The Labour Party is leading the Conservatives by just one point, a new poll has shown, after weeks of rows over freebies.
The latest More in Common voting intention poll has 29% of people saying they would vote for Labour and 28% for the Conservatives.
When the election was held in July, the gap between the two parties was 11%. It has steadily reduced over the three months Labour has been in government.
The gap reduced to 4% in September – and now the Tories and Labour are just one percentage point apart.
Labour’s plunge in popularity is led mainly by those aged 65 and over, suggesting that it is in reaction to the winter fuel payment cut for 10 million pensioners.
Sir Keir Starmer‘s approval rating, which was at a high of +11 after winning the election, has steadily plummeted to -33, according to the More in Common poll from 5 – 7 October.
It is now below Rishi Sunak’s for the first time since January, who is on -32.
Image: Morgan McSweeney has replaced Sue Gray. Pic: Shutterstock
Sir Keir’s ratings and that of his government reflect a series of unpopular policy decisions and, in recent weeks, a row over freebies taken by Sir Keir and his top team.
It has culminated in Sir Keir repaying £6,000 for tickets and clothes for his wife, and the resignation of his chief of staff, former civil servant Sue Gray.
She stepped down on Sunday after weeks of briefings against her, with her perceived power and abilities attacked by other Number 10 staff and civil servants who accused her of not having a handle on the damaging freebies row.
Her replacement, Morgan McSweeney, the party’s former campaign director who masterminded July’s election landslide, will attend his first cabinet meeting on Tuesday as chief of staff.
He will try to quell discontent within Sir Keir’s inner circle despite allies of Ms Gray being unhappy she has gone.
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5:45
Johnson ‘totally rejects’ insulting public
An ally of Ms Gray told The Times she had been the victim of an “out-of-control group” of senior male advisers who felt threatened by her.
“Either Starmer wasn’t across what was going on or he was and he let them do it. Frankly neither is a good look,” the anonymous source said.
“You simply can’t have a lot of out-of-control special advisers ousting a chief of staff.”
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The former prime minister Boris Johnson used the recent rows to claim that the Conservative Party will “unquestionably” win the next general election if Sir Keir continues to govern as he is.
He told LBC that voters thought it would be a “kind of Blairite government” but “he [Starmer] is governing from the left”, using the example of handing the Chagos Islands to Mauritius and pay increases for public sector workers.
Asked if that meant the Conservatives could win the next election, Mr Johnson said: “I think they will. At this rate, they unquestionably will.”
Sir Keir Starmer has backed his under-fire safeguarding minister to continue leading the government’s efforts to set up a national inquiry into grooming gangs after four survivors demanded her resignation.
The prime minister said on Thursday that Jess Phillips has “devoted vast parts of her life and career” to tackling violence against women and girls, and has “confidence in her”, despite the turmoil that has beset the process.
All four survivors who quit the government’s grooming gangs inquiry panel said they will consider returning to the process if Ms Phillips resigns.
However, five other survivors on the panel have written to Sir Keir to say they will only stay if Ms Phillips remains.
They said she had remained impartial, had listened to feedback and her previous experience to reduce violence against women and girls and her “clear passion and commitment is important to us”.
In contrast to the four who have quit, who accused Ms Phillips of trying to expand the inquiry’s scope beyond grooming gangs, the five said it needs to be widened to focus on child sexual exploitation as a whole to ensure survivors who do not fit “the generalised stereotype” are not excluded.
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In response to the demand for Ms Phillips to quit, Sir Keir said: “The safeguarding minister has huge experience in issues relating to violence against women and girls. She’s devoted vast parts of her life and career to that, and so I do have confidence in her and Louise Casey in leading this project.”
Speaking to ITV Meridian, the prime minister also sought to reassure the victims of grooming, saying: “It’s really important that the national inquiry gets to the truth. All survivors deserve answers to their questions.”
“It is very important that I say to all survivors that I give my personal assurance that this inquiry will go wherever it needs to go, the scope will not be changed.”
It is understood Downing Street has reached out to the four survivors who quit the government’s process this week.
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2:14
Starmer defended Phillips at PMQs on Wednesday
Samantha, one of the survivors who wrote the letter saying they would only stay if Ms Phillips remains, told Sky News: “We shouldn’t be falling apart right now, we should be working together.
“Jess has only ever been fair and honest with us, she’s told us as much as she possibly can within her capacity.
“She’s provided a lot of support over the phone and in-person to a lot of us survivors behind the scenes, which people don’t see about Jess.
“So I do still want her to be part of this inquiry up until the end.”
A government source told Sky News the government will be talking to all survivors on the panel about their concerns and opinions on the type of person they want to chair the inquiry, after the leading candidate dropped out following concerns from survivors over his background as a police officer.
The government will move as fast as possible, they said, but it will likely take months to appoint the right chair.
Why four survivors quit the inquiry
The four women who resigned this week expressed concerns about how the process of selecting a chair and setting the terms of reference of the national inquiry into grooming gangs is being run.
They wrote on Wednesday to Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood, calling for Ms Phillips to step down and all survivors to be consulted on appointing a senior judge as chair with no major conflicts of interest.
Ms Phillips told parliament on Tuesday that suggestions that the scope of the inquiry was to be expanded from just grooming gangs were “categorically untrue”.
But leaked consultation documents and texts between the safeguarding minister and survivor Fiona Goddard show the survivors’ concerns that the scope would be expanded were valid.
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10:14
Shadow Housing Secretary Sir James Cleverly told Sky News that he can’t see how Jess Phillips can stay in post
The survivors’ letter says: “Being publicly contradicted and dismissed by a government minister when you are a survivor telling the truth takes you right back to that feeling of not being believed all over again.
“It is a betrayal that has destroyed what little trust remained.”
They have demanded that the scope of the inquiry remain “laser-focused” on grooming gangs and called for victims to be free to speak to support networks without fear of reprisal.
Image: Fiona Goddard and Kemi Badenoch speaking during a press conference earlier this year
Pic PA
The letter to Ms Mahmood says: “Her [Ms Phillips’] conduct over the last week has shown she is unfit to oversee a process that requires survivors to trust the government. Her departure would signal you are serious about accountability and changing direction.”
The survivors describe their demands as “the absolute bare minimum for survivors to trust that this inquiry will be different from every other process that has let us down”.
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7:02
Minister for Children and Families, Josh MacAlister told Sky News Jess Phillips will not be resigning
Frontrunner quits over ‘toxicity’
The letter was sent hours after one of the frontrunners to become chair of the inquiry withdrew, blaming “vested interests” and “political opportunism and point-scoring”.
Ex-police chief and child protection specialist Jim Gamble told the home secretary in a letter there was a “highly charged and toxic environment” around the appointment process and victims “deserve better”.
The other, Annie Hudson, a former social worker, said earlier this week she no longer wanted to be considered after intense media coverage.
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18:19
‘Everyone should park their interests’
The prime minister launched the inquiry into grooming gangs after an audit by Baroness Louise Casey showed the scale of the problem.
It is understood that the government is exploring a range of other candidates and will provide an update in due course.
A Home Office spokesperson said: “The grooming gang scandal was one of the darkest moments in this country’s history.
“That is why this government is committed to a full, statutory, national inquiry to uncover the truth. It is the very least that the victims of these hideous crimes deserve.
“We are disappointed that candidates to chair that inquiry have withdrawn. This is an extremely sensitive topic, and we have to take the time to appoint the best person suitable for the role.
“The home secretary has been clear – there will be no hiding place for those who abused the most vulnerable in our society.”