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Rivian (RIVN) no longer expects to build as many vehicles this year as it did in 2023. After third-quarter deliveries fell, Rivian lowered its EV production plans for 2024. Here’s what to expect in the last few months of the year.

Rivian is lowering its EV production plans for 2024

After announcing Q3 delivery and production numbers, Rivian updated guidance for the year. The EV maker now expects to build fewer vehicles in 2024 than last year.

Rivian delivered 10,018 vehicles in the third quarter, down 27% from the 13,790 handed over in Q2 and 26% (13,588) from the first three months of 2024.

After a supply shortage began in Q3, Rivian cut production plans for the year. It now expects to build between 47,000 and 49,000 vehicles this year, down from its previous 57,000 target.

With another 13,157 vehicles built in Q3, Rivian’s production total reached 36,749 through September.

Rivian did, however, reaffirm delivery guidance for the year. The EV maker expects slight growth from the 50,122 vehicles delivered last year and plans to deliver between 50,500 and 52,000 EVs in 2024.

Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 2024 YTD 2024 guidance
Deliveries 13,588 13,790 10,018 37,396 50,500 – 52,000
Production 13,980 9,612 13,157 36,749 47,000 – 49,000
Rivian deliveries and production by quarter in 2024

During its first Investor Day in July, Rivian said it still expects to achieve its first gross profit in Q4 2024. With a supply shortage disrupting a “shared component” of its R1 (R1T and R1S) and RCV platforms, will Rivian stand by its guidance?

Rivian-EV-production-plans
Rivian commercial electric van, R1S, and R1T (Source: Rivian)

Rivian’s losses widened to $1.46 billion in the second quarter, up from $1.2 billion in Q2 2023. The EV maker lost $32,705 on every vehicle built last quarter.

Check back next month for Rivian’s third-quarter financial results, which will be released on November 7, 2024.

Rivian-EV-production-plans
Rivian (RIVN) stock chart Q3 2024 through Q3 2024 (Source: TradingView)

Rivian’s stock was down over 7% in Friday’s pre-market trading after it announced its lowering EV production plans for 2024. Over the past 12 months, Rivian shares have fallen 50%.

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$14B in EV, renewable projects scrapped as tax credit fears grow

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B in EV, renewable projects scrapped as tax credit fears grow

More than $14 billion in US renewable and EV investments and 10,000 new jobs have been scrapped or put on hold since January, according to a new analysis from E2 and the Clean Economy Tracker. The reason: growing fears that the Republican-majority Congress will pull the plug on federal clean energy tax credits.

In April alone, companies backed out of $4.5 billion in battery, EV, and wind projects right before the House passed a sweeping tax and spending bill that would gut the federal tax incentives fueling the clean energy boom. E2 also found another $1.5 billion in previously unreported project cancellations from earlier in the year.

Now, with the Senate preparing to take up the so-called “One Big Beautiful Bill Act,” E2 says over 10,000 clean energy jobs have already vanished.

“If the tax plan passed by the House last week becomes law, expect to see construction and investments stopping in states across the country as more projects and jobs are cancelled,” said Michael Timberlake, E2’s communications director. “Businesses are now counting on Congress to come to its senses and stop this costly attack on an industry that is essential to meeting America’s growing energy demand and that’s driving unprecedented economic growth in every part of the country.”

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Ironically, it’s Republican-led congressional districts – the biggest beneficiaries of the Biden administration’s clean energy tax credits passed in 2022 – that are feeling the most pain. So far, more than $12 billion in investments and over 13,000 jobs have been canceled in GOP districts.

Through April, 61% of all clean energy projects, 72% of jobs, and 82% of investments have been in Republican districts.

Despite the rising number of cancellations, some companies are still forging ahead. In April, businesses announced nearly $500 million in new clean energy investments across six states. That includes a $400 million expansion by Corning in Michigan to make solar wafers, which is expected to create at least 400 jobs, and a $9.3 million investment from a Canadian solar equipment company in North Carolina.

If completed, the seven projects announced last month could create nearly 3,000 permanent jobs.

To date, E2 has tracked 390 major clean energy projects across 42 states and Puerto Rico since the Inflation Reduction Act passed in August 2022. In total, companies plan to invest $132 billion and hire 123,000 permanent workers.

But the report warns that momentum could grind to a halt if the House tax plan becomes law. Since the clean energy tax credits were signed into law, 45 announced projects have been canceled, downsized, or closed entirely, wiping out nearly 20,000 jobs and $16.7 billion in investments.

What’s more, Trump’s Department of Energy announced today that it was killing more than $3.7 billion in funding for carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) and decarbonization initiatives. Eighteen out of 24 projects were awarded through DOE’s Industrial Demonstrations Program (IDP), which was made law in the Inflation Reduction Act. It aimed to strengthen the economic competitiveness of US manufacturers in global markets demanding lower carbon emissions, while supporting US manufacturing jobs and communities.

Executive Director Jason Walsh of the BlueGreen Alliance said in a statement in response to today’s DOE announcement:   

The awarded projects that DOE is seeking to kill are concentrated in rural areas and red states. American manufacturers are hungry to partner with the federal government to bolster US industry. The IDP saw $60 billion worth of applications during the program selection process, a ten-times oversubscription. 

President Trump claims to be a champion of American manufacturing, but today’s announcement is further evidence that he and his Secretary of Energy are liars.

Read more: Global energy giant RWE halts US offshore wind because of Trump


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Tesla prototype spotted at factory – sparking speculation

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Tesla prototype spotted at factory – sparking speculation

A Tesla prototype was spotted at the Fremont factory in California, sparking speculation that it’s the new “cheaper Tesla”, but it looks like a regular Model Y.

A drone operator flew over the Fremont factory this week and spotted a Tesla prototype with light camouflage on the front and back ends.

The vehicle is making a lot of people talk on social media and the media as many think it could be a new “affordable model” coming to Tesla.

Other than the camouflage, the vehicle looks just like a regular Model Y:

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It’s likely one of two things: a new “stripped-down Model Y” or a Model Y Performance.

Model Y Performance is the only version that Tesla hasn’t launched since the design changeover earlier this year.

The “stripped-down Model Y” is what will replace Tesla’s upcoming “affordable models.”

We have been reporting on this new vehicle program from Tesla for a while now.

It came to life just over a year ago as a pivot for Tesla after CEO Elon Musk canceled two cheaper vehicles that Tesla was working on, commonly referred as “the $25,000 Tesla”. Those vehicles were codenamed NV91 and NV92, and they were based on the new vehicle platform that Tesla is now reserving for the Cybercab.

Instead, Musk saw that Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y production lines were starting to be underutilized as Tesla faced demand issues. Therefore, Tesla canceled the vehicles program based on the new platform and decided to build new vehicles on Model 3/Y platform using the same production lines.

We previously reported that these electric vehicles will likely look very similar to Model 3 and Model Y.

In recent months, several other media reports reinforced that, and Tesla all but confirmed it during its latest earnings call.

Considering this looks like a regular Model Y, it could be the new cheaper and less feature rich Model Y:

Some people are claiming that this vehicle looks smaller than the Model Y, but it’s difficult to tell as the black camouflage on the ends can confuse the eye.

It looks like a very similar size when it passes near other Tesla vehicles:

What do you think it is? Let us know in the comment section below.

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Lumina hopes this 32-ton dozer makes them the Tesla of heavy equipment [video]

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Lumina hopes this 32-ton dozer makes them the Tesla of heavy equipment [video]

San Francisco-based founder Ahmed Shubber wants to emulate Elon Musk’s success in the electric construction equipment world – and he hopes his new, 32-ton electric bulldozer is enough to make the world sit up and take notice.

Since launching his company, Lumina, in 2021, Shubber has raised more than $8 million and grown the company’s global (!?) headcount to 26 people. That fruit of that team’s labor is the machine seen here. Dubbed “Moonlander,” the first-of-its-kind prototype occupies the physical footprint of something like a Caterpillar D6, but packs the blade and performance of the larger, more powerful Cat D9.

“A D6 could not push that blade,” David Wright, Lumina’s head of UK operations, told the assembled media at the Moonlander’s launch last week. “We can have that blade full of material, full dozing seven to nine cubic meters of material, for eight to 10 hours.”

Moving all that mass takes a lot of power – but getting that power back into the Moonlander’s batteries won’t take a lot of time, thanks to the machine’s 300 kW charging capability.

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“Even if you spend all morning heavy dozing and you’re a bit worried about how much juice you’ve used — well, your operators are going to take a union-mandated lunch break, right?” asks Wright. “Plug it in, and in 30 minutes, you’ve put 50% of power back in again.”

Shubber says Lumina is working to raise from $20-40 million for its Series A round to develop the company’s next electric equipment asset: a 100-ton electric excavator called Blade Runner. And, in a truly Tesla-like fashion, Shubber says he’s on track to hit an ambitious $100 million revenue target sometime in the next 24 months.

And, of course, the Blade Runner will feature state-of-the-art autonomous operating technology (because: of course it will).

We’ll see how that unfolds in 2 year’s time, I guess. In the meantime, check out this Lumina promo video for Moonlander, below, then let us know what you think of Shuber’s take on an electric job site in the comments.

Lumina ML6 electric dozer video


SOURCE | IMAGES: Lumina; via Business Insider, Earthmovers Magazine.


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