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Tesla is set to report third-quarter vehicle production and delivery numbers on Wednesday. 

Analysts are expecting Elon Musk‘s automaker to report about 463,310 deliveries, according to estimates compiled by FactSet StreetAccount. That would include about 435,900 of Tesla’s Model 3 sedans and Model Y SUVs.

Tesla reported deliveries of 435,059 and production of 430,488 vehicles for the same period a year ago, before it was selling the Cybertruck. More recently, Tesla reported deliveries of 443,956 and production of 410,831 vehicles for the second quarter of 2024.

If Tesla meets analysts’ expectations that would represent a 6.5% year-over-year increase for deliveries after declines in the first and second quarters of 2024.

Deliveries are not defined in Tesla’s financial disclosures, but they are the closest approximation to units sold reported by the company.

In the third quarter, as it did earlier this year, Tesla continued to offer a variety of incentives and financing plans to drive sales volumes, particularly in the largest market for EVs in the world, mainland China.

Tesla hasn’t given specific guidance for the full year of deliveries in 2024, but the company has said it expects a lower delivery growth rate this year versus last. Wells Fargo, pointing to this lack of guidance, said in a note that it’s expecting 1.63 million full-year deliveries for Tesla and third-quarter deliveries at around 440,000, below consensus.

Goldman Sachs last week said it expects Tesla deliveries and production “to come in-line with consensus, largely driven by the strength in the China market.” Goldman Sachs recommended buying call options ahead of the Wednesday report.

Robotaxi day in focus

Shares in the EV maker are up more than 20% over the past month, in anticipation that deliveries could improve year over year and sequentially in the third quarter, and ahead of the company’s robotaxi day on Oct. 10.

Tesla plans to host investors and fans at its “We, Robot” marketing event at a Warner Bros. Discovery movie studio in Los Angeles.

The automaker is expected to show off the design of a “dedicated robotaxi,” which Musk has referred to previously as the CyberCab. Tesla may also provide updates on its humanoid robotics project “Optimus” and other automotive and AI-driven products and services.

Tesla EV sales and revenue fell in the first half of 2024, and the company still has yet to deliver a self-driving system that can function as a robotaxi without a human driver at the wheel ready to steer or brake at any time. Tesla also renamed its premium driver assistance option to Full Self-Driving Supervised, tacking on a disclaimer-style term at the end.

Meanwhile, several rivals in the autonomous vehicle industry have begun producing robotaxis, and operating commercial robotaxi services. Rivals include Alphabet-owned Waymo in the U.S., and Pony.ai and Baidu in China. Amazon-owned Zoox is preparing a launch of a commercial robotaxi service in the U.S. as well.

Tesla brand erosion

Some customer interest in buying Tesla vehicles has been chilled by the brand’s strong association with Musk. 

The company’s favorability among both liberal and conservative consumers fell in July, according to CivicScience. Tesla favorability dropped with Democrats to 18% in July, down from 39% in January, and it declined among Republicans to 22%, down from 36% in January. 

Musk — who also leads SpaceX, X and xAI — has long shared provocative posts on social media, but in recent years, he’s become less filtered and more vociferous online about his right-wing political beliefs.

In July, he publicly endorsed former President Donald Trump, and he frequently posts screeds on X concerning illegal immigration, election fraud, crime, violence and other flashpoint issues.

He has shared political misinformation and deepfakes with his massive online following on X, according to reports by The Associated Press, CNN, NBC News, The New York Times and others. Before Musk acquired Twitter, now known as X, his feed focused more on Tesla and SpaceX, according to an analysis by The Washington Post.

Among the posts Musk recently spread on X were false claims that Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, were eating people’s pets. The Springfield Police Division, Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine and other local groups have all said the claims were baseless.

It remains to be seen whether left-leaning customers’ view of Musk will weigh on deliveries this year. Pew Research has found that Democrats have a much more favorable view of battery-electric vehicles and are more likely to buy them than Republicans in the U.S.

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Superhot geothermal energy could unearth big power boost for the AI era

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Superhot geothermal energy could unearth big power boost for the AI era

Clean Start: Drilling to reach superhot geothermal energy 12 miles below Earth's surface

Geothermal energy has been used for thousands of years, powering heating systems as early as the 14th century. It’s getting a big upgrade.

Beyond geothermal, there’s superhot geothermal, which uses ultra-deep drilling to access extremely hot rocks, extracting 5 to 10 times more power per well.

Quaise Energy, a  Massachusetts-based startup, is in the market developing the technology, which involves an electromagnetic beam that vaporizes rock. The company’s systems are able to reach superhot geothermal energy up to 12 miles below the service of the earth.

Temperatures that deep can reach 500 degrees Celsius, or over 930 degrees Fahrenheit.

“To access the resource at a scale that actually matters, we have to drill hotter first and deeper second,” said Carlos Araque, CEO of Quaise. “The oil industry routinely drills to depths of 2 to 3 miles, and maybe no more than 150 to 200 degrees Fahrenheit. We need to double or triple that to actually start to get the right resource.”

Quaise’s technology was invented at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 2007. The company is working to scale it for commercial use, and demonstrated its technology with oil and gas company Nabors Industries in June. While the drilling itself is costlier, the energy output is so much higher that it’s ultimately a cost savings for the heat.

“We intend to build the first in the world superhot, or super critical geothermal power plant, to show exactly that 10X output that you get by going hotter,” Araque said.

Quaise plans to pilot the plant near Bend, Oregon, and hopes to have it ready by 2028. Nabors sees it as a very timely play.

“The potential of the market, the size of the market, the fact that today’s world with data centers, with AI, with the electrification of everything, we require so much power, kind of at all times,” said Guillermo Sierra, vice president, energy transition at Nabors.

Nabors is also an investor in Quaise. Other backers include Prelude Ventures, Engine Ventures, Safar Partners, Mitsubishi and Collab Fund. The company has raised a total of $103 million.

Sierra said the technology could also help repurpose a significant portion of the labor force that’s working in oil and gas.

At a geothermal event in Washington, D.C., in March, Department of Energy Secretary Chris Wright showed strong support for geothermal energy. He said it could help with the growth of artificial intelligence and manufacturing and lower prices for electricity.

Wright also noted that President Donald Trump specifically mentioned geothermal, along with nuclear and hydropower, in his National Energy Emergency executive order. The recently passed tax and spending bill kept funding for geothermal, originally part of the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act, while cutting money for other forms of renewable energy.

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Meta slated to reported second-quarter earnings after the bell

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Meta slated to reported second-quarter earnings after the bell

Mark Zuckerberg, CEO of Meta Platforms.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Meta is set to report its second-quarter earnings on Wednesday, with analysts eyeing any changes to the company’s costs and related guidance amid CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s recent artificial intelligence hiring blitz.

Here’s what analysts polled by LSEG are expecting:

  • Earnings per share: $5.92 expected
  • Revenue: $44.8 billion expected

Investors are likely to be monitoring any comments from Zuckerberg about his company’s recent spending on AI and how that technology might benefit Meta’s core online advertising business.

Meta kicked off its AI hiring bonanza in June when it invested $14.3 billion into Scale AI, landing the data-annotating startup’s CEO Alexandr Wang to co-lead the new Meta Superintelligence Labs as the company’s chief AI officer. Zuckerberg undertook the AI strategy overhaul to help the company regain momentum after lukewarm developer response to its Llama 4 AI model, CNBC reported Tuesday.

Cantor analysts wrote that they do not expect Meta’s AI hiring spree will affect the company’s 2025 projections for total expenses, estimated to fall in the range between $113 billion and $118 billion. If anything, Meta’s AI hiring blitz could move “the target above the low end,” the Cantor analysts wrote.

Zuckerberg said in July that the company would invest “hundreds of billions of dollars” into computing infrastructure for its AI endeavors, but the company hasn’t officially revised its 2025 capital expenditures since April. That month, Meta said its 2025 capital expenditures would come in the range of $64 billion to $72 billion, which was an increase from its previous outlook of $60 billion to $65 billion.

Analysts at BofA Securities said in a research note published Friday that there are signs that Meta could post second-quarter sales at or above the high end of the company’s previous guidance of $42.5 billion to $45.5 billion for the period.

Those positive signs include an increase of advertising spending from brands during the quarter and Google’s strong quarterly earnings results from last week, the analysts wrote, which implies that Meta, second only to Alphabet in digital advertising, could also post solid results.

Don’t miss these insights from CNBC PRO

Executive Edge: Meta is reportedly considering a significant change to its AI strategy

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Microsoft set to report earnings after the close

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Microsoft set to report earnings after the close

Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella speaks at an event commemorating the 50th anniversary of the company at Microsoft headquarters in Redmond, Washington, on , April 4, 2025.

David Ryder | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Microsoft is scheduled to report fiscal fourth-quarter results after markets close on Wednesday.

Here’s what analysts are expecting, according to LSEG consensus:

  • Earnings per share: $3.37
  • Revenue: $73.81 billion

The estimates imply around 14% year-over-year revenue growth for Microsoft, the world’s No. 2 company by market cap. Revenue in the same period a year earlier came in at $64.73 billion.

Like technology rivals Alphabet and Amazon, Microsoft has been rushing to add data center capacity to meet soaring demand for running artificial intelligence models. Analysts polled by Visible Alpha expect $100.5 billion in capital expenditures in Microsoft’s 2026 fiscal year, which ends in June, representing 14% growth.

Last week Alphabet bumped up its 2025 capital spending forecast by $10 billion to $85 billion.

Investors also track Microsoft’s overall Azure cloud computing business, which is expanding as companies migrate software from on-premises data centers. Analysts polled by StreetAccount expect Azure growth of 34.4%, while CNBC’s consensus is 35.3%. In the fiscal third quarter, Azure growth came to 33%.

During the quarter, Microsoft celebrated its 50th anniversary, laid off more than 6,000 people and introduced a GitHub feature for assigning coding tasks to the Copilot assistant. The company also said LinkedIn chief Ryan Roslansky would take on added responsibility running Office productivity applications.

Microsoft shares are up about 22% in 2025, while the S&P 500 index has gained 8% over the same time period.

Executives will discuss the results with analysts on a conference call starting at 5:30 p.m. ET.

WATCH: San Francisco rolls out Microsoft’s Copilot to city staff

San Francisco rolls out Microsoft's Copilot to city staff

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