Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on October 03, 2024 in New York City.
Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images
This report is from today’s CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Like what you see? You can subscribe here.
No more jumbo cuts After last week’s expectation-busting jobs report for September, there’s virtually zero chance the U.S. Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates by half a percentage point at its next meeting, strategists told CNBC. Traders agree. A week ago, they bet on a 34.7% chance of another jumbo cut by the Fed; today, it’s 0%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
AI demand is still high The artificial intelligence boom “still has some time to go,” Foxconn Chief Executive and Chairman of Foxconn Young Liu told CNBC. Foxconn, which reported better-than-expected earnings for the third quarter, manufactures electronics for technology giants like Apple and Nvidia. Demand for Nvidia’s latest chip Blackwell is “much better than we thought,” said Liu.
Tensions push oil prices higher Oil prices jumped around 3.7% on Monday on worries Israel will attack Iran’s oil production facilities. If Israel hits Kharg Island, it could disrupt the transport of 90% of Iran’s crude exports, said an analyst. Last week was the best for West Texas Intermediate and Brent oil prices in more than one-and-a-half years. They surged 9.1% and 8.4% respectively.
[PRO] Goldman’s getting more bullish The S&P 500 is in the red in October so far. But Goldman Sachs raised its 2024 target for the S&P to 6,000 from 5,600, making it the second-highest forecast on Wall Street, according to the CNBC Market Strategist Survey. Goldman also increased its 12-month S&P target to 6,300 from 6,000. Here’s why the bank is so bullish on stocks.
The bottom line
September’s blockbuster jobs report, released Friday, lifted sentiment and stocks enough that major indexes reversed their losses and ended last week in the green, but just barely.
That halo has now faded away. Markets are back to contending with rising oil prices, inflation possibly reaccelerating, fewer-than-expected rate cuts and potentially even a distant recession.
Oil prices spiked yesterday after having their best week in over a year. And September’s blockbuster jobs report, the futures market is pricing in a 13.7% chance the Fed will not cut rates at all at its November meeting. That’s a drastic change from a week ago when traders thought there was a 34.7% chance of a 50-basis-point cut.
But a recession?
Admittedly, that’s speculation on my part. But it bears pointing out that the yield curve between the 10- and 2-year Treasurys is “getting close to flipping back into danger territory,” as CNBC’s Jeff Cox noted.
Simply put, when the 10-year yield is lower than that of the 2-year, the yield curve is inverted – which has almost always preceded a recession since the mid-1970s. The yield curve inverted in early July 2022 and normalized in early September.
After Monday, however, the gap between the 10- and 2-year yields is now just 3.5 basis points. It’s not inconceivable, then, for investors who take stock in what the yield curve signals to panic a little.
That said, strategists think a recession is a far-fetched idea, considering the health of the U.S. economy.
As David Roche, founder and strategist at Quantum Strategy, put it, “the economy is fine, thank you very much.”
So much so that “the probability of the American economy going into recession, at least in the fourth quarter of this year, and probably in the first quarter of next year, is close to zero,” said Bob Parker, senior advisor at the International Capital Markets Association.
Concrete numbers are driving market movement. But there’s an undercurrent of fear that can perhaps run contrary to what some of those numbers are saying.
– CNBC’s, Jeff Cox, Lisa Kailai Han and Jesse Pound contributed to this story.
The World Liberty Financial website arranged on a smartphone in New York, US, on Wednesday, Feb. 12, 2025.
Gabby Jones | Bloomberg | Getty Images
The Senate on Tuesday passed the GENIUS Act, a landmark bill that for the first time establishes federal guardrails for U.S. dollar-pegged stablecoins and creates a regulated pathway for private companies to issue digital dollars with the blessing of the federal government.
“The GENIUS Act will protect consumers, enable responsible innovation, and safeguard the dominance of the U.S. dollar,” said Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y., one of the sponsors of the bill, in a statement.
The bill still faces hurdles in the Republican-held House, but passage in the Senate signals a turning point — not just for the technology, but for the political clout behind it.
The GENIUS Act, short for the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act, sets guardrails for the industry, including full reserve backing, monthly audits, and anti-money laundering compliance.
It also opens the door to a broader range of issuers, including banks, fintechs, and major retailers looking to launch their own stablecoins or integrate them into existing payment systems.
The legislation grants sweeping authority to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who last week told a Senate appropriations subcommittee in a hearing that the U.S. stablecoin market could grow nearly eightfold to over $2 trillion in the next few years.
The bill’s passage drew sharp criticism from Sen. Jeff Merkley, D-Ore., who accused Republicans of “rubberstamping Trump’s crypto corruption,” and allowing the president to sell “access to the government for personal profit.”
Merkley had pushed for an amendment to bar elected officials from personally profiting off digital assets, but said GOP lawmakers blocked all efforts to hold a floor vote.
In May, Senate Democrats unveiled the “End Crypto Corruption Act,” spearheaded by Merkley and Minority Leader Chuck Schumer of New York, meant to prohibit elected officials and senior executive branch personnel and their families from issuing or endorsing digital assets.
GENIUS now heads to the House, which has its own version of a stablecoin bill dubbed STABLE. Both prohibit yield-bearing consumer stablecoins — but diverge on who regulates what.
The Senate’s version centralizes oversight with Treasury, while the House splits authority between the Federal Reserve, the Comptroller of the Currency, and others. Reconciling the two could take a while, according to congressional aides.
The GENIUS Act was supposed to be the easiest crypto bill to pass, but took months to reach the Senate floor, failed once, and passed only after fierce negotiations.
“We thought it would be easiest to start with stablecoins,” Sen. Cynthia Lummis, R-Wyo., said on stage in Las Vegas at this year’s Bitcoin 2025 conference, which focused heavily on stablecoins.
“It has been extremely difficult. I had no idea how hard this was going to be,” she said.
At the same event, Sen. Bill Hagerty, R-Tenn., echoed the frustration: “It has been murder to get them there,” he said of the 18 Senate Democrats who ultimately crossed the aisle.
Disrupting legacy rails
Stablecoins are a subset of cryptocurrencies pegged to the value of real-world assets. About 99% of all stablecoins are tethered to the price of the U.S. dollar.
They offer instant settlement and lower transaction fees, cutting out the middlemen and directly threatening legacy payment rails.
Shopify has already rolled out USDC-powered payments through Coinbase and Stripe. Bank of America‘s CEO said last week at a Morgan Stanley conference that the bank is having conversations with the industry and individually exploring stablecoin issuance.
Deutsche Bank found that stablecoin transactions hit $28 trillion last year, surpassing that of Mastercard and Visa, combined.
Still, there are limits. The GENIUS Act restricts non-financial large tech companies from directly issuing stablecoins unless they establish or partner with regulated financial entities — a provision meant to blunt monopoly concerns.
JPMorgan Chase, meanwhile, is taking a different route, launching JPMD, a deposit token designed to function like a stablecoin but tightly integrated with the traditional banking system.
Issued on Coinbase’s Base blockchain, JPMD is only available to institutional clients and offers features like 24/7 settlement and interest payments — part of the broader push by legacy finance to adapt to the stablecoin era without ceding ground to crypto-native firms.
Trump’s stake
While Democrats tried to amend the bill to prevent the president from profiting off crypto ventures, the final legislation only bars members of Congress and their families from doing so.
Trump’s first financial disclosure as president, released Friday, revealed he earned at least $57 million in 2024 alone from token sales tied to World Liberty Financial, a crypto platform closely aligned with his political brand.
He holds nearly 16 billion WLFI governance tokens — the crypto equivalent of voting shares — which could be worth close to $1 billion on paper, based on prior private sales.
That’s just one slice of the Trump crypto pie.
The family’s ventures, which include the controversial $TRUMP meme coin, a $2.5 billion bitcoin Treasury and proposed bitcoin and ether ETFs via Truth.Fi, and a newly launched mining firm called American Bitcoin, reflect an aggressive push into digital finance.
Forbes recently estimated Trump’s crypto holdings at nearly $1 billion, lifting his total net worth to $5.6 billion.
While Ferrari is pushing back EV plans, BYD is stepping in with its first luxury electric super sedan. BYD kicked off deliveries of the Yangwang U7, a four-motor, flagship electric sedan powerhouse packing nearly 1,300 horsepower.
BYD has a new luxury EV sports sedan to beat Ferrari
Although it was due out next year, Ferrari is delaying plans for its second EV for at least another two years. Two sources close to the matter told Reuters that the decision is due to sluggish demand for EV sports cars.
One source claimed that “real, sustainable demand is non-existent for an electric sports car” and that Ferrari’s second EV is not expected to arrive before 2028.
Meanwhile, BYD officially kicked off deliveries of the Yangwang U7 this month, its first electric luxury super sedan.
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Packing four electric motors, the Yangwang U7 delivers up to 1,287 horsepower (960 kW), good for a 0 to 62 mph (0 to 100 km/h) sprint in just 2.9 seconds. It also includes a massive 135.5 kWh battery, providing a CLTC range of nearly 450 miles (720 km).
BYD delivers the first Yangwang U7 luxury EV sedans to owners (Source: Yangwang)
BYD’s flagship electric sedan is just as smart as it is powerful. The Yangwang U7 features BYD’s “God’s Eye A” ADAS system, which incorporates three Lidars, five radars, 13 high-definition cameras, and 12 ultrasonic radars.
The system offers smart driving and safety features, including Navigate on Autopilot (NOA) for city and highway use, automated parking, and more.
The interior is centered around a “Star Ring Cockpit” design with BYD’s DiLink smart cockpit system and DeepSeek AI. You can see that there is plenty of screen space, featuring a 12.8″ curved center display and a 23″ driver display. Front and rear passengers get added 6″ entertainment screens.
Like other vehicles under BYD’s luxury Yangwang brand, the U7 features its Disus-Z suspension system, enabling it to “dance” and even jump over things on the road.
BYD Yangwang U7 electric sedan (Source: Yangwang)
The U7 is 5,265 mm in length, 1,998 mm in width, and 1,517 mm in height, which is slightly larger than the Porsche Panamera.
BYD’s luxury EV sedan starts at just 628,000 yuan, or about $87,000 in China. The four-seater variant costs 708,000 yuan, or roughly $98,500, which is still about half the cost of the most affordable Ferrari.
BYD Yangwang U8 SUV (left) and U7 luxury EV sedan (right) Source: Yangwang
Ferrari still plans to launch its first fully electric vehicle during its Capital Markets Day on October 9, with deliveries kicking off the same month. We got a sneak peek of Ferrari’s first EV earlier this year, after it was spotted in public with a crossover-like design.
According to the sources, the second EV will be more of a high-volume model, with Ferrari planning to deliver around 5,000 to 6,000 units over five years, similar to its typical models.
Ferrari’s first fully electric vehicle won’t be cheap. It’s expected to cost at least 500,000 euros, or over $500,000.
Electrek’s Take
Will BYD’s new Yangwang U7 prove that Ferrari is wrong that luxury EV sports cars don’t sell? Several Chinese EV makers are already proving it, such as Xiaomi, which sold over 200,000 SU7 models in under a year.
In April, BYD’s ultra-luxury Yangwang brand delivered its 10,000th vehicle, following the launch of its first model, the U8, in September 2023.
Yangwang sold 139 vehicles in May, including 22 U7s, 12 U9 electric supercars, and 94 U8 SUVs. As more sales data is released, we will see if Ferrari’s theory that demand for an electric luxury sports car is “non-existent.”
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EV charger operating system manufacturer ChargeLab just launched OpenOCPP, a free and open-source software stack that could majorly simplify life for EV charger manufacturers.
OpenOCPP is the first hardware-agnostic, pre-certified embedded software stack supporting OCPP 1.6J and 2.0.1. In plain terms, it helps EV chargers speak the same language as charging station management systems (CSMS) – and it works across just about any hardware setup, from a lightweight ESP32 microcontroller to a full Linux embedded system.
Right now, most EV charger companies have to spend big on building and certifying their own firmware to support OCPP. That takes 18 to 24 months, slows down rollout, and clogs up innovation. With OpenOCPP, ChargeLab says the timeline shrinks to just a few weeks.
“We’ve designed an incredibly memory-efficient embedded software stack that can run on any underlying hardware,” said ChargeLab CTO Ehsan Mokthari, who also co-chairs the Open Charge Alliance’s OCPP 2.lite working group. “OpenOCPP also comes with enterprise-grade security pre-built, so manufacturers can get up and running quickly.”
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ChargeLab is a member of the Open Charge Alliance (OCA), the group behind OCPP. OpenOCPP is being added to the OCA Validation Test Bed, which helps companies verify that their products conform to OCPP standards.
OpenOCPP brings a lot to the table for EV charger makers. It comes with built-in security that meets OCPP 2.0.1’s toughest standards. It doesn’t lock manufacturers into any one provider – it works with ChargeLab’s CSMS or any other backend that supports OCPP. It passes the OCA’s conformance test tool right out of the box and is ready for California’s CTEP requirements. It’s designed to run on microcontrollers with as little as 4MB of memory. And thanks to its modular design and open-source Apache 2.0 license, it’s ready for whatever OCPP throws at the industry next.
One company already using OpenOCPP is FractalEV, a North American Level 2 EV charger manufacturer. They’ve installed units using a beta version of the software across over 20 CSMS platforms.
“ChargeLab’s embedded software stack helped us launch faster,” said FractalEV founder Chris Mendes. “With OpenOCPP going open source, there is really no reason to look elsewhere for an OCPP communication stack.”
OpenOCPP is already running on over 4,000 chargers through manufacturer beta programs, many deployed by major corporate customers with tight cybersecurity standards. As OpenOCPP exits beta today, ChargeLab invites more manufacturers and developers to the project.
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