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The Labour Party is leading the Conservatives by just one point, a new poll has shown, after weeks of rows over freebies.

The latest More in Common voting intention poll has 29% of people saying they would vote for Labour and 28% for the Conservatives.

When the election was held in July, the gap between the two parties was 11%. It has steadily reduced over the three months Labour has been in government.

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The gap reduced to 4% in September – and now the Tories and Labour are just one percentage point apart.

Labour’s plunge in popularity is led mainly by those aged 65 and over, suggesting that it is in reaction to the winter fuel payment cut for 10 million pensioners.

Sir Keir Starmer‘s approval rating, which was at a high of +11 after winning the election, has steadily plummeted to -33, according to the More in Common poll from 5 – 7 October.

It is now below Rishi Sunak’s for the first time since January, who is on -32.

A YouGov poll released on Monday found six in 10 people (59%) now describe the Labour government as “sleazy”.

Morgan McSweeney, campaign director at the Labour Party. Pic: Shutterstock
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Morgan McSweeney has replaced Sue Gray. Pic: Shutterstock

Sir Keir’s ratings and that of his government reflect a series of unpopular policy decisions and, in recent weeks, a row over freebies taken by Sir Keir and his top team.

It has culminated in Sir Keir repaying £6,000 for tickets and clothes for his wife, and the resignation of his chief of staff, former civil servant Sue Gray.

She stepped down on Sunday after weeks of briefings against her, with her perceived power and abilities attacked by other Number 10 staff and civil servants who accused her of not having a handle on the damaging freebies row.

Her replacement, Morgan McSweeney, the party’s former campaign director who masterminded July’s election landslide, will attend his first cabinet meeting on Tuesday as chief of staff.

He will try to quell discontent within Sir Keir’s inner circle despite allies of Ms Gray being unhappy she has gone.

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An ally of Ms Gray told The Times she had been the victim of an “out-of-control group” of senior male advisers who felt threatened by her.

“Either Starmer wasn’t across what was going on or he was and he let them do it. Frankly neither is a good look,” the anonymous source said.

“You simply can’t have a lot of out-of-control special advisers ousting a chief of staff.”

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The former prime minister Boris Johnson used the recent rows to claim that the Conservative Party will “unquestionably” win the next general election if Sir Keir continues to govern as he is.

He told LBC that voters thought it would be a “kind of Blairite government” but “he [Starmer] is governing from the left”, using the example of handing the Chagos Islands to Mauritius and pay increases for public sector workers.

Asked if that meant the Conservatives could win the next election, Mr Johnson said: “I think they will. At this rate, they unquestionably will.”

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Ethereum gaming network Xai sues Musk’s xAI for trademark infringement

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Ethereum gaming network Xai sues Musk’s xAI for trademark infringement

Ethereum gaming network Xai sues Musk’s xAI for trademark infringement

Ethereum gaming network Xai claims Elon Musk’s AI firm xAI has caused market confusion and reputational harm.

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Fast-track asylum appeals process to be introduced – as average time for decisions is more than one year

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Fast-track asylum appeals process to be introduced - as average time for decisions is more than one year

A new fast-track asylum appeals process will be introduced to speed up the process of deporting people without a right to remain in the UK, the home secretary has said.

As it currently takes, on average, more than a year to reach a decision on asylum appeals, the government plans to set up a new independent panel focused on asylum appeals to help reduce the backlog.

Home Secretary Yvette Cooper said “completely unacceptable” delays in the appeals process left failed asylum seekers in the system for years.

There are about 51,000 asylum appeals waiting to be heard.

The new independent body will use professionally-trained adjudicators, rather than relying on judges.

Ministers are introducing a new 24-week deadline for the first-tier tribunal to determine asylum appeals by those receiving accommodation support and appeals by foreign offenders.

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Police clash with protesters in Bristol

But they believe the current tribunal system, which covers a wide range of different cases, is still failing to ensure failed asylum seekers can be returned as swiftly as possible, nor can it accommodate a fast-track system for safe countries.

More on Asylum

It comes amid protests about the use of hotel accommodation for migrants.

The home secretary said the overhaul would result in a system which is “swift, fair and independent, with high standards in place”.

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She said: “We inherited an asylum system in complete chaos with a soaring backlog of asylum cases and a broken appeals system with thousands of people in the system for years on end.

“That is why we are taking practical steps to fix the foundations and restore control and order to the system.

“We are determined to substantially reduce the number of people in the asylum system as part of our plan to end asylum hotels.

“Already since the election, we have reduced the backlog of people waiting for initial decisions by 24% and increased failed asylum returns by 30%.

“But we cannot carry on with these completely unacceptable delays in appeals as a result of the system we have inherited which mean that failed asylum seekers stay in the system for years on end at huge cost to the taxpayer.”

Official figures released earlier this month showed a total of 111,084 people applied for asylum in the UK in the year to June 2025, the highest number for any 12-month period since current records began in 2001.

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Reform UK’s new immigration plans would have been seen as extreme just a few years ago

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Reform UK's new immigration plans would've been extreme just a few years ago

Mass deportations. Prison camps. Quitting the Refugee Convention and the UN Convention on Torture.

A shrug of the shoulders at the idea of the UK sending asylum seekers back to places like Afghanistan or Eritrea, where they could be tortured or executed.

“I’m really sorry, but we can’t be responsible for everything that happens in the whole of the world,” says Nigel Farage.

“Who is our priority?”

The Reform UK leader has been setting out his party’s new plans to address illegal migration in an interview with The Times newspaper – a set of policies, and a use of language, which would surely have been seen as extreme just a few years ago.

Only last autumn the Reform leader repeatedly shied away from the concept of “mass deportations”, describing the idea as “a political impossibility”.

But now he’s embraced Trump-style immigration rhetoric.

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It’s not surprising that Reform want to capitalise on the outpouring of public anger over the use of hotels to house asylum seekers. The policy was started by the previous Conservative government, in response to housing shortages – and Labour has failed to make significant progress on its promise to stop it.

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Asylum hotel protests set to rise

But all the major parties have shifted firmly to the right on this issue.

There’s been very little political criticism of the aggressiveness of Farage’s policy suggestions, and the premise that the UK should no longer offer sanctuary to anyone who arrives here illegally.

The Tory response has been to complain that he’s just copying the ideas they didn’t quite get round to implementing before calling the general election.

“Four months late, this big reveal is just recycling many ideas the Conservatives have already announced,” said Chris Philp MP, the shadow home secretary.

“Labour’s border crisis does urgently need to be fixed with tough and radical measures, but only the Conservatives have done – and will continue to do – the detailed work to deliver a credible plan that will actually work in practice.”

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Certainly, the ambition to arrest and deport everyone who arrives in a small boat – regardless of whether or not they have legitimate grounds for asylum – has clear echoes of the Tories’ Rwanda policy.

Despite spending £700m on the controversial idea, only four volunteers were ever sent to Kigali before it was cancelled by Sir Keir Starmer, who branded it a gimmick.

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Reform putting ‘wheels in motion’ for migrant hotel legal challenges

Labour have suggested they’ve diverted Home Office resources that were freed up by that decision into processing asylum claims more quickly and increasing deportations.

They’re hoping tougher action against the criminal gangs and the new “one in one out” deal with France will help deter the number of people crossing the Channel in small boats in the first place, currently at record levels.

But rather than offering any defence of the principle of offering asylum to genuine refugees – Labour’s Angela Eagle MP, the border security minister, has also focused on the feasibility of Farage’s policies.

“Nigel Farage is simply plucking numbers out of the air, another pie in the sky policy from a party that will say anything for a headline,” she said.

“We are getting a grip of the broken asylum system. Making sure those with no right to be here are removed or deported.”

Even the Liberal Democrats have taken a similar approach.

“This plan sums up Nigel Farage perfectly, as like him it doesn’t offer any real solutions,” they said.

“Whilst Farage continues to stoke division, we Liberal Democrats are more interested in delivering for our local communities.”

It’s been left to the Refugee Council to defend the principle of asylum.

“After the horrors of the Second World War, Britain and its allies committed to protecting those fleeing persecution,” said CEO Enver Solomon.

“The Refugee Convention was our collective vow of ‘never again’ – a legal framework ensuring that people who come to our country seeking safety get a fair chance to apply for asylum.

“That commitment remains vital today. Whether escaping conflict in Sudan or repression under regimes like the Taliban, people still need protection.

“Most find refuge in neighbouring countries. But some will seek sanctuary in Europe, including Britain.

“We can meet this challenge by upholding a fair, managed system that determines who qualifies for protection and who does not.”

But with Reform leading in the polls, and protests outside hotels across the country – politicians of all stripes are under pressure to respond to public frustration over the issue.

A recent YouGov poll found half of voters now believe immigration over the last ten years has been mostly bad for the country – double the figure just three years ago.

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While the government has made some progress in reducing the cost of asylum hotels – down from £8.3m a day in 2023/4 to £5.77m a day in 2024/5 – the overall numbers accommodated in this way have gone up by 8% since Labour took charge, thanks to the surge in new claims.

Sir Keir has previously said he won’t make a promise he can’t keep.

But current efforts to end the use of asylum hotels by 2029 are clearly not working.

That’s a credibility gap Farage is more than ready to exploit.

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