In a week that brought much chaos, with five Top 25 programs losing to unranked teams, it’s time to realize that our College Football Playoff 12-team field will include teams with one, two, maybe even three losses this season. If a team with multiple losses can win its conference, it’s still in the CFP race.
Indiana is having its best start to the season, holding a 6-0 record for the first time in 57 years under first-year coach Curt Cignetti. As it becomes the first team to become bowl-eligible, what are the Hoosiers doing right this season?
The Big 12 has proved to be the conference most up in the air at the moment. With five teams still undefeated in conference play, no program stands out as the favorite to take the Big 12 title and CFP first-round bye.
Our college football experts break down key takeaways from what was an unforgettable Week 6.
Everyone in and around college football has to retrain their brains to accept losses in the era of the 12-team College Football Playoff. Blueblood programs USC and Michigan already have two losses (including USC’s loss to Michigan), but in the new, expanded format, there are going to be two-loss teams included in the field on Selection Day. Maybe even a three-loss team.
(The selection committee has never ranked a four-loss team in its top 12.)
So while some teams have bad losses (Alabama and Notre Dame), and others have multiple losses (hey, Tulane!) any team that can still win its conference is technically still in the race. What hasn’t changed in the committee meeting room, though, is the standard. Even teams with multiple losses need statement wins and have to look like a team capable of winning the national title. — Heather Dinich
Cignetti, Indiana a model for programs seeking turnarounds
Indiana‘s first 6-0 start since 1967, under a first-year coach in Curt Cignetti, carries a natural element of shock. The Hoosiers simply don’t do this, regardless of who is leading their program. But what stood out to me in watching Indiana become the nation’s first — and, amazingly, only — bowl-eligible team is how unfazed the team looks. Indiana is exceptionally well-coached by Cignetti and his staff. The offense is undeniably legitimate, from quarterback Kurtis Rourke to wide receiver Elijah Sarratt to a barrage of backs to an offensive line that doesn’t get nearly enough credit. Indiana is a machine right now, built by Cignetti, through mostly veteran transfers who understand their roles, the schemes and don’t flinch.
Programs that are trying to flip their fortunes in the transfer portal/NIL era should model themselves after Indiana, which found a veteran, proven coach in Cignetti and armed him with the resources to completely change the roster in one offseason. Indiana might not be a true CFP contender — its second-half schedule includes Ohio State, Nebraska, Washington and Michigan — but the team is not a fluke and is likely the envy of many. — Adam Rittenberg
The O has left Oklahoma State
With 10 returning starters on an offense that produced the Doak Walker Award winner last year, the Cowboys entered this season with hopes of contending for a spot in the playoff.
Instead, Oklahoma State’s offense has inexplicably collapsed during a three-game losing streak.
Ollie Gordon II led the nation with 1,732 rushing yards last year, as the Pokes advanced to the Big 12 title game. This season, he ranks 209th, averaging just 3.8 yards on his 101 carries. The offensive line has been incapable of opening up running lanes for Gordon, while a dreadful passing attack behind seventh-year quarterback Alan Bowman has failed to capitalize on loaded boxes.
Mike Gundy has a bye week to shake things up and try to salvage the season. Otherwise, Oklahoma State could finish with its first losing record since Gundy’s first season as head coach 19 years ago. — Jake Trotter
Good luck making Big 12 predictions
Arizona State’s Kenny Dillingham has coached in only two Big 12 games, but he has seen enough to arrive at perhaps the best description yet for his new conference.
“It’s the ultimate league of, ‘Did you see that score?'” Dillingham said recently.
If you want to appreciate the unpredictable nature of this new 16-team edition of the Big 12, just check the conference standings. There are five teams that have yet to lose a conference game. Those teams were picked to finish 6th, 7th, 9th, 11th and 13th in the league’s preseason media poll.
Iowa State and BYU are still undefeated and among the biggest beneficiaries of all the Saturday chaos at the top of the polls, rising to No. 11 and No. 14 respectively in the new AP Top 25. Texas Tech is off to a 3-0 start in conference play after a late-night road win at Arizona. West Virginia started the year 1-2, but just dominated Oklahoma State in Stillwater. And Dillingham’s Sun Devils pulled off one of the best wins of his tenure, a last-minute comeback to defeat Kansas.
The struggles of the Jayhawks (1-5) and Cowboys (3-3) have been genuinely surprising given all the talent they returned for 2024, and TCU (3-3) is heading in the wrong direction. But that’s the nature of this conference: Evenly matched teams, close games and upsets aplenty.
As we approach the midpoint of the first Big 12 season without Texas and Oklahoma, you can’t point to one program and confidently say it’s going to run the league going forward. Seven weeks in, it sure seems like anybody can make it to Arlington and grab the CFP bid. — Max Olson
Not too early to start thinking about Aggies-Longhorns
Picture it: One-loss Texas A&M hosting a top-five Texas team at Kyle Field on the final weekend of the regular season, resuming a 130-year-old rivalry on Nov. 30 with College Football Playoff stakes attached.
We’ve still got a long way to go. But there could be a classic brewing when the Aggies and Longhorns meet for the first time since 2011 in Week 14.
Texas A&M pulled itself back into the playoff conversation with its 41-10 beatdown of Missouri on Saturday, the Aggies’ largest margin of victory over a top-10 team in program history. Texas A&M led 17-0 after three possessions and outgained the Tigers 510 to 254. Quarterback Conner Weigman returned from injury to go 18-of-22 for 276 yards. And the Aggies defense, powered by Purdue transfer Nic Scourton, tallied six sacks and eight tackles for loss, looking very much like a CFP-caliber unit in Year 1 under Mike Elko.
Texas, meanwhile, spent its bye week at No. 2 in the AP Top 25. Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers looks set to return in Week 7 against Oklahoma. Texas ranks third in total defense through six weeks with a résumé win over Michigan already under its belt.
Texas A&M has its work cut out for it between now and Nov. 30, hosting LSU on Oct. 26 before trips to South Carolina (Nov. 2) and Auburn (Nov. 23). Texas still has to get through Oklahoma next Saturday and a visit from the No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs on the following weekend, too.
But the end-of-season meeting between Texas A&M and Texas that already has plenty of energy behind it could be even juicier by the time Week 14 rolls around. — Eli Lederman
In addition to an overall grade for each club at the midway point, we’ve also identified each team’s class president and a player in danger of failing.
Note: Teams are arrayed alphabetically by letter grade. Ryan S. Clark graded the Pacific and Central Division teams, and Kristen Shilton graded the Metropolitan and Atlantic Division teams. Stats are through the games of Jan. 11. Preseason over/unders are courtesy of ESPN BET sportsbook.
Record: 27-13-4 Preseason over/under: 93.5 Current points pace: 108.1
Class president:Kirill Kaprizov. Being on pace for a 50-goal and 100-point season only adds to the reality Kaprizov is one of the game’s most dangerous players. There’s also an argument to be had about him being one of the most valuable. The Wild aren’t like other teams that have balanced scoring throughout their lineup. They have four players who have scored more than 50% of their goals and Kaprizov is among that quartet. His 23 goals and 27 assists — with 15 of them being primary — means he has played a role in being responsible for more than 40% of the Wild’s goals.
In danger of failing:Yakov Trenin. Pointing the proverbial finger at Trenin is a bit repetitive, but it’s that way because of the Wild’s salary cap implications. The combined Zach Parise and Ryan Suter buyouts mean the club must spend judiciously. Signing Trenin to a four-year deal worth $3.5 million annually meant the Wild were getting a player who could provide them with another double-digit goal scorer. Trenin had three goals through 37 games and is projected to score six goals after three straight seasons of more than 12 goals.
Grade: A+ (first-quarter grade: A+). Kaprizov is having the type of season that has him in the Hart Trophy discussion. Filip Gustavsson could end up being a Vezina Trophy finalist and Matt Boldy, Brock Faber and Marco Rossi continue to show why they’re an important part of the Wild’s present and future plans. It’s enough to keep them in the race for the Central entering January. But will it be enough in the postseason?
Jake Trotter covers college football for ESPN. He joined ESPN in 2011. Before that, he worked at The Oklahoman, Austin American-Statesman and Middletown (Ohio) Journal newspapers. You can follow him @Jake_Trotter.
Penn State junior standout running backs Kaytron Allen and Nicholas Singleton both announced Monday that they will be returning to the Nittany Lions for the 2025 season.
“We still have goals we want to reach as a team, and I want to be alongside my teammates as we reach those goals,” Singleton wrote in his announcement.
Allen, meanwhile, said that “it’s clear that we still have a lot more to accomplish.”
This past season, the two teamed up to give Penn State one of college football’s top rushing duos — Allen rushed for 1,108 yards and eight touchdowns while averaging 5.0 yards per carry; Singleton rushed for 1,099 yards with 12 touchdowns and ranked fourth in the Big Ten with 6.4 yards per carry.
Singleton also led Big Ten running backs with 375 receiving yards on 41 receptions.
Singleton ran for three touchdowns in Penn State’s 27-24 loss to Notre Dame in the College Football Playoff semifinals Thursday. Allen rushed for 134 yards in the Nittany Lions’ quarterfinal victory over Boise State on Dec. 31.
Penn State quarterback Drew Allar previously announced he was coming back. With Allen and Singleton joining him, the Nittany Lions will enter next season with one of the country’s most prolific and experienced backfields.
Quarterback Carson Beck‘s college career might not be over yet.
The Georgia starter came into this past season as one of the top-rated passers available for the 2025 NFL draft, and an early favorite to go No. 1 overall. But after a season in which he threw nine interceptions during a four-game stretch (and three more in a 41-34 loss at Alabama) and struggled mightily in other games, his draft stock fell sharply.
Making matters worse, Beck was injured on the final play of the first half in Georgia’s 22-19 overtime victory against Texas in the Dec. 7 SEC championship game. Beck had season-ending surgery to repair the ulnar collateral ligament in his right, throwing elbow on Dec. 23. Five days later, he announced he was entering the NFL draft.
Then on Thursday, Beck entered the transfer portal. On Friday, Beck committed to Miami, where he’ll replace record-setting QB Cam Ward. Due to his injury, Beck, however, isn’t expected to resume throwing until sometime this spring. — Mark Schlabach
Why is he heading to Miami?
There were lots of rumors linking Beck to Miami back in December, which he briefly put to rest when he declared for the draft. But just as they did last year with Cam Ward, Mario Cristobal and the Hurricanes stayed patient and eventually won out for one of the top quarterbacks in the portal.
Ward was worth every penny with the remarkable season he put together in 2024 and the leadership he brought to the program. He seriously boosted his NFL draft stock as a result of his 2024 season and could end up being the No. 1 overall pick. If you’re Beck, that’s the goal in coming back for an extra season. Miami won’t have the same supporting cast of playmakers back for 2025, but they had a lot to sell as Beck’s ideal destination.
Beck won a lot of games with the Bulldogs but never got an opportunity to start in a College Football Playoff game. Two November losses knocked Miami out of the ACC title game and the 12-team CFP this season. Both sides are highly motivated to make the most of 2025, and Beck’s arrival will once again mean big preseason expectations for this program. It’s fair to call this another playoff-or-bust season for Cristobal and the Canes. — Max Olson
What’s next for Georgia?
Beck’s replacement, third-year sophomore Gunner Stockton, played well enough in the second half of the SEC championship game and in a 23-10 loss to Notre Dame in a College Football Playoff quarterfinal game at the Allstate Sugar Bowl that he’ll likely go into spring practice as the favorite to replace Beck.
Stockton, one of the most productive quarterbacks in Georgia high school history, led the Bulldogs back from a 6-3 deficit in the second half to defeat Texas in Atlanta. In his first college start, he completed 20 of 32 passes for 234 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions against a very good Notre Dame defense.
Stockton should improve with a full offseason to prepare as the starter. He’ll have to hold off freshman Ryan Puglisi, the No. 9 pocket passer in the class of 2024, according to ESPN. The Bulldogs signed two quarterbacks in their most recent recruiting class: Ryan Montgomery of Findlay, Ohio, and Hezekiah Millender of Athens, Georgia.
The Bulldogs might still bring in another experienced quarterback from the portal. They were linked to former Alabama backup Dylan Lonergan and Cal starter Fernando Mendoza before those two signed with Boston College and Indiana, respectively. — Schlabach
Did Beck fall out of favor with NFL scouts?
After entering the season as a candidate to be the No. 1 pick in 2025, Beck didn’t live up to expectations, finishing with solid statistics — 28 touchdown passes, 12 interceptions and 3,485 yards — but up-and-down performances. He had three games at midseason in which he threw a combined eight picks, which raised eyebrows among NFL scouts. I dropped him in my rankings to the No. 5 quarterback in the 2025 class.
Speaking to evaluators in the league, Beck’s draft grades were all over the place, as some thought he would go in Round 2, while others thought he could go as low as Round 5. After his announcement that he was declaring for the draft, one scout said: “I was surprised.”
At Miami, Beck should have an opportunity to recapture his 2023 form, when he threw just six interceptions. Drew Allar (Penn State) is the early headliner of the 2026 class, and Beck needs a big season to get back into the Round 1 discussion. — Jordan Reid
What’s the latest with Beck’s injury?
On the day of Beck’s surgery, a Georgia statement indicated the procedure was successful, and he was expected to begin throwing again in the spring. Not much else — about the severity of the injury or his recovery time — is publicly known.
According to the Mayo Clinic’s website, UCL injuries are common among gymnasts, wrestlers, football players and baseball pitchers. The length of Beck’s recovery would depend on whether he partially or completely tore the ligament and where it was torn (proximal, distal or mid-substance).
“For patients who have full thickness tears and need to return to high demand throwing type activities, surgery may be considered,” the Mayo Clinic website says. “Surgery typically entails either a repair (fixing your current ligament by sewing and anchoring it back down to the bone) or reconstruction (replacing your injured ligament) of the UCL.”
Beck wouldn’t be the first quarterback to come back from UCL surgery. San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy injured the UCL in his right, throwing elbow against the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC Championship Game on Jan. 29, 2023. He had surgery to repair his UCL on March 10, 2023, and returned to throwing less than three months later. He started the 49ers’ opener on Sept. 10, 2023.
The Mayo Clinic website said athletes who experience UCL injuries have a 95-100% return rate to athletics for non-throwers and 85-95% for throwers. — Schlabach
What are the rules about entering the portal after declaring for the draft?
Beck announced his intentions of entering the NFL draft, but he has until Feb. 7 to remove his name from the draft by sending an opt-out letter to the league office.
College football players whose teams’ seasons had already ended had until Jan. 6 to declare for the draft. Players on teams that are still competing in the CFP (Notre Dame, Ohio State, Penn State and Texas) have until Jan. 27 to decide whether to leave their names in the draft. — Schlabach