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The US president could not have been clearer. 

Asked whether he was comfortable with reports Israel was about to launch a ground invasion into Lebanon, he said: “No. I’m comfortable with them stopping. We should have a ceasefire now.”

Israel’s response? To launch an invasion anyway.

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It was a remarkable moment in US-Israel relations. Israel depends on American patronage. Without American support, it would simply be unable to defend itself.

And yet Benjamin Netanyahu’s Israeli government is thumbing its nose at its closest ally and carrying on regardless.

Most of all, Americans fear a wider war sucking in most of the region. Those fears seem to be coming to pass after Iran’s latest attack on Israel.

A map showing the evacuation and buffer zones inside Lebanon

It has been an extraordinary week for the Israeli-American alliance.

Last week, the Israeli prime minister misled the Americans for all the world to see.

On the eve of his address to the UN, he agreed to the idea of a ceasefire. US officials then said publicly they were confident a truce would be implemented “in the coming hours”.

The next day, as he actually landed on American soil in New York, he rejected the idea and then authorised the biggest escalation of this war – the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah.

He has made the Biden administration look foolish and impotent.

Netanyahu also warned that there was 'no place' in Iran that the long arm of Israel couldn't reach.
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Netanyahu warned at the UN that there was ‘no place’ in Iran that the long arm of Israel couldn’t reach

Joe Biden speaking at the UN. Pic: Reuters
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Joe Biden had a very different message at the UN last week. Pic: Reuters

Unable to stop the invasion of Lebanon, Joe Biden’s diplomats are trying to restrain Israel instead.

Well-sourced reports say the US has been urging Israel to make its invasion of Lebanon limited in scope.

That may be a forlorn hope. Israel has moved four more brigades to the north. It clearly sees this as an opportunity to do maximum damage to Hezbollah.

Even if its plans are for a limited operation, plans rarely survive first contact with the enemy, as a Prussian military strategist famously once observed.

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Why is Israel able to get away with this?

Because Benjamin Netanyahu has Joe Biden exactly where he wants him. The American president is snookered.

Just over a month away from the US election, he cannot possibly fall out with the Israeli prime minister while Israel is under attack. That would be politically disastrous.

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‘Not safe to cross river’ in Lebanon, says Israel

The US must also stand fast with Israel for pressing strategic reasons.

The US is deeply worried Iran might wade into this war. Those fears now seem well founded. Any distance between America and Israel might encourage Iran to do its worst.

Make no mistake, the US welcomes the death of Hassan Nasrallah and the degrading of Hezbollah. It has the blood of hundreds of Americans on its hands.

And the US government is absolutely committed to Israel’s right to self-defence.

But the Biden administration wants this to end – and end now – with a ceasefire.

Read more:
What is Iran’s ‘axis of resistance’?
Lebanese families wiped out in village

Blow for Biden after years of support for Israel

For Joe Biden and his vice president, the spectacle of the Middle East descending into fiery chaos is an electoral nightmare.

Kamala Harris’s opponents have long fostered the impression their combined term in office has been a disaster overseas.

American officials are deeply concerned the Israelis do not have an endgame.

They fear mission creep, and the risk of Israel being drawn into a quagmire in Lebanon.

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Rocket lands on Israeli motorway

President Biden has been a steadfast supporter and friend of Israel in a half-century of public office.

He has sent Israel billions of dollars of aid since 7 October and the Hamas attacks. He has paid a political price for that support of Israel, branded “Genocide Joe” by his opponents.

One very senior diplomat from the region who knows both the Israelis and Americans very well put it like this – after all he has done for Israel, the least the US president could have been given in return in his last few weeks in office was a ceasefire in the Middle East.

Instead, he says the Israelis have given Joe Biden “a kick in the teeth”.

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Brazil ‘surprised’ UK not investing in new rainforest fund it helped design

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Brazil 'surprised' UK not investing in new rainforest fund it helped design

Brazil was “a bit surprised” Britain hasn’t contributed to a new investment fund to protect tropical forests, despite having helped to design it, a senior official has told Sky News. 

The Amazon nation has used its role as host of the COP30 climate talks to tout its new scheme, which it drew up with the help of countries including the UK and Indonesia.

With Britain’s budget day looming, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer decided against chipping in when he visited the Amazonian city of Belem this month.

The news came out the day before Brazil was about to launch it.

“The Brazilians were livid” about the timing, one source told Sky News.

Lush rainforest and waterways in the Brazilian Amazon
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Lush rainforest and waterways in the Brazilian Amazon

A waterfall in Kayapo territory in Brazil
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A waterfall in Kayapo territory in Brazil

Garo Batmanian, director-general of the Brazilian Forestry Service and coordinator of the new scheme, said: “We were expecting [Britain to pay in] because the UK was the very first one to support us.”

The so-called Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF) was drawn up with the help of “very bright people from the UK”, according to Mr Batmanian.

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“So we are a bit surprised, but we expect that once internal situations get better, hopefully they will come through,” he added.

The UK’s climate envoy, Rachel Kyte, told Sky News: “The PM agreed the decision was about not doing it now, as opposed to not ever.

“We will look at the TFFF after the budget and are carefully tracking how others are investing.”

Forest growing back from a fire (bottom left) and deforestation alongside healthy sections of Amazon rainforest
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Forest growing back from a fire (bottom left) and deforestation alongside healthy sections of Amazon rainforest

The fund has been hailed as a breakthrough – if Brazil can get if off the ground.

Paul Polman, former Unilever boss and now co-vice chair of Planetary Guardians, said it could be the “first forest-finance plan big enough to change the game”.

Why do tropical forests need help?

At their best, tropical forests like the Amazon and the Congo Basin provide food, rainfall and clean air for millions of people around the world.

They soak up carbon dioxide – the main driver of climate change – providing a cooling effect on a heating planet.

But they are being nibbled away at by extractive industries like oil, logging, soy and gold.

Parts of the Amazon rainforest already emit more carbon dioxide than they store.

Other pockets are expected to collapse in the next few decades, meaning they’d no longer be rainforests at all.

Read more from COP30:
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COP30 – why is it so controversial?

Greenpeace says deforested land could be better used, which would save the need for more land to be cleared
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Greenpeace says deforested land could be better used, which would save the need for more land to be cleared

Cristiane Mazzetti, senior forest campaigner at Greenpeace Brazil, said: “Science is saying we need to immediately stop deforestation and start restoring what was once lost.

“And in Brazil, we already have enough open land that could be better used for agricultural expansion… There is no need [to open up] new areas.”

Can Brazil’s new investment fund save the world’s rainforests?

For decades, forests have been worth more dead than alive.

Successive attempts to save them have fallen flat because they’ve not been able to flip the economics in favour of conservation, or ensure a long-term stream of cash.

Brazil hopes the TFFF, if it launches, would make forests worth more standing than cut down, and pay out to countries and communities making that happen.

Mining is a lucrative industry in the Amazon. Pic: Reuters
Image:
Mining is a lucrative industry in the Amazon. Pic: Reuters

“We don’t pay only for carbon, we are paying for a hectare of standing forest. The more forests you have, the more you are paid,” said Mr Batmanian.

The other “innovation” is to stop relying on aid donations, he said.

“There is a lot of demand for overseas development assistance. It’s normal to have that. We have a lot of crisis, pandemics, epidemics out there.”

Instead, the TFFF is an investment fund that would compete with other commercial propositions.

Mr Polman said: “This isn’t charity, it’s smart economic infrastructure to protect the Amazon and keep our planet safe.”

How does the TFFF raise money?

The idea is to raise a first tranche of cash from governments that can de-risk the fund for private investors.

Every $1 invested by governments could attract a further $4 of private cash.

The TFFF would then be able to take a higher amount of risk to raise above-market returns, Brazil hopes.

That means it could generate enough cash to pay competitive returns to investors and payments to the eligible countries and communities keeping their tropical trees upright.

At least 20% of the payments has been earmarked for indigenous communities, widely regarded as the best stewards of the land. Many, but not all, have welcomed the idea.

Will the TFFF work?

The proposal needs at least $10-25bn of government money to get off the ground.

So far it has raised $5.5bn from the likes of Norway, France, and Indonesia. And the World Bank has agreed to host it, signalling strong credibility.

But it’s a hard task to generate enough money to compete with lucrative industries like gold and oil, many of which governments already invest in.

Dr Andreza Aruska de Souza Santos, director, Brazil Institute, King's College London
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Dr Andreza Aruska de Souza Santos, director, Brazil Institute, King’s College London

Dr Andreza Aruska de Souza Santos, director of King’s College London’s Brazil Institute, said TFFF has the potential to make it “very financially viable to have a forest as a forest”.

“But the problem is that TFFF would need to compete with these very profitable industries… because you need to capture as much money from governments, from investors.

“And so far it’s not quite balancing the competitiveness of other sectors that are potentially harmful for forests.”

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COP30: Climate protest in Brazil’s city of Belem aims to hold governments’ feet to the fire

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COP30: Climate protest in Brazil's city of Belem aims to hold governments' feet to the fire

Hot, humid, loud and proud: the climate protest in the city of Belem was the embodiment of the Amazonian rainforest that surrounds it.

Hawkers brought carts selling bananas, mangoes and coconuts – while demonstrators bore umbrellas, hats and fans to shelter from the scorching tropical sun.

After a week of dreary negotiations at the COP30 climate talks, the streets were alive with the drumming of maracatu music and dancing to local carimbo rhythms on Saturday.

It was a carnival atmosphere designed to elevate sober issues.

The climate protest in the city of Belem
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The climate protest in the city of Belem

Among those out on the streets were Kayapo people, an indigenous community living across the states of Para and Mato Grosso – the latter at the frontier of soy expansion in the Brazilian Amazon.

They are fighting local infrastructure projects like the new Ferrograo railway that will transport soy through their homeland.

The soy industry raises much-needed cash for Brazil’s economy – its second biggest export – but the kayapo say they do not get a slice of the benefit.

More on Cop30

The climate protest
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The climate protest

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Uti, a Kayapo community leader, said: “We do not accept the construction of the Ferrograo and some other projects.

“We Kayapo do not accept any of this being built on indigenous land.”

Many Brazilian indigenous and community groups here want legal recognition of the rights to their land – and on Friday, the Brazilian government agreed to designate two more territories to the Mundurucu people.

It’s a Brazilian lens on global issues – indigenous peoples are widely regarded as the best stewards of the land, but rarely rewarded for their efforts.

In fact, it is often a terrible opposite: grandmother Julia Chunil Catricura had been fighting to stay on Mapuche land in southern Chile, but disappeared earlier this year when she went out for a walk.

Lefimilla Catalina, also Mapuche, said she’s travelled two days to be here in Belem to raise the case of Julia, and to forge alliances with other groups.

The protest in the city of Belem
Image:
The protest in the city of Belem

“At least [COP30] makes it visible” to the world that people are “facing conflicts” on their land, she said.

She added: “COP offers a tiny space [for indigenous people], and we want to be more involved.

“We want to have more influence, and that’s why we believe we have to take ownership of these spaces, we can’t stay out of it.”

They are joined by climate protesters from around the world in an effort to hold governments’ feet to the fire.

Louise Hutchins, convener of Make Polluters Pay Coalition International, said: “We’re here to say to governments they need to make the oil and gas companies pay up for the climate destruction – they’ve made billions in profits every day for the last 50 years.”

After three years of COPs with no protests – the UAE, Egypt, and Azerbaijan do not look kindly on people taking to the streets – this year demonstrators have defined the look, the tone and the soundtrack of the COP30 climate talks – and Saturday was no different.

Whether that will translate into anything more ambitious to come out of COP30 remains to be seen, with another week of negotiations still to go.

For now, the protests in Belem reflect the chaos, the mess and the beauty of Brazil, the COP process, and the rest of the world beyond.

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Video shows Storm Claudia’s impact in Portugal as ‘tornado’ devastates Algarve

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Video shows Storm Claudia's impact in Portugal as 'tornado' devastates Algarve

Video has shown the devastating impact Storm Claudia has had on Portugal, where “tornado-like” winds battered the country, local media said.

Footage from a holiday campsite in Albufeira, where an 85-year-old British woman was killed, shows the extent of the damage caused by the extreme winds, which reached up to 114kmph in Portugal’s southern region of the Algarve.

Regional commander of the Algarve, Vitor Vaz Pinto, said dozens of people were injured in the area after Storm Claudia hit, two of whom were seriously injured.

A destroyed campsite in the aftermath of Storm Claudia in Albufeira, in southern Portugal's Algarve region. Pic: AP
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A destroyed campsite in the aftermath of Storm Claudia in Albufeira, in southern Portugal’s Algarve region. Pic: AP

The injured were of Portuguese, Spanish and British nationalities and ranged in age from six to 85 years old.

Follow the latest updates on Storm Claudia

According to media reports, the woman was initially reported missing at a campsite and later found dead.

SIC, which is Sky News’ Portuguese partner network, said an “extreme wind phenomenon” occurred around 10am on Saturday at the holiday site.

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Flooding in Portugal due to Storm Claudia. Pic: S.I.C. TV
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Flooding in Portugal due to Storm Claudia. Pic: S.I.C. TV

Portuguese Prime Minister Luis Montenegro expressed his “heartfelt condolences” to the family of the British woman and wished a “speedy recovery” to those who have been injured after the strong winds hit.

Portuguese media described the extreme weather in the Algarve as a tornado.

The storm, which was named by the Spanish meteorological service, affected Portugal and parts of Spain, Britain and Ireland.

Sky News’ weather presenter Jo Wheeler said the IPMA, or Portuguese Institute for the Sea and Atmosphere, had issued red rain warnings and severe wind warnings “well ahead of the storm’s arrival”.

She said there have been more than 2,434 weather-related incidents reported in the Algarve, including a downburst – a strong downward rush of air from a thunderstorm, causing similar damage to a tornado but linear rather than rotational -at Praia da Carvoeiro, with wind gusts of 114 km/hour.

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Pics: AP
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Pics: AP

Wheeler added that the presence of a tornado in Albufeira was yet to be confirmed, but it would account for the extent of the damage seen.

On Thursday, rescue workers found the bodies of an elderly couple inside their flooded home in Fernao Ferro, across the River Tagus from Lisbon.

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‘Heartbreaking scenes’ – as floods devastate South Wales

Storm Claudia in the UK

In the UK, Storm Claudia caused severe flooding in the town of Monmouth and surrounding areas in southeastern Wales on Saturday.

Senedd Member Peter Fox described the impact as being “devastating”.

Rescues, evacuations, and welfare checks were being carried out by the South Wales Fire and Rescue Service, the force said.

“Storm Claudia has caused significant flooding in parts of Wales overnight, which continues to affect homes, businesses, transport and energy infrastructure,” a spokesperson for the Welsh government said.

Natural Resources Wales has issued 11 flood warnings, four of which are severe, as well as 17 flood alerts.

In England, according to the Environment Agency’s latest update, there were 49 active flood warnings and 134 flood alerts.

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