that support of Israel, branded “Genocide Joe” by his opponents.
One very senior diplomat from the region who knows both the Israelis and Americans very well put it like this – after all he has done for Israel, the least the US president could have been given in return in his last few weeks in office was a ceasefire in the Middle East.
Instead, he says the Israelis have given Joe Biden “a kick in the teeth”.
The unprecedented Russian drone attacks on Poland are both a test and a warning. How Europe and NATO respond could be crucial to security on this continent.
The Russians are past masters at what’s called “salami slicing”. Tactics that use a series of smaller actions to produce a much bigger outcome that otherwise would have been far more provocative.
Image: Vladimir Putin has a history of testing the West. Pic: Sputnik/Alexei Druzhinin/Kremlin via Reuters
Putin is good at this.
He used salami slicing tactics masterfully in 2014 with his “little green men” invasion of Crimea, a range of ambiguous military and diplomatic tactics to take control. The West’s confused delay in responding sealed Crimea’s fate.
He has just taken a larger slice of salami with his drone attacks on Poland.
Image: A drone found in a field in Mniszkow, eastern Poland
They are of course a test of NATO’s readiness to deploy its Article 5 obligations. Russia has attacked a member state, allies believe deliberately.
Will NATO trigger the all for one, one for all mechanism in Poland’s defence and attack Russia? Not very likely.
But failing to respond projects weakness. Putin will see the results of his test and plot the next one.
Expect lots of talk of sanctions but remember they failed to avert this invasion and have failed to persuade Russia to reverse it. The only sanctions likely to bite are the ones the US president refuses to approve, on Russia’s oil trade.
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6:16
Russia’s Poland incursion represents ‘new chapter’ in Ukraine war, expert says
So how are the drones also a warning? Well, they pose a question.
Vladimir Putin is asking the West if it really wants to become more involved in this conflict with its own forces. Europeans are considering putting boots on the ground inside Ukraine after any potential ceasefire.
If this latest attack is awkward and complicated and hard to respond to now, what happens if Russia uses hybrid tactics then?
Deniable, ambiguous methods that the Russians excel in could make life very difficult for the alliance if it is embroiled in Ukraine.
Think twice before committing your troops there, Russia is warning the West.
Riot police have clashed with protesters in Paris after they took to the streets in response to calls to ‘Block Everything’ over discontent with the French government.
Tens of thousands of people have taken to the streets of the French capital and other cities, including Marseille and Montpellier, in response to the online ‘Bloquons Tout’ campaign, which is urging people to strike, block roads, and other public services.
The government has deployed more than 80,000 officers to respond to the unrest, which has seen 200 arrested nationwide so far, according to police, and comes on the same day the new prime minister is being sworn in.
Demonstrators were seen rolling bins into the middle of roads to stop cars, while police rushed to remove the makeshift blockades as quickly as possible.
Tear gas was used by police outside Paris‘s Gare du Nord train station, where around 1,000 gathered, clutching signs declaring Wednesday a public holiday.
Others in the city blocked the entrance to a high school where firefighters were forced to remove burnt objects from a barricade.
Image: Riot police with shields face off with protesters in Paris. Pic: Reuters
Image: Protesters block the streets in Paris on Wednesday. Pic: AP
Image: “Block Everything” blockade a street in Paris. Pic: Reuters
Image: A protester raises a red flare outside Paris’s Gare du Nord train station. Pic: Reuters
Elsewhere in the country, traffic disruptions were reported on major roads in Marseille, Montpellier, Nantes, and Lyon.
Interior Minister Bruno Retailleau told reporters a group of protesters had torched a bus in the Breton city of Rennes.
Image: Protesters fill the streets and block tram lines in Montpellier, southern France. Pic: Reuters
Image: A protester in Montpellier waves a lit flare. Pic: Reuters
Image: Protesters hold a sign that reads: ’10 September public holiday!!’ in Paris. Pic: Reuters
Fourth prime minister in a year
The ‘Block Everything’ rallies come amid spiralling national debt and are similar to the Yellow Vest movement that broke out over tax increases during President Emmanuel Macron’s first term.
‘Bloquons tout’ was first spearheaded online by right-wing groups in May but has since been embraced by the left and far left, experts say.
Image: French outgoing Prime Minister Francois Bayrou (left) with his replacement Sebastien Lecornu at Paris’s Hotel Matignon. Pic: Reuters
Image: Crowds of protesters outside Gare du Nord in Paris. Pic: Reuters
Image: ‘Block Everything’ protesters outside Paris’s Gare du Nord on Wednesday. Pic: Reuters
A teacher, Christophe Lalande, taking part in the Paris protests, told reporters at the scene: “Bayrou was ousted, [now] his policies must be eliminated.”
Elsewhere, union member Amar Lagha said: “This day is a message to all the workers of this country: that there is no resignation, the fight continues, and a message to this government that we won’t back down, and if we have to die, we’ll die standing.”
Image: An explosion caused by an Israeli airstrike in Doha, Qatar. Pic: AP
It’s also shattered the critical sense of trust needed in these fragile ceasefire talks.
Qatar has played a critical role as an intermediary between Israel and Hamas for the last two years and those diplomatic efforts have been blown apart by this unprecedented attack.
Qatar has reacted with absolute fury and it has shocked and angered other Gulf neighbours, who, like Qatar, stake their reputation on being hubs of regional peace and stability.
Donald Trump is clearly unhappy, too. A strike on Qatar – a key American ally and home to Al Udeid Air Base, the largest US military hub in the Middle East – is seen as a dangerous escalation.
There’s no suggestion that permission was sought by Israel from its own closest ally in Washington.
And there’s little clarity if they were even forewarned by the IDF, as the White House said it learned of the attack from its own military.
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0:32
Aftermath of IDF strike on Hamas in heart of Doha
Donald Trump’s envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, was then tasked with alerting Qatar immediately, but by this point, it was too late.
According to Qatar’s foreign ministry, that call came 10 minutes after the first explosion was heard in Doha.
It’s clear Israel has crossed a huge diplomatic red line here.
Qatar plays a pivotal role on the international stage, punching well above its diplomatic weight for a country of its size.
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What was Israel thinking, carrying out this attack? And was it worth it?
They claim it was a “precise strike”, but none of the Hamas leadership were taken out as they claimed was their objective.
Five lower-ranking officials were killed along with a member of Qatar’s security forces. What it has done is left any hope of ceasefire talks in tatters.
For many, this was a huge miscalculation by Benjamin Netanyahu.