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At a late-night drinks party this week, a senior Conservative took out his metaphorical sorting hat and assigned the Tory leadership candidates into Hogwart Houses.

According to this former minister who knows them all very well, Kemi Badenoch was Gryffindor “for courage”, Robert Jenrick was Slytherin due to “ambition”, James Cleverly was “loyal” Hufflepuff and Tom Tugendhat was Ravenclaw – “book-smart”.

It was a bit of fun, but it did make a more serious point.

Former centrist Mr Jenrick had, through ambition and some cunning, managed to muscle past other contenders on the right of the party – Suella Braverman, Priti Patel – to be the frontrunner in this race.

Kemi Badenoch, who prides herself on taking on a fight, telling hard truths and wading into culture wars, is a darling of the party because of her readiness to tell it as it is: and they both came into this party conference as the two frontrunners in this race.

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But this week it has been Mr Cleverly’s approach of party loyalty, steadfastness and friendship that has gained momentum as he impressed the hall in his “fireside chat” interview with GB News’s Christopher Hope – he got a standing ovation for that – and then delivered an assured performance on the main stage in the final act of this political beauty pageant.

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The former cabinet minister came to this conference trailing behind the two frontrunners with Tom Tugendhat. He leaves with some momentum as the bookies’ odds make him second favourite behind Mr Jenrick to win the leadership race, with Ms Badenoch pushed into third place.

His team – and the man himself – are clearly very pleased with how the week has played out. “We knew we were coming in with a job to do, and we executed it. It’s gone exactly how we planned.”

Whether he makes it to the final two is anyone’s guess – this is still a very open race with a possibility that Mr Jenrick, Ms Badenoch or Mr Cleverly end up as the leader.

Mr Tugendhat looks more likely next week to be knocked out by MPs in the ballot on 9 October after a rather flat reception in the hall – but it’s all in play for the other three.

Because, for all the cunning and the courage of the frontrunners, Mr Cleverly has bolstered his chances by calling on the party to be “more normal” again and reiterating his experience.

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Tory leadership candidates final pitches

“Now is not the time for an apprentice. I’m not doing this because I want to be something. I’m doing this because I want to do something.” His pitch was traditional Tory – lower taxes, more military spend, cut red tape. His tone was friendly, optimistic and fun.

Mr Jenrick, who has set his stall on tackling migration and leaving the ECHR, has been the front runner in the first two rounds with MPs, but failed to lift the room as he delivered a speech without notes or autocue. He came into this conference ahead but failed to seal the deal.

Ms Badenoch promised to “tell the truth about our party, our politics our future” and said she would start from “first principles” to dismantle the “Blair and Brown framework of ever increasing social, economic and legal control”.

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Jenrick in touching distance of Badenoch – poll

After a bumpy week caused by controversy around various remarks she’s made on the fringes of this conference – be that on maternity pay, the minimum wage or civil servants needing to be “locked up’ – she will leave pleased at least with her pitch on stage.

There hasn’t been a gamechanger this week at conference, but Mr Cleverly has certainly played the game well and inserted himself into this race in a real way.

It will be up to MPs to decide whether the former foreign secretary will make the final two – but what he has proved is that ambition, courage and cunning are not the only routes to success.

What this week has also reminded us of is what a mammoth task whoever wins will have to rebuild the party after its worst election defeat in modern history.

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Sir Keir Starmer could be ousted as PM within months, two senior Labour MPs tell Sky News

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No 10 backs Chancellor Rachel Reeves and says she 'is going nowhere' after tearful appearance in Commons

Two senior Labour MPs have suggested the prime minister may have to go within months if the government continues to perform poorly.

Sky News’ deputy political editor Sam Coates said his sources – a member of the government and a prominent politician – have “put Sir Keir Starmer on notice”.

Both warned that, if Labour performs badly in next May’s elections across Wales, Scotland and London, it could mark the end of his time in Downing Street.

Coates added: “The level of unhappiness and despair in parts of the Labour Party is so striking that right now, on the first anniversary, I am hearing from ministers in government that Starmer might have to go in months.”

Reform UK is surging in the polls in Wales, while Labour faces a threat from left-wing parties such as the Greens in London.

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Why was the chancellor crying at PMQs?

It comes as the prime minister made it clear that Rachel Reeves has his “complete support” as chancellor and remains integral to his project, Sky News’s political editor Beth Rigby understands.

She looked visibly upset during Prime Minister’s Questions, with a spokesperson claiming she had been affected by a “personal matter”.

A day earlier, Sir Keir’s controversial welfare bill was passed despite a sizeable rebellion from Labour MPs, with major U-turns meaning a new £5bn black hole has appeared in the country’s finances.

One senior figure told Rigby that the pair were as “as close politically” as any chancellor and prime minister have ever been.

“She is going absolutely nowhere,” they added.

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Welfare vote ‘a blow to the prime minister’

Ms Reeves’s tears sent markets spiralling, with the value of the pound and long-term government bonds falling sharply.

Later in the day Sir Keir, said Ms Reeves will be chancellor for a “very long time to come”.

The prime minister said it was “absolutely wrong” to suggest her tearful appearance in the Commons related to the welfare U-turn.

“It’s got nothing to do with politics, nothing to do with what’s happened this week. It was a personal matter for her,” he said while speaking to the BBC’s podcast Political Thinking with Nick Robinson.

“I’m not going to intrude on her privacy by talking to you about that. It is a personal matter.”

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Asked if she will remain in post, he said: “She will be chancellor by the time this is broadcast, she will be chancellor for a very long time to come, because this project that we’ve been working on to change the Labour party, to win the election, change the country, that is a project which the chancellor and I’ve been working on together.”

He said Ms Reeves has done a “fantastic job” and added: “She and I work together, we think together. In the past, there have been examples – I won’t give any specific – of chancellors and prime ministers who weren’t in lockstep. We’re in lockstep.”

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Starmer to set out 10-year vision for NHS

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Starmer to set out 10-year vision for NHS

Sir Keir Starmer will set out his 10-year vision for the NHS in what the government says is “one of the most seismic shifts” in the health service’s history.

He will pledge three main facets of the plan: moving care into the community, digitising the NHS, and a focus on sickness prevention.

The prime minister will announce neighbourhood health services will be rolled out across England to improve access to the NHS and to shift care out of overstrained hospitals.

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What will the NHS 10-year health plan focus on?

Sir Keir has already promised thousands more GPs will be trained, and to end the 8am “scramble” for an appointment.

He also previously said his government will bring the NHS into the digital age, with “groundbreaking” new tools to support GPs rolled out over the next two years – including AI to take notes, draft letters and enter data.

And he will promise new contracts that will encourage and allow GP practices to cover a wider geographical area, so small practices will get more support.

Unite, one of the UK’s largest healthcare unions, welcomed the plan cautiously but said staff need to be the focus to ensure people are better looked after.

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‘Reform or die’

Sir Keir said: “The NHS should be there for everyone, whenever they need it.

“But we inherited a health system in crisis, addicted to a sticking plaster approach, and unable to face up to the challenges we face now, let alone in the future.

“That ends now. Because it’s reform or die.”

He said the government’s plan “will fundamentally rewire and futureproof our NHS, so that it puts care on people’s doorsteps, harnesses game-changing tech and prevents illness in the first place”.

The PM said it would not be an “overnight fix”, but claimed Labour are “already turning the tide on years of decline”, pointing towards more than four million extra appointments, 1,900 more GPs, and waiting lists at a two-year low.

“But there’s more to come,” he promised. “This government is giving patients easier, quicker and more convenient care, wherever they live.”

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Why has Starmer axed NHS England?

Neighbourhood health services

The newly announced neighbourhood health services will provide “pioneering teams” in local communities, so patients can more conveniently access a full range of healthcare services close to home.

Local areas will be encouraged to trial innovative schemes like community outreach door-to-door to detect early signs of illness and reduce pressure on GPs and A&E.

The aim is to eventually have new health centres open 12 hours a day, six days a week to offer GP services as well as diagnostics, post-operative care and rehab.

They will also offer services like debt advice, employment support, stop smoking help or weight management.

More NHS dentists

Dentists will also be part of the plan, with dental care professionals part of the neighbourhood teams.

Dental “therapists” will carry out check-ups, treatments and referrals, while dental nurses could give education and advice to parents or work with schools and community groups.

Newly qualified dentists will be required to practice in the NHS for a minimum period, which they have said will be three years.

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‘Trust and confidence lost’ over grooming gang failures in Manchester, watchdog warns

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'Trust and confidence lost' over grooming gang failures in Manchester, watchdog warns

Despite making “significant improvements”, Greater Manchester Police (GMP) has lost the “trust and confidence” of some victims of grooming gangs, according to a report by the police watchdog.

Michelle Skeer, His Majesty’s Inspector of Constabulary, said that since 2019, when GMP started to review its non-recent child sexual exploitation investigations, “the force has improved its understanding and approach to investigating allegations of child criminal and sexual exploitation”.

The document, published today, said police have live investigations into “multi-victim, multi-offender” child sexual exploitation inquiries, involving 714 victims and survivors, and 1,099 suspects.

Grooming gangs scandal timeline

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‘Our chance for justice’

But despite recording improvements, a report by His Majesty’s Inspectorate of Constabulary and Fire & Rescue Services (HMICFRS) also identified:

• Various training gaps within the investigation team
• Lack of consistency in evaluating case files between social care, health and police
• Failures to initially support victims meant they had “lost trust and confidence” in police

The report was commissioned by the Mayor of Greater Manchester Andy Burnham in 2024 to evaluate whether police, councils and health services can protect children from sexual exploitation in the future.

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Its release comes days after Sir Keir Starmer announced he was launching a new national inquiry into grooming gangs after previously arguing one was not necessary,

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Starmer to launch new grooming gang inquiry

The findings were issued as the final part of the CSE (child sexual exploitation) Assurance Review process which started in 2017. The first three reports examined non-recent child sexual exploitation in Manchester, Oldham and Rochdale.

Mr Skeer said that the force has been trying to improve its service to those who have experienced sexual exploitation, but previous failings have badly affected trust in GMP.

He said: “For some, trust and confidence in the police had been lost, and the force would not be able to rectify their experiences.

“It is vital that improvements are led by victims’ experiences, and if they do come forward, they are supported, protected and taken seriously.”

A recent report by Baroness Casey found a significant over-representation of Asian men who are suspects in grooming gangs in Greater Manchester, adding though authorities are in “denial” more needs to be done to understand why this is the case.

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Teen caught in child sex exploitation

Inspectors also said there were “training gaps” in some investigation teams and issues with data sharing, with local councils sometimes not willing to provide detectives with information, leading to “significant delays in investigations” into grooming gangs.

It cites problems with intelligence provided by Manchester City Council, which took months to arrive and “was so heavily redacted that some pages contained only a few words”, the report said.

Read more from Sky News:
Analysis: Badenoch’s grooming gangs outrage
Grooming survivor wants apology from Starmer

GMP is the only force in the country to set up a dedicated team to investigate grooming gangs. Called the Child Sexual Exploitation Major Investigation Team (CSE MIT) it has about 100 staff and a ringfenced budget.

In October 2024, the force told inspectors there were 59 live multi-victim, multi-offender child sexual exploitation investigations, of which 13 were being managed by the CSE MIT.

The report adds: “The force fully accepts that it made mistakes in the past.

“It has taken positive and effective steps to learn from these mistakes and improve how it investigates recent and non-recent child sexual exploitation.”

Separately, the Baird Inquiry published in July 2024 found officers at GMP were abusing their power – making unlawful arrests, unlawful and demeaning strip searches, sometimes treating victims as perpetrators, and traumatising those who have suffered sexual abuse or domestic violence.

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